PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 08/08/2026
Lausanne
Lausanne
Vs
25%
22%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Switzerland: Super League
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lausanne win
24.7%
Avg Implied 36.5% · @ 2.55
Edge
-11.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.58
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.55
Draw
22.0%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.94
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
4.12
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.95
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.94
BSC Young Boys win
53.3%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.33
Edge
+13.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
10Bet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LausanneLausanne

Avg scored 1.00
Avg conceded 1.90
Avg total 2.90
40-4avg 1.0avg 1.9avg total 2.904210330131202131110A·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC H·FC A·FC A·SERH·GRAH·GRAA·FC
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.631.201.601.001.67
vs Stronger (7)0.861.291.000.500.672.33
vs Similar (12)0.832.001.002.800.711.43
vs Weaker (11)1.551.451.501.331.601.60
Clean sheet %23% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys

Avg scored 3.00
Avg conceded 1.60
Avg total 4.60
80-8avg 3.0avg 1.6avg total 4.611331112013083334260H·FC A·FC H·SERH·FC A·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC H·FC A·FC
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.802.131.472.132.13
vs Stronger (6)1.001.670.671.001.332.33
vs Similar (17)2.241.822.141.572.302.00
vs Weaker (7)2.861.863.001.602.502.50
Clean sheet %23% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.0%
@ 1.10+4.5%
Under 1.5
11.0%
@ 5.99-4.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
10Bet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
1xBet
1.06
Under
Pinnacle
6.24
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
888Sport
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.1%
@ 1.39+4.0%
Under 2.5
28.9%
@ 2.82-4.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
888Sport
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
10Bet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
888Sport
2.80
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.76
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.1%
@ 2.01+3.1%
Under 3.5
49.9%
@ 1.78-3.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Both teams to score
Yes
69.4%
@ 1.35+1.3%
No
30.6%
@ 2.89-1.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Betano
1.38
William Hil
1.36
888Sport
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
No
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.93
10Bet
2.88
William Hil
2.88
888Sport
2.88

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.1%@ 9.35+4.1%
1-1
9.0%@ 8.29+3.5%
2-2
6.7%@ 10.17+2.1%
1-3
6.6%@ 14.62+3.5%
0-2
6.1%@ 15.25+3.1%
2-1
6.1%@ 9.85+1.4%
2-3
4.9%@ 15.88+2.0%
0-1
4.8%@ 13.38+1.3%
Lausanne goals ↓
BSC Young Boys goals →
01234
03.4%4.8%6.1%4.5%2.5%
12.9%9.0%9.1%6.6%3.7%
22.8%6.1%6.7%4.9%2.7%
31.4%3.0%3.3%2.4%1.3%
40.5%1.1%1.2%0.9%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lausanne goals (down), columns = BSC Young Boys goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC ST. Gallen
3.00
BSC Young Boys
3.00
FC Lugano
3.00
Lausanne
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Sion
1.50
FC Thun
1.50
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
0.50
FC Luzern
0.00
Servette FC
0.00
FC Vaduz
0.00
Lausanne is 1.00 points worse than BSC Young Boys in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
5.00
FC Lugano
3.00
FC Sion
2.50
FC ST. Gallen
2.50
FC Thun
1.50
FC Zurich
1.50
FC Vaduz
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
FC Basel 1893
0.50
FC Luzern
0.50
Servette FC
0.50
Lausanne is 4.00 goals worse than BSC Young Boys in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 5.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Basel 1893
0.50
Lausanne
0.50
BSC Young Boys
1.00
FC Lugano
1.00
FC Zurich
1.50
FC ST. Gallen
1.50
Servette FC
1.50
FC Sion
2.00
Grasshoppers
2.50
FC Vaduz
2.50
FC Luzern
3.00
FC Thun
3.50
Lausanne is 0.50 goals better than BSC Young Boys in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sion
58%
Servette FC
56%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Vaduz
52%
BSC Young Boys
51%
Lausanne
50%
FC Zurich
49%
FC Basel 1893
48%
FC Luzern
48%
FC ST. Gallen
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Thun
43%
Lausanne is 1.5 percentage points worse than BSC Young Boys in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LausanneLausanne

For 4.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

130475272297647722438831179111311961111A·FC H·GRAH·GRAA·SERA·FC H·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

90523463424222124117796643411A·FC H·GRAH·GRAA·SERA·FC H·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 14.1 · Total 26.6

⚠️ Fouls

3701516132281916161313610128191817661331352732261620372319A·FC H·GRAH·GRAA·SERA·FC H·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys

For 5.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1305464552356278476736491010511912131010A·FC H·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC H·SERA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

8011123351341233331132338455644A·FC H·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC H·SERA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

35015151897813171210137221313816681630271530222035212224A·FC H·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC H·SERA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LausanneLausanne

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.411.05.04.45.624.624.225.0
vs Stronger (13)11.411.711.15.55.35.625.127.523.0
vs Similar (19)10.310.410.24.54.05.123.921.127.0
vs Weaker (18)10.79.611.85.24.36.125.025.324.7
% over line68%56%80%78%64%92%76%72%80%
% under line32%44%20%22%36%8%24%28%20%
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.89.64.03.84.224.123.225.0
vs Stronger (10)10.010.29.84.24.83.622.124.419.8
vs Similar (27)9.99.710.04.33.94.625.424.226.5
vs Weaker (13)9.09.68.03.33.13.622.821.025.8
% over line58%68%48%54%52%56%62%52%72%
% under line42%32%52%46%48%44%38%48%28%
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.7
FC ST. Gallen
10.6
FC Luzern
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.4
FC Thun
10.3
Servette FC
10.3
FC Vaduz
10.0
Grasshoppers
9.8
BSC Young Boys
9.7
FC Sion
9.7
FC Lugano
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
Grasshoppers
5.3
FC Thun
5.0
Lausanne
5.0
FC Zurich
5.0
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Lugano
4.8
FC Sion
4.7
FC Vaduz
4.5
Servette FC
4.5
FC Luzern
4.3
BSC Young Boys
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.8
FC Thun
28.2
FC Zurich
27.9
FC Sion
27.4
FC Basel 1893
26.7
Grasshoppers
25.5
FC Lugano
25.2
Lausanne
24.6
BSC Young Boys
24.1
Servette FC
23.8
FC Luzern
23.4
FC Vaduz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.3%
Under 9.5
50.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.4%
Under 3.5
33.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.3%
Under 21.5
24.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.589.0%1.10
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
10Bet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
1xBet
1.06
+4.5%
Over 21.5 fouls75.3%-------
Over 2.571.1%1.39
Pinnacle
1.41
888Sport
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.35
+4.0%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (39)
€83m
FB1 (29)
€70m
FL (34)
€69m
FZ (82)
€58m
LAU (62)
€47m
FSG (33)
€41m
FL (31)
€41m
FT (28)
€30m
FS (28)
€29m
SF (28)
€17m
FV (26)
€6m
Lausanne's squad is €36m less valuable than BSC Young Boys's (€47m vs €83m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (12)
€37m
FZ (25)
€23m
FSG (15)
€20m
BYB (8)
€18m
LAU (23)
€18m
FS (11)
€17m
FL (12)
€15m
FL (9)
€8m
FT (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€4m
FV (8)
€2m
Lausanne and BSC Young Boys have a similar attack value (both €18m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (11)
€21m
FB1 (5)
€17m
FZ (21)
€16m
FT (10)
€13m
LAU (12)
€9m
FL (8)
€9m
SF (10)
€6m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (7)
€5m
FL (5)
€5m
FV (9)
€2m
Lausanne's midfield is €12m less valuable than BSC Young Boys's (€9m vs €21m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€52m
BYB (20)
€44m
FL (14)
€20m
LAU (27)
€20m
FZ (36)
€19m
FB1 (12)
€15m
FSG (12)
€14m
FT (11)
€10m
FS (10)
€7m
SF (12)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
Lausanne's defence is €24m less valuable than BSC Young Boys's (€20m vs €44m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys · H/A from LAU
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/26HLAU Vs BSC Young Boys0-2
17/01/26ABSC Young Boys Vs LAU1-3
05/10/25HLAU Vs BSC Young Boys5-0

LausanneLausanne

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AFC Basel 1893 Vs LAU0-1
25/07/26HLAU Vs Grasshoppers1-1
16/05/26HLAU Vs Grasshoppers1-3
12/05/26AServette FC Vs LAU2-0
09/05/26AFC Winterthur Vs LAU2-1
02/05/26HLAU Vs FC Luzern1-3
25/04/26HLAU Vs FC Zurich3-0
12/04/26AFC Sion Vs LAU3-0
04/04/26HLAU Vs FC Winterthur2-1
22/03/26AFC Luzern Vs LAU4-0

BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AFC Thun Vs BYB0-6
26/07/26HBYB Vs FC Sion4-2
17/05/26HBYB Vs FC Sion3-3
14/05/26AFC Thun Vs BYB3-8
10/05/26HBYB Vs FC Basel 18933-0
03/05/26AFC Lugano Vs BYB1-0
26/04/26HBYB Vs FC ST. Gallen1-2
12/04/26HBYB Vs Servette FC1-1
04/04/26AFC Basel 1893 Vs BYB3-3
22/03/26HBYB Vs FC Lugano1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Lausanne
Lausanne
Switzerland: Super League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.30
HomeWWLLD1.28
AwayLLLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.763.122.40
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Scored1.321.641.00
Conceded1.441.481.40
BTTS60%72%48%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Failed to Score22%12%32%
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Switzerland: Super League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.52
HomeDLWDW1.76
AwayWDLWW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals3.863.644.08
Over 2.5 %72%72%72%
Scored2.082.201.96
Conceded1.781.442.12
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Failed to Score16%12%20%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BSC Young Boys2
100%
3.0
102+8
6.0
100%
100%
100%
9.5
50%
2.5
0%
28.5
100%
83
1821445.01.0
51%
2FC Lugano2
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
2.5
0%
19.5
50%
69
89523.01.0
54%
3FC ST. Gallen2
100%
3.0
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
28.5
50%
41
206142.51.5
46%
4Lausanne2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
7.0
100%
33.0
100%
47
189201.00.5
50%
5FC Sion2
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
100%
50%
7.5
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
50%
29
17572.52.0
58%
6FC Zurich2
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.5
50%
4.5
100%
32.5
100%
58
2316191.51.5
49%
7FC Basel 18932
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
7.0
100%
29.0
100%
70
3717150.50.5
48%
8FC Thun2
50%
1.5
37-4
5.0
100%
100%
100%
13.5
50%
3.0
50%
26.5
100%
30
813101.53.5
43%
9Grasshoppers2
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
50%
50%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
25.0
50%
0
0001.02.5
45%
10FC Vaduz2
0%
0.0
35-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
12.5
100%
2.5
0%
20.5
50%
6
2221.52.5
52%
11Servette FC2
0%
0.0
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
13.5
100%
5.0
100%
26.0
100%
17
4660.51.5
56%
12FC Luzern2
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
11.5
50%
3.0
50%
21.5
50%
41
155200.53.0
48%
Switzerland: Super League 2026-27 full table · Lausanne and BSC Young Boys highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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