PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 14/08/2026
Reims
Reims
Vs
51%
22%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dunkerque
Dunkerque
France: Ligue 2
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reims win
50.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Dunkerque win
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ReimsReims

Avg scored 1.90
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 3.30
50-5avg 1.9avg 1.4avg total 3.311122000223232111153A·DUNH·RODA·GUIH·BOUA·LAVH·REDH·REDH·NANA·LE H·PAU
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.971.811.121.430.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.000.801.330.670.501.00
vs Weaker (25)1.761.001.921.231.580.75
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunkerqueDunkerque

Avg scored 1.20
Avg conceded 1.90
Avg total 3.10
60-6avg 1.2avg 1.9avg total 3.111010115111202620123H·REIA·REDA·REDA·ESTH·RODA·SAIH·LAVA·BOUH·GREA·NAN
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.201.430.861.691.50
vs Stronger (4)1.251.001.000.501.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.461.211.550.911.381.46
vs Weaker (2)3.501.501.001.006.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.3%
Under 1.5
10.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.6%
Under 2.5
28.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.8%
Under 3.5
49.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
70.6%
No
29.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
Reims goals ↓
Dunkerque goals →
01234
03.3%3.0%3.0%1.5%0.6%
14.5%9.0%6.4%3.3%1.3%
25.7%8.8%6.9%3.6%1.4%
34.1%6.4%4.9%2.6%1.0%
42.2%3.4%2.7%1.4%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reims goals (down), columns = Dunkerque goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Reims is 0.39 points better than Dunkerque in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.28).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Reims and Dunkerque are level in goals scored per game (both 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Reims is 0.25 goals better than Dunkerque in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Reims is 0.5 percentage points better than Dunkerque in terms of average possession (58% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ReimsReims

For 4.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

12043234656548736665447541111121012118H·PAUA·LE H·NANH·REDH·REDA·LAVH·BOUA·GUIH·RODA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

11021384252211125322221116732754H·PAUA·LE H·NANH·REDH·REDA·LAVH·BOUA·GUIH·RODA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

34010671616181517151781213811131413131216233432322021242725H·PAUA·LE H·NANH·REDH·REDA·LAVH·BOUA·GUIH·RODA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunkerqueDunkerque

For 3.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.0

🚩 Corners

9053835522683633448887889338A·NANH·GREA·BOUH·LAVA·SAIH·RODA·ESTA·REDA·REDH·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

602231213212431121222534363234A·NANH·GREA·BOUH·LAVA·SAIH·RODA·ESTA·REDA·REDH·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.2

⚠️ Fouls

3201179714911121616816151415161516121318162323322429313125A·NANH·GREA·BOUH·LAVA·SAIH·RODA·ESTA·REDA·REDH·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ReimsReims

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.59.53.94.03.924.423.725.2
vs Stronger (4)11.212.011.00.50.00.715.815.016.0
vs Similar (13)9.59.89.23.93.64.425.323.228.6
vs Weaker (33)8.67.79.44.34.44.325.224.525.8
% over line39%33%44%52%50%54%71%58%84%
% under line61%67%56%48%50%46%29%42%16%
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunkerqueDunkerque

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.39.27.53.93.84.126.224.727.7
vs Stronger (5)6.87.75.54.03.74.525.221.031.5
vs Similar (42)8.69.37.93.83.73.926.124.627.6
vs Weaker (3)7.010.05.56.05.06.529.738.025.5
% over line31%46%16%56%64%48%84%79%88%
% under line69%54%84%44%36%52%16%21%12%
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Laval
10.1
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.8
Montpellier
9.8
Nantes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Metz
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
PAU
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Boulogne
8.9
Sochaux
8.8
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.5
Guingamp
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Laval
4.1
Montpellier
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
3.9
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Metz
3.6
Grenoble
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annecy
28.8
Laval
28.8
Montpellier
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Guingamp
28.0
Sochaux
28.0
Boulogne
27.9
RED Star FC 93
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Dunkerque
26.3
PAU
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Dijon
25.3
Reims
24.4
Metz
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
27.3%
Under 9.5
72.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.3%
Under 21.5
17.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.589.3%-------
Over 21.5 fouls82.3%-------
Under 9.5 corners72.7%-------
Over 2.571.6%-------
BTTS Yes70.6%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (34)
€118m
REI (30)
€109m
SE (29)
€82m
MET (31)
€80m
DUN (29)
€42m
MON (29)
€30m
ROD (27)
€22m
GRE (24)
€17m
GUI (22)
€15m
ANN (28)
€13m
NAN (30)
€13m
BOU (27)
€11m
SOC (23)
€8m
DIJ (25)
€7m
Reims's squad is €66m more valuable than Dunkerque's (€109m vs €42m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (11)
€50m
SE (9)
€46m
MET (11)
€37m
REI (13)
€37m
DUN (10)
€18m
MON (12)
€10m
GRE (7)
€7m
ROD (7)
€7m
GUI (6)
€5m
ANN (10)
€4m
NAN (11)
€4m
BOU (9)
€3m
SOC (7)
€3m
DIJ (8)
€2m
Reims's attack is €19m more valuable than Dunkerque's (€37m vs €18m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€31m
NAN (7)
€23m
MET (6)
€21m
DUN (7)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (10)
€7m
MON (4)
€5m
GUI (6)
€4m
BOU (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€2m
NAN (7)
€2m
ANN (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
SOC (4)
€2m
Reims's midfield is €18m more valuable than Dunkerque's (€31m vs €13m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (16)
€45m
REI (11)
€41m
SE (13)
€26m
MET (14)
€22m
MON (13)
€15m
DUN (12)
€11m
ROD (10)
€9m
GRE (12)
€7m
ANN (12)
€6m
GUI (10)
€6m
NAN (12)
€6m
BOU (12)
€5m
SOC (12)
€3m
DIJ (10)
€3m
Reims's defence is €30m more valuable than Dunkerque's (€41m vs €11m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Reims vs Dunkerque · H/A from REI
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26ADunkerque Vs REI1-1
01/11/25HREI Vs Dunkerque1-2

ReimsReims

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HREI Vs PAU5-3
02/05/26ALe Mans Vs REI1-1
25/04/26HREI Vs Nancy1-1
18/04/26HREI Vs RED Star FC 933-2
18/04/26HREI Vs Red Star3-2
10/04/26ALaval Vs REI2-2
04/04/26HREI Vs Boulogne0-0
21/03/26AGuingamp Vs REI0-2
14/03/26HREI Vs Rodez1-2
09/03/26ADunkerque Vs REI1-1

DunkerqueDunkerque

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ANancy Vs DUN3-2
02/05/26HDUN Vs Grenoble0-1
27/04/26ABoulogne Vs DUN2-6
20/04/26HDUN Vs Laval0-2
11/04/26ASaint Etienne Vs DUN2-1
03/04/26HDUN Vs Rodez1-1
21/03/26AEstac Troyes Vs DUN5-1
14/03/26ARed Star Vs DUN1-0
14/03/26ARED Star FC 93 Vs DUN1-0
09/03/26HDUN Vs Reims1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Reims
Reims
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.42
HomeDWWDW1.71
AwayDDWDD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%23%
AVG goals2.362.502.23
Over 2.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.261.461.08
Conceded1.101.041.15
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Failed to Score38%33%42%
Dunkerque
Dunkerque
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.32
HomeDDDLL1.52
AwayLLLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.702.482.92
Over 2.5 %48%40%56%
Scored1.461.521.40
Conceded1.240.961.52
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Failed to Score30%28%32%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
France: Ligue 2 2026-27 full table · Reims and Dunkerque highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

← all matches