This opponent (FC Zurich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Avg scored1.00
Avg conceded1.60
Avg total2.60
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.87
1.47
1.67
1.00
2.07
vs Stronger (20)
1.05
2.20
1.33
2.11
0.82
2.27
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.14
1.25
1.00
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.33
2.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.8%
Under 2.5
45.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.5%
FC Lugano goals ↓
FC Zurich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
3.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
11%
10%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
8.6%
6.7%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
4
4.5%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Lugano goals (down), columns = FC Zurich goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC ST. Gallen
3.00
BSC Young Boys
3.00
FC Lugano
3.00
Lausanne
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Sion
1.50
FC Thun
1.50
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
0.50
FC Luzern
0.00
Servette FC
0.00
FC Vaduz
0.00
FC Lugano is 1.50 points better than FC Zurich in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
5.00
FC Lugano
3.00
FC Sion
2.50
FC ST. Gallen
2.50
FC Thun
1.50
FC Zurich
1.50
FC Vaduz
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
FC Basel 1893
0.50
FC Luzern
0.50
Servette FC
0.50
FC Lugano is 1.50 goals better than FC Zurich in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Basel 1893
0.50
Lausanne
0.50
BSC Young Boys
1.00
FC Lugano
1.00
FC Zurich
1.50
FC ST. Gallen
1.50
Servette FC
1.50
FC Sion
2.00
Grasshoppers
2.50
FC Vaduz
2.50
FC Luzern
3.00
FC Thun
3.50
FC Lugano is 0.50 goals better than FC Zurich in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
58%
Servette FC
56%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Vaduz
52%
BSC Young Boys
51%
Lausanne
50%
FC Zurich
49%
FC Basel 1893
48%
FC Luzern
48%
FC ST. Gallen
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Thun
43%
FC Lugano is 4.5 percentage points better than FC Zurich in terms of average possession (54% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Lugano
For 4.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Zurich
For 3.6 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Lugano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.6
8.7
4.5
4.5
4.6
25.2
24.6
25.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
8.4
7.7
9.1
4.6
4.5
4.6
25.2
24.5
25.9
vs Weaker (20)
9.1
9.8
8.3
4.5
4.4
4.6
25.2
24.7
25.8
% over line
34%
32%
36%
74%
76%
72%
82%
77%
86%
% under line
66%
68%
64%
26%
24%
28%
18%
23%
14%
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
10.8
10.3
11.3
5.0
5.5
4.5
27.9
27.1
28.6
vs Stronger (27)
10.5
10.0
10.9
4.7
5.1
4.3
28.6
27.4
29.7
vs Similar (9)
12.6
12.8
12.2
5.2
6.0
4.2
25.7
24.6
27.0
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
6.0
12.0
6.8
6.5
7.0
27.8
31.5
24.0
% over line
62%
60%
65%
75%
85%
65%
85%
85%
85%
% under line
38%
40%
35%
25%
15%
35%
15%
15%
15%
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.7
FC ST. Gallen
10.6
FC Luzern
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.4
FC Thun
10.3
Servette FC
10.3
FC Vaduz
10.0
Grasshoppers
9.8
BSC Young Boys
9.7
FC Sion
9.7
FC Lugano
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
Grasshoppers
5.3
FC Thun
5.0
Lausanne
5.0
FC Zurich
5.0
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Lugano
4.8
FC Sion
4.7
FC Vaduz
4.5
Servette FC
4.5
FC Luzern
4.3
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.8
FC Thun
28.2
FC Zurich
27.9
FC Sion
27.4
FC Basel 1893
26.7
Grasshoppers
25.5
FC Lugano
25.2
Lausanne
24.6
BSC Young Boys
24.1
Servette FC
23.8
FC Luzern
23.4
FC Vaduz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.1%
Under 9.5
44.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.5%
Under 3.5
31.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.5%
Under 21.5
16.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 21.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (39)
€83m
FB1 (29)
€70m
FL (34)
€69m
FZ (82)
€58m
LAU (62)
€47m
FSG (33)
€41m
FL (31)
€41m
FT (28)
€30m
FS (28)
€29m
SF (28)
€17m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Lugano's squad is €11m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€69m vs €58m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (12)
€37m
FZ (25)
€23m
FSG (15)
€20m
BYB (8)
€18m
LAU (23)
€18m
FS (11)
€17m
FL (12)
€15m
FL (9)
€8m
FT (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€4m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Lugano's attack is €15m less valuable than FC Zurich's (€8m vs €23m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (11)
€21m
FB1 (5)
€17m
FZ (21)
€16m
FT (10)
€13m
LAU (12)
€9m
FL (8)
€9m
SF (10)
€6m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (7)
€5m
FL (5)
€5m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Lugano's midfield is €7m less valuable than FC Zurich's (€9m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€52m
BYB (20)
€44m
FL (14)
€20m
LAU (27)
€20m
FZ (36)
€19m
FB1 (12)
€15m
FSG (12)
€14m
FT (11)
€10m
FS (10)
€7m
SF (12)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Lugano's defence is €33m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€52m vs €19m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
FC Lugano vs FC Zurich · H/A from FL
Date
H/A
Game
Score
11/04/26
A
FC Zurich Vs FL
0-1
17/12/25
A
FC Zurich Vs FL
0-1
18/10/25
H
FL Vs FC Zurich
1-0
FC Lugano
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
Grasshoppers Vs FL
1-4
26/07/26
H
FL Vs FC Vaduz
2-1
17/05/26
H
FL Vs FC Basel 1893
4-0
14/05/26
A
FC Sion Vs FL
2-2
10/05/26
H
FL Vs FC ST. Gallen
1-2
03/05/26
H
FL Vs BSC Young Boys
1-0
25/04/26
A
FC Thun Vs FL
0-1
11/04/26
A
FC Zurich Vs FL
0-1
04/04/26
H
FL Vs FC Thun
1-0
22/03/26
A
BSC Young Boys Vs FL
1-1
FC Zurich
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
H
FZ Vs Servette FC
2-1
26/07/26
A
FC ST. Gallen Vs FZ
2-1
16/05/26
H
FZ Vs Servette FC
0-2
12/05/26
A
FC Luzern Vs FZ
1-0
09/05/26
H
FZ Vs Grasshoppers
2-1
02/05/26
A
FC Winterthur Vs FZ
2-2
25/04/26
A
Lausanne Vs FZ
3-0
11/04/26
H
FZ Vs FC Lugano
0-1
06/04/26
A
FC ST. Gallen Vs FZ
2-1
21/03/26
H
FZ Vs FC Thun
2-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
FC Lugano
Switzerland: Super League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LDWWW
1.64
Home
WWLWW
1.80
Away
DWWDW
1.48
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
46%
52%
40%
AVG goals
2.96
3.24
2.68
Over 2.5 %
54%
68%
40%
Scored
1.60
1.84
1.36
Conceded
1.36
1.40
1.32
BTTS
62%
68%
56%
Clean Sheet
28%
28%
28%
Failed to Score
14%
8%
20%
FC Zurich
Switzerland: Super League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLLLW
1.02
Home
WLWLW
1.25
Away
LLDLL
0.80
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
30%
40%
20%
AVG goals
3.17
3.40
2.95
Over 2.5 %
78%
80%
75%
Scored
1.30
1.55
1.05
Conceded
1.88
1.85
1.90
BTTS
68%
70%
65%
Clean Sheet
5%
10%
0%
Failed to Score
28%
20%
35%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
BSC Young Boys
2
100%
3.0
10
2
+8
6.0
100%
100%
100%
9.5
50%
2.5
0%
28.5
100%
83
18
21
44
5.0
1.0
51%
2
FC Lugano
2
100%
3.0
6
2
+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
2.5
0%
19.5
50%
69
8
9
52
3.0
1.0
54%
3
FC ST. Gallen
2
100%
3.0
5
3
+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
28.5
50%
41
20
6
14
2.5
1.5
46%
4
Lausanne
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
7.0
100%
33.0
100%
47
18
9
20
1.0
0.5
50%
5
FC Sion
2
50%
1.5
5
4
+1
4.5
100%
100%
50%
7.5
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
50%
29
17
5
7
2.5
2.0
58%
6
FC Zurich
2
50%
1.5
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.5
50%
4.5
100%
32.5
100%
58
23
16
19
1.5
1.5
49%
7
FC Basel 1893
2
50%
1.5
1
1
+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
7.0
100%
29.0
100%
70
37
17
15
0.5
0.5
48%
8
FC Thun
2
50%
1.5
3
7
-4
5.0
100%
100%
100%
13.5
50%
3.0
50%
26.5
100%
30
8
13
10
1.5
3.5
43%
9
Grasshoppers
2
0%
0.5
2
5
-3
3.5
100%
50%
50%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
25.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.0
2.5
45%
10
FC Vaduz
2
0%
0.0
3
5
-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
12.5
100%
2.5
0%
20.5
50%
6
2
2
2
1.5
2.5
52%
11
Servette FC
2
0%
0.0
1
3
-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
13.5
100%
5.0
100%
26.0
100%
17
4
6
6
0.5
1.5
56%
12
FC Luzern
2
0%
0.0
1
6
-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
11.5
50%
3.0
50%
21.5
50%
41
15
5
20
0.5
3.0
48%
Switzerland: Super League 2026-27 full table · FC Lugano and FC Zurich highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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