PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 14/08/2026
Lask Linz
Lask Linz
Vs
70%
20%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ried
Ried
Austria: Bundesliga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lask Linz win
69.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Ried win
10.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lask LinzLask Linz

Avg scored 2.70
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 3.90
50-5avg 2.7avg 1.2avg total 3.924413211115131213030A·RAPH·AUSA·REDH·STUA·STUA·TSVH·RAPH·REDA·AUSH·GRA
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.201.931.071.801.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.911.732.001.601.831.83
vs Weaker (19)1.840.891.900.801.781.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RiedRied

Avg scored 1.00
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 2.20
30-3avg 1.0avg 1.2avg total 2.211210120010221210311A·GRAH·GRAA·WSGH·FC H·WOLA·SCRH·WOLH·RAPA·RAPA·AUS
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.301.470.870.871.73
vs Stronger (9)0.892.000.751.501.002.40
vs Similar (21)1.291.001.730.640.801.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.4%
Under 2.5
41.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
5.1%
Lask Linz goals ↓
Ried goals →
01234
05.7%2.9%1.5%0.4%0.1%
110%9.3%3.3%0.9%0.2%
212%9.6%3.7%1.0%0.2%
39.2%7.2%2.8%0.7%0.1%
45.1%4.0%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lask Linz goals (down), columns = Ried goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
3.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
TSV Hartberg
0.00
Austria Vienna
0.00
Grazer AK
0.00
Lask Linz is 2.00 points better than Ried in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
TSV Hartberg
0.00
Austria Vienna
0.00
Grazer AK
0.00
Lask Linz is 2.00 goals better than Ried in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.00
Red Bull Salzburg
0.00
Wolfsberger AC
0.00
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Sturm Graz
1.00
Ried
1.00
WSG Wattens
1.00
Austria Vienna
3.00
Grazer AK
3.00
Lask Linz is 1.00 goals better than Ried in terms of goals conceded per game (0.00 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
73%
Lask Linz
59%
Ried
59%
Sturm Graz
58%
Austria Vienna
53%
Wolfsberger AC
47%
WSG Wattens
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Grazer AK
41%
TSV Hartberg
27%
Lask Linz and Ried are level in average possession (both 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Lask LinzLask Linz

For 4.5 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

13062584542657722493168139481296127H·GRAA·AUSH·REDH·RAPA·TSVA·STUH·STUA·REDH·AUSA·RAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

1002122222273321223244103212H·GRAA·AUSH·REDH·RAPA·TSVA·STUH·STUA·REDH·AUSA·RAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

2601213879101411111112671912813761125151925221826202017H·GRAA·AUSH·REDH·RAPA·TSVA·STUH·STUA·REDH·AUSA·RAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RiedRied

For 5.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

14094474533447559365484131196812149912A·AUSA·RAPH·RAPH·WOLA·SCRH·WOLH·FC A·WSGH·GRAA·GRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

6022111135122321224224124645364A·AUSA·RAPH·RAPH·WOLA·SCRH·WOLH·FC A·WSGH·GRAA·GRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

3601489588513141217178121620812141022141618263420362024A·AUSA·RAPH·RAPH·WOLA·SCRH·WOLH·FC A·WSGH·GRAA·GRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Lask LinzLask Linz

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)10.710.710.73.53.33.721.121.221.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)10.811.010.73.52.64.420.821.720.1
vs Weaker (22)10.610.510.73.53.73.221.320.921.7
% over line56%59%53%36%33%39%44%41%47%
% under line44%41%47%64%67%61%56%59%53%
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RiedRied

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)9.39.98.74.64.54.723.022.323.7
vs Stronger (13)9.211.07.54.04.13.820.921.720.2
vs Similar (24)9.49.49.34.94.75.224.122.725.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line42%50%33%73%74%72%64%50%78%
% under line58%50%67%27%26%28%36%50%22%
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Austria Lustenau
13.0
Lask Linz
10.7
Sturm Graz
9.8
Rapid Vienna
9.7
TSV Hartberg
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.7
Austria Vienna
9.7
Ried
9.3
Red Bull Salzburg
9.2
Wolfsberger AC
9.1
Grazer AK
8.5
SCR Altach
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
4.9
Ried
4.7
Wolfsberger AC
4.6
Sturm Graz
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.4
Grazer AK
4.3
WSG Wattens
4.2
Austria Vienna
4.2
Rapid Vienna
4.1
Austria Lustenau
4.0
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
Lask Linz
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Grazer AK
24.4
Rapid Vienna
24.3
Sturm Graz
23.8
Wolfsberger AC
23.4
SCR Altach
23.2
WSG Wattens
23.2
Ried
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.3
Austria Lustenau
22.0
TSV Hartberg
21.8
Lask Linz
21.1
Red Bull Salzburg
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.3%
Under 9.5
48.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.4%
Under 3.5
48.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
58.2%
Under 21.5
41.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.581.4%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (36)
€192m
SG (32)
€59m
LL (26)
€48m
RV (37)
€46m
WA (33)
€35m
AV (35)
€30m
TH (30)
€14m
RIE (27)
€12m
SA (30)
€12m
GA (27)
€10m
Lask Linz's squad is €36m more valuable than Ried's (€48m vs €12m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€93m
SG (10)
€20m
LL (8)
€17m
RV (13)
€17m
WA (11)
€14m
AV (13)
€13m
RIE (7)
€6m
GA (8)
€4m
TH (8)
€4m
SA (12)
€4m
Lask Linz's attack is €12m more valuable than Ried's (€17m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (9)
€40m
SG (5)
€17m
RV (7)
€10m
LL (8)
€8m
AV (6)
€7m
RIE (10)
€4m
WA (7)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
SA (4)
€1m
Lask Linz's midfield is €4m more valuable than Ried's (€8m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (16)
€59m
LL (10)
€22m
SG (17)
€22m
RV (17)
€19m
WA (15)
€18m
AV (16)
€10m
TH (15)
€7m
SA (14)
€6m
GA (12)
€4m
RIE (10)
€2m
Lask Linz's defence is €20m more valuable than Ried's (€22m vs €2m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Lask Linz vs Ried · H/A from LL
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26ARied Vs LL1-1
30/08/25HLL Vs Ried1-3

Lask LinzLask Linz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26HLL Vs Grazer AK3-0
17/05/26AAustria Vienna Vs LL0-3
10/05/26HLL Vs Red Bull Salzburg2-1
04/05/26HLL Vs Rapid Vienna3-1
26/04/26ATSV Hartberg Vs LL1-5
22/04/26ASturm Graz Vs LL1-1
19/04/26HLL Vs Sturm Graz1-1
10/04/26ARed Bull Salzburg Vs LL2-3
05/04/26HLL Vs Austria Vienna4-1
22/03/26ARapid Vienna Vs LL4-2

RiedRied

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26AAustria Lustenau Vs RIE1-1
25/05/26ARapid Vienna Vs RIE3-0
22/05/26HRIE Vs Rapid Vienna2-1
19/05/26HRIE Vs Wolfsberger AC2-1
16/05/26ASCR Altach Vs RIE2-0
09/05/26HRIE Vs Wolfsberger AC0-1
02/05/26HRIE Vs FC BW Linz2-0
25/04/26AWSG Wattens Vs RIE1-0
21/04/26HRIE Vs Grazer AK2-1
17/04/26AGrazer AK Vs RIE1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Lask Linz
Lask Linz
Austria: Bundesliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.77
HomeWDWWW2.06
AwayLWDWW1.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %51%61%41%
AVG goals2.972.893.06
Over 2.5 %57%56%59%
Scored1.711.781.65
Conceded1.261.111.41
BTTS57%56%59%
Clean Sheet29%39%18%
Failed to Score17%11%24%
Ried
Ried
Austria: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.36
HomeWWLWW1.83
AwayDLLLD0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%56%22%
AVG goals2.532.502.56
Over 2.5 %47%50%44%
Scored1.191.391.00
Conceded1.331.111.56
BTTS53%50%56%
Clean Sheet19%28%11%
Failed to Score33%28%39%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Wolfsberger AC1
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
20.0
0%
35
143183.00.0
47%
2Lask Linz1
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
48
178223.00.0
59%
3Red Bull Salzburg1
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
21.0
100%
-
0%
12.0
0%
192
9340591.00.0
73%
4Ried1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
12
6421.01.0
59%
5WSG Wattens1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
0
0001.01.0
42%
6Austria Lustenau1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
0
0001.01.0
41%
7Sturm Graz1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
59
2017221.01.0
58%
8TSV Hartberg1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
21.0
100%
-
0%
12.0
0%
14
4370.01.0
27%
9Austria Vienna1
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
20.0
0%
30
137100.03.0
53%
10Grazer AK1
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
10
4240.03.0
41%
Austria: Bundesliga 2026-27 full table · Lask Linz and Ried highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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