This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DU
Dundee Utd
Avg scored1.40
Avg conceded1.50
Avg total2.90
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.60
1.06
1.19
1.14
2.07
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
2.14
1.40
1.40
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (14)
0.71
1.64
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.88
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
1.11
1.60
0.80
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.9%
Under 2.5
44.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
4.8%
Heart Of Midlothian goals ↓
Dundee Utd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
3.2%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
1
11%
9.8%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.6%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
3
9.0%
6.9%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
4
4.8%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heart Of Midlothian goals (down), columns = Dundee Utd goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Motherwell
3.00
Aberdeen
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
ST Mirren
3.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Hibernian
0.00
Falkirk
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 1.00 points worse than Dundee Utd in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
ST Johnstone
4.00
Kilmarnock
3.00
Motherwell
2.00
Aberdeen
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Rangers
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Falkirk
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
ST Mirren
0.00
Motherwell
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Kilmarnock
4.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 1.00 goals worse than Dundee Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Falkirk
58%
ST Johnstone
56%
Rangers
55%
Motherwell
52%
Aberdeen
51%
Heart Of Midlothian
49%
Hibernian
48%
Dundee Utd
45%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Heart Of Midlothian is 4.0 percentage points better than Dundee Utd in terms of average possession (49% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Heart Of Midlothian
For 6.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DU
Dundee Utd
For 4.5 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 9.9 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heart Of Midlothian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
10.1
9.9
10.2
4.5
4.0
5.0
24.4
23.9
24.8
vs Stronger (4)
10.2
9.0
11.5
7.0
7.5
6.5
23.8
28.0
19.5
vs Similar (4)
11.2
12.0
10.5
4.0
3.0
5.0
23.5
21.0
26.0
vs Weaker (33)
9.9
9.8
9.9
4.2
3.6
4.8
24.6
23.8
25.3
% over line
64%
63%
65%
61%
45%
76%
62%
53%
70%
% under line
36%
37%
35%
39%
55%
24%
38%
47%
30%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DU
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.5
9.3
3.8
4.0
3.6
22.4
21.8
22.9
vs Stronger (11)
11.7
12.5
10.8
4.1
5.0
3.0
22.0
20.8
23.4
vs Similar (24)
10.2
11.5
9.2
4.5
4.8
4.2
23.5
22.8
24.1
vs Weaker (15)
9.8
10.6
8.4
2.4
2.2
2.7
20.5
21.2
19.4
% over line
60%
72%
48%
54%
54%
54%
52%
52%
52%
% under line
40%
28%
52%
46%
46%
46%
48%
48%
48%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
10.8
ST Johnstone
10.7
Hibernian
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.4
Rangers
10.2
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Falkirk
9.8
Aberdeen
9.7
Dundee
9.7
Kilmarnock
9.6
Motherwell
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
5.0
Motherwell
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
ST Johnstone
4.3
Falkirk
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Celtic
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.0
Rangers
3.7
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
26.2
Motherwell
25.8
Falkirk
25.2
Kilmarnock
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.4
ST Johnstone
23.9
Rangers
23.6
Hibernian
23.4
Dundee
22.6
Dundee Utd
22.3
ST Mirren
22.2
Celtic
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.1%
Under 9.5
47.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.2%
Under 3.5
42.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.3%
Under 21.5
37.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (34)
€154m
RAN (25)
€127m
HOM (33)
€33m
HIB (31)
€30m
ABE (35)
€24m
MOT (28)
€21m
KIL (33)
€13m
DUN (30)
€12m
SM (26)
€8m
FAL (26)
€7m
SJ (26)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€59m
CEL (12)
€55m
HOM (12)
€19m
HIB (10)
€14m
MOT (10)
€12m
ABE (11)
€10m
KIL (12)
€5m
SJ (9)
€3m
SM (9)
€3m
DUN (11)
€2m
FAL (10)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
HIB (8)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
ABE (10)
€5m
DUN (8)
€5m
MOT (8)
€4m
SM (7)
€3m
KIL (6)
€3m
FAL (5)
€2m
SJ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (16)
€60m
RAN (10)
€40m
ABE (14)
€8m
HIB (13)
€6m
MOT (10)
€6m
HOM (13)
€5m
KIL (15)
€5m
DUN (11)
€5m
FAL (11)
€3m
SM (10)
€2m
SJ (10)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd · H/A from HOM
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/01/26
A
Dundee Utd Vs HOM
0-3
09/11/25
H
HOM Vs Dundee Utd
1-1
10/08/25
A
Dundee Utd Vs HOM
2-3
Heart Of Midlothian
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
A
Aberdeen Vs HOM
2-1
16/05/26
A
Celtic Vs HOM
3-1
13/05/26
H
HOM Vs Falkirk
3-0
09/05/26
A
Motherwell Vs HOM
1-1
04/05/26
H
HOM Vs Rangers
2-1
26/04/26
A
Hibernian Vs HOM
1-2
11/04/26
H
HOM Vs Motherwell
3-1
05/04/26
A
Livingston Vs HOM
2-2
21/03/26
H
HOM Vs Dundee
1-0
14/03/26
A
Kilmarnock Vs HOM
1-0
DU
Dundee Utd
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
H
DU Vs Rangers
1-1
17/05/26
A
ST Mirren Vs DU
1-1
12/05/26
H
DU Vs Livingston
0-0
09/05/26
A
Aberdeen Vs DU
2-0
02/05/26
A
Kilmarnock Vs DU
3-0
26/04/26
H
DU Vs Dundee
3-0
11/04/26
H
DU Vs Livingston
3-2
04/04/26
A
Rangers Vs DU
4-2
22/03/26
H
DU Vs Celtic
2-0
15/03/26
A
Dundee Vs DU
2-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WDWLL
1.95
Home
WWWWW
2.45
Away
DWDLL
1.48
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
59%
75%
43%
AVG goals
2.59
2.45
2.71
Over 2.5 %
51%
45%
57%
Scored
1.66
1.85
1.48
Conceded
0.93
0.60
1.24
BTTS
46%
40%
52%
Clean Sheet
41%
55%
29%
Failed to Score
15%
5%
24%
DU
Dundee Utd
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLDDD
1.16
Home
WWWDD
1.38
Away
DLLLD
0.92
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
26%
35%
17%
AVG goals
2.88
2.54
3.25
Over 2.5 %
52%
50%
54%
Scored
1.26
1.23
1.29
Conceded
1.62
1.31
1.96
BTTS
58%
50%
67%
Clean Sheet
18%
27%
8%
Failed to Score
30%
35%
25%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
ST Mirren
1
100%
3.0
2
0
+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
8
3
3
2
2.0
0.0
42%
2
ST Johnstone
1
100%
3.0
4
3
+1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
5
3
1
2
4.0
3.0
56%
3
Motherwell
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
21
12
4
6
2.0
1.0
52%
4
Aberdeen
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
10
5
8
2.0
1.0
51%
5
Rangers
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
127
59
28
40
1.0
1.0
55%
6
Dundee Utd
1
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
0
0
0
0
1.0
1.0
45%
7
Kilmarnock
1
0%
0.0
3
4
-1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
13
5
3
5
3.0
4.0
44%
8
Hibernian
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
30
14
10
6
1.0
2.0
48%
9
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
33
19
9
5
1.0
2.0
49%
10
Falkirk
1
0%
0.0
0
2
-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
7
2
2
3
0.0
2.0
58%
Scotland: Premiership 2026-27 full table · Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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