PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
Vs
33%
31%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria: Bundesliga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wolfsberger AC win
32.8%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.30
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.32
1xBet
3.32
Bet365
3.30
Draw
30.9%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.59
Edge
+5.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Red Bull Salzburg win
36.3%
Avg Implied 46.1% · @ 2.01
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC

Avg scored 1.30
Avg conceded 0.90
Avg total 2.20
40-4avg 1.3avg 0.9avg total 2.213000003104110201230A·WSGH·RIEH·FC A·FC H·GRAA·SCRA·RIEH·WSGA·RIEH·AUS
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.331.360.791.251.81
vs Stronger (7)1.571.572.001.001.252.00
vs Similar (16)1.311.191.250.751.381.62
vs Weaker (7)1.001.431.000.671.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

Avg scored 1.50
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 2.90
30-3avg 1.5avg 1.4avg total 2.911212331310111121310A·STUA·TSVH·LASA·AUSH·AUSA·RAPH·STUA·LASH·TSVH·TSV
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.371.671.471.531.27
vs Stronger (1)2.003.00--2.003.00
vs Similar (17)1.531.471.571.711.501.30
vs Weaker (12)1.671.081.751.251.500.75
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.19-9.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
@ 4.21+9.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
888Sport
4.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.7%
@ 1.66-15.9%
Under 2.5
59.3%
@ 2.17+15.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.18
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Bet365
2.15
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.3%
@ 2.59-15.5%
Under 3.5
79.7%
@ 1.45+15.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
2.65
888Sport
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Marathonbet
2.54
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Both teams to score
Yes
48.2%
@ 1.56-11.1%
No
51.8%
@ 2.28+11.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
No
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 6.97+8.0%
0-0
11.2%@ 13.00+7.7%
0-1
10.5%@ 8.90+5.4%
1-0
9.8%@ 11.88+6.0%
1-2
7.9%@ 8.14+2.3%
2-1
7.4%@ 11.06+3.3%
0-2
7.0%@ 10.61+2.7%
2-0
6.2%@ 17.91+3.7%
Wolfsberger AC goals ↓
Red Bull Salzburg goals →
01234
011%10%7.0%2.8%0.8%
19.8%15%7.9%3.1%0.9%
26.2%7.4%4.4%1.8%0.5%
32.3%2.8%1.6%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolfsberger AC goals (down), columns = Red Bull Salzburg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
3.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
TSV Hartberg
0.00
Austria Vienna
0.00
Grazer AK
0.00
Wolfsberger AC and Red Bull Salzburg are level in average points per game (both 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
TSV Hartberg
0.00
Austria Vienna
0.00
Grazer AK
0.00
Wolfsberger AC is 2.00 goals better than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.00
Red Bull Salzburg
0.00
Wolfsberger AC
0.00
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
Austria Vienna
3.00
Grazer AK
3.00
Wolfsberger AC and Red Bull Salzburg are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
73%
Lask Linz
59%
Ried
59%
Sturm Graz
58%
Austria Vienna
53%
Wolfsberger AC
47%
WSG Wattens
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Grazer AK
41%
TSV Hartberg
27%
Wolfsberger AC is 26.0 percentage points worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of average possession (47% vs 73%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC

For 4.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1605333445747583551175758681211138161212H·AUSA·RIEH·WSGA·RIEA·SCRH·GRAA·FC H·FC H·RIEA·WSG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

50113132241232222212434525423H·AUSA·RIEH·WSGA·RIEA·SCRH·GRAA·FC H·FC H·RIEH·SCR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

34010101351111171710813101315151591315820182234182328302223H·AUSA·RIEH·WSGA·RIEA·SCRH·GRAA·FC H·FC H·RIEA·WSG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

For 6.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

21019213254496551642721421159131157695H·TSVH·TSVA·LASH·STUA·RAPH·AUSA·AUSH·LASA·TSVA·STU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

90112212234223363242223562696H·TSVA·LASH·STUA·RAPH·AUSA·AUSH·LASA·TSVA·STUH·RAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.0

⚠️ Fouls

3203911710958156411171581287121312181913211532201525H·TSVH·TSVA·LASH·STUA·RAPH·AUSA·AUSH·LASA·TSVA·STU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)9.19.28.94.44.14.723.422.923.9
vs Stronger (10)7.86.88.85.14.45.822.824.221.2
vs Similar (20)9.79.59.83.83.83.723.021.924.1
vs Weaker (8)9.011.07.05.14.55.825.124.026.2
% over line42%39%44%68%58%79%64%61%67%
% under line58%61%56%32%42%21%36%39%33%
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.49.03.74.13.220.419.521.3
vs Stronger (9)8.69.28.02.33.01.819.417.820.8
vs Similar (23)8.78.68.84.14.53.721.721.222.2
vs Weaker (18)10.110.39.93.84.03.519.218.320.2
% over line42%48%36%42%44%40%36%28%44%
% under line58%52%64%58%56%60%64%72%56%
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Austria Lustenau
13.0
Lask Linz
10.7
Sturm Graz
9.8
Rapid Vienna
9.7
TSV Hartberg
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.7
Austria Vienna
9.7
Ried
9.3
Red Bull Salzburg
9.2
Wolfsberger AC
9.1
Grazer AK
8.5
SCR Altach
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
4.9
Ried
4.7
Wolfsberger AC
4.6
Sturm Graz
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.4
Grazer AK
4.3
WSG Wattens
4.2
Austria Vienna
4.2
Rapid Vienna
4.1
Austria Lustenau
4.0
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
Lask Linz
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Grazer AK
24.4
Rapid Vienna
24.3
Sturm Graz
23.8
Wolfsberger AC
23.4
SCR Altach
23.2
WSG Wattens
23.2
Ried
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.3
Austria Lustenau
22.0
TSV Hartberg
21.8
Lask Linz
21.1
Red Bull Salzburg
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.9%
Under 3.5
48.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
52.7%
Under 21.5
47.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 3.579.7%1.45
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
+15.5%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (36)
€192m
SG (32)
€59m
LL (26)
€48m
RV (37)
€46m
WA (33)
€35m
AV (35)
€30m
TH (30)
€14m
RIE (27)
€12m
SA (30)
€12m
GA (27)
€10m
Wolfsberger AC's squad is €157m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€35m vs €192m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€93m
SG (10)
€20m
LL (8)
€17m
RV (13)
€17m
WA (11)
€14m
AV (13)
€13m
RIE (7)
€6m
GA (8)
€4m
TH (8)
€4m
SA (12)
€4m
Wolfsberger AC's attack is €80m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€14m vs €93m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (9)
€40m
SG (5)
€17m
RV (7)
€10m
LL (8)
€8m
AV (6)
€7m
RIE (10)
€4m
WA (7)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
SA (4)
€1m
Wolfsberger AC's midfield is €37m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€3m vs €40m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (16)
€59m
LL (10)
€22m
SG (17)
€22m
RV (17)
€19m
WA (15)
€18m
AV (16)
€10m
TH (15)
€7m
SA (14)
€6m
GA (12)
€4m
RIE (10)
€2m
Wolfsberger AC's defence is €40m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€18m vs €59m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg · H/A from WA
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/25ARed Bull Salzburg Vs WA2-1
13/09/25HWA Vs Red Bull Salzburg3-1

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HWA Vs Austria Vienna3-0
19/05/26ARied Vs WA2-1
16/05/26HWA Vs WSG Wattens2-0
09/05/26ARied Vs WA0-1
04/05/26ASCR Altach Vs WA1-4
25/04/26HWA Vs Grazer AK1-0
21/04/26AFC BW Linz Vs WA3-0
18/04/26HWA Vs FC BW Linz0-0
11/04/26HWA Vs Ried0-0
04/04/26AWSG Wattens Vs WA3-1

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HRBS Vs TSV Hartberg1-0
17/05/26HRBS Vs TSV Hartberg1-3
10/05/26ALask Linz Vs RBS2-1
03/05/26HRBS Vs Sturm Graz1-1
26/04/26ARapid Vienna Vs RBS1-0
22/04/26HRBS Vs Austria Vienna3-1
19/04/26AAustria Vienna Vs RBS1-3
10/04/26HRBS Vs Lask Linz2-3
05/04/26ATSV Hartberg Vs RBS1-2
20/03/26ASturm Graz Vs RBS1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
Austria: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.26
HomeDDWWW1.58
AwayLLWWL0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%26%
AVG goals2.472.212.74
Over 2.5 %55%53%58%
Scored1.241.321.16
Conceded1.240.891.58
BTTS53%47%58%
Clean Sheet29%42%16%
Failed to Score29%26%32%
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.28
HomeLWDLW1.28
AwayDWWLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals3.183.043.32
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Scored1.581.561.60
Conceded1.601.481.72
BTTS64%56%72%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Failed to Score24%28%20%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Wolfsberger AC1
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
20.0
0%
35
143183.00.0
47%
2Lask Linz1
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
48
178223.00.0
59%
3Red Bull Salzburg1
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
21.0
100%
-
0%
12.0
0%
192
9340591.00.0
73%
4Ried1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
12
6421.01.0
59%
5WSG Wattens1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
0
0001.01.0
42%
6Austria Lustenau1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
0
0001.01.0
41%
7Sturm Graz1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
59
2017221.01.0
58%
8TSV Hartberg1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
21.0
100%
-
0%
12.0
0%
14
4370.01.0
27%
9Austria Vienna1
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
20.0
0%
30
137100.03.0
53%
10Grazer AK1
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
10
4240.03.0
41%
Austria: Bundesliga 2026-27 full table · Wolfsberger AC and Red Bull Salzburg highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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