This opponent (Castellón) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Castellón
Avg scored1.70
Avg conceded1.40
Avg total3.10
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.30
1.93
0.93
1.53
1.67
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
2.20
1.33
1.33
2.00
3.50
vs Similar (24)
1.79
1.12
2.18
0.82
1.46
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.4%
Under 2.5
31.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
68.7%
No
31.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.6%
Real Sociedad II goals ↓
Castellón goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
4.9%
5.8%
3.9%
1.9%
1
3.6%
9.9%
8.9%
5.9%
3.0%
2
3.5%
6.9%
6.9%
4.6%
2.3%
3
1.8%
3.5%
3.5%
2.3%
1.2%
4
0.7%
1.4%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Sociedad II goals (down), columns = Castellón goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Racing Santander
2.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.82
Malaga
1.75
Almeria
1.73
Burgos
1.73
Las Palmas
1.70
Eibar
1.66
Castellón
1.65
Sporting Gijon
1.52
AD Ceuta FC
1.48
Albacete
1.43
Cordoba
1.41
FC Andorra
1.32
Granada CF
1.23
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Real Sociedad
1.12
Leganes
1.11
Valladolid
1.11
Mirandes
1.00
Cadiz
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
0.89
Huesca
0.86
Zaragoza
0.84
Real Sociedad II is 0.53 points worse than Castellón in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing Santander
2.14
Almeria
1.94
Castellón
1.74
Malaga
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.55
FC Andorra
1.43
Sporting Gijon
1.41
Albacete
1.34
Las Palmas
1.33
Cordoba
1.32
Granada CF
1.30
Eibar
1.25
Real Sociedad II
1.24
Real Sociedad
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.23
Mirandes
1.14
Burgos
1.11
Leganes
1.05
Valladolid
1.02
Cadiz
1.00
Huesca
0.95
Cultural Leonesa
0.93
Zaragoza
0.82
Real Sociedad II is 0.50 goals worse than Castellón in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.75
Eibar
0.93
Las Palmas
0.96
Deportivo La Coruna
1.11
Malaga
1.17
Leganes
1.20
Sporting Gijon
1.23
Albacete
1.27
Valladolid
1.32
Granada CF
1.32
FC Andorra
1.34
Castellón
1.37
Zaragoza
1.39
Racing Santander
1.41
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Real Sociedad
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Cordoba
1.45
Almeria
1.48
Cadiz
1.50
Huesca
1.52
Cultural Leonesa
1.59
Mirandes
1.61
Real Sociedad II is 0.08 goals worse than Castellón in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Racing Santander
52%
Almeria
52%
Malaga
52%
Leganes
51%
Deportivo La Coruna
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Cultural Leonesa
50%
Eibar
49%
Zaragoza
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Huesca
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Mirandes
43%
Albacete
42%
Real Sociedad II is 10.9 percentage points worse than Castellón in terms of average possession (44% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RS
Real Sociedad II
For 4.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.3 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Castellón
For 7.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 14.9 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Real Sociedad II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
9.2
8.7
9.8
6.1
6.7
5.5
29.1
30.3
28.0
vs Stronger (8)
8.6
6.8
10.5
5.9
5.8
6.0
30.0
30.5
29.5
vs Similar (34)
9.4
9.1
9.6
6.1
6.9
5.4
28.9
30.2
27.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
43%
43%
81%
81%
81%
93%
95%
90%
% under line
57%
57%
57%
19%
19%
19%
7%
5%
10%
This opponent (Castellón) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Castellón
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
10.1
5.9
6.4
5.5
27.9
28.6
27.2
vs Stronger (8)
10.8
10.5
11.0
5.5
5.8
5.2
27.8
27.2
28.2
vs Similar (40)
10.2
10.1
10.2
5.9
6.4
5.4
27.9
28.7
27.1
vs Weaker (2)
5.0
5.0
5.0
8.0
8.0
8.0
29.5
33.0
26.0
% over line
52%
56%
48%
88%
96%
80%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
48%
44%
52%
12%
4%
20%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
11.0
Cordoba
10.9
Mallorca
10.4
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Girona
9.6
Leganes
9.5
Almeria
9.5
Eibar
9.4
Eldense
9.4
Oviedo
9.3
Real Sociedad II
9.2
Granada CF
9.2
Valladolid
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
FC Andorra
9.0
AD Ceuta FC
8.9
Sabadell
8.8
Burgos
8.4
Las Palmas
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Real Sociedad II
6.1
Castellón
6.0
Cordoba
5.8
Granada CF
5.8
Burgos
5.7
Almeria
5.7
FC Andorra
5.6
Valladolid
5.4
AD Ceuta FC
5.4
Leganes
5.3
Eibar
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Cadiz
4.9
Tenerife
4.7
Las Palmas
4.7
Sabadell
4.6
Eldense
4.6
Mallorca
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Girona
4.0
Oviedo
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
30.0
Real Sociedad II
29.1
Sabadell
28.5
Valladolid
28.3
Granada CF
28.0
AD Ceuta FC
28.0
Castellón
27.9
FC Andorra
27.7
Tenerife
27.6
Las Palmas
27.4
Burgos
27.4
Leganes
27.2
Almeria
26.9
Cadiz
25.8
Eibar
25.6
Eldense
25.4
Girona
25.0
Mallorca
24.3
Oviedo
24.1
Sporting Gijon
22.1
Albacete
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.2%
Under 9.5
54.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
83.4%
Under 3.5
16.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.7%
Under 21.5
9.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 21.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (41)
€199m
MAL (23)
€77m
ALM (35)
€69m
OVI (38)
€61m
LP (36)
€53m
VAL (35)
€35m
SG (29)
€33m
GC (31)
€31m
FA (30)
€26m
CAS (40)
€24m
BUR (33)
€21m
CAD (32)
€21m
LEG (28)
€20m
COR (29)
€18m
EIB (31)
€16m
ALB (28)
€15m
ACF (30)
€14m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (15)
€83m
ALM (13)
€37m
MAL (7)
€31m
OVI (14)
€26m
VAL (15)
€20m
SG (12)
€20m
LP (17)
€19m
CAS (20)
€16m
GC (12)
€15m
FA (13)
€12m
LEG (12)
€10m
CAD (14)
€10m
ACF (15)
€9m
BUR (11)
€8m
EIB (12)
€7m
COR (9)
€6m
ALB (7)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (8)
€33m
MAL (5)
€23m
ALM (6)
€22m
OVI (8)
€11m
LP (3)
€9m
BUR (9)
€7m
VAL (6)
€6m
GC (7)
€6m
ALB (9)
€5m
COR (6)
€5m
SG (5)
€4m
CAD (6)
€4m
FA (5)
€4m
LEG (4)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
ACF (5)
€2m
CAS (4)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (18)
€84m
LP (16)
€25m
OVI (16)
€23m
MAL (11)
€23m
GC (12)
€11m
SG (12)
€10m
FA (12)
€10m
ALM (16)
€9m
VAL (14)
€9m
BUR (13)
€7m
COR (14)
€7m
CAD (12)
€6m
CAS (16)
€6m
LEG (12)
€6m
EIB (13)
€6m
ALB (12)
€6m
ACF (10)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Real Sociedad II vs Castellón · H/A from RSI
Date
H/A
Game
Score
07/03/26
H
RSI Vs Castellón
4-2
15/11/25
A
Castellón Vs RSI
5-4
RS
Real Sociedad II
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
30/05/26
H
RSI Vs Cultural Leonesa
1-1
24/05/26
A
Albacete Vs RSI
3-1
16/05/26
H
RSI Vs Mirandes
2-2
11/05/26
A
Huesca Vs RSI
1-2
03/05/26
H
RSI Vs Burgos
0-0
25/04/26
A
Valladolid Vs RSI
1-0
17/04/26
H
RSI Vs Racing Santander
1-3
10/04/26
A
AD Ceuta FC Vs RSI
0-0
06/04/26
A
Sporting Gijon Vs RSI
1-0
02/04/26
H
RSI Vs Eibar
0-1
Castellón
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/06/26
A
Almeria Vs CAS
3-2
06/06/26
H
CAS Vs Almeria
1-1
31/05/26
H
CAS Vs Eibar
2-1
24/05/26
A
Huesca Vs CAS
0-1
15/05/26
H
CAS Vs Cadiz
1-1
09/05/26
A
AD Ceuta FC Vs CAS
1-1
02/05/26
H
CAS Vs Cordoba
1-2
25/04/26
A
Malaga Vs CAS
2-3
18/04/26
H
CAS Vs Burgos
3-1
12/04/26
A
Mirandes Vs CAS
2-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
RS
Real Sociedad II
Spain: Segunda División
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DWDLD
1.12
Home
LLDDD
1.38
Away
LDLWL
0.86
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
29%
33%
24%
AVG goals
2.69
2.67
2.71
Over 2.5 %
45%
48%
43%
Scored
1.24
1.38
1.10
Conceded
1.45
1.29
1.62
BTTS
52%
57%
48%
Clean Sheet
24%
29%
19%
Failed to Score
31%
24%
38%
Castellón
Spain: Segunda División
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DWWDL
1.60
Home
WLDWD
2.04
Away
DWDWL
1.16
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
44%
60%
28%
AVG goals
3.16
3.40
2.92
Over 2.5 %
54%
52%
56%
Scored
1.76
2.12
1.40
Conceded
1.40
1.28
1.52
BTTS
68%
72%
64%
Clean Sheet
24%
20%
28%
Failed to Score
16%
8%
24%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Spain: Segunda División 2026-27 full table · Real Sociedad II and Castellón highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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