PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 02/08/2026
Final 2-2
United Nordic
United Nordic
Vs
38%
25%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ljungskile SK
Ljungskile SK
Sweden: Superettan
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

United Nordic win✗ Miss
38.0%
Avg Implied 41.1% · @ 2.24
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Dafabet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Draw✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.56
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
3.81
BetVictor
3.70
Betfair
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.62
Ljungskile SK win✗ Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.80
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Unibet
3.05
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Dafabet
2.85
Superbet
2.82

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

United NordicUnited Nordic

Avg scored 1.20
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 2.40
40-4avg 1.2avg 1.2avg total 2.411141020110200332011A·IFKH·FALH·IK A·IFKH·OSTA·LANA·NORH·ODDH·OREA·HEL
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.621.442.121.501.121.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.451.641.831.671.001.60
vs Weaker (5)2.001.003.001.001.331.00
Clean sheet %31% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK

Avg scored 1.80
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 3.20
40-4avg 1.8avg 1.4avg total 3.210411213221100323221H·GIFA·OSTA·NORH·VARA·IK H·OSTA·ODDH·OREA·IFKH·SAN
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.441.311.501.381.381.25
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (12)1.251.081.331.001.171.17
vs Weaker (2)3.002.003.002.003.002.00
Clean sheet %12% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
@ 1.17+5.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
@ 4.64-5.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.11
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
888Sport
4.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.1%
@ 1.58+4.7%
Under 2.5
35.9%
@ 2.31-4.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Marathonbet
2.33
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.0%
@ 2.41+3.5%
Under 3.5
58.0%
@ 1.51-3.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.49
Unibet
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.3%
@ 1.49+4.0%
No
33.7%
@ 2.46-4.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Betano
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
No
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.50
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%@ 6.73+4.4%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.48+3.1%
1-2
8.2%@ 9.60+3.6%
2-2 ✓
6.8%@ 10.56+2.6%
1-0
5.1%@ 9.97+0.7%
2-0
5.1%@ 12.14+1.4%
0-1
5.0%@ 11.41+1.1%
0-2
4.9%@ 15.31+2.0%
United Nordic goals ↓
Ljungskile SK goals →
01234
04.7%5.0%4.9%2.7%1.1%
15.1%11%8.2%4.5%1.8%
25.1%8.3%6.8%3.7%1.5%
32.8%4.6%3.8%2.1%0.8%
41.2%1.9%1.6%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = United Nordic goals (down), columns = Ljungskile SK goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.06
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.94
Falkenbergs FF
1.82
Ostersunds FK
1.71
United Nordic
1.59
Osters IF
1.53
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
Helsingborg
1.41
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Sandviken
1.29
Oddevold
1.29
IK brage
1.18
Norrby IF
1.12
Orebro SK
0.94
IFK Varnamo
0.69
GIF Sundsvall
0.53
United Nordic is 0.24 points better than Ljungskile SK in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.35).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Varbergs BoIS FC
2.00
Falkenbergs FF
1.94
Helsingborg
1.76
Sandviken
1.76
IK brage
1.76
IFK Norrkoping
1.71
United Nordic
1.65
Oddevold
1.65
Ostersunds FK
1.59
Osters IF
1.59
Ljungskile SK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.35
Norrby IF
1.24
IFK Varnamo
1.06
Orebro SK
0.81
GIF Sundsvall
0.76
United Nordic is 0.18 goals better than Ljungskile SK in terms of goals scored per game (1.65 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.59
Landskrona BoIS
1.12
Ostersunds FK
1.24
Norrby IF
1.35
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.35
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Orebro SK
1.38
Sandviken
1.47
United Nordic
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Oddevold
1.53
Osters IF
1.53
IK brage
1.76
Helsingborg
2.00
IFK Varnamo
2.12
GIF Sundsvall
2.41
United Nordic is 0.12 goals worse than Ljungskile SK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.35).

⏱ïļ Possession

Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
58%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
Ostersunds FK
53%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ljungskile SK
51%
Osters IF
50%
United Nordic
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Oddevold
50%
Orebro SK
50%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
45%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
United Nordic is 0.5 percentage points worse than Ljungskile SK in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

United NordicUnited Nordic

For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

1308553472537662113811710123H·OSTA·IFKH·IK H·FALA·IFKH·SANA·VAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60132111121334211236H·OSTA·IFKH·IK H·FALA·IFKH·SANA·VAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

320161216161116161628322732H·OSTA·IFKH·SANA·VAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK

For 5.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

16034791554795673615571669161110710H·OREA·ODDH·VARA·NORA·OSTH·GIFH·HELA·LANA·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701131343311122333122476212563H·OREA·ODDA·IK H·VARA·NORA·OSTH·GIFH·HELA·LANA·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

36013121113121421151392524263622A·ODDH·GIFH·HELA·LANA·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

United NordicUnited Nordic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (16)9.110.87.01.21.11.229.827.532.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)9.310.86.51.51.51.629.827.532.0
vs Weaker (5)8.0-8.00.40.00.7---
% over line57%75%33%12%12%12%100%100%100%
% under line43%25%67%88%88%88%0%0%0%
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (16)10.28.511.62.41.92.926.625.027.7
vs Stronger (2)8.06.010.04.56.03.022.0-22.0
vs Similar (12)11.510.512.02.21.23.327.825.030.5
vs Weaker (2)7.07.0-1.02.00.0---
% over line56%50%60%31%25%38%100%100%100%
% under line44%50%40%69%75%62%0%0%0%
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Osters IF
12.0
IFK Norrkoping
11.1
IFK Varnamo
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Sandviken
10.6
Ljungskile SK
10.2
GIF Sundsvall
9.7
Oddevold
9.5
Falkenbergs FF
9.3
IK brage
9.3
Orebro SK
9.3
Ostersunds FK
9.3
Helsingborg
9.2
United Nordic
9.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
8.9
Norrby IF
7.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.4
Helsingborg
4.3
IK brage
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Osters IF
4.0
Orebro SK
3.8
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
IFK Varnamo
3.2
Ostersunds FK
3.2
Sandviken
3.0
United Nordic
2.7
GIF Sundsvall
2.7
Norrby IF
2.6
Oddevold
2.5
Falkenbergs FF
2.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
28.1
IFK Norrkoping
27.5
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
IK brage
24.8
Osters IF
24.7
Ostersunds FK
24.5
Orebro SK
24.1
Helsingborg
23.7
IFK Varnamo
23.4
Falkenbergs FF
22.9
Norrby IF
22.7
Sandviken
22.6
Oddevold
22.1
GIF Sundsvall
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.2%
@ 1.62+0.3%
Under 9.5
42.8%
@ 2.15-0.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
2.0%
Under 21.5
98.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 21.5 fouls98.0%-------
Over 1.585.2%1.17
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+5.2%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (22)
€4m
SAN (20)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
GS (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
United Nordic and Ljungskile SK have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
IB (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
United Nordic and Ljungskile SK have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
GS (4)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
United Nordic and Ljungskile SK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
United Nordic and Ljungskile SK have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 7. Games History

Head-to-head

United Nordic vs Ljungskile SK · H/A from UN
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26ALjungskile SK Vs UN0-2

United NordicUnited Nordic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/07/26AHelsingborg Vs UN1-1
19/07/26HUN Vs Orebro SK2-0
27/06/26HUN Vs Oddevold3-3
21/06/26ANorrby IF Vs UN0-0
16/06/26ALandskrona BoIS Vs UN2-0
09/06/26HUN Vs Ostersunds FK1-1
31/05/26AIFK Varnamo Vs UN0-2
23/05/26HUN Vs IK brage1-0
17/05/26HUN Vs Falkenbergs FF1-4
13/05/26AIFK Norrkoping Vs UN1-1

Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HLS Vs Sandviken2-1
19/07/26AIFK Varnamo Vs LS2-3
27/06/26HLS Vs Orebro SK3-2
22/06/26AOddevold Vs LS0-0
14/06/26HLS Vs Ostersunds FK1-1
09/06/26AIK brage Vs LS2-2
30/05/26HLS Vs Varbergs BoIS FC1-3
23/05/26ANorrby IF Vs LS2-1
17/05/26AOsters IF Vs LS1-4
14/05/26HLS Vs GIF Sundsvall1-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

United Nordic
United Nordic
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWD1.62
HomeLWDDW2.12
AwayDWLDD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%62%25%
AVG goals3.063.622.50
Over 2.5 %44%62%25%
Scored1.622.121.12
Conceded1.441.501.38
BTTS62%75%50%
Clean Sheet31%25%38%
Failed to Score12%0%25%
Ljungskile SK
Ljungskile SK
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.38
HomeWLDWW1.62
AwayWLDDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%25%
AVG goals2.752.882.62
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.441.501.38
Conceded1.311.381.25
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Failed to Score31%25%38%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IFK Norrkoping17
65%
2.1
2910+19
2.3
71%
35%
18%
9.4
44%
3.4
56%
27.8
100%
9
3331.70.6
55%
2Varbergs BoIS FC17
59%
1.9
3423+11
3.4
88%
76%
47%
7.8
36%
3.9
64%
30.8
100%
6
2222.01.4
47%
3Falkenbergs FF17
53%
1.8
3326+7
3.5
88%
76%
47%
9.1
44%
1.8
11%
20.3
67%
5
2131.91.5
50%
4Ostersunds FK17
47%
1.7
2721+6
2.8
82%
47%
29%
8.7
44%
3.3
56%
25.7
100%
4
1221.61.2
53%
5United Nordic17
41%
1.6
2825+3
3.1
88%
47%
41%
9.1
57%
2.7
29%
29.8
100%
3
0121.61.5
50%
6Osters IF17
47%
1.5
2726+1
3.1
76%
71%
41%
11.8
89%
2.9
33%
24.5
100%
5
2221.61.5
50%
7Landskrona BoIS17
41%
1.5
2319+4
2.5
71%
47%
24%
10.1
43%
3.7
43%
28.2
75%
6
2221.41.1
58%
8Helsingborg17
41%
1.4
3034-4
3.8
94%
71%
53%
9.8
75%
5.0
80%
26.0
100%
7
2221.82.0
45%
9Ljungskile SK17
35%
1.4
2523+2
2.8
71%
53%
41%
10.2
56%
3.8
50%
26.6
100%
3
1121.51.4
51%
10Sandviken17
35%
1.3
3025+5
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.6
33%
2.4
11%
23.0
67%
4
1121.81.5
55%
11Oddevold17
29%
1.3
2826+2
3.2
76%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
2.4
22%
25.4
100%
5
1131.61.5
50%
12IK brage17
29%
1.2
3030+0
3.5
76%
71%
53%
8.8
38%
4.2
67%
27.3
100%
4
1121.81.8
48%
13Norrby IF17
18%
1.1
2123-2
2.6
76%
47%
35%
7.3
33%
2.3
33%
21.5
50%
3
1011.21.4
44%
14Orebro SK16
19%
0.9
1322-9
2.2
62%
38%
19%
9.5
50%
3.0
38%
23.3
67%
5
1130.81.4
50%
15IFK Varnamo16
19%
0.7
1734-17
3.2
69%
62%
50%
8.2
22%
2.9
22%
24.3
67%
5
2121.12.1
53%
16GIF Sundsvall17
18%
0.5
1341-28
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.8
67%
2.6
22%
20.5
50%
4
1120.82.4
41%
Sweden: Superettan 2026-27 full table · United Nordic and Ljungskile SK highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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