This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union St. Gilloise
Avg scored1.60
Avg conceded1.00
Avg total2.60
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.80
1.81
0.56
0.86
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.57
1.50
1.00
0.33
2.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.48
0.57
1.92
0.42
1.00
0.73
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.24+0.5%
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 3.69-0.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.99
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Betano
3.70
BetVictor
3.70
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.82-2.5%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.96+2.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
SBO
1.91
Unibet
1.91
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.3%
@ 3.05-3.2%
Under 3.5
72.7%
@ 1.34+3.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
3.40
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
52.8%
@ 1.75-0.2%
No
47.2%
@ 1.97+0.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.78
888Sport
1.75
William Hil
1.75
No
1xBet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.71+6.4%
0-1
10.2%@ 6.77+3.6%
1-2
9.5%@ 7.57+3.6%
0-2
9.2%@ 7.81+3.4%
0-0
8.3%@ 10.94+4.2%
1-0
6.2%@ 11.66+2.4%
2-1
6.1%@ 13.24+2.8%
1-3
5.1%@ 12.52+1.5%
KVC Westerlo goals ↓
Union St. Gilloise goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
10%
9.2%
4.9%
2.0%
1
6.2%
13%
9.5%
5.1%
2.0%
2
3.8%
6.1%
4.9%
2.6%
1.1%
3
1.3%
2.1%
1.7%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KVC Westerlo goals (down), columns = Union St. Gilloise goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
Beerschot VA
1.00
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Dender
0.68
Patro Eisden
0.50
Liège
0.00
KVC Westerlo is 0.85 points worse than Union St. Gilloise in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 2.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Beerschot VA
1.50
Patro Eisden
1.50
Anderlecht
1.48
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
Charleroi
1.25
KVC Westerlo
1.25
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Dender
0.87
Liège
0.50
KVC Westerlo is 0.40 goals worse than Union St. Gilloise in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.65).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Dender
1.71
Patro Eisden
2.00
Beerschot VA
2.25
Liège
2.50
KVC Westerlo is 0.75 goals worse than Union St. Gilloise in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.68).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
64%
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
Liège
56%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Dender
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Patro Eisden
29%
KVC Westerlo is 2.8 percentage points worse than Union St. Gilloise in terms of average possession (49% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KVC Westerlo
For 4.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Union St. Gilloise
For 5.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KVC Westerlo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.2
11.3
3.9
3.7
4.0
23.0
22.2
23.8
vs Stronger (16)
10.2
10.2
10.1
4.4
4.5
4.2
24.8
23.4
26.2
vs Similar (28)
11.2
9.9
12.6
3.8
3.5
4.1
21.9
22.1
21.8
vs Weaker (6)
10.3
12.0
8.7
2.7
2.3
3.0
23.2
19.7
26.7
% over line
62%
52%
72%
56%
60%
52%
62%
60%
64%
% under line
38%
48%
28%
44%
40%
48%
38%
40%
36%
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union St. Gilloise
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.8
9.6
4.5
4.3
4.6
21.6
21.7
21.6
vs Stronger (2)
10.5
7.0
14.0
1.0
2.0
0.0
19.5
21.0
18.0
vs Similar (10)
8.9
7.8
10.0
5.4
5.8
5.0
22.2
22.4
22.0
vs Weaker (38)
9.2
9.2
9.3
4.4
4.1
4.8
21.6
21.5
21.6
% over line
52%
56%
48%
66%
56%
76%
50%
52%
48%
% under line
48%
44%
52%
34%
44%
24%
50%
48%
52%
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Lommel United
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.8
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Charleroi
10.5
Cercle Brugge
10.3
KV Mechelen
10.3
Anderlecht
10.3
Gent
10.2
Kortrijk
10.1
Standard Liege
10.0
SK Beveren
9.8
St. Truiden
9.7
Genk
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.5
RAAL La Louvière
9.4
Union St. Gilloise
9.2
Antwerp
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
OH Leuven
4.8
Antwerp
4.3
Standard Liege
4.2
Cercle Brugge
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
SK Beveren
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
KVC Westerlo
3.9
Lommel United
3.8
Genk
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Gent
3.6
RAAL La Louvière
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
OH Leuven
25.1
Anderlecht
24.9
Zulte Waregem
24.2
Antwerp
23.9
RAAL La Louvière
23.6
Lommel United
23.2
KVC Westerlo
23.0
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.6
Charleroi
21.6
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
Gent
21.4
Kortrijk
21.4
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.3%
Under 3.5
35.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
53.7%
Under 21.5
46.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
75.3%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+0.5%
Under 3.5
72.7%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.33
888Sport
1.33
+3.2%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (33)
€274m
GEN (59)
€182m
USG (35)
€163m
AND (34)
€126m
ANT (35)
€97m
KW (33)
€66m
GEN (46)
€62m
SL (34)
€57m
ST (25)
€53m
KM (30)
€51m
CB (28)
€44m
CHA (58)
€44m
ZW (32)
€32m
RLL (28)
€22m
SB (26)
€15m
KOR (24)
€13m
LU (28)
€13m
KVC Westerlo's squad is €97m less valuable than Union St. Gilloise's (€66m vs €163m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (13)
€130m
GEN (26)
€106m
USG (12)
€59m
AND (11)
€46m
KW (13)
€32m
ST (11)
€29m
GEN (17)
€24m
ANT (11)
€17m
ZW (12)
€16m
SL (10)
€16m
CB (9)
€14m
KM (10)
€12m
CHA (19)
€11m
SB (12)
€8m
RLL (11)
€8m
LU (11)
€7m
KOR (10)
€6m
KVC Westerlo's attack is €27m less valuable than Union St. Gilloise's (€32m vs €59m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (11)
€69m
CBK (6)
€65m
AND (6)
€38m
ANT (9)
€24m
GEN (12)
€21m
GEN (8)
€20m
CHA (10)
€14m
KW (7)
€11m
ST (4)
€10m
CB (7)
€9m
SL (8)
€9m
ZW (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
RLL (6)
€5m
SB (4)
€2m
KOR (4)
€2m
LU (5)
€2m
KVC Westerlo's midfield is €58m less valuable than Union St. Gilloise's (€11m vs €69m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (14)
€79m
ANT (15)
€57m
GEN (25)
€56m
AND (17)
€42m
USG (12)
€35m
SL (16)
€32m
KM (13)
€32m
KW (13)
€23m
CB (12)
€22m
CHA (29)
€19m
GEN (17)
€16m
ST (10)
€13m
RLL (11)
€9m
ZW (13)
€8m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€4m
LU (12)
€4m
KVC Westerlo's defence is €12m less valuable than Union St. Gilloise's (€23m vs €35m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise · H/A from KW
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/03/26
H
KW Vs Union St. Gilloise
0-0
27/09/25
A
Union St. Gilloise Vs KW
2-0
15/12/24
A
Union St. Gilloise Vs KW
3-1
10/08/24
H
KW Vs Union St. Gilloise
4-3
10/02/24
A
Union St. Gilloise Vs KW
2-2
29/10/23
H
KW Vs Union St. Gilloise
1-3
25/02/23
H
KW Vs Union St. Gilloise
4-2
06/11/22
A
Union St. Gilloise Vs KW
1-1
KVC Westerlo
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
23/05/26
A
Antwerp Vs KW
2-0
19/05/26
H
KW Vs Standard Liege
1-2
16/05/26
A
Charleroi Vs KW
0-1
10/05/26
A
Genk Vs KW
3-0
02/05/26
H
KW Vs OH Leuven
3-3
25/04/26
H
KW Vs Antwerp
2-4
21/04/26
A
OH Leuven Vs KW
0-2
18/04/26
H
KW Vs Genk
1-2
11/04/26
A
Standard Liege Vs KW
1-2
05/04/26
H
KW Vs Charleroi
2-0
Union St. Gilloise
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/05/26
H
USG Vs Anderlecht
5-1
21/05/26
A
Gent Vs USG
0-0
17/05/26
A
Club Brugge KV Vs USG
5-0
10/05/26
H
USG Vs KV Mechelen
3-0
02/05/26
A
St. Truiden Vs USG
2-1
26/04/26
A
Anderlecht Vs USG
1-3
22/04/26
H
USG Vs Gent
0-0
19/04/26
H
USG Vs Club Brugge KV
2-1
12/04/26
A
KV Mechelen Vs USG
0-1
04/04/26
H
USG Vs St. Truiden
1-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
KVC Westerlo
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLWLL
1.32
Home
WLLDL
1.28
Away
WWLWL
1.36
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
34%
32%
36%
AVG goals
2.84
2.84
2.84
Over 2.5 %
46%
56%
36%
Scored
1.38
1.44
1.32
Conceded
1.46
1.40
1.52
BTTS
46%
52%
40%
Clean Sheet
32%
28%
36%
Failed to Score
32%
32%
32%
Union St. Gilloise
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWLDW
2.02
Home
WWDWW
2.48
Away
WWLLD
1.56
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
60%
80%
40%
AVG goals
2.52
2.72
2.32
Over 2.5 %
46%
52%
40%
Scored
1.62
1.96
1.28
Conceded
0.90
0.76
1.04
BTTS
44%
36%
52%
Clean Sheet
44%
56%
32%
Failed to Score
22%
12%
32%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026-27 full table · KVC Westerlo and Union St. Gilloise highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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