This opponent (Zaglebie Lubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaglebie Lubin
Avg scored0.70
Avg conceded0.90
Avg total1.60
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.00
1.31
0.75
1.14
1.29
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.38
0.50
0.25
1.25
0.50
vs Similar (15)
1.07
1.20
1.25
0.88
0.86
1.57
vs Weaker (7)
2.00
1.29
2.25
1.00
1.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.8%
@ 1.27-19.4%
Under 1.5
46.2%
@ 3.47+19.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.58
10Bet
3.55
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.9%
@ 1.89-23.8%
Under 2.5
74.1%
@ 1.87+23.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
SBO
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Under
SBO
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
10.3%
@ 3.22-18.7%
Under 3.5
89.7%
@ 1.31+18.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.36
BetVictor
3.30
888Sport
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
33.0%
@ 1.90-15.9%
No
67.0%
@ 1.82+15.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
No
Betfair
1.87
William Hil
1.85
888Sport
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.4%@ 10.06+14.0%
1-0
18.1%@ 6.15+10.9%
1-1
13.5%@ 7.07+7.2%
2-0
10.9%@ 6.98+4.5%
0-1
9.7%@ 12.65+6.2%
2-1
6.9%@ 7.50+1.0%
3-0
4.1%@ 10.91+0.0%
1-2
3.9%@ 15.58+1.1%
Legia Warszawa goals ↓
Zaglebie Lubin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
18%
9.7%
3.5%
0.7%
0.1%
1
18%
14%
3.9%
0.8%
0.1%
2
11%
6.9%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
3
4.1%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Legia Warszawa goals (down), columns = Zaglebie Lubin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Gornik Zabrze
3.00
Radomiak Radom
3.00
Jagiellonia
3.00
Legia Warszawa
3.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Piast Gliwice
1.50
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.50
GKS Katowice
0.00
Pogon Szczecin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Korona Kielce
0.00
Legia Warszawa is 1.50 points better than Zaglebie Lubin in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Piast Gliwice
2.00
Gornik Zabrze
2.00
Radomiak Radom
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Motor Lublin
1.50
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Jagiellonia
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Wieczysta Kraków
1.00
Raków Częstochowa
1.00
Lech Poznan
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
0.00
Korona Kielce
0.00
Cracovia Krakow
0.00
Legia Warszawa is 0.50 goals better than Zaglebie Lubin in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cracovia Krakow
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.50
Jagiellonia
0.50
Lech Poznan
0.50
Legia Warszawa
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
1.00
Gornik Zabrze
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Korona Kielce
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Motor Lublin
2.00
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wieczysta Kraków
2.00
Raków Częstochowa
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.50
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Legia Warszawa is 1.00 goals better than Zaglebie Lubin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Legia Warszawa
60%
Gornik Zabrze
58%
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
GKS Katowice
55%
Wieczysta Kraków
55%
Widzew Łódź
54%
Raków Częstochowa
54%
Lech Poznan
53%
Wisla Krakow
49%
Motor Lublin
46%
Slask Wroclaw
46%
Wisla Plock
44%
Radomiak Radom
42%
Cracovia Krakow
42%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Korona Kielce
38%
Zaglebie Lubin
36%
Legia Warszawa is 24.0 percentage points better than Zaglebie Lubin in terms of average possession (60% vs 36%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Legia Warszawa
For 5.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zaglebie Lubin
For 3.9 · Against 7.5 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Legia Warszawa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
9.3
9.9
8.9
4.2
4.6
3.8
25.9
26.0
25.9
vs Stronger (1)
6.0
-
6.0
4.0
-
4.0
17.0
-
17.0
vs Similar (18)
9.2
10.8
7.8
4.9
6.4
3.4
26.4
27.0
25.8
vs Weaker (30)
9.5
9.3
9.8
3.7
3.5
4.0
26.0
25.3
26.7
% over line
44%
52%
36%
55%
67%
44%
81%
81%
82%
% under line
56%
48%
64%
45%
33%
56%
19%
19%
18%
This opponent (Zaglebie Lubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaglebie Lubin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
10.0
9.1
10.9
4.1
4.6
3.6
25.9
26.7
25.1
vs Stronger (8)
9.6
9.0
10.2
4.8
5.0
4.5
27.2
29.5
25.0
vs Similar (20)
9.8
8.9
10.6
3.5
4.3
2.7
25.2
24.9
25.5
vs Weaker (7)
11.0
9.5
13.0
5.3
5.0
5.7
26.3
28.2
23.7
% over line
49%
39%
59%
63%
72%
53%
80%
78%
82%
% under line
51%
61%
41%
37%
28%
47%
20%
22%
18%
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slask Wroclaw
14.0
Wisla Krakow
13.5
Pogon Szczecin
10.5
Motor Lublin
10.2
Piast Gliwice
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Korona Kielce
10.0
Zaglebie Lubin
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.7
Wisla Plock
9.6
Radomiak Radom
9.6
Jagiellonia
9.5
Legia Warszawa
9.3
Wieczysta Kraków
9.0
Widzew Łódź
8.5
Raków Częstochowa
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wieczysta Kraków
6.5
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Motor Lublin
5.2
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Cracovia Krakow
4.8
Zaglebie Lubin
4.5
Jagiellonia
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
GKS Katowice
4.1
Piast Gliwice
4.1
Pogon Szczecin
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.8
Gornik Zabrze
3.7
Wisla Plock
3.7
Korona Kielce
3.6
Wisla Krakow
3.6
Slask Wroclaw
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wieczysta Kraków
29.0
Radomiak Radom
28.6
Widzew Łódź
27.0
Slask Wroclaw
27.0
Cracovia Krakow
26.6
Jagiellonia
26.3
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Zaglebie Lubin
25.9
Motor Lublin
25.7
Raków Częstochowa
25.4
Korona Kielce
25.1
Piast Gliwice
24.3
Pogon Szczecin
24.2
GKS Katowice
24.2
Lech Poznan
23.2
Gornik Zabrze
22.5
Wisla Plock
21.4
Wisla Krakow
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.1%
@ 1.67-0.4%
Under 9.5
44.9%
@ 2.08+0.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Under
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.5%
@ 1.83+1.9%
Under 3.5
47.5%
@ 1.88-1.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.88
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
82.4%
Under 21.5
17.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
89.7%
1.31
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
+18.7%
Over 21.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
74.1%
1.87
SBO
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.88
+23.8%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JAG (29)
€62m
LP (31)
€53m
RC (33)
€48m
LW (35)
€40m
CK (38)
€33m
GZ (28)
€29m
WŁ (24)
€25m
PS (31)
€22m
WP (33)
€19m
ML (28)
€18m
ZL (28)
€18m
RR (31)
€16m
KK (30)
€16m
GK (33)
€11m
PG (27)
€10m
Legia Warszawa's squad is €22m more valuable than Zaglebie Lubin's (€40m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JAG (17)
€43m
LP (14)
€21m
RC (11)
€18m
GZ (13)
€17m
WŁ (12)
€15m
CK (16)
€15m
LW (13)
€12m
PS (15)
€11m
ML (12)
€10m
ZL (10)
€10m
RR (13)
€7m
PG (13)
€4m
WP (9)
€4m
KK (10)
€4m
GK (12)
€3m
Legia Warszawa's attack is €3m more valuable than Zaglebie Lubin's (€12m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (13)
€18m
LP (5)
€8m
LW (10)
€7m
WP (12)
€6m
KK (10)
€6m
GK (11)
€5m
WŁ (4)
€5m
ZL (7)
€4m
GZ (3)
€4m
CK (7)
€3m
RR (7)
€2m
ML (5)
€2m
PS (4)
€2m
JAG (3)
€2m
PG (2)
€1m
Legia Warszawa's midfield is €3m more valuable than Zaglebie Lubin's (€7m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€23m
LW (12)
€21m
JAG (9)
€17m
CK (15)
€15m
RC (9)
€12m
PS (12)
€9m
WP (12)
€9m
GZ (12)
€7m
RR (11)
€7m
KK (10)
€7m
ML (11)
€6m
PG (12)
€5m
WŁ (8)
€5m
ZL (11)
€4m
GK (10)
€3m
Legia Warszawa's defence is €16m more valuable than Zaglebie Lubin's (€21m vs €4m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin · H/A from LW
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/04/26
H
LW Vs Zaglebie Lubin
1-0
19/10/25
A
Zaglebie Lubin Vs LW
3-1
Legia Warszawa
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/07/26
A
Pogon Szczecin Vs LW
0-1
23/05/26
H
LW Vs Motor Lublin
4-0
17/05/26
A
Lechia Gdansk Vs LW
1-2
10/05/26
A
Nieciecza Vs LW
0-1
01/05/26
H
LW Vs Widzew Łódź
1-0
26/04/26
A
Lech Poznan Vs LW
4-0
17/04/26
H
LW Vs Zaglebie Lubin
1-0
11/04/26
H
LW Vs Gornik Zabrze
1-1
06/04/26
A
Pogon Szczecin Vs LW
0-2
22/03/26
H
LW Vs Raków Częstochowa
1-1
Zaglebie Lubin
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
27/07/26
H
ZL Vs Piast Gliwice
2-0
23/05/26
A
Jagiellonia Vs ZL
1-0
15/05/26
H
ZL Vs Pogon Szczecin
0-1
09/05/26
A
Gornik Zabrze Vs ZL
0-2
03/05/26
H
ZL Vs Cracovia Krakow
0-0
24/04/26
H
ZL Vs Nieciecza
1-2
17/04/26
A
Legia Warszawa Vs ZL
1-0
11/04/26
H
ZL Vs Radomiak Radom
1-0
07/04/26
A
Arka Gdynia Vs ZL
3-1
20/03/26
A
Motor Lublin Vs ZL
1-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Legia Warszawa
Poland: Ekstraklasa
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWWW
1.53
Home
DDWWW
1.79
Away
WLWWW
1.28
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
41%
50%
32%
AVG goals
2.49
2.29
2.68
Over 2.5 %
49%
46%
52%
Scored
1.33
1.46
1.20
Conceded
1.16
0.83
1.48
BTTS
59%
50%
68%
Clean Sheet
29%
38%
20%
Failed to Score
18%
25%
12%
Zaglebie Lubin
Poland: Ekstraklasa
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DWLLW
1.46
Home
WLDLW
1.67
Away
LLLWL
1.24
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
40%
44%
35%
AVG goals
2.43
2.39
2.47
Over 2.5 %
43%
39%
47%
Scored
1.34
1.56
1.12
Conceded
1.09
0.83
1.35
BTTS
46%
39%
53%
Clean Sheet
34%
44%
24%
Failed to Score
31%
33%
29%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Legia Warszawa
2
100%
3.0
4
1
+3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
2.0
0%
25.0
50%
40
12
7
21
2.0
0.5
60%
2
Jagiellonia
2
100%
3.0
3
1
+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.0
0%
22.5
50%
62
43
2
17
1.5
0.5
58%
3
Wisla Plock
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
10.0
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
19
4
6
9
1.0
0.5
44%
4
Lech Poznan
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
53
21
8
23
1.0
0.5
53%
5
Gornik Zabrze
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
14.0
100%
3.0
0%
27.0
100%
29
17
4
7
2.0
1.0
58%
6
Radomiak Radom
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
7.0
0%
10.0
100%
38.0
100%
16
7
2
7
2.0
1.0
42%
7
Wisla Krakow
2
50%
1.5
5
5
+0
5.0
100%
100%
50%
13.5
100%
3.0
50%
20.5
50%
0
0
0
0
2.5
2.5
49%
8
Zaglebie Lubin
2
50%
1.5
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
13.5
100%
2.0
0%
26.0
50%
18
10
4
4
1.5
1.5
36%
9
Slask Wroclaw
2
50%
1.5
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
0%
25.5
100%
0
0
0
0
1.5
1.5
46%
10
Piast Gliwice
2
50%
1.5
4
5
-1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
15.5
100%
2.0
0%
23.5
50%
10
4
1
5
2.0
2.5
56%
11
Widzew Łódź
2
0%
1.0
2
2
+0
2.0
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
5.0
100%
26.0
100%
25
15
5
5
1.0
1.0
54%
12
Cracovia Krakow
1
0%
1.0
0
0
+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
33
15
3
15
0.0
0.0
42%
13
Motor Lublin
2
0%
0.5
3
4
-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
7.0
0%
4.0
50%
19.5
50%
18
10
2
6
1.5
2.0
46%
14
GKS Katowice
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
25.0
100%
11
3
5
3
1.0
2.0
55%
15
Pogon Szczecin
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
29.0
100%
22
11
2
9
0.0
1.0
41%
16
Korona Kielce
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
9.0
0%
1.0
0%
30.0
100%
16
4
6
7
0.0
1.0
38%
17
Wieczysta Kraków
2
0%
0.0
2
4
-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.0
50%
6.5
50%
29.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.0
2.0
55%
18
Raków Częstochowa
2
0%
0.0
2
4
-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
3.5
50%
25.0
100%
48
18
18
12
1.0
2.0
54%
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026-27 full table · Legia Warszawa and Zaglebie Lubin highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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