PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Feirense
Feirense
Vs
31%
38%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Felgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 1932
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Feirense win
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
37.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 win
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FeirenseFeirense

Avg scored 0.90
Avg conceded 1.30
Avg total 2.20
30-3avg 0.9avg 1.3avg total 2.203101210100300211222A·BENH·PENH·SPOA·FARH·VIZA·ACAH·TORA·PACH·OLIA·UNI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.270.730.871.331.67
vs Stronger (10)0.901.800.601.001.202.60
vs Similar (20)1.101.000.800.801.401.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 1932

Avg scored 1.00
Avg conceded 0.80
Avg total 1.80
50-5avg 1.0avg 0.8avg total 1.801000310001021011151H·VIZA·FARH·TORA·ACAH·PACA·SPOH·UNIA·FC H·PORA·OLI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.070.870.931.131.20
vs Stronger (10)0.901.601.001.800.801.40
vs Similar (18)0.830.830.780.560.891.11
vs Weaker (2)3.000.501.000.005.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%21%029%127%214%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.4%
Under 1.5
50.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.1%
Under 2.5
77.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
8.1%
Under 3.5
91.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
32.1%
No
67.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.1%
0-1
14.8%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.3%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
Feirense goals ↓
Felgueiras 1932 goals →
01234
021%15%6.5%1.8%0.4%
115%14%5.3%1.4%0.3%
26.5%5.2%2.1%0.6%0.1%
31.7%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
40.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feirense goals (down), columns = Felgueiras 1932 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maritimo
1.94
Academico Viseu
1.74
Torreense
1.74
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
União de Leiria
1.47
Leixoes
1.47
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Benfica B
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Pacos Ferreira
1.15
Oliveirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Feirense is 0.06 points better than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Academico Viseu
1.71
União de Leiria
1.53
Maritimo
1.47
Torreense
1.35
Leixoes
1.35
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Portimonense
1.15
Vizela
1.15
Feirense
1.09
Penafiel
1.09
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Farense
0.89
CF Os Belenenses
0.00
Feirense is 0.09 goals better than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Maritimo
0.85
Academico Viseu
0.97
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
Vizela
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Pacos Ferreira
1.41
Portimonense
1.44
Oliveirense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Leixoes
1.62
Feirense is 0.06 goals worse than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.12).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
Maritimo
52%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Academico Viseu
49%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Oliveirense
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Pacos Ferreira
46%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Feirense is 11.7 percentage points worse than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of average possession (42% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FeirenseFeirense

For 4.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1904544258112379871957A·ACAA·FARH·SPOH·PENH·CHAH·PAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 6.7

🟨 Cards

1202161842432533352613337126586776A·UNIH·OLIA·PACH·TORA·ACAH·VIZA·FARH·SPOH·PENA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 29.7

⚠️ Fouls

380238171714815522161815313422203833A·ACAA·FARH·SPOH·PENH·CHAH·PAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 1932

For 6.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

140457434631136475659117914101211A·ACAH·TORA·FARA·BENH·FC A·UNIH·SPOH·ACA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

110145523111411012413141052511164A·OLIH·PORA·FC H·UNIA·SPOH·PACA·ACAH·TORA·FARH·VIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 17.0 · Total 29.0

⚠️ Fouls

4509171091117182710141118131914152619284524293229A·ACAH·TORA·FARA·BENH·FC A·UNIH·SPOH·ACA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FeirenseFeirense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.58.06.36.06.732.732.533.0
vs Stronger (19)10.911.010.75.15.15.031.632.629.3
vs Similar (31)8.29.86.97.16.87.433.532.334.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line39%54%20%82%81%83%96%92%100%
% under line61%46%80%18%19%17%4%8%0%
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 1932

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)10.212.08.85.95.86.129.426.032.2
vs Stronger (10)11.012.09.06.35.86.829.226.035.5
vs Similar (22)8.7-8.76.15.96.330.0-30.0
vs Weaker (2)---2.54.01.0---
% over line56%100%20%79%82%76%89%75%100%
% under line44%0%80%21%18%24%11%25%0%
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.2
Portimonense
10.9
Farense
10.7
Torreense
10.5
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
Felgueiras 1932
10.2
União de Leiria
10.2
FC Porto B
9.6
Vizela
9.6
Benfica B
9.6
Chaves
9.5
Tondela
9.4
Feirense
9.4
AVS
9.0
Leixoes
8.7
Sporting CP B
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.9
Feirense
6.3
FC Porto B
6.3
Vizela
6.2
Chaves
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
Sporting CP B
6.0
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
União de Leiria
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Farense
5.7
Penafiel
5.6
Torreense
5.5
Tondela
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
AVS
4.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Feirense
32.7
Benfica B
31.8
Farense
31.1
União de Leiria
30.6
Leixoes
30.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Felgueiras 1932
29.4
FC Porto B
29.4
Vizela
29.4
Portimonense
28.2
Chaves
27.6
Tondela
27.5
Penafiel
27.1
AVS
25.9
Sporting CP B
25.0
Torreense
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
100.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.6%
Under 3.5
10.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
100.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 21.5 fouls100.0%-------
Under 9.5 corners100.0%-------
Under 3.591.9%-------
Over 3.5 cards89.6%-------
Under 2.577.9%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (39)
€76m
BB (38)
€76m
FPB (36)
€57m
TON (32)
€25m
TOR (32)
€20m
AVS (34)
€19m
VIZ (31)
€12m
UDL (30)
€12m
FAR (32)
€11m
FEI (33)
€11m
POR (31)
€10m
CHA (29)
€9m
LEI (32)
€8m
F1 (28)
€8m
PEN (29)
€7m
LL (27)
€6m
Feirense's squad is €3m more valuable than Felgueiras 1932's (€11m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (14)
€37m
FPB (14)
€19m
BB (13)
€15m
TON (12)
€7m
TOR (13)
€6m
AVS (12)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
POR (9)
€5m
FEI (12)
€4m
CHA (10)
€4m
UDL (7)
€3m
FAR (13)
€3m
LEI (12)
€3m
F1 (9)
€2m
PEN (9)
€2m
LL (10)
€2m
Feirense's attack is €2m more valuable than Felgueiras 1932's (€4m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (9)
€18m
FPB (7)
€10m
BB (8)
€8m
AVS (7)
€7m
TOR (6)
€5m
TON (6)
€3m
UDL (9)
€3m
FEI (7)
€2m
POR (8)
€2m
CHA (8)
€2m
FAR (5)
€2m
PEN (7)
€2m
LEI (6)
€2m
F1 (5)
€2m
VIZ (3)
€2m
LL (5)
€1m
Feirense and Felgueiras 1932 have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (17)
€53m
FPB (15)
€27m
SCB (16)
€21m
TON (14)
€15m
TOR (13)
€9m
AVS (15)
€7m
FAR (14)
€6m
UDL (14)
€6m
VIZ (15)
€5m
FEI (14)
€4m
POR (14)
€4m
CHA (11)
€4m
F1 (14)
€4m
LEI (14)
€3m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (12)
€3m
Feirense and Felgueiras 1932 have a similar defence value (both €4m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932 · H/A from FEI
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/26HFEI Vs Felgueiras 19320-0
05/10/25AFelgueiras 1932 Vs FEI2-0

FeirenseFeirense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AUnião de Leiria Vs FEI2-2
09/05/26HFEI Vs Oliveirense1-2
03/05/26APacos Ferreira Vs FEI1-2
28/04/26HFEI Vs Torreense0-0
17/04/26AAcademico Viseu Vs FEI3-0
12/04/26HFEI Vs Vizela1-0
04/04/26AFarense Vs FEI0-1
22/03/26HFEI Vs Sporting CP B1-2
15/03/26HFEI Vs Penafiel1-0
09/03/26ABenfica B Vs FEI3-0

Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 1932

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AOliveirense Vs F11-5
09/05/26HF1 Vs Portimonense1-1
04/05/26AFC Porto B Vs F11-0
25/04/26HF1 Vs União de Leiria2-1
20/04/26ASporting CP B Vs F10-1
10/04/26HF1 Vs Pacos Ferreira0-0
04/04/26AAcademico Viseu Vs F10-1
22/03/26HF1 Vs Torreense0-3
13/03/26AFarense Vs F10-0
08/03/26HF1 Vs Vizela0-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Feirense
Feirense
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.04
HomeWLWDL1.08
AwayLWLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals2.662.462.88
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.601.381.83
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet22%31%12%
Failed to Score38%31%46%
Felgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 1932
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.29
HomeLLDWD1.47
AwayDWWLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%41%24%
AVG goals2.121.882.35
Over 2.5 %32%29%35%
Scored1.000.941.06
Conceded1.120.941.29
BTTS41%35%47%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Failed to Score41%41%41%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026-27 full table · Feirense and Felgueiras 1932 highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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