This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Avg scored2.30
Avg conceded1.10
Avg total3.40
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.47
2.27
1.40
1.80
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (30)
2.03
1.47
2.27
1.40
1.80
1.53
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
Celtic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
7.3%
7.9%
5.0%
2.4%
1
4.4%
11%
9.7%
6.1%
2.9%
2
3.3%
6.3%
6.0%
3.8%
1.8%
3
1.4%
2.6%
2.4%
1.5%
0.7%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = Celtic goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Motherwell
3.00
Aberdeen
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
ST Mirren
3.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Hibernian
0.00
Falkirk
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
ST Johnstone
4.00
Kilmarnock
3.00
Motherwell
2.00
Aberdeen
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Rangers
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Falkirk
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
ST Mirren
0.00
Motherwell
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Kilmarnock
4.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Falkirk
58%
ST Johnstone
56%
Rangers
55%
Motherwell
52%
Aberdeen
51%
Heart Of Midlothian
49%
Hibernian
48%
Dundee Utd
45%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kilmarnock
For 4.1 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 10.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Celtic
For 5.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 9.5 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kilmarnock
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.2
10.0
4.2
4.6
3.7
24.5
26.1
22.9
vs Stronger (21)
10.6
10.0
11.3
4.4
5.1
3.6
23.4
25.5
21.0
vs Similar (28)
8.9
8.5
9.1
4.1
4.4
3.8
25.1
26.2
24.2
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
9.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
30.0
30.0
-
% over line
48%
36%
60%
62%
72%
52%
68%
80%
56%
% under line
52%
64%
40%
38%
28%
48%
32%
20%
44%
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.9
10.6
4.1
3.9
4.3
22.0
21.6
22.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
8.0
-
8.0
4.0
-
4.0
20.0
-
20.0
vs Weaker (49)
10.8
10.9
10.8
4.1
3.9
4.3
22.0
21.6
22.5
% over line
59%
62%
56%
56%
48%
64%
37%
38%
36%
% under line
41%
38%
44%
44%
52%
36%
63%
62%
64%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
10.8
ST Johnstone
10.7
Hibernian
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.4
Rangers
10.2
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Falkirk
9.8
Aberdeen
9.7
Dundee
9.7
Kilmarnock
9.6
Motherwell
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
5.0
Motherwell
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
ST Johnstone
4.3
Falkirk
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Celtic
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.0
Rangers
3.7
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
26.2
Motherwell
25.8
Falkirk
25.2
Kilmarnock
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.4
ST Johnstone
23.9
Rangers
23.6
Hibernian
23.4
Dundee
22.6
Dundee Utd
22.3
ST Mirren
22.2
Celtic
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.0%
Under 9.5
49.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.8%
Under 21.5
35.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (34)
€154m
RAN (25)
€127m
HOM (33)
€33m
HIB (31)
€30m
ABE (35)
€24m
MOT (28)
€21m
KIL (33)
€13m
DUN (30)
€12m
SM (26)
€8m
FAL (26)
€7m
SJ (26)
€5m
Kilmarnock's squad is €141m less valuable than Celtic's (€13m vs €154m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€59m
CEL (12)
€55m
HOM (12)
€19m
HIB (10)
€14m
MOT (10)
€12m
ABE (11)
€10m
KIL (12)
€5m
SJ (9)
€3m
SM (9)
€3m
DUN (11)
€2m
FAL (10)
€2m
Kilmarnock's attack is €50m less valuable than Celtic's (€5m vs €55m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
HIB (8)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
ABE (10)
€5m
DUN (8)
€5m
MOT (8)
€4m
SM (7)
€3m
KIL (6)
€3m
FAL (5)
€2m
SJ (7)
€1m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €35m less valuable than Celtic's (€3m vs €38m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (16)
€60m
RAN (10)
€40m
ABE (14)
€8m
HIB (13)
€6m
MOT (10)
€6m
HOM (13)
€5m
KIL (15)
€5m
DUN (11)
€5m
FAL (11)
€3m
SM (10)
€2m
SJ (10)
€2m
Kilmarnock's defence is €55m less valuable than Celtic's (€5m vs €60m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Kilmarnock vs Celtic · H/A from KIL
Date
H/A
Game
Score
15/02/26
H
KIL Vs Celtic
2-3
09/11/25
A
Celtic Vs KIL
4-0
14/09/25
H
KIL Vs Celtic
1-2
12/04/25
A
Celtic Vs KIL
5-1
10/11/24
H
KIL Vs Celtic
0-2
04/08/24
A
Celtic Vs KIL
4-0
15/05/24
H
KIL Vs Celtic
0-5
17/02/24
A
Celtic Vs KIL
1-1
Kilmarnock
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
ST Johnstone Vs KIL
4-3
17/05/26
A
Livingston Vs KIL
1-4
12/05/26
H
KIL Vs Dundee
3-1
09/05/26
A
ST Mirren Vs KIL
0-3
02/05/26
H
KIL Vs Dundee Utd
3-0
25/04/26
A
Aberdeen Vs KIL
1-0
11/04/26
H
KIL Vs Dundee
2-2
04/04/26
A
Hibernian Vs KIL
3-0
21/03/26
H
KIL Vs Livingston
2-0
14/03/26
H
KIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian
1-0
Celtic
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
16/05/26
H
CEL Vs Hearts
3-1
16/05/26
H
CEL Vs Heart Of Midlothian
3-1
13/05/26
A
Motherwell Vs CEL
2-3
10/05/26
H
CEL Vs Rangers
3-1
03/05/26
A
Hibernian Vs CEL
1-2
25/04/26
H
CEL Vs Falkirk
3-1
11/04/26
H
CEL Vs ST Mirren
1-0
05/04/26
A
Dundee Vs CEL
1-2
22/03/26
A
Dundee Utd Vs CEL
2-0
14/03/26
H
CEL Vs Motherwell
3-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWWL
1.12
Home
WWDWW
1.48
Away
LLWWL
0.76
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
30%
44%
16%
AVG goals
3.16
2.80
3.52
Over 2.5 %
62%
56%
68%
Scored
1.32
1.44
1.20
Conceded
1.84
1.36
2.32
BTTS
52%
40%
64%
Clean Sheet
26%
36%
16%
Failed to Score
26%
28%
24%
Celtic
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWWW
1.84
Home
WWWWW
2.04
Away
WLWWW
1.65
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
56%
67%
46%
AVG goals
3.14
3.33
2.96
Over 2.5 %
72%
79%
65%
Scored
1.78
2.08
1.50
Conceded
1.36
1.25
1.46
BTTS
66%
62%
69%
Clean Sheet
24%
29%
19%
Failed to Score
16%
12%
19%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
ST Mirren
1
100%
3.0
2
0
+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
8
3
3
2
2.0
0.0
42%
2
ST Johnstone
1
100%
3.0
4
3
+1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
5
3
1
2
4.0
3.0
56%
3
Motherwell
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
21
12
4
6
2.0
1.0
52%
4
Aberdeen
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
10
5
8
2.0
1.0
51%
5
Rangers
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
127
59
28
40
1.0
1.0
55%
6
Dundee Utd
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
0
0
0
0
1.0
1.0
45%
7
Kilmarnock
1
0%
0.0
3
4
-1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
13
5
3
5
3.0
4.0
44%
8
Hibernian
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
30
14
10
6
1.0
2.0
48%
9
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
33
19
9
5
1.0
2.0
49%
10
Falkirk
1
0%
0.0
0
2
-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
7
2
2
3
0.0
2.0
58%
Scotland: Premiership 2026-27 full table · Kilmarnock and Celtic highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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