This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Avg scored0.60
Avg conceded2.00
Avg total2.60
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.50
0.50
1.38
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (24)
0.62
1.54
0.43
1.36
0.90
1.80
vs Similar (5)
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.67
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Malmo FF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.8%
Under 2.5
31.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.4%
Under 3.5
52.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
63.1%
No
36.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
Malmo FF goals ↓
Degerfors IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
2.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
1
6.1%
8.8%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
2
8.2%
9.5%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.6%
7.6%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
4
3.9%
4.5%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malmo FF goals (down), columns = Degerfors IF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.71
Hammarby FF
1.80
Djurgardens IF
1.77
BK Hacken
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.57
Malmo FF
1.53
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.40
Gais
1.33
Mjallby AIF
1.21
Kalmar FF
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna
1.13
IFK Goteborg
1.07
Orgryte IS
0.87
Degerfors IF
0.67
Halmstad
0.50
Malmo FF is 0.87 points better than Degerfors IF in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.86
Hammarby FF
2.20
Djurgardens IF
2.08
Malmo FF
2.00
BK Hacken
1.87
Vasteras SK FK
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.43
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IF Elfsborg
1.33
IFK Goteborg
1.27
Kalmar FF
1.27
Gais
1.27
AIK Stockholm
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.13
Degerfors IF
0.80
Halmstad
0.79
Malmo FF is 1.20 goals better than Degerfors IF in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
1.00
Hammarby FF
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.15
IF Elfsborg
1.20
Sirius
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.36
AIK Stockholm
1.40
Kalmar FF
1.40
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.60
Vasteras SK FK
1.64
Malmo FF
1.67
Degerfors IF
1.73
Halmstad
2.07
IFK Goteborg
2.20
Orgryte IS
2.20
Malmo FF is 0.07 goals better than Degerfors IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.73).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
60%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
55%
AIK Stockholm
53%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Degerfors IF
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
Sirius
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
46%
IF Elfsborg
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Malmo FF is 8.1 percentage points better than Degerfors IF in terms of average possession (56% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Malmo FF
For 4.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Degerfors IF
For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Malmo FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.3
3.6
3.7
3.5
25.6
26.1
25.0
vs Stronger (12)
9.0
8.8
9.2
3.4
3.7
3.2
25.1
25.0
25.2
vs Similar (22)
10.5
9.8
11.1
4.3
4.5
4.1
26.3
27.1
25.5
vs Weaker (16)
9.4
8.4
10.1
2.7
2.4
2.9
24.8
25.4
24.3
% over line
48%
50%
46%
54%
62%
46%
72%
82%
62%
% under line
52%
50%
54%
46%
38%
54%
28%
18%
38%
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
10.4
10.2
10.5
4.0
3.7
4.4
25.4
26.4
24.4
vs Stronger (35)
10.2
10.2
10.2
4.0
3.8
4.2
25.5
26.6
24.3
vs Similar (8)
10.4
10.0
10.8
4.0
2.5
5.5
25.2
23.8
26.8
vs Weaker (2)
13.0
11.0
15.0
5.0
6.0
4.0
25.5
34.0
17.0
% over line
60%
61%
59%
58%
48%
68%
84%
87%
82%
% under line
40%
39%
41%
42%
52%
32%
16%
13%
18%
This opponent (Malmo FF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.0
Djurgardens IF
10.8
AIK Stockholm
10.6
IF Brommapojkarna
10.5
Orgryte IS
10.5
BK Hacken
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.4
Gais
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.3
Kalmar FF
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Malmo FF
10.0
Halmstad
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.8
Vasteras SK FK
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.5
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.1
Degerfors IF
4.0
Vasteras SK FK
3.9
IF Elfsborg
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Kalmar FF
3.5
Sirius
3.4
Orgryte IS
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vasteras SK FK
26.7
IFK Goteborg
26.1
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.3
Malmo FF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Gais
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.5
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.9
Kalmar FF
22.9
Orgryte IS
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.9%
Under 9.5
50.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.7%
Under 3.5
44.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.9%
Under 21.5
20.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Malmo FF's squad is €24m more valuable than Degerfors IF's (€30m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Malmo FF's attack is €8m more valuable than Degerfors IF's (€9m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
Malmo FF's midfield is €6m more valuable than Degerfors IF's (€8m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Malmo FF's defence is €10m more valuable than Degerfors IF's (€12m vs €3m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF · H/A from MF
Date
H/A
Game
Score
04/07/26
A
Degerfors IF Vs MF
0-1
31/08/25
H
MF Vs Degerfors IF
1-1
11/05/25
A
Degerfors IF Vs MF
1-4
Malmo FF
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
IF Brommapojkarna Vs MF
1-2
26/07/26
H
MF Vs IF Elfsborg
1-2
20/07/26
A
Kalmar FF Vs MF
2-2
12/07/26
H
MF Vs IFK Goteborg
4-0
04/07/26
A
Degerfors IF Vs MF
0-1
30/05/26
H
MF Vs Halmstad
5-2
24/05/26
H
MF Vs Vasteras SK FK
2-3
17/05/26
A
Hammarby FF Vs MF
4-1
10/05/26
A
BK Hacken Vs MF
3-2
03/05/26
H
MF Vs Mjallby AIF
2-3
Degerfors IF
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
IFK Goteborg Vs DI
2-0
25/07/26
H
DI Vs Djurgardens IF
0-1
19/07/26
A
Hammarby FF Vs DI
4-0
12/07/26
A
Vasteras SK FK Vs DI
2-0
04/07/26
H
DI Vs Malmo FF
0-1
31/05/26
H
DI Vs IF Brommapojkarna
2-2
23/05/26
A
Kalmar FF Vs DI
2-1
16/05/26
A
Gais Vs DI
1-1
09/05/26
H
DI Vs Mjallby AIF
1-4
02/05/26
H
DI Vs BK Hacken
1-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Malmo FF
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWDLW
1.46
Home
LLWWL
1.42
Away
LLWDW
1.50
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
42%
42%
42%
AVG goals
3.04
3.08
3.00
Over 2.5 %
62%
67%
58%
Scored
1.60
1.75
1.46
Conceded
1.44
1.33
1.54
BTTS
58%
62%
54%
Clean Sheet
28%
25%
31%
Failed to Score
20%
21%
19%
Degerfors IF
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLLLL
0.89
Home
DLDLL
0.57
Away
DLLLL
1.23
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
22%
9%
36%
AVG goals
2.73
2.13
3.36
Over 2.5 %
53%
39%
68%
Scored
1.00
0.57
1.45
Conceded
1.73
1.57
1.91
BTTS
51%
43%
59%
Clean Sheet
11%
13%
9%
Failed to Score
42%
52%
32%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Sirius
14
86%
2.7
40
17
+23
4.1
100%
86%
57%
10.2
71%
3.0
50%
25.9
93%
27
18
5
4
2.9
1.2
47%
2
Hammarby FF
15
53%
1.8
33
15
+18
3.2
93%
53%
27%
8.5
33%
3.0
33%
24.6
73%
0
0
0
0
2.2
1.0
60%
3
BK Hacken
15
40%
1.7
28
23
+5
3.4
87%
53%
47%
10.9
60%
4.3
60%
26.4
80%
16
6
3
7
1.9
1.5
52%
4
Djurgardens IF
13
54%
1.8
27
15
+12
3.2
69%
62%
38%
12.0
77%
3.5
46%
22.5
54%
27
8
14
6
2.1
1.2
57%
5
Malmo FF
15
47%
1.5
30
25
+5
3.7
80%
73%
60%
10.3
47%
4.0
60%
26.7
87%
30
9
8
12
2.0
1.7
56%
6
Vasteras SK FK
14
43%
1.6
24
23
+1
3.4
79%
57%
43%
10.4
64%
3.8
50%
26.9
100%
10
3
3
4
1.7
1.6
48%
7
AIK Stockholm
15
40%
1.5
18
21
-3
2.6
80%
60%
13%
10.8
47%
4.3
73%
24.3
73%
20
8
7
5
1.2
1.4
53%
8
IF Elfsborg
15
33%
1.4
20
18
+2
2.5
87%
47%
20%
9.2
47%
3.9
53%
21.3
53%
17
5
4
7
1.3
1.2
46%
9
Gais
15
33%
1.3
19
15
+4
2.3
73%
40%
20%
9.7
53%
3.6
40%
23.6
67%
13
5
3
5
1.3
1.0
50%
10
Kalmar FF
15
33%
1.2
19
21
-2
2.7
80%
53%
20%
10.0
47%
3.5
40%
24.0
67%
10
4
2
3
1.3
1.4
47%
11
Mjallby AIF
14
29%
1.2
20
19
+1
2.8
79%
50%
21%
8.9
36%
4.0
64%
26.4
71%
26
7
11
8
1.4
1.4
55%
12
IF Brommapojkarna
15
27%
1.1
20
24
-4
2.9
93%
73%
27%
9.9
53%
3.1
33%
21.8
53%
8
3
1
4
1.3
1.6
46%
13
IFK Goteborg
15
27%
1.1
19
33
-14
3.5
93%
53%
40%
11.1
67%
4.1
47%
24.9
80%
16
8
3
5
1.3
2.2
51%
14
Orgryte IS
15
20%
0.9
17
33
-16
3.3
93%
53%
33%
9.7
47%
3.1
53%
22.1
53%
8
2
2
4
1.1
2.2
43%
15
Degerfors IF
15
13%
0.7
12
26
-14
2.5
80%
47%
20%
9.3
40%
3.7
40%
26.0
73%
6
1
3
3
0.8
1.7
48%
16
Halmstad
14
7%
0.5
11
29
-18
2.9
100%
43%
21%
10.1
50%
3.4
50%
23.7
57%
8
4
1
3
0.8
2.1
41%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026-27 full table · Malmo FF and Degerfors IF highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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