PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 08/08/2026
Rodez
Rodez
Vs
51%
30%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
L
Laval
France: Ligue 2
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rodez win
51.3%
Avg Implied 46.6% · @ 2.00
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
2.06
William Hil
2.05
888Sport
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Draw
29.8%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.41
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.46
Marathonbet
3.46
10Bet
3.45
Laval win
18.8%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.57
Edge
-7.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Bet365
3.80
Betano
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.57
10Bet
3.55

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RodezRodez

Avg scored 1.60
Avg conceded 1.00
Avg total 2.60
30-3avg 1.6avg 1.0avg total 2.621111121320021213200A·REIH·BASA·DUNH·ESTH·AMIA·LAVH·SAIA·ANNA·REDA·SAI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.101.541.001.351.18
vs Stronger (7)1.571.141.671.331.501.00
vs Similar (22)1.361.091.500.901.251.25
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

L
Laval

Avg scored 1.10
Avg conceded 1.00
Avg total 2.10
40-4avg 1.1avg 1.0avg total 2.132000022200004211110H·GREA·REDA·REDH·REIA·DUNH·RODA·ESTH·BOUA·ROUH·ROU
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.301.001.270.671.33
vs Stronger (7)0.432.000.671.330.252.50
vs Similar (20)0.901.151.001.400.800.90
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
64.9%
@ 1.28-7.8%
Under 1.5
35.1%
@ 3.41+7.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.55
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
36.7%
@ 1.93-12.3%
Under 2.5
63.3%
@ 1.86+12.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
888Sport
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
10Bet
1.83
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.3%
@ 3.27-11.2%
Under 3.5
82.7%
@ 1.30+11.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.40
888Sport
3.40
Pinnacle
3.33
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
41.2%
@ 1.78-11.0%
No
58.8%
@ 1.95+11.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.83
888Sport
1.83
Betano
1.75
No
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
William Hil
1.91

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.0%@ 6.98+8.5%
1-1
13.4%@ 6.31+6.3%
0-0
12.7%@ 9.96+8.2%
2-0
11.4%@ 9.24+6.5%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.21+3.1%
0-1
7.5%@ 10.07+3.0%
3-0
5.4%@ 16.59+2.6%
1-2
4.6%@ 11.61+0.7%
Rodez goals ↓
Laval goals →
01234
013%7.5%3.3%0.8%0.2%
115%13%4.6%1.2%0.2%
211%8.6%3.2%0.8%0.2%
35.4%4.0%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.9%1.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rodez goals (down), columns = Laval goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Rodez is 0.69 points better than Laval in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Rodez is 0.46 goals better than Laval in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 0.84).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Rodez is 0.18 goals better than Laval in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Rodez is 6.1 percentage points worse than Laval in terms of average possession (40% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RodezRodez

For 4.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1303832492762743389256115139811681111A·SAIA·REDA·ANNH·SAIA·LAVH·AMIH·ESTA·DUNH·BASA·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

70111422212225421223322543476355A·SAIA·REDH·SAIA·LAVH·AMIH·ESTA·DUNH·BASA·REIH·GRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

3201313149812111215111616913168910131426232023263222241927A·SAIA·REDA·ANNH·SAIA·LAVH·AMIH·ESTA·DUNH·BASA·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

L
Laval

For 4.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

14045411334262584383775941478712111012H·ROUA·ROUH·BOUA·ESTH·RODA·DUNH·REIA·REDA·REDH·GRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

70344212111231123232327632343555H·ROUA·ROUH·BOUA·ESTH·RODA·DUNH·REIA·REDA·REDH·GRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

37018141324111413141115121112812101211131132372527262320222324H·ROUA·ROUH·BOUA·ESTH·RODA·DUNH·REIA·REDA·REDH·GRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RodezRodez

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.29.64.14.24.025.925.826.1
vs Stronger (10)9.69.29.84.34.84.024.723.825.3
vs Similar (37)10.210.79.74.14.23.926.126.625.6
vs Weaker (3)7.38.06.04.03.06.028.022.539.0
% over line52%50%54%60%62%58%80%83%77%
% under line48%50%46%40%38%42%20%17%23%
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

L
Laval

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.111.68.54.14.24.028.828.029.6
vs Stronger (11)10.011.08.83.93.84.025.225.724.6
vs Similar (35)10.311.98.94.14.24.029.828.830.8
vs Weaker (4)8.011.54.54.25.03.529.828.531.0
% over line56%76%36%54%44%64%92%88%96%
% under line44%24%64%46%56%36%8%12%4%
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Laval
10.1
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.8
Montpellier
9.8
Nantes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Metz
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
PAU
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Boulogne
8.9
Sochaux
8.8
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.5
Guingamp
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Laval
4.1
Montpellier
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
3.9
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Metz
3.6
Grenoble
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annecy
28.8
Laval
28.8
Montpellier
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Guingamp
28.0
Sochaux
28.0
Boulogne
27.9
RED Star FC 93
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Dunkerque
26.3
PAU
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Dijon
25.3
Reims
24.4
Metz
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.8%
Under 21.5
12.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 21.5 fouls87.8%-------
Under 3.582.7%1.30
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+11.2%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (34)
€118m
REI (30)
€109m
SE (29)
€82m
MET (31)
€80m
DUN (29)
€42m
MON (29)
€30m
ROD (27)
€22m
GRE (24)
€17m
GUI (22)
€15m
ANN (28)
€13m
NAN (30)
€13m
BOU (27)
€11m
SOC (23)
€8m
DIJ (25)
€7m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (11)
€50m
SE (9)
€46m
MET (11)
€37m
REI (13)
€37m
DUN (10)
€18m
MON (12)
€10m
GRE (7)
€7m
ROD (7)
€7m
GUI (6)
€5m
ANN (10)
€4m
NAN (11)
€4m
BOU (9)
€3m
SOC (7)
€3m
DIJ (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€31m
NAN (7)
€23m
MET (6)
€21m
DUN (7)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (10)
€7m
MON (4)
€5m
GUI (6)
€4m
BOU (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€2m
NAN (7)
€2m
ANN (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
SOC (4)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (16)
€45m
REI (11)
€41m
SE (13)
€26m
MET (14)
€22m
MON (13)
€15m
DUN (12)
€11m
ROD (10)
€9m
GRE (12)
€7m
ANN (12)
€6m
GUI (10)
€6m
NAN (12)
€6m
BOU (12)
€5m
SOC (12)
€3m
DIJ (10)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Rodez vs Laval · H/A from ROD
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/26ALaval Vs ROD0-0
22/08/25HROD Vs Laval1-1
18/04/25ALaval Vs ROD2-1
24/09/24HROD Vs Laval1-3
27/01/24HROD Vs Laval1-2
19/08/23ALaval Vs ROD1-0
15/04/23HROD Vs Laval1-0
13/01/23ALaval Vs ROD3-1

RodezRodez

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26ASaint Etienne Vs ROD0-0
12/05/26ARED Star FC 93 Vs ROD2-3
09/05/26AAnnecy Vs ROD1-2
02/05/26HROD Vs Saint Etienne2-1
24/04/26ALaval Vs ROD0-0
17/04/26HROD Vs Amiens3-2
13/04/26HROD Vs Estac Troyes2-1
03/04/26ADunkerque Vs ROD1-1
20/03/26HROD Vs Bastia1-1
14/03/26AReims Vs ROD1-2

L
Laval

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26HLAV Vs Rouen1-0
19/05/26ARouen Vs LAV1-1
09/05/26HLAV Vs Boulogne2-1
02/05/26AEstac Troyes Vs LAV4-0
24/04/26HLAV Vs Rodez0-0
20/04/26ADunkerque Vs LAV0-2
10/04/26HLAV Vs Reims2-2
03/04/26ARED Star FC 93 Vs LAV0-0
03/04/26ARed Star Vs LAV0-0
20/03/26HLAV Vs Grenoble3-2

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Rodez
Rodez
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.60
HomeWDWWW1.75
AwayDDWWD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.642.382.88
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Scored1.461.421.50
Conceded1.180.961.38
BTTS74%75%73%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Failed to Score14%8%19%
L
Laval
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.06
HomeWDDWW1.04
AwayDDWLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.242.402.08
Over 2.5 %38%48%28%
Scored0.901.080.72
Conceded1.341.321.36
BTTS40%48%32%
Clean Sheet30%20%40%
Failed to Score44%40%48%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
France: Ligue 2 2026-27 full table · Rodez and Laval highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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