PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Halmstad
Halmstad
Vs
22%
27%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gais
Gais
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halmstad win
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Gais win
50.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HalmstadHalmstad

Avg scored 0.80
Avg conceded 2.20
Avg total 3.00
50-5avg 0.8avg 2.2avg total 3.002130211202513030211A·MJAH·IF A·KALH·IF H·ORGA·MALH·VASA·DJUH·BK A·GAI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.730.571.570.881.88
vs Stronger (24)0.751.750.641.450.852.00
vs Similar (5)0.401.800.332.000.501.50
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GaisGais

Avg scored 1.50
Avg conceded 0.70
Avg total 2.20
40-4avg 1.5avg 0.7avg total 2.240101120123011100211H·ORGA·VASH·DEGH·HAMA·SIRH·KALA·IF H·IF A·AIKH·HAL
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.071.560.691.291.50
vs Stronger (6)0.831.330.670.671.002.00
vs Similar (15)1.471.131.880.621.001.71
vs Weaker (9)1.780.781.600.802.000.75
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Halmstad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
Halmstad goals ↓
Gais goals →
01234
08.5%11%9.5%5.1%2.0%
16.2%13%9.5%5.1%2.1%
23.7%6.0%4.8%2.6%1.0%
31.2%2.0%1.6%0.9%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Halmstad goals (down), columns = Gais goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sirius
2.71
Hammarby FF
1.80
Djurgardens IF
1.77
BK Hacken
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.57
Malmo FF
1.53
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.40
Gais
1.33
Mjallby AIF
1.21
Kalmar FF
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna
1.13
IFK Goteborg
1.07
Orgryte IS
0.87
Degerfors IF
0.67
Halmstad
0.50
Halmstad is 0.83 points worse than Gais in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.86
Hammarby FF
2.20
Djurgardens IF
2.08
Malmo FF
2.00
BK Hacken
1.87
Vasteras SK FK
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.43
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IF Elfsborg
1.33
IFK Goteborg
1.27
Kalmar FF
1.27
Gais
1.27
AIK Stockholm
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.13
Degerfors IF
0.80
Halmstad
0.79
Halmstad is 0.48 goals worse than Gais in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
1.00
Hammarby FF
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.15
IF Elfsborg
1.20
Sirius
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.36
AIK Stockholm
1.40
Kalmar FF
1.40
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.60
Vasteras SK FK
1.64
Malmo FF
1.67
Degerfors IF
1.73
Halmstad
2.07
IFK Goteborg
2.20
Orgryte IS
2.20
Halmstad is 1.07 goals worse than Gais in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
60%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
55%
AIK Stockholm
53%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Degerfors IF
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
Sirius
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
46%
IF Elfsborg
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Halmstad is 9.8 percentage points worse than Gais in terms of average possession (41% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

HalmstadHalmstad

For 4.4 · Against 7.3 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

1705107371038543528312455815101711981015913A·GAIH·BK A·DJUH·VASA·MALH·ORGH·IF A·KALH·IF A·MJA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

70332131123111234116214152372A·GAIH·BK A·DJUH·VASA·MALH·ORGH·IF A·KALH·IF A·MJA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

300121216311613131113191114510971211924191726243019191920A·GAIH·BK A·DJUH·VASA·MALH·ORGH·IF A·KALH·IF A·MJA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GaisGais

For 6.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1501055466838347236351821591211111159610H·HALA·AIKH·IF A·IF H·KALA·SIRH·HAMH·DEGA·VASH·ORG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

603323221312312316232345331H·HALA·AIKH·IF A·IF H·KALA·SIRH·HAMH·DEGA·VASH·ORG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 9.0 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

28012121810848510611111611159168121424281213162227242426H·HALA·AIKH·IF A·IF H·KALA·SIRH·HAMH·DEGA·VASH·ORG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HalmstadHalmstad

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)9.99.010.83.43.43.323.924.523.3
vs Stronger (35)9.68.610.43.32.93.624.424.924.0
vs Similar (8)10.59.612.04.05.22.022.924.021.0
vs Weaker (2)13.012.014.03.04.02.019.020.018.0
% over line52%45%59%49%52%45%68%68%68%
% under line48%55%41%51%48%55%32%32%32%
This opponent (Gais) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GaisGais

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)10.311.19.53.73.73.624.723.525.9
vs Stronger (9)10.310.210.53.83.44.224.022.825.5
vs Similar (21)9.710.68.94.03.74.325.422.028.5
vs Weaker (15)11.112.49.73.14.02.124.125.822.1
% over line56%65%45%51%52%50%76%70%82%
% under line44%35%55%49%48%50%24%30%18%
This opponent (Halmstad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.0
Djurgardens IF
10.8
AIK Stockholm
10.6
IF Brommapojkarna
10.5
Orgryte IS
10.5
BK Hacken
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.4
Gais
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.3
Kalmar FF
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Malmo FF
10.0
Halmstad
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.8
Vasteras SK FK
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.5
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.1
Degerfors IF
4.0
Vasteras SK FK
3.9
IF Elfsborg
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Kalmar FF
3.5
Sirius
3.4
Orgryte IS
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Vasteras SK FK
26.7
IFK Goteborg
26.1
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.3
Malmo FF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Gais
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.5
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.9
Kalmar FF
22.9
Orgryte IS
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.1%
Under 9.5
58.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.7%
Under 3.5
51.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.4%
Under 21.5
23.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 21.5 fouls76.4%-------
Over 1.574.8%-------
Under 3.573.2%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Halmstad's squad is €6m less valuable than Gais's (€8m vs €13m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Halmstad and Gais have a similar attack value (both €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
Halmstad's midfield is €2m less valuable than Gais's (€1m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Halmstad's defence is €2m less valuable than Gais's (€3m vs €5m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Halmstad vs Gais · H/A from HAL
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26AGais Vs HAL1-1
26/07/25AGais Vs HAL3-0
14/05/25HHAL Vs Gais1-3

HalmstadHalmstad

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26AGais Vs HAL1-1
19/07/26HHAL Vs BK Hacken0-2
13/07/26ADjurgardens IF Vs HAL3-0
04/07/26HHAL Vs Vasteras SK FK1-3
30/05/26AMalmo FF Vs HAL5-2
23/05/26HHAL Vs Orgryte IS2-0
16/05/26HHAL Vs IF Elfsborg1-1
10/05/26AKalmar FF Vs HAL2-0
04/05/26HHAL Vs IF Brommapojkarna1-3
27/04/26AMjallby AIF Vs HAL2-0

GaisGais

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HGAI Vs Halmstad1-1
18/07/26AAIK Stockholm Vs GAI2-0
12/07/26HGAI Vs IF Elfsborg1-0
06/07/26AIF Brommapojkarna Vs GAI1-1
30/05/26HGAI Vs Kalmar FF3-0
24/05/26ASirius Vs GAI2-1
20/05/26HGAI Vs Hammarby FF2-0
16/05/26HGAI Vs Degerfors IF1-1
09/05/26AVasteras SK FK Vs GAI0-1
03/05/26HGAI Vs Orgryte IS4-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Halmstad
Halmstad
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.95
HomeLDWLL1.05
AwayLLLLD0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%27%23%
AVG goals2.592.642.55
Over 2.5 %45%45%45%
Scored0.800.860.73
Conceded1.801.771.82
BTTS41%41%41%
Clean Sheet23%32%14%
Failed to Score41%36%45%
Gais
Gais
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.60
HomeDWWWD1.87
AwayDWLDL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%32%
AVG goals2.422.222.64
Over 2.5 %44%35%55%
Scored1.421.481.36
Conceded1.000.741.27
BTTS53%43%64%
Clean Sheet31%39%23%
Failed to Score22%26%18%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sirius14
86%
2.7
4017+23
4.1
100%
86%
57%
10.2
71%
3.0
50%
25.9
93%
27
18542.91.2
47%
2Hammarby FF15
53%
1.8
3315+18
3.2
93%
53%
27%
8.5
33%
3.0
33%
24.6
73%
0
0002.21.0
60%
3BK Hacken15
40%
1.7
2823+5
3.4
87%
53%
47%
10.9
60%
4.3
60%
26.4
80%
16
6371.91.5
52%
4Djurgardens IF13
54%
1.8
2715+12
3.2
69%
62%
38%
12.0
77%
3.5
46%
22.5
54%
27
81462.11.2
57%
5Malmo FF15
47%
1.5
3025+5
3.7
80%
73%
60%
10.3
47%
4.0
60%
26.7
87%
30
98122.01.7
56%
6Vasteras SK FK14
43%
1.6
2423+1
3.4
79%
57%
43%
10.4
64%
3.8
50%
26.9
100%
10
3341.71.6
48%
7AIK Stockholm15
40%
1.5
1821-3
2.6
80%
60%
13%
10.8
47%
4.3
73%
24.3
73%
20
8751.21.4
53%
8IF Elfsborg15
33%
1.4
2018+2
2.5
87%
47%
20%
9.2
47%
3.9
53%
21.3
53%
17
5471.31.2
46%
9Gais15
33%
1.3
1915+4
2.3
73%
40%
20%
9.7
53%
3.6
40%
23.6
67%
13
5351.31.0
50%
10Kalmar FF15
33%
1.2
1921-2
2.7
80%
53%
20%
10.0
47%
3.5
40%
24.0
67%
10
4231.31.4
47%
11Mjallby AIF14
29%
1.2
2019+1
2.8
79%
50%
21%
8.9
36%
4.0
64%
26.4
71%
26
71181.41.4
55%
12IF Brommapojkarna15
27%
1.1
2024-4
2.9
93%
73%
27%
9.9
53%
3.1
33%
21.8
53%
8
3141.31.6
46%
13IFK Goteborg15
27%
1.1
1933-14
3.5
93%
53%
40%
11.1
67%
4.1
47%
24.9
80%
16
8351.32.2
51%
14Orgryte IS15
20%
0.9
1733-16
3.3
93%
53%
33%
9.7
47%
3.1
53%
22.1
53%
8
2241.12.2
43%
15Degerfors IF15
13%
0.7
1226-14
2.5
80%
47%
20%
9.3
40%
3.7
40%
26.0
73%
6
1330.81.7
48%
16Halmstad14
7%
0.5
1129-18
2.9
100%
43%
21%
10.1
50%
3.4
50%
23.7
57%
8
4130.82.1
41%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026-27 full table · Halmstad and Gais highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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