PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 14/08/2026
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cercle Brugge win
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
St. Truiden win
36.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge

Avg scored 1.90
Avg conceded 1.80
Avg total 3.70
40-4avg 1.9avg 1.8avg total 3.700121332223041212314H·DENA·ST.H·RAAA·ANDA·ZULH·RAAA·DENH·DENH·ZULA·RAA
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.731.402.071.601.40
vs Stronger (10)1.201.901.202.601.201.20
vs Similar (13)1.621.691.502.331.711.14
vs Weaker (7)1.711.571.501.002.002.33
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St. TruidenSt. Truiden

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 1.10
Avg total 2.50
40-4avg 1.4avg 1.1avg total 2.501120020412102111330A·UNIH·CLUA·GENH·ANDA·KV H·UNIA·CLUH·GENA·ANDH·KV
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.131.601.071.471.20
vs Stronger (17)1.001.411.621.380.441.44
vs Similar (9)2.220.781.670.833.330.67
vs Weaker (4)2.250.751.000.002.671.00
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.1%
Under 2.5
40.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
Cercle Brugge goals ↓
St. Truiden goals →
01234
05.8%6.0%5.5%2.8%1.1%
16.1%12%8.4%4.3%1.6%
25.5%8.4%6.4%3.3%1.3%
32.8%4.3%3.3%1.7%0.6%
41.1%1.7%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cercle Brugge goals (down), columns = St. Truiden goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
Beerschot VA
1.00
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Dender
0.68
Patro Eisden
0.50
Liège
0.00
Cercle Brugge is 0.64 points worse than St. Truiden in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Beerschot VA
1.50
Patro Eisden
1.50
Anderlecht
1.48
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
Charleroi
1.25
KVC Westerlo
1.25
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Dender
0.87
Liège
0.50
Cercle Brugge is 0.05 goals worse than St. Truiden in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.52).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Dender
1.71
Patro Eisden
2.00
Beerschot VA
2.25
Liège
2.50
Cercle Brugge is 0.46 goals worse than St. Truiden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
64%
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
Liège
56%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Dender
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Patro Eisden
29%
Cercle Brugge is 7.4 percentage points worse than St. Truiden in terms of average possession (48% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge

For 6.2 · Against 6.2 · Total 12.4

🚩 Corners

1505667766495387857579411131310141115121213A·RAAH·ZULH·DENA·DENH·RAAA·ZULA·ANDH·RAAA·ST.H·DEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

5021124113221224123124253443A·RAAH·ZULH·DENA·DENH·RAAA·ZULA·ANDH·RAAA·ST.H·DEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

28011513129910126816121114811128101016251822142825192020A·RAAH·ZULH·DENA·DENH·RAAA·ZULA·ANDH·RAAA·ST.H·DEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

St. TruidenSt. Truiden

For 5.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

17022983326917447561055741768101111111512H·KV A·ANDH·GENA·CLUH·UNIA·KV H·ANDA·GENH·CLUA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

6022221215112132134412622154H·KV A·ANDH·GENA·CLUH·UNIA·KV H·ANDA·GENH·CLUA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.0

⚠️ Fouls

29065121110657101113118914813166911231612212417222915H·KV A·ANDH·GENA·CLUH·UNIA·KV H·ANDA·GENH·CLUA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.410.54.13.84.423.122.623.6
vs Stronger (16)10.29.111.24.54.94.122.923.122.6
vs Similar (21)10.610.111.23.83.14.523.923.824.0
vs Weaker (13)10.512.58.74.03.54.422.219.724.3
% over line61%60%62%54%40%68%61%56%67%
% under line39%40%38%46%60%32%39%44%33%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St. TruidenSt. Truiden

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.410.24.03.74.221.320.721.8
vs Stronger (21)10.410.610.33.33.23.519.719.919.5
vs Similar (16)9.99.910.04.64.15.022.420.024.8
vs Weaker (13)8.67.310.24.24.04.522.322.721.8
% over line59%56%62%54%54%54%51%48%54%
% under line41%44%38%46%46%46%49%52%46%
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Lommel United
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.8
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Charleroi
10.5
Cercle Brugge
10.3
KV Mechelen
10.3
Anderlecht
10.3
Gent
10.2
Kortrijk
10.1
Standard Liege
10.0
SK Beveren
9.8
St. Truiden
9.7
Genk
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.5
RAAL La Louvière
9.4
Union St. Gilloise
9.2
Antwerp
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
OH Leuven
4.8
Antwerp
4.3
Standard Liege
4.2
Cercle Brugge
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
SK Beveren
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
KVC Westerlo
3.9
Lommel United
3.8
Genk
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Gent
3.6
RAAL La Louvière
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
OH Leuven
25.1
Anderlecht
24.9
Zulte Waregem
24.2
Antwerp
23.9
RAAL La Louvière
23.6
Lommel United
23.2
KVC Westerlo
23.0
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.6
Charleroi
21.6
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
Gent
21.4
Kortrijk
21.4
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.5%
Under 9.5
37.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.4%
Under 21.5
50.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.582.1%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (33)
€274m
GEN (59)
€182m
USG (35)
€163m
AND (34)
€126m
ANT (35)
€97m
KW (33)
€66m
GEN (46)
€62m
SL (34)
€57m
ST (25)
€53m
KM (30)
€51m
CB (28)
€44m
CHA (58)
€44m
ZW (32)
€32m
RLL (28)
€22m
SB (26)
€15m
KOR (24)
€13m
LU (28)
€13m
Cercle Brugge's squad is €8m less valuable than St. Truiden's (€44m vs €53m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (13)
€130m
GEN (26)
€106m
USG (12)
€59m
AND (11)
€46m
KW (13)
€32m
ST (11)
€29m
GEN (17)
€24m
ANT (11)
€17m
ZW (12)
€16m
SL (10)
€16m
CB (9)
€14m
KM (10)
€12m
CHA (19)
€11m
SB (12)
€8m
RLL (11)
€8m
LU (11)
€7m
KOR (10)
€6m
Cercle Brugge's attack is €16m less valuable than St. Truiden's (€14m vs €29m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (11)
€69m
CBK (6)
€65m
AND (6)
€38m
ANT (9)
€24m
GEN (12)
€21m
GEN (8)
€20m
CHA (10)
€14m
KW (7)
€11m
ST (4)
€10m
CB (7)
€9m
SL (8)
€9m
ZW (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
RLL (6)
€5m
SB (4)
€2m
KOR (4)
€2m
LU (5)
€2m
Cercle Brugge's midfield is €1m less valuable than St. Truiden's (€9m vs €10m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (14)
€79m
ANT (15)
€57m
GEN (25)
€56m
AND (17)
€42m
USG (12)
€35m
SL (16)
€32m
KM (13)
€32m
KW (13)
€23m
CB (12)
€22m
CHA (29)
€19m
GEN (17)
€16m
ST (10)
€13m
RLL (11)
€9m
ZW (13)
€8m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€4m
LU (12)
€4m
Cercle Brugge's defence is €8m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€22m vs €13m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden · H/A from CB
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26ASt. Truiden Vs CB2-1
29/08/25HCB Vs St. Truiden1-1
26/04/25HCB Vs St. Truiden3-1
12/04/25ASt. Truiden Vs CB3-1
27/12/24ASt. Truiden Vs CB1-1
29/09/24HCB Vs St. Truiden1-1
04/02/24HCB Vs St. Truiden4-1
27/08/23ASt. Truiden Vs CB0-2

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ARAAL La Louvière Vs CB4-1
01/05/26HCB Vs Zulte Waregem2-3
24/04/26HCB Vs Dender2-1
19/04/26ADender Vs CB1-4
11/04/26HCB Vs RAAL La Louvière3-0
04/04/26AZulte Waregem Vs CB2-2
22/03/26AAnderlecht Vs CB2-3
15/03/26HCB Vs RAAL La Louvière1-3
08/03/26ASt. Truiden Vs CB2-1
01/03/26HCB Vs Dender0-0

St. TruidenSt. Truiden

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26HST Vs KV Mechelen3-0
21/05/26AAnderlecht Vs ST3-1
16/05/26HST Vs Gent1-1
09/05/26AClub Brugge KV Vs ST2-0
02/05/26HST Vs Union St. Gilloise2-1
26/04/26AKV Mechelen Vs ST1-4
23/04/26HST Vs Anderlecht2-0
19/04/26AGent Vs ST0-0
11/04/26HST Vs Club Brugge KV1-2
04/04/26AUnion St. Gilloise Vs ST1-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.06
HomeDLWWL0.92
AwayLWDWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%20%28%
AVG goals3.043.122.96
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Scored1.381.361.40
Conceded1.661.761.56
BTTS70%76%64%
Clean Sheet18%12%24%
Failed to Score20%20%20%
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.76
HomeLWWDW2.12
AwayLDWLL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%68%40%
AVG goals2.822.922.72
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Scored1.581.721.44
Conceded1.241.201.28
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Failed to Score20%12%28%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026-27 full table · Cercle Brugge and St. Truiden highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

← all matches