This opponent (Rosenborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rosenborg
Avg scored1.70
Avg conceded1.10
Avg total2.80
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.47
1.94
1.12
0.93
1.86
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.38
1.00
1.00
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (14)
1.14
1.86
1.44
1.33
0.60
2.80
vs Weaker (8)
2.88
0.88
3.75
0.75
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.2%
Under 2.5
48.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.1%
Under 3.5
70.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
Lillestrom goals ↓
Rosenborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.2%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.3%
13%
6.6%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.4%
5.3%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.5%
5.0%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.8%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lillestrom goals (down), columns = Rosenborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viking
2.47
Bodo/Glimt
2.38
Tromso
2.12
Lillestrom
1.67
Molde
1.60
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.47
Ham-Kam
1.40
Valerenga
1.33
Rosenborg
1.29
Brann
1.27
Fredrikstad
1.13
KFUM Oslo
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Aalesund
0.87
Kristiansund BK
0.80
Start
0.62
Lillestrom is 0.38 points better than Rosenborg in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.56
Viking
2.47
Tromso
2.00
Brann
2.00
Molde
1.87
Ham-Kam
1.53
Lillestrom
1.47
Valerenga
1.47
Aalesund
1.40
Rosenborg
1.36
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.20
KFUM Oslo
1.13
Fredrikstad
1.07
Start
1.00
Kristiansund BK
0.87
Sandefjord
0.87
Lillestrom is 0.11 goals better than Rosenborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.69
Viking
0.93
Tromso
1.06
Lillestrom
1.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.27
Rosenborg
1.29
Sandefjord
1.40
Molde
1.47
Kristiansund BK
1.67
Brann
1.67
KFUM Oslo
1.73
Ham-Kam
1.73
Fredrikstad
1.80
Valerenga
1.80
Start
2.31
Aalesund
2.33
Lillestrom is 0.09 goals better than Rosenborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
65%
Brann
59%
Molde
59%
Rosenborg
53%
Lillestrom
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
51%
Tromso
50%
Valerenga
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
Ham-Kam
47%
KFUM Oslo
45%
Aalesund
44%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
44%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Lillestrom is 1.1 percentage points worse than Rosenborg in terms of average possession (52% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lillestrom
For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rosenborg
For 5.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 15.3 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lillestrom
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
10.3
9.1
11.4
4.2
5.0
3.5
24.7
25.7
23.8
vs Stronger (4)
11.0
10.5
11.5
2.8
3.0
2.5
27.2
27.5
27.0
vs Similar (6)
10.3
7.5
11.8
4.3
4.5
4.2
24.7
25.0
24.5
vs Weaker (5)
9.8
9.3
10.5
5.2
6.7
3.0
22.6
25.0
19.0
% over line
60%
29%
88%
53%
71%
38%
67%
86%
50%
% under line
40%
71%
12%
47%
29%
62%
33%
14%
50%
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rosenborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
12.2
9.7
3.4
3.3
3.5
24.5
24.3
24.7
vs Stronger (11)
9.9
10.5
9.4
3.7
3.6
3.8
25.1
25.5
24.8
vs Similar (21)
11.6
12.9
9.9
3.8
3.7
3.9
25.0
24.5
25.7
vs Weaker (18)
11.0
12.0
9.7
2.8
2.7
2.9
23.6
23.7
23.4
% over line
64%
79%
48%
48%
46%
50%
69%
67%
71%
% under line
36%
21%
52%
52%
54%
50%
31%
33%
29%
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Viking
11.7
Aalesund
11.6
Valerenga
11.6
Sandefjord
11.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.1
Rosenborg
10.9
Brann
10.8
Bodo/Glimt
10.7
Ham-Kam
10.4
Lillestrom
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
9.9
Tromso
9.0
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Start
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lillestrom
4.5
Viking
4.3
Valerenga
4.1
Brann
4.1
Molde
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Kristiansund BK
3.8
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Aalesund
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Tromso
3.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.1
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.7
Lillestrom
24.7
Valerenga
24.3
Rosenborg
24.3
Start
24.2
Brann
24.2
Aalesund
23.7
Tromso
23.4
Ham-Kam
23.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.9
Molde
22.8
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.5
Fredrikstad
21.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.6%
Under 9.5
51.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.0%
Under 3.5
32.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.5%
Under 21.5
21.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 21.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (25)
€45m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (24)
€25m
ROS (20)
€18m
S0F (24)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
VAL (19)
€14m
AAL (24)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (22)
€11m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Lillestrom's squad is €3m less valuable than Rosenborg's (€14m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (9)
€20m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (9)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
ROS (6)
€6m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
AAL (6)
€5m
SAN (7)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Lillestrom and Rosenborg have a similar attack value (both €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Lillestrom and Rosenborg have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
MOL (11)
€15m
VIK (11)
€13m
BRA (11)
€9m
ROS (10)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
VAL (6)
€3m
Lillestrom's defence is €3m less valuable than Rosenborg's (€5m vs €8m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg · H/A from LIL
Date
H/A
Game
Score
10/05/26
A
Rosenborg Vs LIL
2-0
Lillestrom
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
A
Bodo/Glimt Vs LIL
4-0
22/07/26
H
LIL Vs Viking
1-2
18/07/26
H
LIL Vs KFUM Oslo
2-1
11/07/26
A
Fredrikstad Vs LIL
0-2
25/05/26
A
Ham-Kam Vs LIL
2-0
20/05/26
H
LIL Vs Kristiansund BK
1-2
16/05/26
H
LIL Vs Sandefjord
3-1
10/05/26
A
Rosenborg Vs LIL
2-0
03/05/26
H
LIL Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-0
26/04/26
H
LIL Vs Bodo/Glimt
0-2
Rosenborg
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
27/07/26
H
ROS Vs Fredrikstad
4-0
18/07/26
A
Start Vs ROS
0-3
12/07/26
H
ROS Vs Kristiansund BK
3-0
29/05/26
H
ROS Vs Bodo/Glimt
2-2
25/05/26
A
KFUM Oslo Vs ROS
2-0
16/05/26
H
ROS Vs Aalesund
2-3
10/05/26
H
ROS Vs Lillestrom
2-0
01/05/26
A
Viking Vs ROS
3-0
25/04/26
H
ROS Vs Brann
1-1
18/04/26
A
Sandefjord Vs ROS
0-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Lillestrom
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWWLL
1.67
Home
WWLWL
1.71
Away
WLLWL
1.62
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
53%
57%
50%
AVG goals
2.67
3.29
2.12
Over 2.5 %
53%
86%
25%
Scored
1.47
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.20
1.29
1.12
BTTS
40%
71%
12%
Clean Sheet
33%
14%
50%
Failed to Score
33%
14%
50%
Rosenborg
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LDWWW
1.46
Home
WLDWW
1.85
Away
LDLLW
1.04
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
40%
50%
29%
AVG goals
2.80
2.77
2.83
Over 2.5 %
50%
46%
54%
Scored
1.50
1.92
1.04
Conceded
1.30
0.85
1.79
BTTS
42%
50%
33%
Clean Sheet
40%
46%
33%
Failed to Score
26%
12%
42%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Bodo/Glimt
16
75%
2.4
41
11
+30
3.2
88%
69%
44%
9.7
56%
2.4
13%
19.6
31%
75
22
27
26
2.6
0.7
65%
2
Viking
15
80%
2.5
37
14
+23
3.4
87%
73%
27%
11.5
80%
4.9
80%
25.2
67%
45
20
12
13
2.5
0.9
51%
3
Tromso
16
62%
2.1
32
17
+15
3.1
81%
50%
44%
9.9
44%
2.6
29%
22.7
62%
0
0
0
0
2.0
1.1
50%
4
Lillestrom
15
53%
1.7
22
18
+4
2.7
87%
53%
33%
10.3
60%
4.5
57%
24.7
67%
14
6
4
5
1.5
1.2
52%
5
Molde
15
47%
1.6
28
22
+6
3.3
80%
60%
40%
10.0
47%
3.9
53%
24.5
60%
35
13
7
15
1.9
1.5
59%
6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
15
40%
1.5
18
19
-1
2.5
67%
47%
20%
9.7
53%
3.5
40%
22.9
60%
16
9
3
4
1.2
1.3
44%
7
Ham-Kam
15
40%
1.4
23
26
-3
3.3
87%
73%
40%
9.3
47%
3.4
50%
25.1
67%
0
0
0
0
1.5
1.7
47%
8
Valerenga
15
40%
1.3
22
27
-5
3.3
80%
53%
47%
12.3
67%
3.8
50%
21.9
40%
14
6
5
3
1.5
1.8
48%
9
Brann
15
40%
1.3
30
25
+5
3.7
93%
87%
47%
11.6
67%
3.7
67%
24.5
67%
25
10
7
9
2.0
1.7
59%
10
Rosenborg
14
36%
1.3
19
18
+1
2.6
93%
50%
21%
11.7
64%
3.6
57%
25.7
79%
18
6
3
8
1.4
1.3
53%
11
Fredrikstad
15
33%
1.1
16
27
-11
2.9
87%
60%
33%
9.9
60%
3.5
47%
23.1
60%
15
5
3
8
1.1
1.8
47%
12
Sandefjord
15
27%
1.0
13
21
-8
2.3
67%
47%
20%
12.5
87%
3.6
57%
24.4
73%
11
4
2
5
0.9
1.4
51%
13
KFUM Oslo
15
27%
1.0
17
26
-9
2.9
87%
60%
33%
8.9
53%
3.6
53%
21.2
40%
8
3
2
4
1.1
1.7
45%
14
Aalesund
15
13%
0.9
21
35
-14
3.7
93%
67%
53%
12.1
87%
3.8
57%
23.5
67%
13
5
4
4
1.4
2.3
44%
15
Kristiansund BK
15
20%
0.8
13
25
-12
2.5
87%
53%
13%
10.7
53%
4.1
47%
24.2
60%
13
5
4
3
0.9
1.7
43%
16
Start
16
12%
0.6
16
37
-21
3.3
100%
62%
25%
8.9
31%
3.8
50%
24.2
81%
9
2
3
4
1.0
2.3
42%
Norway: Eliteserien 2026-27 full table · Lillestrom and Rosenborg highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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