This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fredrikstad
Avg scored0.90
Avg conceded1.70
Avg total2.60
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.50
1.31
1.08
0.82
1.82
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
2.08
0.25
1.25
0.33
2.44
vs Similar (14)
1.43
1.07
1.71
0.86
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.00
2.00
1.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.23-5.3%
Under 1.5
30.1%
@ 3.73+5.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
888Sport
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.09
888Sport
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.62
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.3%
@ 1.78-10.5%
Under 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.99+10.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.03
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.6%
@ 2.84-11.1%
Under 3.5
78.4%
@ 1.38+11.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.91
888Sport
2.90
Betano
2.82
Unibet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
49.6%
@ 1.61-7.8%
No
50.4%
@ 2.17+7.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
William Hil
1.62
Unibet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
No
Betano
2.20
888Sport
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 6.18+7.3%
0-0
10.6%@ 9.71+6.1%
1-0
9.9%@ 8.39+4.7%
0-1
9.6%@ 9.64+5.0%
2-1
7.9%@ 8.30+2.6%
1-2
7.7%@ 9.79+3.2%
2-0
6.8%@ 10.78+2.7%
0-2
6.4%@ 14.61+3.4%
Start goals ↓
Fredrikstad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.6%
6.4%
2.5%
0.7%
1
9.9%
14%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.8%
7.9%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.7%
3.2%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Start goals (down), columns = Fredrikstad goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viking
2.47
Bodo/Glimt
2.38
Tromso
2.12
Lillestrom
1.67
Molde
1.60
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.47
Ham-Kam
1.40
Valerenga
1.33
Rosenborg
1.29
Brann
1.27
Fredrikstad
1.13
KFUM Oslo
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Aalesund
0.87
Kristiansund BK
0.80
Start
0.62
Start is 0.51 points worse than Fredrikstad in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.56
Viking
2.47
Tromso
2.00
Brann
2.00
Molde
1.87
Ham-Kam
1.53
Lillestrom
1.47
Valerenga
1.47
Aalesund
1.40
Rosenborg
1.36
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.20
KFUM Oslo
1.13
Fredrikstad
1.07
Start
1.00
Kristiansund BK
0.87
Sandefjord
0.87
Start is 0.07 goals worse than Fredrikstad in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.69
Viking
0.93
Tromso
1.06
Lillestrom
1.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.27
Rosenborg
1.29
Sandefjord
1.40
Molde
1.47
Kristiansund BK
1.67
Brann
1.67
KFUM Oslo
1.73
Ham-Kam
1.73
Fredrikstad
1.80
Valerenga
1.80
Start
2.31
Aalesund
2.33
Start is 0.51 goals worse than Fredrikstad in terms of goals conceded per game (2.31 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
65%
Brann
59%
Molde
59%
Rosenborg
53%
Lillestrom
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
51%
Tromso
50%
Valerenga
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
Ham-Kam
47%
KFUM Oslo
45%
Aalesund
44%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
44%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Start is 5.7 percentage points worse than Fredrikstad in terms of average possession (42% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Start
For 3.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fredrikstad
For 3.7 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Start
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
8.9
9.0
8.8
3.8
3.1
4.2
24.2
24.9
23.8
vs Stronger (16)
8.9
9.0
8.8
3.8
3.1
4.2
24.2
24.9
23.8
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
43%
22%
50%
43%
56%
81%
71%
89%
% under line
69%
57%
78%
50%
57%
44%
19%
29%
11%
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fredrikstad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
9.9
9.4
10.5
3.1
3.1
3.0
21.2
20.7
21.7
vs Stronger (22)
10.3
9.7
10.9
2.8
3.1
2.5
19.4
18.2
20.4
vs Similar (22)
10.1
10.3
9.9
3.4
3.1
3.6
23.3
22.5
24.1
vs Weaker (5)
7.6
5.3
11.0
3.0
3.3
2.5
19.2
21.3
16.0
% over line
64%
57%
71%
35%
33%
36%
43%
30%
54%
% under line
36%
43%
29%
65%
67%
64%
57%
70%
46%
This opponent (Start) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Viking
11.7
Aalesund
11.6
Valerenga
11.6
Sandefjord
11.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.1
Rosenborg
10.9
Brann
10.8
Bodo/Glimt
10.7
Ham-Kam
10.4
Lillestrom
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
9.9
Tromso
9.0
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Start
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lillestrom
4.5
Viking
4.3
Valerenga
4.1
Brann
4.1
Molde
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Kristiansund BK
3.8
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Aalesund
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Tromso
3.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.1
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.7
Lillestrom
24.7
Valerenga
24.3
Rosenborg
24.3
Start
24.2
Brann
24.2
Aalesund
23.7
Tromso
23.4
Ham-Kam
23.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.9
Molde
22.8
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.5
Fredrikstad
21.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.7%
@ 1.62-5.0%
Under 9.5
48.3%
@ 2.12+5.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
41.9%
Under 3.5
58.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.5%
Under 21.5
32.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
78.4%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
+11.1%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (25)
€45m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (24)
€25m
ROS (20)
€18m
S0F (24)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
VAL (19)
€14m
AAL (24)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (22)
€11m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Start's squad is €7m less valuable than Fredrikstad's (€9m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (9)
€20m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (9)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
ROS (6)
€6m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
AAL (6)
€5m
SAN (7)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Start's attack is €3m less valuable than Fredrikstad's (€2m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Start and Fredrikstad have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
MOL (11)
€15m
VIK (11)
€13m
BRA (11)
€9m
ROS (10)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
VAL (6)
€3m
Start's defence is €4m less valuable than Fredrikstad's (€4m vs €8m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Start vs Fredrikstad · H/A from STA
Date
H/A
Game
Score
29/05/26
A
Fredrikstad Vs STA
2-1
Start
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
H
STA Vs Viking
0-3
25/07/26
A
Kristiansund BK Vs STA
1-2
18/07/26
H
STA Vs Rosenborg
0-3
12/07/26
A
Brann Vs STA
2-1
29/05/26
A
Fredrikstad Vs STA
2-1
25/05/26
H
STA Vs Valerenga
2-0
20/05/26
H
STA Vs Bodo/Glimt
1-4
16/05/26
A
Viking Vs STA
6-3
03/05/26
H
STA Vs Tromso
1-1
30/04/26
A
Bodo/Glimt Vs STA
5-0
Fredrikstad
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
H
FRE Vs Sandefjord
1-0
27/07/26
A
Rosenborg Vs FRE
4-0
17/07/26
A
Bodo/Glimt Vs FRE
1-0
11/07/26
H
FRE Vs Lillestrom
0-2
29/05/26
H
FRE Vs Start
2-1
25/05/26
A
Sandefjord Vs FRE
1-1
16/05/26
H
FRE Vs Ham-Kam
2-1
09/05/26
A
Sarpsborg 08 FF Vs FRE
2-1
02/05/26
A
Brann Vs FRE
3-1
25/04/26
H
FRE Vs Viking
1-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Start
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLLWL
0.62
Home
DLWLL
0.86
Away
LLLLW
0.44
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
12%
14%
11%
AVG goals
3.31
2.71
3.78
Over 2.5 %
62%
43%
78%
Scored
1.00
0.86
1.11
Conceded
2.31
1.86
2.67
BTTS
69%
57%
78%
Clean Sheet
6%
14%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
29%
22%
Fredrikstad
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLLLW
1.22
Home
LWWLW
1.62
Away
LLDLL
0.84
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
33%
46%
20%
AVG goals
2.51
2.58
2.44
Over 2.5 %
45%
46%
44%
Scored
1.12
1.46
0.80
Conceded
1.39
1.12
1.64
BTTS
47%
58%
36%
Clean Sheet
22%
21%
24%
Failed to Score
39%
25%
52%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Bodo/Glimt
16
75%
2.4
41
11
+30
3.2
88%
69%
44%
9.7
56%
2.4
13%
19.6
31%
75
22
27
26
2.6
0.7
65%
2
Viking
15
80%
2.5
37
14
+23
3.4
87%
73%
27%
11.5
80%
4.9
80%
25.2
67%
45
20
12
13
2.5
0.9
51%
3
Tromso
16
62%
2.1
32
17
+15
3.1
81%
50%
44%
9.9
44%
2.6
29%
22.7
62%
0
0
0
0
2.0
1.1
50%
4
Lillestrom
15
53%
1.7
22
18
+4
2.7
87%
53%
33%
10.3
60%
4.5
57%
24.7
67%
14
6
4
5
1.5
1.2
52%
5
Molde
15
47%
1.6
28
22
+6
3.3
80%
60%
40%
10.0
47%
3.9
53%
24.5
60%
35
13
7
15
1.9
1.5
59%
6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
15
40%
1.5
18
19
-1
2.5
67%
47%
20%
9.7
53%
3.5
40%
22.9
60%
16
9
3
4
1.2
1.3
44%
7
Ham-Kam
15
40%
1.4
23
26
-3
3.3
87%
73%
40%
9.3
47%
3.4
50%
25.1
67%
0
0
0
0
1.5
1.7
47%
8
Valerenga
15
40%
1.3
22
27
-5
3.3
80%
53%
47%
12.3
67%
3.8
50%
21.9
40%
14
6
5
3
1.5
1.8
48%
9
Brann
15
40%
1.3
30
25
+5
3.7
93%
87%
47%
11.6
67%
3.7
67%
24.5
67%
25
10
7
9
2.0
1.7
59%
10
Rosenborg
14
36%
1.3
19
18
+1
2.6
93%
50%
21%
11.7
64%
3.6
57%
25.7
79%
18
6
3
8
1.4
1.3
53%
11
Fredrikstad
15
33%
1.1
16
27
-11
2.9
87%
60%
33%
9.9
60%
3.5
47%
23.1
60%
15
5
3
8
1.1
1.8
47%
12
Sandefjord
15
27%
1.0
13
21
-8
2.3
67%
47%
20%
12.5
87%
3.6
57%
24.4
73%
11
4
2
5
0.9
1.4
51%
13
KFUM Oslo
15
27%
1.0
17
26
-9
2.9
87%
60%
33%
8.9
53%
3.6
53%
21.2
40%
8
3
2
4
1.1
1.7
45%
14
Aalesund
15
13%
0.9
21
35
-14
3.7
93%
67%
53%
12.1
87%
3.8
57%
23.5
67%
13
5
4
4
1.4
2.3
44%
15
Kristiansund BK
15
20%
0.8
13
25
-12
2.5
87%
53%
13%
10.7
53%
4.1
47%
24.2
60%
13
5
4
3
0.9
1.7
43%
16
Start
16
12%
0.6
16
37
-21
3.3
100%
62%
25%
8.9
31%
3.8
50%
24.2
81%
9
2
3
4
1.0
2.3
42%
Norway: Eliteserien 2026-27 full table · Start and Fredrikstad highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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