This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajax
Avg scored1.60
Avg conceded0.70
Avg total2.30
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.20
1.56
1.19
1.79
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.67
1.00
1.80
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.83
1.08
1.82
0.91
1.85
1.23
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.1%
@ 1.12-5.9%
Under 1.5
22.9%
@ 5.48+5.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
888Sport
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Under
BetVictor
5.75
Pinnacle
5.66
Unibet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.45-12.6%
Under 2.5
48.2%
@ 2.62+12.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
BetVictor
2.63
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.7%
@ 2.14-14.3%
Under 3.5
70.3%
@ 1.68+14.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.23
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Under
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Both teams to score
Yes
51.1%
@ 1.54-8.8%
No
48.9%
@ 2.31+8.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Unibet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
No
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 8.57+6.4%
0-2
10.9%@ 8.78+5.7%
0-1
10.8%@ 9.23+5.8%
1-2
9.8%@ 7.69+3.9%
0-0
7.5%@ 17.90+4.9%
0-3
6.7%@ 11.40+2.7%
1-3
6.1%@ 10.09+1.6%
2-1
4.8%@ 15.49+1.9%
PEC Zwolle goals ↓
Ajax goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
11%
11%
6.7%
3.1%
1
4.7%
12%
9.8%
6.1%
2.8%
2
2.6%
4.8%
4.4%
2.7%
1.3%
3
0.8%
1.5%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PEC Zwolle goals (down), columns = Ajax goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
PEC Zwolle is 0.58 points worse than Ajax in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
PEC Zwolle is 0.48 goals worse than Ajax in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.78).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
PEC Zwolle is 0.95 goals worse than Ajax in terms of goals conceded per game (2.09 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
PEC Zwolle is 11.4 percentage points worse than Ajax in terms of average possession (45% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PEC Zwolle
For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajax
For 4.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PEC Zwolle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.6
8.7
3.1
3.2
3.0
22.9
24.3
21.5
vs Stronger (23)
9.2
9.4
9.0
2.5
2.8
2.2
22.3
23.3
20.9
vs Similar (24)
9.5
10.2
8.9
3.5
3.7
3.4
23.1
24.5
21.8
vs Weaker (3)
6.0
7.0
5.5
3.7
3.0
4.0
26.0
34.0
22.0
% over line
44%
48%
40%
44%
44%
44%
60%
76%
44%
% under line
56%
52%
60%
56%
56%
56%
40%
24%
56%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajax
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.4
3.5
3.3
3.8
22.6
24.5
20.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.2
10.2
10.3
3.6
2.8
5.0
25.0
24.3
26.3
vs Weaker (41)
10.0
9.4
10.4
3.5
3.4
3.6
22.0
24.5
19.7
% over line
54%
46%
62%
44%
35%
54%
58%
77%
38%
% under line
46%
54%
38%
56%
65%
46%
42%
23%
62%
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
GO Ahead Eagles
11.1
Telstar
11.1
ADO Den Haag
10.8
Willem II
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.6
Fortuna Sittard
10.5
Heerenveen
10.2
NEC Nijmegen
10.1
Ajax
10.0
Groningen
10.0
Cambuur
9.9
AZ Alkmaar
9.9
Excelsior
9.7
Feyenoord
9.7
Utrecht
9.7
Twente
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.1
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
ADO Den Haag
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Cambuur
3.7
Ajax
3.7
Utrecht
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Telstar
3.5
Sparta Rotterdam
3.5
Groningen
3.4
Twente
3.4
Excelsior
3.3
PEC Zwolle
3.2
Heerenveen
3.0
Willem II
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Cambuur
25.5
Fortuna Sittard
24.2
NEC Nijmegen
22.9
PEC Zwolle
22.9
Feyenoord
22.9
Ajax
22.6
AZ Alkmaar
22.5
Utrecht
22.4
Telstar
21.6
Willem II
21.3
Twente
21.2
Heerenveen
21.0
Groningen
20.7
Sparta Rotterdam
19.7
Excelsior
19.6
GO Ahead Eagles
19.0
PSV Eindhoven
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.2%
@ 1.68+2.4%
Under 9.5
42.8%
@ 2.04-2.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
Under
Unibet
2.04
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
45.0%
Under 3.5
55.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.5%
Under 21.5
43.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
77.1%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
888Sport
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
-5.9%
Under 3.5
70.3%
1.68
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
+14.3%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (50)
€323m
AJA (62)
€260m
FEY (32)
€216m
AA (60)
€205m
UTR (51)
€88m
TWE (27)
€84m
NN (28)
€62m
HEE (23)
€49m
GAE (31)
€36m
SR (26)
€32m
GRO (23)
€32m
PZ (29)
€23m
FS (28)
€22m
EXC (28)
€19m
WI (26)
€14m
CAM (26)
€12m
TEL (24)
€12m
ADH (25)
€11m
PEC Zwolle's squad is €236m less valuable than Ajax's (€23m vs €260m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (19)
€139m
AJA (24)
€119m
AA (22)
€100m
FEY (13)
€78m
UTR (19)
€30m
NN (13)
€27m
TWE (10)
€26m
HEE (10)
€22m
GAE (12)
€17m
SR (9)
€13m
GRO (8)
€11m
WI (12)
€9m
PZ (12)
€9m
EXC (12)
€9m
FS (7)
€7m
ADH (12)
€5m
CAM (10)
€4m
TEL (8)
€4m
PEC Zwolle's attack is €110m less valuable than Ajax's (€9m vs €119m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (10)
€77m
AJA (13)
€53m
FEY (4)
€51m
AA (12)
€43m
NN (6)
€26m
UTR (10)
€24m
TWE (4)
€13m
GRO (3)
€9m
HEE (3)
€6m
FS (7)
€6m
GAE (6)
€6m
TEL (7)
€5m
PZ (6)
€5m
SR (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€2m
EXC (4)
€2m
CAM (5)
€2m
WI (3)
€1m
PEC Zwolle's midfield is €49m less valuable than Ajax's (€5m vs €53m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (21)
€108m
FEY (15)
€87m
AJA (25)
€87m
AA (26)
€62m
TWE (13)
€45m
UTR (22)
€34m
HEE (10)
€20m
SR (13)
€16m
GAE (13)
€14m
GRO (12)
€11m
PZ (11)
€9m
NN (9)
€9m
EXC (12)
€9m
FS (14)
€8m
CAM (11)
€6m
ADH (10)
€4m
WI (11)
€4m
TEL (9)
€3m
PEC Zwolle's defence is €78m less valuable than Ajax's (€9m vs €87m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax · H/A from PZ
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/03/26
H
PZ Vs Ajax
0-0
13/09/25
A
Ajax Vs PZ
3-1
09/03/25
H
PZ Vs Ajax
0-1
24/11/24
A
Ajax Vs PZ
2-0
31/03/24
H
PZ Vs Ajax
1-3
17/12/23
A
Ajax Vs PZ
2-2
30/04/22
A
Ajax Vs PZ
3-0
11/09/21
H
PZ Vs Ajax
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
H
PZ Vs Feyenoord
0-2
10/05/26
A
Fortuna Sittard Vs PZ
3-2
03/05/26
H
PZ Vs Heracles
1-0
23/04/26
A
PSV Eindhoven Vs PZ
6-1
12/04/26
H
PZ Vs Excelsior
2-2
05/04/26
A
GO Ahead Eagles Vs PZ
5-0
21/03/26
H
PZ Vs NAC Breda
2-1
13/03/26
H
PZ Vs Groningen
1-1
08/03/26
A
Sparta Rotterdam Vs PZ
1-1
01/03/26
H
PZ Vs Ajax
0-0
Ajax
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/05/26
H
AJA Vs Utrecht
0-0
21/05/26
H
AJA Vs Groningen
2-0
17/05/26
A
Heerenveen Vs AJA
0-0
10/05/26
H
AJA Vs Utrecht
1-2
02/05/26
H
AJA Vs PSV Eindhoven
2-2
25/04/26
A
NAC Breda Vs AJA
0-2
11/04/26
A
Heracles Vs AJA
0-3
04/04/26
H
AJA Vs Twente
1-2
22/03/26
A
Feyenoord Vs AJA
1-1
14/03/26
H
AJA Vs Sparta Rotterdam
4-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
PEC Zwolle
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLWLL
1.22
Home
DWDWL
1.64
Away
DDLLL
0.80
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
30%
44%
16%
AVG goals
3.32
2.52
4.12
Over 2.5 %
58%
40%
76%
Scored
1.42
1.36
1.48
Conceded
1.90
1.16
2.64
BTTS
68%
52%
84%
Clean Sheet
16%
28%
4%
Failed to Score
18%
24%
12%
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLDWD
1.48
Home
LDLWD
1.50
Away
LDWWD
1.46
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
38%
42%
33%
AVG goals
3.04
2.62
3.50
Over 2.5 %
60%
46%
75%
Scored
1.58
1.46
1.71
Conceded
1.46
1.15
1.79
BTTS
60%
46%
75%
Clean Sheet
26%
35%
17%
Failed to Score
20%
23%
17%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026-27 full table · PEC Zwolle and Ajax highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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