This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Avg scored1.40
Avg conceded0.80
Avg total2.20
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.97
1.53
1.07
1.00
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.20
1.40
0.50
1.50
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (25)
1.28
0.88
1.69
1.00
0.83
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Farense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.4%
Under 1.5
51.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.4%
Under 2.5
78.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
7.8%
Under 3.5
92.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
28.5%
No
71.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.5%
0-1
20.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-3
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
Farense goals ↓
Torreense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
22%
20%
11%
3.9%
1.0%
1
10%
13%
6.1%
2.1%
0.6%
2
3.1%
3.2%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
3
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Farense goals (down), columns = Torreense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maritimo
1.94
Academico Viseu
1.74
Torreense
1.74
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
União de Leiria
1.47
Leixoes
1.47
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Benfica B
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Pacos Ferreira
1.15
Oliveirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Farense is 0.51 points worse than Torreense in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Academico Viseu
1.71
União de Leiria
1.53
Maritimo
1.47
Torreense
1.35
Leixoes
1.35
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Portimonense
1.15
Vizela
1.15
Feirense
1.09
Penafiel
1.09
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Farense
0.89
CF Os Belenenses
0.00
Farense is 0.46 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Maritimo
0.85
Academico Viseu
0.97
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
Vizela
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Pacos Ferreira
1.41
Portimonense
1.44
Oliveirense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Leixoes
1.62
Farense is 0.06 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
Maritimo
52%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Academico Viseu
49%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Oliveirense
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Pacos Ferreira
46%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Farense is 2.9 percentage points better than Torreense in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Farense
For 4.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 15.2 · Total 31.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torreense
For 5.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Farense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.2
10.1
5.7
6.3
5.0
31.1
31.9
30.1
vs Stronger (22)
10.8
11.3
10.4
5.9
6.5
5.3
31.3
33.5
29.4
vs Similar (28)
10.5
11.0
9.3
5.6
6.3
4.8
30.9
30.6
31.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
46%
60%
82%
92%
71%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
48%
54%
40%
18%
8%
29%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
10.5
7.2
12.7
5.5
5.4
5.6
23.6
23.5
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
7.5
7.5
-
4.4
4.0
4.8
21.5
21.5
-
vs Weaker (28)
11.2
7.0
12.7
5.8
5.8
5.9
24.1
25.5
23.7
% over line
40%
0%
67%
83%
83%
83%
70%
75%
67%
% under line
60%
100%
33%
17%
17%
17%
30%
25%
33%
This opponent (Farense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.2
Portimonense
10.9
Farense
10.7
Torreense
10.5
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
Felgueiras 1932
10.2
União de Leiria
10.2
FC Porto B
9.6
Vizela
9.6
Benfica B
9.6
Chaves
9.5
Tondela
9.4
Feirense
9.4
AVS
9.0
Leixoes
8.7
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.9
Feirense
6.3
FC Porto B
6.3
Vizela
6.2
Chaves
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
Sporting CP B
6.0
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
União de Leiria
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Farense
5.7
Penafiel
5.6
Torreense
5.5
Tondela
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
AVS
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Feirense
32.7
Benfica B
31.8
Farense
31.1
União de Leiria
30.6
Leixoes
30.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Felgueiras 1932
29.4
FC Porto B
29.4
Vizela
29.4
Portimonense
28.2
Chaves
27.6
Tondela
27.5
Penafiel
27.1
AVS
25.9
Sporting CP B
25.0
Torreense
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.3%
Under 9.5
99.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
82.4%
Under 3.5
17.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
100.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 21.5 fouls
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 9.5 corners
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS No
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (39)
€76m
BB (38)
€76m
FPB (36)
€57m
TON (32)
€25m
TOR (32)
€20m
AVS (34)
€19m
VIZ (31)
€12m
UDL (30)
€12m
FAR (32)
€11m
FEI (33)
€11m
POR (31)
€10m
CHA (29)
€9m
LEI (32)
€8m
F1 (28)
€8m
PEN (29)
€7m
LL (27)
€6m
Farense's squad is €9m less valuable than Torreense's (€11m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (14)
€37m
FPB (14)
€19m
BB (13)
€15m
TON (12)
€7m
TOR (13)
€6m
AVS (12)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
POR (9)
€5m
FEI (12)
€4m
CHA (10)
€4m
UDL (7)
€3m
FAR (13)
€3m
LEI (12)
€3m
F1 (9)
€2m
PEN (9)
€2m
LL (10)
€2m
Farense's attack is €3m less valuable than Torreense's (€3m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (9)
€18m
FPB (7)
€10m
BB (8)
€8m
AVS (7)
€7m
TOR (6)
€5m
TON (6)
€3m
UDL (9)
€3m
FEI (7)
€2m
POR (8)
€2m
CHA (8)
€2m
FAR (5)
€2m
PEN (7)
€2m
LEI (6)
€2m
F1 (5)
€2m
VIZ (3)
€2m
LL (5)
€1m
Farense's midfield is €3m less valuable than Torreense's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (17)
€53m
FPB (15)
€27m
SCB (16)
€21m
TON (14)
€15m
TOR (13)
€9m
AVS (15)
€7m
FAR (14)
€6m
UDL (14)
€6m
VIZ (15)
€5m
FEI (14)
€4m
POR (14)
€4m
CHA (11)
€4m
F1 (14)
€4m
LEI (14)
€3m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (12)
€3m
Farense's defence is €3m less valuable than Torreense's (€6m vs €9m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Farense vs Torreense · H/A from FAR
Date
H/A
Game
Score
25/01/26
A
Torreense Vs FAR
2-1
17/08/25
H
FAR Vs Torreense
0-3
Farense
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
30/05/26
A
CF Os Belenenses Vs FAR
0-0
23/05/26
H
FAR Vs CF Os Belenenses
1-0
17/05/26
A
Portimonense Vs FAR
1-0
09/05/26
H
FAR Vs Pacos Ferreira
1-1
03/05/26
A
União de Leiria Vs FAR
0-3
25/04/26
H
FAR Vs Academico Viseu
0-0
19/04/26
A
Vizela Vs FAR
0-2
11/04/26
H
FAR Vs Sporting CP B
2-1
04/04/26
H
FAR Vs Feirense
0-1
22/03/26
A
Benfica B Vs FAR
1-0
Torreense
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
28/05/26
A
Casa Pia Vs TOR
2-0
20/05/26
H
TOR Vs Casa Pia
0-0
16/05/26
H
TOR Vs Vizela
4-0
09/05/26
A
Lusitânia Lourosa Vs TOR
1-2
04/05/26
H
TOR Vs Penafiel
3-2
28/04/26
A
Feirense Vs TOR
0-0
18/04/26
H
TOR Vs Maritimo
1-0
11/04/26
A
Chaves Vs TOR
2-0
06/04/26
H
TOR Vs Leixoes
1-1
22/03/26
A
Felgueiras 1932 Vs TOR
0-3
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Farense
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WDLWD
1.12
Home
LWDDW
0.92
Away
LWWLD
1.33
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
28%
23%
33%
AVG goals
1.98
1.85
2.12
Over 2.5 %
34%
31%
38%
Scored
0.88
0.69
1.08
Conceded
1.10
1.15
1.04
BTTS
36%
31%
42%
Clean Sheet
32%
27%
38%
Failed to Score
48%
62%
33%
Torreense
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWDL
1.67
Home
DWWWD
1.83
Away
WLDWL
1.50
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
50%
56%
44%
AVG goals
2.25
2.39
2.11
Over 2.5 %
42%
44%
39%
Scored
1.28
1.39
1.17
Conceded
0.97
1.00
0.94
BTTS
31%
39%
22%
Clean Sheet
39%
39%
39%
Failed to Score
42%
33%
50%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026-27 full table · Farense and Torreense highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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