This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Avg scored2.10
Avg conceded0.60
Avg total2.70
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.80
2.00
0.73
1.67
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
2.67
0.00
3.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.92
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.85
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
60.2%
Under 1.5
39.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.8%
Under 2.5
68.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
13.9%
Under 3.5
86.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
40.6%
No
59.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
ST Mirren goals ↓
ST Johnstone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
11%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.1%
1.8%
0.4%
2
7.9%
7.2%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.8%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = ST Johnstone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Motherwell
3.00
Aberdeen
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
ST Mirren
3.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Hibernian
0.00
Falkirk
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
ST Mirren and ST Johnstone are level in average points per game (both 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
ST Johnstone
4.00
Kilmarnock
3.00
Motherwell
2.00
Aberdeen
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Rangers
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Falkirk
0.00
ST Mirren is 2.00 goals worse than ST Johnstone in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 4.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
ST Mirren
0.00
Motherwell
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Kilmarnock
4.00
ST Mirren is 3.00 goals better than ST Johnstone in terms of goals conceded per game (0.00 vs 3.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Falkirk
58%
ST Johnstone
56%
Rangers
55%
Motherwell
52%
Aberdeen
51%
Heart Of Midlothian
49%
Hibernian
48%
Dundee Utd
45%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
ST Mirren is 14.0 percentage points worse than ST Johnstone in terms of average possession (42% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
ST Mirren
For 5.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Johnstone
For 6.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.8
11.5
3.3
3.8
2.9
22.2
21.6
22.8
vs Stronger (32)
10.9
10.4
11.4
3.3
4.0
2.6
21.9
22.1
21.8
vs Similar (17)
11.4
11.1
11.7
3.5
3.6
3.4
23.0
21.1
25.1
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
17.0
17.0
-
% over line
71%
72%
70%
40%
62%
17%
54%
52%
57%
% under line
29%
28%
30%
60%
38%
83%
46%
48%
43%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.8
10.7
4.3
4.2
4.5
23.9
24.5
23.3
vs Stronger (11)
11.4
9.8
12.7
4.1
3.4
4.7
22.4
22.0
22.7
vs Similar (33)
10.6
11.1
10.1
4.3
4.6
3.9
23.8
24.7
22.9
vs Weaker (6)
10.3
11.0
9.0
4.8
3.0
8.5
27.5
26.8
29.0
% over line
60%
54%
67%
64%
69%
58%
66%
73%
58%
% under line
40%
46%
33%
36%
31%
42%
34%
27%
42%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
10.8
ST Johnstone
10.7
Hibernian
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.4
Rangers
10.2
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Falkirk
9.8
Aberdeen
9.7
Dundee
9.7
Kilmarnock
9.6
Motherwell
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
5.0
Motherwell
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
ST Johnstone
4.3
Falkirk
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Celtic
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.0
Rangers
3.7
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
26.2
Motherwell
25.8
Falkirk
25.2
Kilmarnock
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.4
ST Johnstone
23.9
Rangers
23.6
Hibernian
23.4
Dundee
22.6
Dundee Utd
22.3
ST Mirren
22.2
Celtic
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
47.4%
Under 21.5
52.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (34)
€154m
RAN (25)
€127m
HOM (33)
€33m
HIB (31)
€30m
ABE (35)
€24m
MOT (28)
€21m
KIL (33)
€13m
DUN (30)
€12m
SM (26)
€8m
FAL (26)
€7m
SJ (26)
€5m
ST Mirren's squad is €3m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€8m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€59m
CEL (12)
€55m
HOM (12)
€19m
HIB (10)
€14m
MOT (10)
€12m
ABE (11)
€10m
KIL (12)
€5m
SJ (9)
€3m
SM (9)
€3m
DUN (11)
€2m
FAL (10)
€2m
ST Mirren and ST Johnstone have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
HIB (8)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
ABE (10)
€5m
DUN (8)
€5m
MOT (8)
€4m
SM (7)
€3m
KIL (6)
€3m
FAL (5)
€2m
SJ (7)
€1m
ST Mirren's midfield is €2m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (16)
€60m
RAN (10)
€40m
ABE (14)
€8m
HIB (13)
€6m
MOT (10)
€6m
HOM (13)
€5m
KIL (15)
€5m
DUN (11)
€5m
FAL (11)
€3m
SM (10)
€2m
SJ (10)
€2m
ST Mirren and ST Johnstone have a similar defence value (both €2m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone · H/A from SM
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/02/25
H
SM Vs ST Johnstone
0-1
14/12/24
A
ST Johnstone Vs SM
2-3
30/10/24
H
SM Vs ST Johnstone
3-1
24/02/24
H
SM Vs ST Johnstone
2-0
06/12/23
A
ST Johnstone Vs SM
1-0
28/10/23
H
SM Vs ST Johnstone
4-0
25/02/23
A
ST Johnstone Vs SM
1-1
09/11/22
H
SM Vs ST Johnstone
2-2
ST Mirren
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
A
Falkirk Vs SM
0-2
25/05/26
H
SM Vs Partick
1-0
21/05/26
A
Partick Vs SM
1-1
17/05/26
H
SM Vs Dundee Utd
1-1
12/05/26
A
Aberdeen Vs SM
0-2
09/05/26
H
SM Vs Kilmarnock
0-3
02/05/26
A
Dundee Vs SM
1-0
25/04/26
H
SM Vs Livingston
0-2
11/04/26
A
Celtic Vs SM
1-0
04/04/26
H
SM Vs Aberdeen
2-0
ST Johnstone
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
H
SJ Vs Kilmarnock
4-3
01/05/26
A
Ayr Vs SJ
0-1
24/04/26
H
SJ Vs Raith Rvs
2-0
21/04/26
A
Dunfermline Vs SJ
0-2
11/04/26
H
SJ Vs Airdrie Utd
4-0
04/04/26
A
Arbroath Vs SJ
2-4
28/03/26
H
SJ Vs Queens Park
1-1
20/03/26
A
Partick Vs SJ
0-0
14/03/26
H
SJ Vs Ross County
1-0
07/03/26
A
Morton Vs SJ
0-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WDDWW
1.14
Home
WLLDW
1.38
Away
LLWDW
0.88
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
28%
35%
21%
AVG goals
2.30
2.04
2.58
Over 2.5 %
32%
31%
33%
Scored
0.96
0.88
1.04
Conceded
1.34
1.15
1.54
BTTS
40%
27%
54%
Clean Sheet
28%
42%
12%
Failed to Score
38%
42%
33%
ST Johnstone
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWWW
1.82
Home
WDWWW
2.00
Away
WDWWW
1.62
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
52%
58%
46%
AVG goals
2.58
2.58
2.58
Over 2.5 %
48%
46%
50%
Scored
1.62
1.77
1.46
Conceded
0.96
0.81
1.12
BTTS
44%
38%
50%
Clean Sheet
46%
50%
42%
Failed to Score
24%
27%
21%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
ST Mirren
1
100%
3.0
2
0
+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
8
3
3
2
2.0
0.0
42%
2
ST Johnstone
1
100%
3.0
4
3
+1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
5
3
1
2
4.0
3.0
56%
3
Motherwell
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
21
12
4
6
2.0
1.0
52%
4
Aberdeen
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
10
5
8
2.0
1.0
51%
5
Rangers
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
127
59
28
40
1.0
1.0
55%
6
Dundee Utd
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
0
0
0
0
1.0
1.0
45%
7
Kilmarnock
1
0%
0.0
3
4
-1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
13
5
3
5
3.0
4.0
44%
8
Hibernian
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
30
14
10
6
1.0
2.0
48%
9
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
33
19
9
5
1.0
2.0
49%
10
Falkirk
1
0%
0.0
0
2
-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
7
2
2
3
0.0
2.0
58%
Scotland: Premiership 2026-27 full table · ST Mirren and ST Johnstone highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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