This opponent (FC Luzern) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Avg scored1.90
Avg conceded1.60
Avg total3.50
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.83
2.33
2.07
1.60
1.60
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
2.62
1.75
3.00
1.25
2.25
vs Similar (13)
1.77
1.62
2.50
1.83
1.14
1.43
vs Weaker (9)
2.67
1.44
2.60
1.60
2.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
FC ST. Gallen goals ↓
FC Luzern goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
4.6%
3.7%
1.6%
0.5%
1
6.9%
11%
6.7%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.3%
9.5%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.5%
5.8%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.1%
2.7%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC ST. Gallen goals (down), columns = FC Luzern goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC ST. Gallen
3.00
BSC Young Boys
3.00
FC Lugano
3.00
Lausanne
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Sion
1.50
FC Thun
1.50
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
0.50
FC Luzern
0.00
Servette FC
0.00
FC Vaduz
0.00
FC ST. Gallen is 3.00 points better than FC Luzern in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
5.00
FC Lugano
3.00
FC Sion
2.50
FC ST. Gallen
2.50
FC Thun
1.50
FC Zurich
1.50
FC Vaduz
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
FC Basel 1893
0.50
FC Luzern
0.50
Servette FC
0.50
FC ST. Gallen is 2.00 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Basel 1893
0.50
Lausanne
0.50
BSC Young Boys
1.00
FC Lugano
1.00
FC Zurich
1.50
FC ST. Gallen
1.50
Servette FC
1.50
FC Sion
2.00
Grasshoppers
2.50
FC Vaduz
2.50
FC Luzern
3.00
FC Thun
3.50
FC ST. Gallen is 1.50 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 3.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
58%
Servette FC
56%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Vaduz
52%
BSC Young Boys
51%
Lausanne
50%
FC Zurich
49%
FC Basel 1893
48%
FC Luzern
48%
FC ST. Gallen
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Thun
43%
FC ST. Gallen is 1.5 percentage points worse than FC Luzern in terms of average possession (46% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC ST. Gallen
For 6.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 15.1 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
For 6.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 9.0 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC ST. Gallen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
10.6
10.3
10.9
5.9
5.7
6.2
30.8
30.1
31.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
7.5
7.2
7.8
6.9
6.0
7.8
30.8
30.2
31.2
vs Weaker (32)
11.4
11.1
11.7
5.7
5.6
5.8
30.8
30.1
31.6
% over line
55%
60%
50%
85%
80%
90%
95%
95%
95%
% under line
45%
40%
50%
15%
20%
10%
5%
5%
5%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
10.4
11.4
9.5
4.3
4.7
4.0
23.4
23.9
22.8
vs Stronger (10)
11.4
12.0
10.8
4.5
4.6
4.4
26.2
25.4
27.0
vs Similar (18)
10.3
12.1
8.6
4.0
4.6
3.4
22.2
22.8
21.7
vs Weaker (12)
9.8
9.8
9.8
4.8
5.0
4.5
22.7
24.3
21.0
% over line
55%
65%
45%
72%
80%
65%
60%
65%
55%
% under line
45%
35%
55%
28%
20%
35%
40%
35%
45%
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.7
FC ST. Gallen
10.6
FC Luzern
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.4
FC Thun
10.3
Servette FC
10.3
FC Vaduz
10.0
Grasshoppers
9.8
BSC Young Boys
9.7
FC Sion
9.7
FC Lugano
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
Grasshoppers
5.3
FC Thun
5.0
Lausanne
5.0
FC Zurich
5.0
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Lugano
4.8
FC Sion
4.7
FC Vaduz
4.5
Servette FC
4.5
FC Luzern
4.3
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.8
FC Thun
28.2
FC Zurich
27.9
FC Sion
27.4
FC Basel 1893
26.7
Grasshoppers
25.5
FC Lugano
25.2
Lausanne
24.6
BSC Young Boys
24.1
Servette FC
23.8
FC Luzern
23.4
FC Vaduz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.7%
Under 21.5
16.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 21.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (39)
€83m
FB1 (29)
€70m
FL (34)
€69m
FZ (82)
€58m
LAU (62)
€47m
FSG (33)
€41m
FL (31)
€41m
FT (28)
€30m
FS (28)
€29m
SF (28)
€17m
FV (26)
€6m
FC ST. Gallen and FC Luzern have a similar squad value (both €41m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (12)
€37m
FZ (25)
€23m
FSG (15)
€20m
BYB (8)
€18m
LAU (23)
€18m
FS (11)
€17m
FL (12)
€15m
FL (9)
€8m
FT (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€4m
FV (8)
€2m
FC ST. Gallen's attack is €5m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€20m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (11)
€21m
FB1 (5)
€17m
FZ (21)
€16m
FT (10)
€13m
LAU (12)
€9m
FL (8)
€9m
SF (10)
€6m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (7)
€5m
FL (5)
€5m
FV (9)
€2m
FC ST. Gallen's midfield is €1m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€6m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€52m
BYB (20)
€44m
FL (14)
€20m
LAU (27)
€20m
FZ (36)
€19m
FB1 (12)
€15m
FSG (12)
€14m
FT (11)
€10m
FS (10)
€7m
SF (12)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC ST. Gallen's defence is €6m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€14m vs €20m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern · H/A from FSG
Date
H/A
Game
Score
12/04/26
A
FC Luzern Vs FSG
2-2
01/02/26
A
FC Luzern Vs FSG
2-2
24/08/25
H
FSG Vs FC Luzern
0-1
FC ST. Gallen
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
FC Vaduz Vs FSG
2-3
26/07/26
H
FSG Vs FC Zurich
2-1
17/05/26
H
FSG Vs FC Thun
1-1
14/05/26
A
FC Basel 1893 Vs FSG
1-3
10/05/26
A
FC Lugano Vs FSG
1-2
03/05/26
H
FSG Vs FC Sion
0-3
26/04/26
A
BSC Young Boys Vs FSG
1-2
12/04/26
A
FC Luzern Vs FSG
2-2
06/04/26
H
FSG Vs FC Zurich
2-1
21/03/26
A
FC Sion Vs FSG
1-1
FC Luzern
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
FC Sion Vs FL
3-0
25/07/26
H
FL Vs FC Thun
1-3
16/05/26
A
FC Winterthur Vs FL
0-3
12/05/26
H
FL Vs FC Zurich
1-0
09/05/26
H
FL Vs Servette FC
3-3
02/05/26
A
Lausanne Vs FL
1-3
25/04/26
A
Grasshoppers Vs FL
1-2
12/04/26
H
FL Vs FC ST. Gallen
2-2
06/04/26
A
Servette FC Vs FL
3-0
22/03/26
H
FL Vs Lausanne
4-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
FC ST. Gallen
Switzerland: Super League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWDWW
1.90
Home
DWLDW
1.80
Away
DWWWW
2.00
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
55%
55%
55%
AVG goals
3.17
2.95
3.40
Over 2.5 %
72%
70%
75%
Scored
1.93
1.75
2.10
Conceded
1.25
1.20
1.30
BTTS
75%
60%
90%
Clean Sheet
20%
30%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
15%
5%
FC Luzern
Switzerland: Super League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DWWLL
1.32
Home
WDDWL
1.10
Away
LWWWL
1.55
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
35%
25%
45%
AVG goals
3.73
4.20
3.25
Over 2.5 %
82%
90%
75%
Scored
1.93
2.15
1.70
Conceded
1.80
2.05
1.55
BTTS
72%
85%
60%
Clean Sheet
18%
15%
20%
Failed to Score
12%
0%
25%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
BSC Young Boys
2
100%
3.0
10
2
+8
6.0
100%
100%
100%
9.5
50%
2.5
0%
28.5
100%
83
18
21
44
5.0
1.0
51%
2
FC Lugano
2
100%
3.0
6
2
+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
2.5
0%
19.5
50%
69
8
9
52
3.0
1.0
54%
3
FC ST. Gallen
2
100%
3.0
5
3
+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
28.5
50%
41
20
6
14
2.5
1.5
46%
4
Lausanne
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
7.0
100%
33.0
100%
47
18
9
20
1.0
0.5
50%
5
FC Sion
2
50%
1.5
5
4
+1
4.5
100%
100%
50%
7.5
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
50%
29
17
5
7
2.5
2.0
58%
6
FC Zurich
2
50%
1.5
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.5
50%
4.5
100%
32.5
100%
58
23
16
19
1.5
1.5
49%
7
FC Basel 1893
2
50%
1.5
1
1
+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
7.0
100%
29.0
100%
70
37
17
15
0.5
0.5
48%
8
FC Thun
2
50%
1.5
3
7
-4
5.0
100%
100%
100%
13.5
50%
3.0
50%
26.5
100%
30
8
13
10
1.5
3.5
43%
9
Grasshoppers
2
0%
0.5
2
5
-3
3.5
100%
50%
50%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
25.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.0
2.5
45%
10
FC Vaduz
2
0%
0.0
3
5
-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
12.5
100%
2.5
0%
20.5
50%
6
2
2
2
1.5
2.5
52%
11
Servette FC
2
0%
0.0
1
3
-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
13.5
100%
5.0
100%
26.0
100%
17
4
6
6
0.5
1.5
56%
12
FC Luzern
2
0%
0.0
1
6
-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
11.5
50%
3.0
50%
21.5
50%
41
15
5
20
0.5
3.0
48%
Switzerland: Super League 2026-27 full table · FC ST. Gallen and FC Luzern highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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