This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Avg scored0.90
Avg conceded1.60
Avg total2.50
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.47
1.00
1.31
0.93
1.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.75
1.62
0.89
1.22
0.57
2.14
vs Weaker (13)
1.31
1.15
1.33
1.17
1.29
1.14
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.4%
@ 1.31-1.2%
Under 1.5
30.6%
@ 3.16+1.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.10
888Sport
3.10
1xBet
3.05
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.9%
@ 2.02-4.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
@ 1.77+4.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
888Sport
1.75
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.2%
@ 3.47-5.5%
Under 3.5
78.8%
@ 1.26+5.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
888Sport
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.38
Under
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
47.6%
@ 1.76-4.9%
No
52.4%
@ 1.95+4.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
No
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.14+6.6%
1-0
12.0%@ 8.41+6.6%
0-0
10.8%@ 8.64+5.5%
2-0
9.3%@ 13.28+5.9%
2-1
8.9%@ 9.97+4.3%
0-1
7.8%@ 7.61+1.9%
1-2
6.1%@ 9.03+1.1%
0-2
4.3%@ 11.32+0.3%
Ried goals ↓
Rapid Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.8%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.1%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.3%
8.9%
4.2%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.3%
4.1%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ried goals (down), columns = Rapid Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
3.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
TSV Hartberg
0.00
Austria Vienna
0.00
Grazer AK
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
TSV Hartberg
0.00
Austria Vienna
0.00
Grazer AK
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.00
Red Bull Salzburg
0.00
Wolfsberger AC
0.00
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
Austria Vienna
3.00
Grazer AK
3.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
73%
Lask Linz
59%
Ried
59%
Sturm Graz
58%
Austria Vienna
53%
Wolfsberger AC
47%
WSG Wattens
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Grazer AK
41%
TSV Hartberg
27%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ried
For 5.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid Vienna
For 5.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.2 · Against 13.7 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ried
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
9.3
9.9
8.7
4.7
4.7
4.7
23.0
22.3
23.7
vs Stronger (12)
9.2
11.0
7.5
4.3
4.8
3.8
20.9
21.7
20.2
vs Similar (24)
9.4
9.4
9.3
4.9
4.7
5.2
24.1
22.7
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
50%
33%
75%
78%
72%
64%
50%
78%
% under line
58%
50%
67%
25%
22%
28%
36%
50%
22%
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
10.0
3.7
3.2
4.2
24.3
23.6
25.1
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
7.0
-
0.8
1.0
0.0
29.0
29.0
-
vs Similar (24)
9.6
9.1
10.1
3.8
3.6
4.1
24.0
23.0
25.1
vs Weaker (22)
10.0
10.1
9.9
4.0
3.3
4.8
24.4
23.7
25.1
% over line
55%
55%
55%
52%
35%
71%
70%
64%
77%
% under line
45%
45%
45%
48%
65%
29%
30%
36%
23%
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Lustenau
13.0
Lask Linz
10.7
Sturm Graz
9.8
Rapid Vienna
9.7
TSV Hartberg
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.7
Austria Vienna
9.7
Ried
9.3
Red Bull Salzburg
9.2
Wolfsberger AC
9.1
Grazer AK
8.5
SCR Altach
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
4.9
Ried
4.7
Wolfsberger AC
4.6
Sturm Graz
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.4
Grazer AK
4.3
WSG Wattens
4.2
Austria Vienna
4.2
Rapid Vienna
4.1
Austria Lustenau
4.0
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
Lask Linz
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Grazer AK
24.4
Rapid Vienna
24.3
Sturm Graz
23.8
Wolfsberger AC
23.4
SCR Altach
23.2
WSG Wattens
23.2
Ried
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.3
Austria Lustenau
22.0
TSV Hartberg
21.8
Lask Linz
21.1
Red Bull Salzburg
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.4%
Under 9.5
50.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.0%
Under 3.5
36.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
59.7%
Under 21.5
40.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
78.8%
1.26
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+5.5%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (36)
€192m
SG (32)
€59m
LL (26)
€48m
RV (37)
€46m
WA (33)
€35m
AV (35)
€30m
TH (30)
€14m
RIE (27)
€12m
SA (30)
€12m
GA (27)
€10m
Ried's squad is €34m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€12m vs €46m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€93m
SG (10)
€20m
LL (8)
€17m
RV (13)
€17m
WA (11)
€14m
AV (13)
€13m
RIE (7)
€6m
GA (8)
€4m
TH (8)
€4m
SA (12)
€4m
Ried's attack is €11m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€6m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (9)
€40m
SG (5)
€17m
RV (7)
€10m
LL (8)
€8m
AV (6)
€7m
RIE (10)
€4m
WA (7)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
SA (4)
€1m
Ried's midfield is €6m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€4m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (16)
€59m
LL (10)
€22m
SG (17)
€22m
RV (17)
€19m
WA (15)
€18m
AV (16)
€10m
TH (15)
€7m
SA (14)
€6m
GA (12)
€4m
RIE (10)
€2m
Ried's defence is €17m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€2m vs €19m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Ried vs Rapid Vienna · H/A from RIE
Date
H/A
Game
Score
25/05/26
A
Rapid Vienna Vs RIE
3-0
22/05/26
H
RIE Vs Rapid Vienna
2-1
06/12/25
A
Rapid Vienna Vs RIE
1-2
26/10/25
H
RIE Vs Rapid Vienna
0-2
Ried
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
Austria Lustenau Vs RIE
1-1
25/05/26
A
Rapid Vienna Vs RIE
3-0
22/05/26
H
RIE Vs Rapid Vienna
2-1
19/05/26
H
RIE Vs Wolfsberger AC
2-1
16/05/26
A
SCR Altach Vs RIE
2-0
09/05/26
H
RIE Vs Wolfsberger AC
0-1
02/05/26
H
RIE Vs FC BW Linz
2-0
25/04/26
A
WSG Wattens Vs RIE
1-0
21/04/26
H
RIE Vs Grazer AK
2-1
17/04/26
A
Grazer AK Vs RIE
1-1
Rapid Vienna
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
25/05/26
H
RV Vs Ried
3-0
22/05/26
A
Ried Vs RV
2-1
17/05/26
A
Sturm Graz Vs RV
2-0
10/05/26
H
RV Vs Austria Vienna
0-2
04/05/26
A
Lask Linz Vs RV
3-1
26/04/26
H
RV Vs Red Bull Salzburg
1-0
22/04/26
H
RV Vs TSV Hartberg
0-2
19/04/26
A
TSV Hartberg Vs RV
2-2
12/04/26
A
Austria Vienna Vs RV
1-1
05/04/26
H
RV Vs Sturm Graz
0-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Ried
Austria: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWWLD
1.36
Home
WWLWW
1.83
Away
DLLLD
0.89
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
39%
56%
22%
AVG goals
2.53
2.50
2.56
Over 2.5 %
47%
50%
44%
Scored
1.19
1.39
1.00
Conceded
1.33
1.11
1.56
BTTS
53%
50%
56%
Clean Sheet
19%
28%
11%
Failed to Score
33%
28%
39%
Rapid Vienna
Austria: Bundesliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLLLW
1.32
Home
LLWLW
1.48
Away
DDLLL
1.16
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
36%
44%
28%
AVG goals
2.62
2.60
2.64
Over 2.5 %
46%
44%
48%
Scored
1.24
1.36
1.12
Conceded
1.38
1.24
1.52
BTTS
54%
40%
68%
Clean Sheet
26%
32%
20%
Failed to Score
22%
32%
12%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Wolfsberger AC
1
100%
3.0
3
0
+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
20.0
0%
35
14
3
18
3.0
0.0
47%
2
Lask Linz
1
100%
3.0
3
0
+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
48
17
8
22
3.0
0.0
59%
3
Red Bull Salzburg
1
100%
3.0
1
0
+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
21.0
100%
-
0%
12.0
0%
192
93
40
59
1.0
0.0
73%
4
Ried
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
12
6
4
2
1.0
1.0
59%
5
WSG Wattens
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
0
0
0
0
1.0
1.0
42%
6
Austria Lustenau
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
0
0
0
0
1.0
1.0
41%
7
Sturm Graz
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
59
20
17
22
1.0
1.0
58%
8
TSV Hartberg
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
21.0
100%
-
0%
12.0
0%
14
4
3
7
0.0
1.0
27%
9
Austria Vienna
1
0%
0.0
0
3
-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
20.0
0%
30
13
7
10
0.0
3.0
53%
10
Grazer AK
1
0%
0.0
0
3
-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
10
4
2
4
0.0
3.0
41%
Austria: Bundesliga 2026-27 full table · Ried and Rapid Vienna highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.