This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Avg scored1.30
Avg conceded1.50
Avg total2.80
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.63
1.64
1.36
0.62
1.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
2.00
0.75
1.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (10)
0.60
1.10
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Weaker (12)
1.83
1.83
2.33
1.83
1.33
1.83
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.9%
No
46.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
Dundee goals ↓
Aberdeen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.0%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.5%
13%
6.9%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.1%
9.1%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.0%
4.6%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.5%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee goals (down), columns = Aberdeen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Motherwell
3.00
Aberdeen
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
ST Mirren
3.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Hibernian
0.00
Falkirk
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
ST Johnstone
4.00
Kilmarnock
3.00
Motherwell
2.00
Aberdeen
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Rangers
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Falkirk
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
ST Mirren
0.00
Motherwell
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Kilmarnock
4.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Falkirk
58%
ST Johnstone
56%
Rangers
55%
Motherwell
52%
Aberdeen
51%
Heart Of Midlothian
49%
Hibernian
48%
Dundee Utd
45%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee
For 4.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 13.5 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
For 4.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.5
9.1
3.5
3.4
3.5
22.5
21.8
23.2
vs Stronger (30)
9.7
10.0
9.4
3.1
3.2
3.1
21.9
22.3
21.6
vs Similar (19)
9.6
10.7
8.4
4.1
3.7
4.4
23.2
20.8
25.9
vs Weaker (1)
15.0
15.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
65%
79%
52%
48%
46%
50%
51%
42%
60%
% under line
35%
21%
48%
52%
54%
50%
49%
58%
40%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.4
9.1
4.8
5.3
4.3
26.2
26.8
25.5
vs Stronger (13)
9.9
10.9
8.8
5.1
5.9
4.2
27.2
27.1
27.3
vs Similar (21)
9.0
9.4
8.7
4.7
5.3
4.1
25.8
26.6
25.1
vs Weaker (16)
10.5
11.2
9.8
4.7
4.8
4.6
25.8
26.8
24.8
% over line
54%
64%
44%
68%
80%
56%
90%
96%
84%
% under line
46%
36%
56%
32%
20%
44%
10%
4%
16%
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
10.8
ST Johnstone
10.7
Hibernian
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.4
Rangers
10.2
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Falkirk
9.8
Aberdeen
9.7
Dundee
9.7
Kilmarnock
9.6
Motherwell
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
5.0
Motherwell
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
ST Johnstone
4.3
Falkirk
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Celtic
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.0
Rangers
3.7
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
26.2
Motherwell
25.8
Falkirk
25.2
Kilmarnock
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.4
ST Johnstone
23.9
Rangers
23.6
Hibernian
23.4
Dundee
22.6
Dundee Utd
22.3
ST Mirren
22.2
Celtic
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.8%
Under 3.5
47.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.6%
Under 21.5
38.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (34)
€154m
RAN (25)
€127m
HOM (33)
€33m
HIB (31)
€30m
ABE (35)
€24m
MOT (28)
€21m
KIL (33)
€13m
DUN (30)
€12m
SM (26)
€8m
FAL (26)
€7m
SJ (26)
€5m
Dundee's squad is €12m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€12m vs €24m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€59m
CEL (12)
€55m
HOM (12)
€19m
HIB (10)
€14m
MOT (10)
€12m
ABE (11)
€10m
KIL (12)
€5m
SJ (9)
€3m
SM (9)
€3m
DUN (11)
€2m
FAL (10)
€2m
Dundee's attack is €8m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€2m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
HIB (8)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
ABE (10)
€5m
DUN (8)
€5m
MOT (8)
€4m
SM (7)
€3m
KIL (6)
€3m
FAL (5)
€2m
SJ (7)
€1m
Dundee and Aberdeen have a similar midfield value (both €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (16)
€60m
RAN (10)
€40m
ABE (14)
€8m
HIB (13)
€6m
MOT (10)
€6m
HOM (13)
€5m
KIL (15)
€5m
DUN (11)
€5m
FAL (11)
€3m
SM (10)
€2m
SJ (10)
€2m
Dundee's defence is €3m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€5m vs €8m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Dundee vs Aberdeen · H/A from DUN
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
H
DUN Vs Aberdeen
3-2
21/02/26
A
Aberdeen Vs DUN
2-3
06/12/25
H
DUN Vs Aberdeen
1-3
05/10/25
A
Aberdeen Vs DUN
4-0
15/02/25
H
DUN Vs Aberdeen
1-2
09/11/24
A
Aberdeen Vs DUN
4-1
28/09/24
H
DUN Vs Aberdeen
1-2
13/04/24
A
Aberdeen Vs DUN
0-0
Dundee
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
H
DUN Vs Aberdeen
3-2
12/05/26
A
Kilmarnock Vs DUN
3-1
09/05/26
H
DUN Vs Livingston
3-0
02/05/26
H
DUN Vs ST Mirren
1-0
26/04/26
A
Dundee Utd Vs DUN
3-0
11/04/26
A
Kilmarnock Vs DUN
2-2
05/04/26
H
DUN Vs Celtic
1-2
21/03/26
A
Hearts Vs DUN
1-0
21/03/26
A
Heart Of Midlothian Vs DUN
1-0
15/03/26
H
DUN Vs Dundee Utd
2-2
Aberdeen
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
H
ABE Vs Heart Of Midlothian
2-1
17/05/26
A
Dundee Vs ABE
3-2
12/05/26
H
ABE Vs ST Mirren
0-2
09/05/26
H
ABE Vs Dundee Utd
2-0
01/05/26
A
Livingston Vs ABE
2-2
25/04/26
H
ABE Vs Kilmarnock
1-0
11/04/26
H
ABE Vs Hibernian
2-0
04/04/26
A
ST Mirren Vs ABE
2-0
21/03/26
A
Rangers Vs ABE
4-1
14/03/26
H
ABE Vs Falkirk
1-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Dundee
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWWLW
1.10
Home
DLWWW
1.46
Away
LLDLL
0.77
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
30%
42%
19%
AVG goals
2.82
3.08
2.58
Over 2.5 %
56%
62%
50%
Scored
1.16
1.58
0.77
Conceded
1.66
1.50
1.81
BTTS
46%
62%
31%
Clean Sheet
20%
21%
19%
Failed to Score
38%
17%
58%
Aberdeen
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DWLLW
0.98
Home
WWWLW
1.36
Away
LLLDL
0.60
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
26%
36%
16%
AVG goals
2.52
2.68
2.36
Over 2.5 %
38%
40%
36%
Scored
0.96
1.44
0.48
Conceded
1.56
1.24
1.88
BTTS
36%
52%
20%
Clean Sheet
24%
28%
20%
Failed to Score
46%
24%
68%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
ST Mirren
1
100%
3.0
2
0
+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
8
3
3
2
2.0
0.0
42%
2
ST Johnstone
1
100%
3.0
4
3
+1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
5
3
1
2
4.0
3.0
56%
3
Motherwell
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
21
12
4
6
2.0
1.0
52%
4
Aberdeen
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
10
5
8
2.0
1.0
51%
5
Rangers
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
127
59
28
40
1.0
1.0
55%
6
Dundee Utd
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
0
0
0
0
1.0
1.0
45%
7
Kilmarnock
1
0%
0.0
3
4
-1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
13
5
3
5
3.0
4.0
44%
8
Hibernian
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
30
14
10
6
1.0
2.0
48%
9
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
33
19
9
5
1.0
2.0
49%
10
Falkirk
1
0%
0.0
0
2
-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
7
2
2
3
0.0
2.0
58%
Scotland: Premiership 2026-27 full table · Dundee and Aberdeen highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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