PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK
Vs
28%
28%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Molde
Molde
Norway: Eliteserien
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kristiansund BK win
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Molde win
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

Avg scored 0.70
Avg conceded 1.70
Avg total 2.40
30-3avg 0.7avg 1.7avg total 2.411020121121303001212H·HAMA·SANA·MOLA·LILH·VIKA·VALA·ROSH·SARH·STAA·KFU
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.972.031.251.690.642.43
vs Stronger (20)0.902.201.181.730.562.78
vs Similar (8)1.001.881.332.000.801.80
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.501.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoldeMolde

Avg scored 2.00
Avg conceded 1.50
Avg total 3.50
50-5avg 2.0avg 1.5avg total 3.551100210122122124233H·VALA·BODA·TROH·KRIA·SARH·SANA·AALH·BRAA·KFUH·SAR
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.372.311.061.071.71
vs Stronger (6)0.831.832.000.000.602.20
vs Similar (14)2.291.292.581.250.501.50
vs Weaker (10)1.501.201.330.671.571.43
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
Kristiansund BK goals ↓
Molde goals →
01234
07.7%9.0%7.9%4.1%1.6%
16.5%13%9.3%4.8%1.9%
24.5%7.0%5.4%2.8%1.1%
31.8%2.7%2.1%1.1%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kristiansund BK goals (down), columns = Molde goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Viking
2.47
Bodo/Glimt
2.38
Tromso
2.12
Lillestrom
1.67
Molde
1.60
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.47
Ham-Kam
1.40
Valerenga
1.33
Rosenborg
1.29
Brann
1.27
Fredrikstad
1.13
KFUM Oslo
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Aalesund
0.87
Kristiansund BK
0.80
Start
0.62
Kristiansund BK is 0.80 points worse than Molde in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.56
Viking
2.47
Tromso
2.00
Brann
2.00
Molde
1.87
Ham-Kam
1.53
Lillestrom
1.47
Valerenga
1.47
Aalesund
1.40
Rosenborg
1.36
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.20
KFUM Oslo
1.13
Fredrikstad
1.07
Start
1.00
Kristiansund BK
0.87
Sandefjord
0.87
Kristiansund BK is 1.00 goals worse than Molde in terms of goals scored per game (0.87 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.69
Viking
0.93
Tromso
1.06
Lillestrom
1.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.27
Rosenborg
1.29
Sandefjord
1.40
Molde
1.47
Kristiansund BK
1.67
Brann
1.67
KFUM Oslo
1.73
Ham-Kam
1.73
Fredrikstad
1.80
Valerenga
1.80
Start
2.31
Aalesund
2.33
Kristiansund BK is 0.20 goals worse than Molde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
65%
Brann
59%
Molde
59%
Rosenborg
53%
Lillestrom
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
51%
Tromso
50%
Valerenga
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
Ham-Kam
47%
KFUM Oslo
45%
Aalesund
44%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
44%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Kristiansund BK is 15.8 percentage points worse than Molde in terms of average possession (43% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

15033364878654438634643691215118119107A·KFUH·STAH·SARA·ROSA·VALH·VIKA·LILA·MOLA·SANH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

10016222111345521212218412710334A·KFUH·STAH·SARA·ROSA·VALH·VIKA·LILA·MOLA·SANH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

3601191115151722147121115189156101761420263236192627212720A·KFUH·STAH·SARA·ROSA·VALH·VIKA·LILA·MOLA·SANH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MoldeMolde

For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1605493647261082364511125912109161099127H·SARA·KFUH·BRAA·AALH·SANA·SARH·KRIA·TROA·BODH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

6011334131131112223112654423432H·SARA·KFUH·BRAA·AALH·SANA·SARH·KRIA·TROA·BODH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

2901469813151118131161361581112106720172829241921192213H·SARA·KFUH·BRAA·AALH·SANA·SARH·KRIA·TROA·BODH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)10.39.910.73.74.43.022.021.922.1
vs Stronger (31)11.010.711.33.64.32.921.921.322.5
vs Similar (11)9.08.69.33.94.23.722.722.822.7
vs Weaker (3)7.36.59.04.35.52.020.324.013.0
% over line57%55%59%49%68%30%50%50%50%
% under line43%45%41%51%32%70%50%50%50%
This opponent (Molde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoldeMolde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.110.44.03.84.222.823.322.3
vs Stronger (9)10.210.310.24.04.04.024.125.723.3
vs Similar (24)10.710.111.64.34.04.923.123.822.1
vs Weaker (17)9.710.09.43.53.33.721.621.321.8
% over line52%52%52%56%60%52%57%61%52%
% under line48%48%48%44%40%48%43%39%48%
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Viking
11.7
Aalesund
11.6
Valerenga
11.6
Sandefjord
11.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.1
Rosenborg
10.9
Brann
10.8
Bodo/Glimt
10.7
Ham-Kam
10.4
Lillestrom
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
9.9
Tromso
9.0
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Start
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lillestrom
4.5
Viking
4.3
Valerenga
4.1
Brann
4.1
Molde
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Kristiansund BK
3.8
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Aalesund
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Tromso
3.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.1
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.7
Lillestrom
24.7
Valerenga
24.3
Rosenborg
24.3
Start
24.2
Brann
24.2
Aalesund
23.7
Tromso
23.4
Ham-Kam
23.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.9
Molde
22.8
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.5
Fredrikstad
21.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.1%
Under 9.5
44.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.5%
Under 3.5
37.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
60.9%
Under 21.5
39.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.576.9%-------
Under 3.570.8%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (25)
€45m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (24)
€25m
ROS (20)
€18m
S0F (24)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
VAL (19)
€14m
AAL (24)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (22)
€11m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Kristiansund BK's squad is €22m less valuable than Molde's (€13m vs €35m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (9)
€20m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (9)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
ROS (6)
€6m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
AAL (6)
€5m
SAN (7)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Kristiansund BK's attack is €8m less valuable than Molde's (€5m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Kristiansund BK's midfield is €3m less valuable than Molde's (€4m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
MOL (11)
€15m
VIK (11)
€13m
BRA (11)
€9m
ROS (10)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
VAL (6)
€3m
Kristiansund BK's defence is €11m less valuable than Molde's (€3m vs €15m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Kristiansund BK vs Molde · H/A from KB
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26AMolde Vs KB1-0
04/10/25HKB Vs Molde2-1
16/05/25AMolde Vs KB0-1

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26AKFUM Oslo Vs KB2-1
25/07/26HKB Vs Start1-2
18/07/26HKB Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
12/07/26ARosenborg Vs KB3-0
29/05/26AValerenga Vs KB3-1
24/05/26HKB Vs Viking1-2
20/05/26ALillestrom Vs KB1-2
16/05/26AMolde Vs KB1-0
10/05/26ASandefjord Vs KB2-0
03/05/26HKB Vs Ham-Kam1-1

MoldeMolde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HMOL Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF3-3
26/07/26AKFUM Oslo Vs MOL2-4
18/07/26HMOL Vs Brann1-2
11/07/26AAalesund Vs MOL2-2
30/05/26HMOL Vs Sandefjord2-1
25/05/26ASarpsborg 08 FF Vs MOL2-1
16/05/26HMOL Vs Kristiansund BK1-0
10/05/26ATromso Vs MOL2-0
04/05/26ABodo/Glimt Vs MOL0-1
26/04/26HMOL Vs Valerenga5-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.05
HomeWDLDL1.23
AwayLWLLL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%32%23%
AVG goals2.912.773.05
Over 2.5 %57%59%55%
Scored1.071.230.91
Conceded1.841.552.14
BTTS59%59%59%
Clean Sheet16%18%14%
Failed to Score32%32%32%
Molde
Molde
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWD1.38
HomeWWWLD1.76
AwayWLLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals2.983.162.80
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Scored1.602.001.20
Conceded1.381.161.60
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Failed to Score26%20%32%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/Glimt16
75%
2.4
4111+30
3.2
88%
69%
44%
9.7
56%
2.4
13%
19.6
31%
75
2227262.60.7
65%
2Viking15
80%
2.5
3714+23
3.4
87%
73%
27%
11.5
80%
4.9
80%
25.2
67%
45
2012132.50.9
51%
3Tromso16
62%
2.1
3217+15
3.1
81%
50%
44%
9.9
44%
2.6
29%
22.7
62%
0
0002.01.1
50%
4Lillestrom15
53%
1.7
2218+4
2.7
87%
53%
33%
10.3
60%
4.5
57%
24.7
67%
14
6451.51.2
52%
5Molde15
47%
1.6
2822+6
3.3
80%
60%
40%
10.0
47%
3.9
53%
24.5
60%
35
137151.91.5
59%
6Sarpsborg 08 FF15
40%
1.5
1819-1
2.5
67%
47%
20%
9.7
53%
3.5
40%
22.9
60%
16
9341.21.3
44%
7Ham-Kam15
40%
1.4
2326-3
3.3
87%
73%
40%
9.3
47%
3.4
50%
25.1
67%
0
0001.51.7
47%
8Valerenga15
40%
1.3
2227-5
3.3
80%
53%
47%
12.3
67%
3.8
50%
21.9
40%
14
6531.51.8
48%
9Brann15
40%
1.3
3025+5
3.7
93%
87%
47%
11.6
67%
3.7
67%
24.5
67%
25
10792.01.7
59%
10Rosenborg14
36%
1.3
1918+1
2.6
93%
50%
21%
11.7
64%
3.6
57%
25.7
79%
18
6381.41.3
53%
11Fredrikstad15
33%
1.1
1627-11
2.9
87%
60%
33%
9.9
60%
3.5
47%
23.1
60%
15
5381.11.8
47%
12Sandefjord15
27%
1.0
1321-8
2.3
67%
47%
20%
12.5
87%
3.6
57%
24.4
73%
11
4250.91.4
51%
13KFUM Oslo15
27%
1.0
1726-9
2.9
87%
60%
33%
8.9
53%
3.6
53%
21.2
40%
8
3241.11.7
45%
14Aalesund15
13%
0.9
2135-14
3.7
93%
67%
53%
12.1
87%
3.8
57%
23.5
67%
13
5441.42.3
44%
15Kristiansund BK15
20%
0.8
1325-12
2.5
87%
53%
13%
10.7
53%
4.1
47%
24.2
60%
13
5430.91.7
43%
16Start16
12%
0.6
1637-21
3.3
100%
62%
25%
8.9
31%
3.8
50%
24.2
81%
9
2341.02.3
42%
Norway: Eliteserien 2026-27 full table · Kristiansund BK and Molde highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

← all matches