This opponent (Telstar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Telstar
Avg scored2.10
Avg conceded1.40
Avg total3.50
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.63
1.93
1.60
1.07
1.67
vs Stronger (18)
1.11
1.78
1.60
1.70
0.50
1.88
vs Similar (12)
2.08
1.42
2.60
1.40
1.71
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.3%
@ 1.10-0.4%
Under 1.5
15.7%
@ 6.11+0.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Under
Unibet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Pinnacle
6.07
888Sport
6.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.39-4.1%
Under 2.5
37.1%
@ 2.82+4.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Betano
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
Bet365
2.88
Unibet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.7%
@ 2.04-5.6%
Under 3.5
59.3%
@ 1.75+5.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
SBO
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Unibet
2.04
Under
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Unibet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Both teams to score
Yes
60.5%
@ 1.56+1.2%
No
39.5%
@ 2.29-1.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Betfair
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
No
William Hil
2.38
888Sport
2.38
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%@ 9.39+5.4%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.83+4.0%
2-0
8.7%@ 8.48+3.3%
1-0
7.3%@ 9.72+2.6%
3-1
6.9%@ 9.74+2.2%
3-0
6.1%@ 10.35+1.7%
2-2
5.6%@ 13.94+2.3%
1-2
5.3%@ 17.52+2.7%
NEC Nijmegen goals ↓
Telstar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
3.5%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
1
7.3%
10%
5.3%
2.0%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.9%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.1%
6.9%
3.9%
1.5%
0.4%
4
3.2%
3.6%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NEC Nijmegen goals (down), columns = Telstar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
NEC Nijmegen is 0.65 points better than Telstar in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
NEC Nijmegen is 0.82 goals better than Telstar in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
NEC Nijmegen is 0.06 goals better than Telstar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
NEC Nijmegen is 11.5 percentage points better than Telstar in terms of average possession (57% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
NEC Nijmegen
For 8.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Telstar
For 4.2 · Against 7.1 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NEC Nijmegen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.9
10.2
3.8
3.9
3.6
22.9
22.6
23.2
vs Stronger (12)
10.2
9.2
11.3
4.8
6.0
3.7
24.0
22.7
25.3
vs Similar (15)
9.5
8.8
9.9
3.7
3.6
3.8
22.7
23.2
22.5
vs Weaker (23)
10.3
10.6
9.9
3.3
3.1
3.4
22.5
22.4
22.7
% over line
54%
44%
64%
48%
56%
40%
56%
52%
60%
% under line
46%
56%
36%
52%
44%
60%
44%
48%
40%
This opponent (Telstar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Telstar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
11.1
11.0
11.1
3.3
3.1
3.5
21.6
21.1
22.2
vs Stronger (20)
11.2
11.3
11.1
3.4
2.8
3.9
19.5
19.0
20.0
vs Similar (14)
10.9
10.6
11.1
3.1
3.4
2.9
24.6
24.0
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
65%
65%
38%
24%
53%
47%
53%
41%
% under line
35%
35%
35%
62%
76%
47%
53%
47%
59%
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
GO Ahead Eagles
11.1
Telstar
11.1
ADO Den Haag
10.8
Willem II
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.6
Fortuna Sittard
10.5
Heerenveen
10.2
NEC Nijmegen
10.1
Ajax
10.0
Groningen
10.0
Cambuur
9.9
AZ Alkmaar
9.9
Excelsior
9.7
Feyenoord
9.7
Utrecht
9.7
Twente
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.1
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
ADO Den Haag
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Cambuur
3.7
Ajax
3.7
Utrecht
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Telstar
3.5
Sparta Rotterdam
3.5
Groningen
3.4
Twente
3.4
Excelsior
3.3
PEC Zwolle
3.2
Heerenveen
3.0
Willem II
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Cambuur
25.5
Fortuna Sittard
24.2
NEC Nijmegen
22.9
PEC Zwolle
22.9
Feyenoord
22.9
Ajax
22.6
AZ Alkmaar
22.5
Utrecht
22.4
Telstar
21.6
Willem II
21.3
Twente
21.2
Heerenveen
21.0
Groningen
20.7
Sparta Rotterdam
19.7
Excelsior
19.6
GO Ahead Eagles
19.0
PSV Eindhoven
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.8%
@ 1.43-4.2%
Under 9.5
40.2%
@ 2.55+4.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.43
Under
Unibet
2.55
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
58.2%
Under 21.5
41.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
84.3%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-0.4%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (50)
€323m
AJA (62)
€260m
FEY (32)
€216m
AA (60)
€205m
UTR (51)
€88m
TWE (27)
€84m
NN (28)
€62m
HEE (23)
€49m
GAE (31)
€36m
SR (26)
€32m
GRO (23)
€32m
PZ (29)
€23m
FS (28)
€22m
EXC (28)
€19m
WI (26)
€14m
CAM (26)
€12m
TEL (24)
€12m
ADH (25)
€11m
NEC Nijmegen's squad is €50m more valuable than Telstar's (€62m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (19)
€139m
AJA (24)
€119m
AA (22)
€100m
FEY (13)
€78m
UTR (19)
€30m
NN (13)
€27m
TWE (10)
€26m
HEE (10)
€22m
GAE (12)
€17m
SR (9)
€13m
GRO (8)
€11m
WI (12)
€9m
PZ (12)
€9m
EXC (12)
€9m
FS (7)
€7m
ADH (12)
€5m
CAM (10)
€4m
TEL (8)
€4m
NEC Nijmegen's attack is €23m more valuable than Telstar's (€27m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (10)
€77m
AJA (13)
€53m
FEY (4)
€51m
AA (12)
€43m
NN (6)
€26m
UTR (10)
€24m
TWE (4)
€13m
GRO (3)
€9m
HEE (3)
€6m
FS (7)
€6m
GAE (6)
€6m
TEL (7)
€5m
PZ (6)
€5m
SR (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€2m
EXC (4)
€2m
CAM (5)
€2m
WI (3)
€1m
NEC Nijmegen's midfield is €21m more valuable than Telstar's (€26m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (21)
€108m
FEY (15)
€87m
AJA (25)
€87m
AA (26)
€62m
TWE (13)
€45m
UTR (22)
€34m
HEE (10)
€20m
SR (13)
€16m
GAE (13)
€14m
GRO (12)
€11m
PZ (11)
€9m
NN (9)
€9m
EXC (12)
€9m
FS (14)
€8m
CAM (11)
€6m
ADH (10)
€4m
WI (11)
€4m
TEL (9)
€3m
NEC Nijmegen's defence is €6m more valuable than Telstar's (€9m vs €3m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar · H/A from NN
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/05/26
H
NN Vs Telstar
1-1
13/12/25
A
Telstar Vs NN
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
H
NN Vs GO Ahead Eagles
2-1
10/05/26
A
Groningen Vs NN
2-1
02/05/26
H
NN Vs Telstar
1-1
25/04/26
A
Twente Vs NN
1-1
12/04/26
H
NN Vs Feyenoord
1-1
04/04/26
A
Excelsior Vs NN
0-2
22/03/26
H
NN Vs Heerenveen
2-2
14/03/26
A
PSV Eindhoven Vs NN
2-3
08/03/26
H
NN Vs FC Volendam
3-0
28/02/26
H
NN Vs Fortuna Sittard
2-3
Telstar
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
A
FC Volendam Vs TEL
1-2
10/05/26
H
TEL Vs Heracles
3-0
02/05/26
A
NEC Nijmegen Vs TEL
1-1
22/04/26
H
TEL Vs Sparta Rotterdam
4-1
11/04/26
A
Utrecht Vs TEL
4-1
04/04/26
H
TEL Vs Groningen
0-2
22/03/26
H
TEL Vs PSV Eindhoven
3-1
14/03/26
A
Heerenveen Vs TEL
3-0
08/03/26
A
Fortuna Sittard Vs TEL
1-4
27/02/26
H
TEL Vs NAC Breda
3-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
NEC Nijmegen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DDDLW
1.64
Home
WDDDW
1.80
Away
DWWDL
1.48
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
44%
48%
40%
AVG goals
3.58
4.00
3.16
Over 2.5 %
70%
84%
56%
Scored
2.08
2.44
1.72
Conceded
1.50
1.56
1.44
BTTS
74%
80%
68%
Clean Sheet
18%
20%
16%
Failed to Score
10%
0%
20%
Telstar
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWDWW
1.09
Home
WWLWW
1.18
Away
WLLDW
1.00
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
26%
29%
24%
AVG goals
3.06
3.47
2.65
Over 2.5 %
59%
71%
47%
Scored
1.44
1.82
1.06
Conceded
1.62
1.65
1.59
BTTS
65%
71%
59%
Clean Sheet
15%
12%
18%
Failed to Score
24%
18%
29%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026-27 full table · NEC Nijmegen and Telstar highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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