This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Varnamo
Avg scored0.60
Avg conceded2.10
Avg total2.70
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
2.50
1.33
2.00
1.33
3.00
vs Stronger (29)
1.38
2.55
1.43
2.07
1.33
3.00
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.4%
@ 1.22-3.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
@ 3.83+3.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.76-7.7%
Under 2.5
54.4%
@ 2.01+7.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
SBO
1.84
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Under
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.3%
@ 2.82-8.6%
Under 3.5
75.7%
@ 1.38+8.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
888Sport
2.90
BetVictor
2.90
Pinnacle
2.89
Under
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.39
Both teams to score
Yes
44.7%
@ 1.61-12.7%
No
55.3%
@ 2.17+12.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
No
Unibet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.3%@ 8.38+8.0%
2-0
12.5%@ 10.53+8.3%
1-1
11.9%@ 6.29+4.8%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.10+4.0%
0-0
9.3%@ 10.53+5.1%
3-0
7.3%@ 18.78+5.0%
3-1
5.5%@ 14.83+2.5%
0-1
5.1%@ 10.06+0.7%
Orebro SK goals ↓
IFK Varnamo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
5.1%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.4%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
7.3%
5.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.2%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orebro SK goals (down), columns = IFK Varnamo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.06
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.94
Falkenbergs FF
1.82
Ostersunds FK
1.71
United Nordic
1.59
Osters IF
1.53
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
Helsingborg
1.41
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Sandviken
1.29
Oddevold
1.29
IK brage
1.18
Norrby IF
1.12
Orebro SK
0.94
IFK Varnamo
0.69
GIF Sundsvall
0.53
Orebro SK is 0.25 points better than IFK Varnamo in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 0.69).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Varbergs BoIS FC
2.00
Falkenbergs FF
1.94
Helsingborg
1.76
Sandviken
1.76
IK brage
1.76
IFK Norrkoping
1.71
United Nordic
1.65
Oddevold
1.65
Ostersunds FK
1.59
Osters IF
1.59
Ljungskile SK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.35
Norrby IF
1.24
IFK Varnamo
1.06
Orebro SK
0.81
GIF Sundsvall
0.76
Orebro SK is 0.25 goals worse than IFK Varnamo in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.59
Landskrona BoIS
1.12
Ostersunds FK
1.24
Norrby IF
1.35
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.35
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Orebro SK
1.38
Sandviken
1.47
United Nordic
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Oddevold
1.53
Osters IF
1.53
IK brage
1.76
Helsingborg
2.00
IFK Varnamo
2.12
GIF Sundsvall
2.41
Orebro SK is 0.75 goals better than IFK Varnamo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 2.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
58%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
Ostersunds FK
53%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ljungskile SK
51%
Osters IF
50%
United Nordic
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Oddevold
50%
Orebro SK
50%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
45%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Orebro SK is 3.6 percentage points worse than IFK Varnamo in terms of average possession (50% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Orebro SK
For 2.9 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Varnamo
For 4.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (48)
9.3
10.2
8.6
2.0
2.1
1.9
24.1
24.6
23.6
vs Stronger (38)
8.9
10.0
8.3
1.8
1.8
1.7
24.6
26.5
23.3
vs Similar (10)
10.3
10.5
10.0
2.9
3.2
2.6
22.4
20.7
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
64%
36%
25%
29%
21%
60%
67%
55%
% under line
52%
36%
64%
75%
71%
79%
40%
33%
45%
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Varnamo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
10.8
11.5
10.2
2.7
3.0
2.5
23.4
23.4
23.4
vs Stronger (45)
10.8
11.5
10.2
2.8
3.0
2.5
23.4
23.4
23.4
vs Similar (1)
11.0
11.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
65%
58%
33%
39%
26%
64%
62%
65%
% under line
38%
35%
42%
67%
61%
74%
36%
38%
35%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
12.0
IFK Norrkoping
11.1
IFK Varnamo
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Sandviken
10.6
Ljungskile SK
10.2
GIF Sundsvall
9.7
Oddevold
9.5
Falkenbergs FF
9.3
IK brage
9.3
Orebro SK
9.3
Ostersunds FK
9.3
Helsingborg
9.2
United Nordic
9.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
8.9
Norrby IF
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.4
Helsingborg
4.3
IK brage
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Osters IF
4.0
Orebro SK
3.8
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
IFK Varnamo
3.2
Ostersunds FK
3.2
Sandviken
3.0
United Nordic
2.7
GIF Sundsvall
2.7
Norrby IF
2.6
Oddevold
2.5
Falkenbergs FF
2.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
28.1
IFK Norrkoping
27.5
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
IK brage
24.8
Osters IF
24.7
Ostersunds FK
24.5
Orebro SK
24.1
Helsingborg
23.7
IFK Varnamo
23.4
Falkenbergs FF
22.9
Norrby IF
22.7
Sandviken
22.6
Oddevold
22.1
GIF Sundsvall
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.3%
@ 1.64-13.1%
Under 9.5
56.7%
@ 2.12+13.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.61
Under
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.09
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
1.0%
Under 21.5
99.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 21.5 fouls
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.7%
1.38
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.39
+8.6%
Over 1.5
72.4%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
-3.4%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (22)
€4m
SAN (20)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
GS (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Orebro SK and IFK Varnamo have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
IB (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Orebro SK's attack is €1m less valuable than IFK Varnamo's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
GS (4)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Orebro SK and IFK Varnamo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Orebro SK and IFK Varnamo have a similar defence value (both €3m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Orebro SK vs IFK Varnamo · H/A from OS
Date
H/A
Game
Score
12/05/26
A
IFK Varnamo Vs OS
0-1
Orebro SK
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
27/07/26
H
OS Vs Oddevold
0-0
19/07/26
A
United Nordic Vs OS
2-0
27/06/26
A
Ljungskile SK Vs OS
3-2
22/06/26
H
OS Vs Sandviken
1-1
14/06/26
A
Falkenbergs FF Vs OS
1-1
10/06/26
H
OS Vs GIF Sundsvall
0-1
31/05/26
A
Ostersunds FK Vs OS
3-2
26/05/26
H
OS Vs Helsingborg
1-2
18/05/26
A
Oddevold Vs OS
4-1
12/05/26
A
IFK Varnamo Vs OS
0-1
IFK Varnamo
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
25/07/26
H
IV Vs IK brage
0-0
19/07/26
H
IV Vs Ljungskile SK
2-3
28/06/26
A
Landskrona BoIS Vs IV
1-0
21/06/26
A
IK brage Vs IV
5-1
16/06/26
H
IV Vs Helsingborg
0-1
09/06/26
A
Osters IF Vs IV
3-0
31/05/26
H
IV Vs United Nordic
0-2
23/05/26
A
Falkenbergs FF Vs IV
3-1
17/05/26
H
IV Vs Norrby IF
2-2
12/05/26
H
IV Vs Orebro SK
0-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Orebro SK
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DDLLD
0.83
Home
LLLDD
1.12
Away
LLDLL
0.54
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
17%
25%
8%
AVG goals
2.71
2.29
3.12
Over 2.5 %
50%
42%
58%
Scored
1.10
1.04
1.17
Conceded
1.60
1.25
1.96
BTTS
62%
54%
71%
Clean Sheet
19%
25%
12%
Failed to Score
29%
33%
25%
IFK Varnamo
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLLLD
0.59
Home
DLLLD
0.83
Away
LLLLL
0.35
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
13%
17%
9%
AVG goals
3.39
2.96
3.83
Over 2.5 %
63%
61%
65%
Scored
1.15
1.17
1.13
Conceded
2.24
1.78
2.70
BTTS
61%
61%
61%
Clean Sheet
11%
17%
4%
Failed to Score
33%
30%
35%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
IFK Norrkoping
17
65%
2.1
29
10
+19
2.3
71%
35%
18%
9.4
44%
3.4
56%
27.8
100%
9
3
3
3
1.7
0.6
55%
2
Varbergs BoIS FC
17
59%
1.9
34
23
+11
3.4
88%
76%
47%
7.8
36%
3.9
64%
30.8
100%
6
2
2
2
2.0
1.4
47%
3
Falkenbergs FF
17
53%
1.8
33
26
+7
3.5
88%
76%
47%
9.1
44%
1.8
11%
20.3
67%
5
2
1
3
1.9
1.5
50%
4
Ostersunds FK
17
47%
1.7
27
21
+6
2.8
82%
47%
29%
8.7
44%
3.3
56%
25.7
100%
4
1
2
2
1.6
1.2
53%
5
United Nordic
17
41%
1.6
28
25
+3
3.1
88%
47%
41%
9.1
57%
2.7
29%
29.8
100%
3
0
1
2
1.6
1.5
50%
6
Osters IF
17
47%
1.5
27
26
+1
3.1
76%
71%
41%
11.8
89%
2.9
33%
24.5
100%
5
2
2
2
1.6
1.5
50%
7
Landskrona BoIS
17
41%
1.5
23
19
+4
2.5
71%
47%
24%
10.1
43%
3.7
43%
28.2
75%
6
2
2
2
1.4
1.1
58%
8
Helsingborg
17
41%
1.4
30
34
-4
3.8
94%
71%
53%
9.8
75%
5.0
80%
26.0
100%
7
2
2
2
1.8
2.0
45%
9
Ljungskile SK
17
35%
1.4
25
23
+2
2.8
71%
53%
41%
10.2
56%
3.8
50%
26.6
100%
3
1
1
2
1.5
1.4
51%
10
Sandviken
17
35%
1.3
30
25
+5
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.6
33%
2.4
11%
23.0
67%
4
1
1
2
1.8
1.5
55%
11
Oddevold
17
29%
1.3
28
26
+2
3.2
76%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
2.4
22%
25.4
100%
5
1
1
3
1.6
1.5
50%
12
IK brage
17
29%
1.2
30
30
+0
3.5
76%
71%
53%
8.8
38%
4.2
67%
27.3
100%
4
1
1
2
1.8
1.8
48%
13
Norrby IF
17
18%
1.1
21
23
-2
2.6
76%
47%
35%
7.3
33%
2.3
33%
21.5
50%
3
1
0
1
1.2
1.4
44%
14
Orebro SK
16
19%
0.9
13
22
-9
2.2
62%
38%
19%
9.5
50%
3.0
38%
23.3
67%
5
1
1
3
0.8
1.4
50%
15
IFK Varnamo
16
19%
0.7
17
34
-17
3.2
69%
62%
50%
8.2
22%
2.9
22%
24.3
67%
5
2
1
2
1.1
2.1
53%
16
GIF Sundsvall
17
18%
0.5
13
41
-28
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.8
67%
2.6
22%
20.5
50%
4
1
1
2
0.8
2.4
41%
Sweden: Superettan 2026-27 full table · Orebro SK and IFK Varnamo highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
PythiaFootballBETA
Pythia · model switchable per page
