This opponent (Esenler Erokspor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esenler Erokspor
Avg scored1.00
Avg conceded1.20
Avg total2.20
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.87
1.40
0.87
2.20
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.43
1.25
1.25
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
2.04
0.70
1.45
0.73
2.58
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.9%
@ 1.24+6.6%
Under 1.5
19.1%
@ 3.58-6.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
3.70
888Sport
3.70
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.81+6.0%
Under 2.5
42.5%
@ 1.92-6.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.80
888Sport
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
888Sport
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.1%
@ 2.94+3.9%
Under 3.5
64.9%
@ 1.34-3.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
888Sport
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
1xBet
2.92
Betano
2.82
Under
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.35
888Sport
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
50.8%
@ 1.65-5.1%
No
49.2%
@ 2.10+5.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
William Hil
1.67
888Sport
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Betano
1.62
No
Betano
2.15
888Sport
2.10
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.7%@ 9.75+7.3%
0-1
10.0%@ 7.52+4.2%
1-1
9.9%@ 5.85+2.5%
1-2
9.7%@ 7.67+4.1%
0-3
8.4%@ 17.55+6.0%
1-3
7.0%@ 14.50+4.0%
0-0
5.9%@ 10.44+1.8%
0-4
4.6%@ 43.80+3.6%
Sivasspor goals ↓
Esenler Erokspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
10.0%
12%
8.4%
4.6%
1
3.3%
9.9%
9.7%
7.0%
3.8%
2
1.7%
3.7%
4.0%
2.9%
1.6%
3
0.5%
1.0%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sivasspor goals (down), columns = Esenler Erokspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Erzurumspor FK
2.13
Amed
1.95
Çorum FK
1.90
Esenler Erokspor
1.90
Bodrum FK
1.71
Pendikspor
1.62
Bandırmaspor
1.58
Keçiörengücü
1.54
Manisa F.K.
1.45
İstanbulspor
1.37
Sarıyer
1.37
Sivasspor
1.35
Iğdır FK
1.32
Vanspor FK
1.29
Boluspor
1.26
Ümraniyespor
1.21
Serik Spor
1.03
Sakaryaspor
0.92
Hatayspor
0.37
Adana Demirspor
0.16
Sivasspor is 0.55 points worse than Esenler Erokspor in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.90).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Erzurumspor FK
2.16
Amed
2.13
Esenler Erokspor
2.08
Keçiörengücü
1.87
Bodrum FK
1.80
Boluspor
1.61
Çorum FK
1.60
İstanbulspor
1.50
Manisa F.K.
1.50
Pendikspor
1.49
Iğdır FK
1.37
Vanspor FK
1.37
Bandırmaspor
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.24
Sakaryaspor
1.22
Sivasspor
1.19
Sarıyer
1.16
Serik Spor
1.16
Hatayspor
0.87
Adana Demirspor
0.58
Sivasspor is 0.89 goals worse than Esenler Erokspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 2.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Erzurumspor FK
0.71
Bandırmaspor
0.89
Pendikspor
0.90
Esenler Erokspor
0.95
Çorum FK
0.95
Bodrum FK
0.98
Amed
1.11
Keçiörengücü
1.13
Sarıyer
1.16
Sivasspor
1.16
Vanspor FK
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.34
Iğdır FK
1.42
İstanbulspor
1.45
Manisa F.K.
1.47
Boluspor
1.50
Sakaryaspor
1.86
Serik Spor
1.97
Hatayspor
2.68
Adana Demirspor
4.45
Sivasspor is 0.21 goals worse than Esenler Erokspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Çorum FK
59%
Esenler Erokspor
58%
Boluspor
57%
Iğdır FK
56%
Erzurumspor FK
56%
Vanspor FK
55%
Amed
53%
Pendikspor
52%
Sivasspor
50%
Bodrum FK
49%
İstanbulspor
48%
Sarıyer
48%
Keçiörengücü
48%
Ümraniyespor
47%
Sakaryaspor
47%
Hatayspor
46%
Manisa F.K.
46%
Bandırmaspor
45%
Serik Spor
41%
Adana Demirspor
38%
Sivasspor is 7.7 percentage points worse than Esenler Erokspor in terms of average possession (50% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sivasspor
For 6.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Esenler Erokspor
For 6.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sivasspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.9
9.3
4.6
5.6
3.7
23.5
24.0
23.0
vs Stronger (11)
8.7
8.8
8.7
3.8
4.6
3.2
20.6
19.6
21.5
vs Similar (25)
9.3
9.4
9.2
4.9
6.0
3.9
24.0
25.9
22.2
vs Weaker (14)
10.8
11.4
10.2
4.6
5.6
3.6
24.8
23.7
26.2
% over line
47%
46%
48%
68%
83%
54%
57%
54%
60%
% under line
53%
54%
52%
32%
17%
46%
43%
46%
40%
This opponent (Esenler Erokspor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esenler Erokspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
8.6
9.0
8.3
4.9
4.0
5.8
23.2
21.9
24.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
9.1
9.0
9.3
6.4
4.8
8.7
21.7
20.8
23.0
vs Weaker (32)
8.5
9.0
8.1
4.6
3.8
5.3
23.5
22.2
24.7
% over line
33%
40%
26%
77%
65%
89%
64%
55%
74%
% under line
67%
60%
74%
23%
35%
11%
36%
45%
26%
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.1
Sivasspor
9.5
Fatih Karagümrük
9.5
Bandırmaspor
9.3
Antalyaspor
9.3
Ümraniyespor
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Bodrum FK
9.0
İstanbulspor
9.0
Iğdır FK
8.9
Manisa F.K.
8.8
Esenler Erokspor
8.6
Pendikspor
8.6
Vanspor FK
8.4
Boluspor
8.4
Keçiörengücü
8.1
Sarıyer
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pendikspor
5.9
Iğdır FK
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.2
Antalyaspor
5.2
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Sivasspor
4.8
Bursaspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.6
İstanbulspor
4.6
Ümraniyespor
4.5
Bandırmaspor
4.5
Kayserispor
4.3
Fatih Karagümrük
4.1
Bodrum FK
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bursaspor
30.1
Vanspor FK
28.3
Antalyaspor
27.3
Pendikspor
27.1
Fatih Karagümrük
27.0
Boluspor
26.3
Kayserispor
25.3
Bodrum FK
24.2
Ümraniyespor
23.8
Sivasspor
23.6
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Manisa F.K.
23.4
Sarıyer
23.3
Esenler Erokspor
23.2
Iğdır FK
22.8
İstanbulspor
22.5
Bandırmaspor
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.0%
Under 9.5
56.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
80.6%
Under 3.5
19.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.0%
Under 21.5
31.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
80.9%
1.24
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+6.6%
Over 3.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAY (34)
€27m
ANT (29)
€22m
FK (32)
€21m
BF (35)
€18m
IF (38)
€14m
MF (27)
€12m
SIV (25)
€11m
İST (37)
€11m
VF (31)
€10m
EE (25)
€10m
PEN (23)
€9m
BAN (29)
€9m
ÜMR (26)
€8m
BOL (28)
€8m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
Sivasspor's squad is €1m more valuable than Esenler Erokspor's (€11m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAY (13)
€12m
FK (13)
€11m
ANT (11)
€9m
BF (14)
€9m
SIV (7)
€5m
VF (13)
€5m
IF (14)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (12)
€4m
EE (9)
€4m
BAN (10)
€4m
ÜMR (6)
€3m
PEN (7)
€3m
BOL (8)
€3m
KEÇ (8)
€2m
Sivasspor's attack is €1m more valuable than Esenler Erokspor's (€5m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAY (7)
€5m
ANT (5)
€5m
IF (9)
€4m
FK (6)
€4m
BF (8)
€3m
VF (6)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (6)
€2m
PEN (6)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
BOL (8)
€2m
İST (8)
€2m
BAN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (6)
€1m
EE (5)
€1m
Sivasspor and Esenler Erokspor have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAY (14)
€9m
ANT (13)
€8m
FK (13)
€6m
BF (13)
€6m
IF (15)
€5m
İST (17)
€5m
MF (10)
€5m
EE (11)
€5m
SIV (12)
€4m
BOL (12)
€3m
PEN (10)
€3m
ÜMR (13)
€3m
BAN (14)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
VF (12)
€2m
Sivasspor and Esenler Erokspor have a similar defence value (both €4m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor · H/A from SIV
Date
H/A
Game
Score
05/04/26
H
SIV Vs Esenler Erokspor
1-3
23/11/25
A
Esenler Erokspor Vs SIV
2-1
Sivasspor
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/05/26
A
Bandırmaspor Vs SIV
1-0
26/04/26
H
SIV Vs Iğdır FK
2-1
19/04/26
A
Çorum FK Vs SIV
3-1
13/04/26
H
SIV Vs İstanbulspor
1-3
09/04/26
A
Boluspor Vs SIV
1-2
05/04/26
H
SIV Vs Esenler Erokspor
1-3
21/03/26
A
Manisa F.K. Vs SIV
0-1
15/03/26
H
SIV Vs Ümraniyespor
1-0
11/03/26
A
Hatayspor Vs SIV
1-2
07/03/26
H
SIV Vs Keçiörengücü
0-1
Esenler Erokspor
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/05/26
H
EE Vs Çorum FK
0-2
02/05/26
H
EE Vs Pendikspor
1-1
26/04/26
A
Sarıyer Vs EE
1-0
19/04/26
H
EE Vs Keçiörengücü
1-0
13/04/26
A
Sakaryaspor Vs EE
1-2
09/04/26
H
EE Vs Amed
1-1
05/04/26
A
Sivasspor Vs EE
1-3
22/03/26
H
EE Vs Erzurumspor FK
0-2
16/03/26
A
Çorum FK Vs EE
2-1
12/03/26
H
EE Vs Bandırmaspor
1-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Sivasspor
Turkey: 1. Lig
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLLWL
1.24
Home
LWLLW
1.68
Away
WWWLL
0.80
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
32%
44%
20%
AVG goals
2.50
2.64
2.36
Over 2.5 %
42%
40%
44%
Scored
1.22
1.60
0.84
Conceded
1.28
1.04
1.52
BTTS
56%
56%
56%
Clean Sheet
26%
36%
16%
Failed to Score
28%
20%
36%
Esenler Erokspor
Turkey: 1. Lig
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWLDL
1.90
Home
LDWDL
1.85
Away
WLWWL
1.95
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
54%
50%
58%
AVG goals
3.03
2.90
3.16
Over 2.5 %
54%
45%
63%
Scored
2.08
1.95
2.21
Conceded
0.95
0.95
0.95
BTTS
56%
60%
53%
Clean Sheet
33%
30%
37%
Failed to Score
18%
15%
21%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026-27 full table · Sivasspor and Esenler Erokspor highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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