This opponent (União de Leiria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
União de Leiria
Avg scored1.40
Avg conceded1.40
Avg total2.80
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.43
1.60
1.53
1.60
1.33
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
1.86
2.33
1.67
1.25
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.57
1.30
1.42
1.50
1.73
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.5%
Under 2.5
41.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.1%
Under 3.5
63.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
Vizela goals ↓
União de Leiria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
6.6%
6.1%
3.3%
1.3%
1
5.8%
12%
8.8%
4.7%
1.9%
2
5.0%
7.9%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
3
2.4%
3.8%
3.0%
1.6%
0.6%
4
0.9%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vizela goals (down), columns = União de Leiria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maritimo
1.94
Academico Viseu
1.74
Torreense
1.74
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
União de Leiria
1.47
Leixoes
1.47
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Benfica B
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Pacos Ferreira
1.15
Oliveirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Vizela is 0.03 points better than União de Leiria in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Academico Viseu
1.71
União de Leiria
1.53
Maritimo
1.47
Torreense
1.35
Leixoes
1.35
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Portimonense
1.15
Vizela
1.15
Feirense
1.09
Penafiel
1.09
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Farense
0.89
CF Os Belenenses
0.00
Vizela is 0.38 goals worse than União de Leiria in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Maritimo
0.85
Academico Viseu
0.97
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
Vizela
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Pacos Ferreira
1.41
Portimonense
1.44
Oliveirense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Leixoes
1.62
Vizela is 0.18 goals better than União de Leiria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
Maritimo
52%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Academico Viseu
49%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Oliveirense
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Pacos Ferreira
46%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Vizela is 2.3 percentage points better than União de Leiria in terms of average possession (54% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vizela
For 5.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
União de Leiria
For 4.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vizela
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
6.2
5.9
6.5
29.4
28.4
30.2
vs Stronger (20)
9.5
9.6
9.5
5.7
5.1
6.1
30.2
29.2
30.9
vs Similar (30)
9.7
9.7
9.6
6.5
6.3
6.8
28.4
27.9
29.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
42%
46%
90%
92%
88%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
56%
58%
54%
10%
8%
12%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (União de Leiria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
União de Leiria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
8.9
13.0
3.9
3.9
4.0
30.6
30.1
31.8
vs Stronger (17)
8.5
8.5
-
3.9
4.7
3.3
29.0
29.0
-
vs Similar (33)
10.5
9.0
13.0
3.9
3.6
4.4
30.9
30.4
31.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
69%
56%
100%
54%
48%
60%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
31%
44%
0%
46%
52%
40%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.2
Portimonense
10.9
Farense
10.7
Torreense
10.5
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
Felgueiras 1932
10.2
União de Leiria
10.2
FC Porto B
9.6
Vizela
9.6
Benfica B
9.6
Chaves
9.5
Tondela
9.4
Feirense
9.4
AVS
9.0
Leixoes
8.7
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.9
Feirense
6.3
FC Porto B
6.3
Vizela
6.2
Chaves
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
Sporting CP B
6.0
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
União de Leiria
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Farense
5.7
Penafiel
5.6
Torreense
5.5
Tondela
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
AVS
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Feirense
32.7
Benfica B
31.8
Farense
31.1
União de Leiria
30.6
Leixoes
30.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Felgueiras 1932
29.4
FC Porto B
29.4
Vizela
29.4
Portimonense
28.2
Chaves
27.6
Tondela
27.5
Penafiel
27.1
AVS
25.9
Sporting CP B
25.0
Torreense
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
100.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
84.2%
Under 3.5
15.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
100.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 21.5 fouls
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 9.5 corners
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (39)
€76m
BB (38)
€76m
FPB (36)
€57m
TON (32)
€25m
TOR (32)
€20m
AVS (34)
€19m
VIZ (31)
€12m
UDL (30)
€12m
FAR (32)
€11m
FEI (33)
€11m
POR (31)
€10m
CHA (29)
€9m
LEI (32)
€8m
F1 (28)
€8m
PEN (29)
€7m
LL (27)
€6m
Vizela and União de Leiria have a similar squad value (both €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (14)
€37m
FPB (14)
€19m
BB (13)
€15m
TON (12)
€7m
TOR (13)
€6m
AVS (12)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
POR (9)
€5m
FEI (12)
€4m
CHA (10)
€4m
UDL (7)
€3m
FAR (13)
€3m
LEI (12)
€3m
F1 (9)
€2m
PEN (9)
€2m
LL (10)
€2m
Vizela's attack is €2m more valuable than União de Leiria's (€5m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (9)
€18m
FPB (7)
€10m
BB (8)
€8m
AVS (7)
€7m
TOR (6)
€5m
TON (6)
€3m
UDL (9)
€3m
FEI (7)
€2m
POR (8)
€2m
CHA (8)
€2m
FAR (5)
€2m
PEN (7)
€2m
LEI (6)
€2m
F1 (5)
€2m
VIZ (3)
€2m
LL (5)
€1m
Vizela's midfield is €1m less valuable than União de Leiria's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (17)
€53m
FPB (15)
€27m
SCB (16)
€21m
TON (14)
€15m
TOR (13)
€9m
AVS (15)
€7m
FAR (14)
€6m
UDL (14)
€6m
VIZ (15)
€5m
FEI (14)
€4m
POR (14)
€4m
CHA (11)
€4m
F1 (14)
€4m
LEI (14)
€3m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (12)
€3m
Vizela and União de Leiria have a similar defence value (both €5m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Vizela vs União de Leiria · H/A from VIZ
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/05/26
H
VIZ Vs União de Leiria
1-0
21/01/26
A
União de Leiria Vs VIZ
2-2
Vizela
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
16/05/26
A
Torreense Vs VIZ
4-0
09/05/26
H
VIZ Vs União de Leiria
1-0
02/05/26
A
Academico Viseu Vs VIZ
0-0
26/04/26
H
VIZ Vs Sporting CP B
1-0
19/04/26
H
VIZ Vs Farense
0-2
12/04/26
A
Feirense Vs VIZ
1-0
07/04/26
H
VIZ Vs Benfica B
1-2
21/03/26
A
Penafiel Vs VIZ
0-1
15/03/26
H
VIZ Vs Lusitânia Lourosa
4-3
08/03/26
A
Felgueiras 1932 Vs VIZ
0-1
União de Leiria
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
H
UDL Vs Feirense
2-2
09/05/26
A
Vizela Vs UDL
1-0
03/05/26
H
UDL Vs Farense
0-3
25/04/26
A
Felgueiras 1932 Vs UDL
2-1
18/04/26
H
UDL Vs Penafiel
4-2
11/04/26
A
Benfica B Vs UDL
2-2
05/04/26
H
UDL Vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0-0
29/03/26
H
UDL Vs Pacos Ferreira
2-0
20/03/26
A
Chaves Vs UDL
0-2
15/03/26
H
UDL Vs Maritimo
1-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Vizela
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWDWL
1.28
Home
WLLWW
1.50
Away
WWLDL
1.08
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
34%
42%
27%
AVG goals
2.62
2.75
2.50
Over 2.5 %
48%
50%
46%
Scored
1.14
1.46
0.85
Conceded
1.48
1.29
1.65
BTTS
44%
42%
46%
Clean Sheet
28%
33%
23%
Failed to Score
34%
29%
38%
União de Leiria
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLLLD
1.18
Home
WDWLD
1.44
Away
WWDLL
0.92
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
30%
36%
24%
AVG goals
2.84
3.08
2.60
Over 2.5 %
56%
68%
44%
Scored
1.36
1.64
1.08
Conceded
1.48
1.44
1.52
BTTS
56%
64%
48%
Clean Sheet
20%
28%
12%
Failed to Score
32%
20%
44%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026-27 full table · Vizela and União de Leiria highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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