PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 10/08/2026
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
Vs
23%
23%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasteras SK FK win
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Djurgardens IF win
53.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK

Avg scored 1.70
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 3.10
50-5avg 1.7avg 1.4avg total 3.121030111324531200020A·IF A·HAMH·GAIH·AIKA·MALH·IFKA·HALH·DEGA·MJAH·ORG
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.132.471.001.871.27
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (7)1.001.860.501.001.202.20
vs Weaker (22)2.640.952.771.002.440.89
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF

Avg scored 2.30
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 3.50
60-6avg 2.3avg 1.2avg total 3.512116042231242300010A·IF H·HAMH·IFKA·AIKH·SIRH·IF A·BK H·HALA·ORGA·DEG
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.072.731.201.930.93
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (13)2.381.312.881.501.601.00
vs Weaker (16)2.380.882.570.862.220.89
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.5%
Under 2.5
35.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
63.9%
No
36.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
5.1%
Vasteras SK FK goals ↓
Djurgardens IF goals →
01234
04.6%6.4%7.5%5.1%2.6%
13.7%10%9.6%6.5%3.3%
23.0%6.1%6.2%4.2%2.1%
31.3%2.6%2.7%1.8%0.9%
40.4%0.8%0.9%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vasteras SK FK goals (down), columns = Djurgardens IF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sirius
2.71
Hammarby FF
1.80
Djurgardens IF
1.77
BK Hacken
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.57
Malmo FF
1.53
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.40
Gais
1.33
Mjallby AIF
1.21
Kalmar FF
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna
1.13
IFK Goteborg
1.07
Orgryte IS
0.87
Degerfors IF
0.67
Halmstad
0.50
Vasteras SK FK is 0.20 points worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.86
Hammarby FF
2.20
Djurgardens IF
2.08
Malmo FF
2.00
BK Hacken
1.87
Vasteras SK FK
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.43
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IF Elfsborg
1.33
IFK Goteborg
1.27
Kalmar FF
1.27
Gais
1.27
AIK Stockholm
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.13
Degerfors IF
0.80
Halmstad
0.79
Vasteras SK FK is 0.36 goals worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 2.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
1.00
Hammarby FF
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.15
IF Elfsborg
1.20
Sirius
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.36
AIK Stockholm
1.40
Kalmar FF
1.40
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.60
Vasteras SK FK
1.64
Malmo FF
1.67
Degerfors IF
1.73
Halmstad
2.07
IFK Goteborg
2.20
Orgryte IS
2.20
Vasteras SK FK is 0.49 goals worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.64 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
60%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
55%
AIK Stockholm
53%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Degerfors IF
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
Sirius
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
46%
IF Elfsborg
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Vasteras SK FK is 8.0 percentage points worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of average possession (48% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK

For 3.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

14025311168373326415766714711105106712H·ORGA·MJAH·DEGA·HALH·IFKA·MALH·AIKH·GAIA·HAMA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

8013326132132632111684248331H·ORGA·MJAH·DEGA·HALH·IFKA·MALH·AIKH·GAIA·HAMA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.0

⚠️ Fouls

3701713169152213136161318151581613914930253726223130242223H·ORGA·MJAH·DEGA·HALH·IFKA·MALH·AIKH·GAIA·HAMA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF

For 7.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

1706613310787387397771272121617151110161439A·DEGA·ORGH·HALA·BK H·IF H·SIRA·AIKH·IFKH·HAMA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

501131131214221211232414254325A·DEGA·ORGH·HALA·BK H·IF H·SIRA·AIKH·IFKH·HAMA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

29012785611121081114151412111020861619131722192926212822A·DEGA·ORGH·HALA·BK H·IF H·SIRA·AIKH·IFKH·HAMA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)9.68.610.32.52.42.726.727.026.4
vs Stronger (1)14.0-14.06.0-6.025.0-25.0
vs Similar (9)8.96.310.83.15.02.227.726.328.8
vs Weaker (35)9.69.39.82.31.92.726.427.225.7
% over line52%46%56%36%32%39%86%100%75%
% under line48%54%44%64%68%61%14%0%25%
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (44)10.811.110.44.44.14.725.726.125.3
vs Stronger (2)12.015.09.07.06.08.029.530.029.0
vs Similar (20)10.410.410.54.34.73.926.627.525.2
vs Weaker (22)11.011.510.54.23.25.024.724.225.1
% over line60%68%52%68%57%81%74%73%76%
% under line40%32%48%32%43%19%26%27%24%
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.0
Djurgardens IF
10.8
AIK Stockholm
10.6
IF Brommapojkarna
10.5
Orgryte IS
10.5
BK Hacken
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.4
Gais
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.3
Kalmar FF
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Malmo FF
10.0
Halmstad
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.8
Vasteras SK FK
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.5
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.1
Degerfors IF
4.0
Vasteras SK FK
3.9
IF Elfsborg
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Kalmar FF
3.5
Sirius
3.4
Orgryte IS
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Vasteras SK FK
26.7
IFK Goteborg
26.1
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.3
Malmo FF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Gais
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.5
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.9
Kalmar FF
22.9
Orgryte IS
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.5%
Under 9.5
40.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.0%
Under 3.5
39.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.8%
Under 21.5
24.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.585.4%-------
Over 21.5 fouls75.8%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Vasteras SK FK's squad is €17m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€10m vs €27m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Vasteras SK FK's attack is €4m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€3m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
Vasteras SK FK's midfield is €11m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€3m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Vasteras SK FK's defence is €3m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€4m vs €6m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF · H/A from VSF
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/26HVSF Vs Orgryte IS2-0
17/07/26AMjallby AIF Vs VSF0-0
12/07/26HVSF Vs Degerfors IF2-0
04/07/26AHalmstad Vs VSF1-3
31/05/26HVSF Vs IFK Goteborg4-5
24/05/26AMalmo FF Vs VSF2-3
17/05/26HVSF Vs AIK Stockholm1-1
09/05/26HVSF Vs Gais0-1
03/05/26AHammarby FF Vs VSF3-0
26/04/26AIF Brommapojkarna Vs VSF1-2

Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26ADegerfors IF Vs DI0-1
20/07/26AOrgryte IS Vs DI0-0
13/07/26HDI Vs Halmstad3-0
06/07/26ABK Hacken Vs DI2-4
22/05/26HDI Vs IF Brommapojkarna1-2
18/05/26HDI Vs Sirius2-3
10/05/26AAIK Stockholm Vs DI2-4
04/05/26HDI Vs IFK Goteborg6-0
26/04/26HDI Vs Hammarby FF1-1
22/04/26AIF Elfsborg Vs DI2-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.98
HomeLDLWW2.09
AwayWLWWD1.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%59%59%
AVG goals3.163.143.18
Over 2.5 %64%59%68%
Scored1.952.141.77
Conceded1.201.001.41
BTTS52%50%55%
Clean Sheet36%45%27%
Failed to Score14%5%23%
Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.67
HomeDWLLW1.59
AwayLWWDW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%41%52%
AVG goals2.933.232.62
Over 2.5 %44%45%43%
Scored1.842.091.57
Conceded1.091.141.05
BTTS51%59%43%
Clean Sheet35%32%38%
Failed to Score23%18%29%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sirius14
86%
2.7
4017+23
4.1
100%
86%
57%
10.2
71%
3.0
50%
25.9
93%
27
18542.91.2
47%
2Hammarby FF15
53%
1.8
3315+18
3.2
93%
53%
27%
8.5
33%
3.0
33%
24.6
73%
0
0002.21.0
60%
3BK Hacken15
40%
1.7
2823+5
3.4
87%
53%
47%
10.9
60%
4.3
60%
26.4
80%
16
6371.91.5
52%
4Djurgardens IF13
54%
1.8
2715+12
3.2
69%
62%
38%
12.0
77%
3.5
46%
22.5
54%
27
81462.11.2
57%
5Malmo FF15
47%
1.5
3025+5
3.7
80%
73%
60%
10.3
47%
4.0
60%
26.7
87%
30
98122.01.7
56%
6Vasteras SK FK14
43%
1.6
2423+1
3.4
79%
57%
43%
10.4
64%
3.8
50%
26.9
100%
10
3341.71.6
48%
7AIK Stockholm15
40%
1.5
1821-3
2.6
80%
60%
13%
10.8
47%
4.3
73%
24.3
73%
20
8751.21.4
53%
8IF Elfsborg15
33%
1.4
2018+2
2.5
87%
47%
20%
9.2
47%
3.9
53%
21.3
53%
17
5471.31.2
46%
9Gais15
33%
1.3
1915+4
2.3
73%
40%
20%
9.7
53%
3.6
40%
23.6
67%
13
5351.31.0
50%
10Kalmar FF15
33%
1.2
1921-2
2.7
80%
53%
20%
10.0
47%
3.5
40%
24.0
67%
10
4231.31.4
47%
11Mjallby AIF14
29%
1.2
2019+1
2.8
79%
50%
21%
8.9
36%
4.0
64%
26.4
71%
26
71181.41.4
55%
12IF Brommapojkarna15
27%
1.1
2024-4
2.9
93%
73%
27%
9.9
53%
3.1
33%
21.8
53%
8
3141.31.6
46%
13IFK Goteborg15
27%
1.1
1933-14
3.5
93%
53%
40%
11.1
67%
4.1
47%
24.9
80%
16
8351.32.2
51%
14Orgryte IS15
20%
0.9
1733-16
3.3
93%
53%
33%
9.7
47%
3.1
53%
22.1
53%
8
2241.12.2
43%
15Degerfors IF15
13%
0.7
1226-14
2.5
80%
47%
20%
9.3
40%
3.7
40%
26.0
73%
6
1330.81.7
48%
16Halmstad14
7%
0.5
1129-18
2.9
100%
43%
21%
10.1
50%
3.4
50%
23.7
57%
8
4130.82.1
41%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026-27 full table · Vasteras SK FK and Djurgardens IF highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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