PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 14/08/2026
Annecy
Annecy
Vs
42%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rodez
Rodez
France: Ligue 2
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Annecy win
41.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Rodez win
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AnnecyAnnecy

Avg scored 1.70
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 3.10
50-5avg 1.7avg 1.4avg total 3.120031204100051512112A·BASA·LE H·ESTA·SAIH·GUIH·MONA·NANH·PAUA·BOUH·ROD
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.131.560.881.571.43
vs Stronger (6)1.502.002.331.000.673.00
vs Similar (22)1.590.911.420.831.801.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RodezRodez

Avg scored 1.60
Avg conceded 1.00
Avg total 2.60
30-3avg 1.6avg 1.0avg total 2.621111121320021213200A·REIH·BASA·DUNH·ESTH·AMIA·LAVH·SAIA·ANNA·REDA·SAI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.101.541.001.351.18
vs Stronger (7)1.571.141.671.331.501.00
vs Similar (22)1.361.091.500.901.251.25
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Annecy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.0%
Under 2.5
48.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
Annecy goals ↓
Rodez goals →
01234
07.6%6.8%5.0%2.1%0.7%
18.3%13%7.5%3.2%1.0%
27.1%9.0%5.6%2.4%0.7%
33.5%4.5%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.3%1.7%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annecy goals (down), columns = Rodez goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Annecy is 0.14 points worse than Rodez in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Annecy is 0.11 goals better than Rodez in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Annecy and Rodez are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Annecy is 4.8 percentage points better than Rodez in terms of average possession (45% vs 40%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AnnecyAnnecy

For 3.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

130944413313547262156531384481183118H·RODA·BOUH·PAUA·NANH·MONH·GUIA·SAIH·ESTA·LE A·BAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70211111421161432322122627455A·BOUH·PAUA·NANH·MONH·GUIA·SAIH·ESTA·LE A·BASH·RED
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 27.3

⚠️ Fouls

3401281710196231117166181319201191119820272534332432312027H·RODA·BOUH·PAUA·NANH·MONH·GUIA·SAIH·ESTA·LE A·BAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RodezRodez

For 4.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1303832492762743389256115139811681111A·SAIA·REDA·ANNH·SAIA·LAVH·AMIH·ESTA·DUNH·BASA·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

70111422212225421223322543476355A·SAIA·REDH·SAIA·LAVH·AMIH·ESTA·DUNH·BASA·REIH·GRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

3201313149812111215111616913168910131426232023263222241927A·SAIA·REDA·ANNH·SAIA·LAVH·AMIH·ESTA·DUNH·BASA·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AnnecyAnnecy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.88.14.14.63.528.929.528.2
vs Stronger (11)7.17.86.24.65.83.229.931.727.8
vs Similar (37)8.99.28.63.94.23.728.528.628.4
vs Weaker (2)7.57.08.04.06.02.029.532.027.0
% over line35%40%29%64%72%56%86%84%88%
% under line65%60%71%36%28%44%14%16%12%
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RodezRodez

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.29.74.04.04.026.025.826.3
vs Stronger (10)9.69.29.84.34.84.024.723.825.3
vs Similar (37)10.310.79.83.93.93.926.226.625.9
vs Weaker (3)7.38.06.04.03.06.028.022.539.0
% over line53%50%56%58%60%56%82%83%80%
% under line47%50%44%42%40%44%18%17%20%
This opponent (Annecy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Laval
10.1
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.8
Montpellier
9.8
Nantes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Metz
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
PAU
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Boulogne
8.9
Sochaux
8.8
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.5
Guingamp
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Laval
4.1
Montpellier
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
3.9
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Metz
3.6
Grenoble
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annecy
28.8
Laval
28.8
Montpellier
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Guingamp
28.0
Sochaux
28.0
Boulogne
27.9
RED Star FC 93
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Dunkerque
26.3
PAU
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Dijon
25.3
Reims
24.4
Metz
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.7%
Under 9.5
56.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.7%
Under 3.5
40.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.1%
Under 21.5
12.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 21.5 fouls87.1%-------
Over 1.577.3%-------
Under 3.570.2%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (34)
€118m
REI (30)
€109m
SE (29)
€82m
MET (31)
€80m
DUN (29)
€42m
MON (29)
€30m
ROD (27)
€22m
GRE (24)
€17m
GUI (22)
€15m
ANN (28)
€13m
NAN (30)
€13m
BOU (27)
€11m
SOC (23)
€8m
DIJ (25)
€7m
Annecy's squad is €9m less valuable than Rodez's (€13m vs €22m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (11)
€50m
SE (9)
€46m
MET (11)
€37m
REI (13)
€37m
DUN (10)
€18m
MON (12)
€10m
GRE (7)
€7m
ROD (7)
€7m
GUI (6)
€5m
ANN (10)
€4m
NAN (11)
€4m
BOU (9)
€3m
SOC (7)
€3m
DIJ (8)
€2m
Annecy's attack is €2m less valuable than Rodez's (€4m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€31m
NAN (7)
€23m
MET (6)
€21m
DUN (7)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (10)
€7m
MON (4)
€5m
GUI (6)
€4m
BOU (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€2m
NAN (7)
€2m
ANN (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
SOC (4)
€2m
Annecy's midfield is €4m less valuable than Rodez's (€2m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (16)
€45m
REI (11)
€41m
SE (13)
€26m
MET (14)
€22m
MON (13)
€15m
DUN (12)
€11m
ROD (10)
€9m
GRE (12)
€7m
ANN (12)
€6m
GUI (10)
€6m
NAN (12)
€6m
BOU (12)
€5m
SOC (12)
€3m
DIJ (10)
€3m
Annecy's defence is €3m less valuable than Rodez's (€6m vs €9m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Annecy vs Rodez · H/A from ANN
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HANN Vs Rodez1-2
28/10/25ARodez Vs ANN2-1
14/03/25HANN Vs Rodez1-1
08/11/24ARodez Vs ANN5-1
03/05/24ARodez Vs ANN1-3
19/12/23HANN Vs Rodez1-2
22/04/23HANN Vs Rodez0-3
20/08/22ARodez Vs ANN2-2

AnnecyAnnecy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HANN Vs Rodez1-2
02/05/26ABoulogne Vs ANN1-2
24/04/26HANN Vs PAU5-1
17/04/26ANancy Vs ANN1-5
10/04/26HANN Vs Montpellier0-0
03/04/26HANN Vs Guingamp1-0
21/03/26ASaint Etienne Vs ANN4-0
16/03/26HANN Vs Estac Troyes1-2
07/03/26ALe Mans Vs ANN3-0
27/02/26ABastia Vs ANN0-2

RodezRodez

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26ASaint Etienne Vs ROD0-0
12/05/26ARED Star FC 93 Vs ROD2-3
09/05/26AAnnecy Vs ROD1-2
02/05/26HROD Vs Saint Etienne2-1
24/04/26ALaval Vs ROD0-0
17/04/26HROD Vs Amiens3-2
13/04/26HROD Vs Estac Troyes2-1
03/04/26ADunkerque Vs ROD1-1
20/03/26HROD Vs Bastia1-1
14/03/26AReims Vs ROD1-2

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Annecy
Annecy
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.46
HomeLWDWL1.68
AwayWLLWW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.502.442.56
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.321.521.12
Conceded1.180.921.44
BTTS50%64%36%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Failed to Score24%12%36%
Rodez
Rodez
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.60
HomeWDWWW1.75
AwayDDWWD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.642.382.88
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Scored1.461.421.50
Conceded1.180.961.38
BTTS74%75%73%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Failed to Score14%8%19%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
France: Ligue 2 2026-27 full table · Annecy and Rodez highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

← all matches