This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Avg scored1.40
Avg conceded2.00
Avg total3.40
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.60
0.87
1.80
1.13
1.40
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.91
0.83
1.83
0.80
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.42
0.89
1.78
1.30
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.8%
@ 1.33+15.0%
Under 1.5
15.2%
@ 3.08-15.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
888Sport
1.33
Under
Betano
3.20
Pinnacle
3.18
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.6%
@ 2.07+17.9%
Under 2.5
36.4%
@ 1.74-17.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
888Sport
2.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.5%
@ 3.61+15.6%
Under 3.5
58.5%
@ 1.26-15.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.74
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
61.9%
@ 1.79+10.1%
No
38.1%
@ 1.92-10.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
William Hil
1.80
888Sport
1.80
10Bet
1.77
No
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
William Hil
1.91
888Sport
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%@ 6.00+2.8%
1-2
9.8%@ 10.04+5.3%
0-2
8.2%@ 13.07+4.8%
0-1
6.9%@ 7.91+1.3%
1-3
6.8%@ 23.71+4.9%
2-2
5.8%@ 13.57+2.5%
0-3
5.7%@ 29.71+4.2%
2-1
5.6%@ 9.30+0.7%
Boulogne goals ↓
Nancy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
6.9%
8.2%
5.7%
3.0%
1
3.5%
10%
9.8%
6.8%
3.6%
2
2.7%
5.6%
5.8%
4.0%
2.1%
3
1.1%
2.2%
2.3%
1.6%
0.8%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Boulogne goals (down), columns = Nancy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Boulogne and Nancy are level in average points per game (both 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Boulogne is 0.03 goals better than Nancy in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Boulogne is 0.06 goals better than Nancy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Boulogne is 4.0 percentage points better than Nancy in terms of average possession (46% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Boulogne
For 3.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 14.2 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nancy
For 3.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 17.2 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Boulogne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
8.9
8.0
9.8
4.3
4.2
4.4
27.9
26.4
29.4
vs Stronger (34)
9.0
8.0
10.0
4.3
4.2
4.4
27.5
26.1
28.8
vs Similar (2)
7.0
8.0
6.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
35.5
31.0
40.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
33%
50%
67%
61%
72%
89%
83%
94%
% under line
58%
67%
50%
33%
39%
28%
11%
17%
6%
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
4.0
3.6
4.4
28.6
28.4
28.7
vs Stronger (14)
8.9
9.3
8.4
4.8
4.4
5.1
28.5
28.1
28.9
vs Similar (36)
9.6
8.8
10.4
3.7
3.3
4.1
28.6
28.6
28.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
44%
58%
54%
42%
67%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
49%
56%
42%
46%
58%
33%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.1
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.8
Montpellier
9.8
Nantes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Metz
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
PAU
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Boulogne
8.9
Sochaux
8.8
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.5
Guingamp
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Laval
4.1
Montpellier
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
3.9
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Metz
3.6
Grenoble
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Annecy
28.8
Laval
28.8
Montpellier
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Guingamp
28.0
Sochaux
28.0
Boulogne
27.9
RED Star FC 93
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Dunkerque
26.3
PAU
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Dijon
25.3
Reims
24.4
Metz
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
36.2%
Under 9.5
63.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.0%
Under 3.5
32.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.9%
Under 21.5
9.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 21.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.8%
1.33
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
888Sport
1.33
+15.0%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (34)
€118m
REI (30)
€109m
SE (29)
€82m
MET (31)
€80m
DUN (29)
€42m
MON (29)
€30m
ROD (27)
€22m
GRE (24)
€17m
GUI (22)
€15m
ANN (28)
€13m
NAN (30)
€13m
BOU (27)
€11m
SOC (23)
€8m
DIJ (25)
€7m
Boulogne's squad is €2m less valuable than Nancy's (€11m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (11)
€50m
SE (9)
€46m
MET (11)
€37m
REI (13)
€37m
DUN (10)
€18m
MON (12)
€10m
GRE (7)
€7m
ROD (7)
€7m
GUI (6)
€5m
ANN (10)
€4m
NAN (11)
€4m
BOU (9)
€3m
SOC (7)
€3m
DIJ (8)
€2m
Boulogne's attack is €1m less valuable than Nancy's (€3m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€31m
NAN (7)
€23m
MET (6)
€21m
DUN (7)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (10)
€7m
MON (4)
€5m
GUI (6)
€4m
BOU (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€2m
NAN (7)
€2m
ANN (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
SOC (4)
€2m
Boulogne and Nancy have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (16)
€45m
REI (11)
€41m
SE (13)
€26m
MET (14)
€22m
MON (13)
€15m
DUN (12)
€11m
ROD (10)
€9m
GRE (12)
€7m
ANN (12)
€6m
GUI (10)
€6m
NAN (12)
€6m
BOU (12)
€5m
SOC (12)
€3m
DIJ (10)
€3m
Boulogne and Nancy have a similar defence value (both €5m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Boulogne vs Nancy · H/A from BOU
Date
H/A
Game
Score
20/03/26
H
BOU Vs Nancy
0-0
15/08/25
A
Nancy Vs BOU
1-0
Boulogne
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/05/26
A
Laval Vs BOU
2-1
02/05/26
H
BOU Vs Annecy
1-2
27/04/26
H
BOU Vs Dunkerque
2-6
18/04/26
A
Estac Troyes Vs BOU
1-0
11/04/26
H
BOU Vs Le Mans
0-0
04/04/26
A
Reims Vs BOU
0-0
20/03/26
H
BOU Vs Nancy
0-0
13/03/26
A
Bastia Vs BOU
0-1
06/03/26
H
BOU Vs Amiens
4-2
27/02/26
A
Grenoble Vs BOU
0-0
Nancy
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/05/26
H
NAN Vs Dunkerque
3-2
02/05/26
A
PAU Vs NAN
1-3
25/04/26
A
Reims Vs NAN
1-1
17/04/26
H
NAN Vs Annecy
1-5
10/04/26
A
Clermont Foot Vs NAN
2-2
04/04/26
H
NAN Vs Saint Etienne
1-1
20/03/26
A
Boulogne Vs NAN
0-0
13/03/26
H
NAN Vs Le Mans
2-4
06/03/26
H
NAN Vs Montpellier
0-3
27/02/26
A
Laval Vs NAN
1-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Boulogne
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLLLL
1.03
Home
WDDLL
0.83
Away
DWDLL
1.22
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
25%
22%
28%
AVG goals
2.50
3.11
1.89
Over 2.5 %
50%
67%
33%
Scored
1.03
1.17
0.89
Conceded
1.47
1.94
1.00
BTTS
53%
61%
44%
Clean Sheet
25%
22%
28%
Failed to Score
33%
28%
39%
Nancy
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLDWW
0.94
Home
LLDLW
0.92
Away
DDDDW
0.96
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
24%
27%
21%
AVG goals
2.54
2.62
2.46
Over 2.5 %
50%
46%
54%
Scored
0.98
0.92
1.04
Conceded
1.56
1.69
1.42
BTTS
48%
35%
62%
Clean Sheet
18%
23%
12%
Failed to Score
42%
46%
38%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
France: Ligue 2 2026-27 full table · Boulogne and Nancy highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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