This opponent (Oţelul) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oţelul
Avg scored1.90
Avg conceded1.40
Avg total3.30
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.33
1.80
1.47
1.27
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.90
1.25
2.00
0.33
1.83
vs Similar (11)
2.00
1.18
2.14
1.43
1.75
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
0.89
1.75
1.00
2.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.43+2.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
@ 2.65-2.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.47
888Sport
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
888Sport
2.63
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.1%
@ 2.41-0.0%
Under 2.5
60.9%
@ 1.55+0.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
888Sport
2.38
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.54
888Sport
1.53
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.1%
@ 4.48-1.6%
Under 3.5
80.9%
@ 1.17+1.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
888Sport
4.60
Pinnacle
4.58
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Both teams to score
Yes
44.7%
@ 1.96-2.9%
No
55.3%
@ 1.78+2.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.95
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
No
888Sport
1.80
Betano
1.80
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 5.56+5.8%
0-1
13.3%@ 7.05+7.0%
0-0
11.8%@ 6.96+5.4%
0-2
10.1%@ 12.55+6.6%
1-2
8.8%@ 10.10+4.3%
1-0
7.8%@ 6.97+1.4%
2-1
5.4%@ 10.00+1.0%
0-3
4.7%@ 30.60+3.2%
Petrolul Ploiesti goals ↓
Oţelul goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
10%
4.7%
1.6%
1
7.8%
14%
8.8%
4.1%
1.4%
2
3.9%
5.4%
3.8%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.1%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrolul Ploiesti goals (down), columns = Oţelul goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FCSB
3.00
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Rapid
2.00
Arges Pitesti
2.00
Oţelul
1.67
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.33
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.33
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.33
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.33
Csikszereda
0.00
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.67 points worse than Oţelul in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
3.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.00
FCSB
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Oţelul
1.67
FC Botosani
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.33
Universitatea Cluj
1.00
FC Voluntari
1.00
Rapid
1.00
Uta Arad
0.67
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.67
Arges Pitesti
0.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.33
Csikszereda
0.00
Petrolul Ploiesti is 1.33 goals worse than Oţelul in terms of goals scored per game (0.33 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FCSB
0.00
Rapid
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.67
Arges Pitesti
0.67
Universitatea Cluj
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.00
Farul Constanta
1.00
Oţelul
1.33
FC Botosani
1.50
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.67
Csikszereda
2.00
Uta Arad
2.33
FC Voluntari
2.33
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.33 goals worse than Oţelul in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CFR 1907 Cluj
62%
Universitatea Craiova
60%
Farul Constanta
58%
Dinamo Bucuresti
55%
Rapid
54%
FC Botosani
54%
Uta Arad
52%
Universitatea Cluj
49%
Csikszereda
48%
Corvinul Hunedoara
47%
Arges Pitesti
47%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
46%
Oţelul
45%
FCSB
45%
Petrolul Ploiesti
44%
FC Voluntari
39%
Petrolul Ploiesti is 1.0 percentage points worse than Oţelul in terms of average possession (44% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti
For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oţelul
For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 13.1 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Petrolul Ploiesti
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
9.5
9.6
9.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
26.0
26.8
25.3
vs Stronger (24)
9.0
8.7
9.2
4.6
4.7
4.5
26.6
28.0
25.2
vs Similar (15)
10.3
11.1
9.5
4.4
4.1
4.6
25.6
25.3
25.9
vs Weaker (3)
10.3
10.0
10.5
4.3
4.0
4.5
22.7
22.0
23.0
% over line
52%
50%
55%
67%
75%
59%
79%
80%
77%
% under line
48%
50%
45%
33%
25%
41%
21%
20%
23%
This opponent (Oţelul) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oţelul
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
9.5
9.7
9.2
4.3
4.7
3.8
27.0
27.5
26.6
vs Stronger (15)
8.9
10.5
7.0
3.8
3.6
4.0
25.1
23.0
27.6
vs Similar (15)
9.9
10.1
9.6
4.8
5.5
4.0
29.7
30.5
28.9
vs Weaker (12)
9.7
8.2
11.2
4.2
5.0
3.3
26.1
29.3
22.8
% over line
43%
45%
40%
55%
64%
45%
83%
86%
80%
% under line
57%
55%
60%
45%
36%
55%
17%
14%
20%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.3
Farul Constanta
10.2
Rapid
9.9
Universitatea Cluj
9.7
FC Botosani
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Uta Arad
9.5
Arges Pitesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Universitatea Craiova
9.1
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.0
Csikszereda
8.9
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
FC Voluntari
8.4
Corvinul Hunedoara
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FC Botosani
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Arges Pitesti
4.9
FC Voluntari
4.8
Uta Arad
4.7
Rapid
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.6
Csikszereda
4.4
Farul Constanta
4.3
Oţelul
4.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
Universitatea Cluj
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
27.0
FC Botosani
26.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
26.0
Arges Pitesti
25.6
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.7
Universitatea Craiova
24.6
Csikszereda
24.6
FCSB
24.5
Uta Arad
24.1
Rapid
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.8
Farul Constanta
23.4
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.6
FC Voluntari
21.6
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
21.3
Universitatea Cluj
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.0%
Under 9.5
52.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.1%
Under 3.5
38.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.3%
Under 21.5
15.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 21.5 fouls
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.9%
1.17
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+1.6%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (45)
€40m
UC (34)
€37m
FCS (31)
€34m
RAP (24)
€25m
UC (33)
€19m
FB (31)
€12m
UA (30)
€12m
PP (40)
€12m
OŢE (28)
€10m
FC (32)
€10m
CSI (42)
€9m
Petrolul Ploiesti's squad is €2m more valuable than Oţelul's (€12m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (18)
€18m
UC (13)
€15m
FCS (8)
€14m
RAP (10)
€10m
UC (11)
€8m
FB (11)
€6m
FC (11)
€4m
UA (11)
€4m
OŢE (12)
€4m
PP (13)
€4m
CSI (16)
€3m
Petrolul Ploiesti and Oţelul have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€9m
FCS (8)
€8m
C1C (7)
€5m
UC (8)
€5m
RAP (6)
€4m
PP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
FB (7)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
OŢE (4)
€2m
Petrolul Ploiesti's midfield is €2m more valuable than Oţelul's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (20)
€17m
UC (15)
€13m
FCS (15)
€11m
RAP (8)
€10m
UC (14)
€7m
PP (16)
€5m
UA (11)
€5m
OŢE (12)
€4m
FB (13)
€4m
CSI (17)
€4m
FC (14)
€4m
Petrolul Ploiesti and Oţelul have a similar defence value (both €5m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul · H/A from PP
Date
H/A
Game
Score
18/05/26
H
PP Vs Oţelul
1-5
08/11/25
H
PP Vs Oţelul
0-0
13/07/25
A
Oţelul Vs PP
0-0
Petrolul Ploiesti
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
A
Universitatea Craiova Vs PP
4-0
24/07/26
A
Arges Pitesti Vs PP
1-0
19/07/26
H
PP Vs Dinamo Bucuresti
1-0
18/05/26
H
PP Vs Oţelul
1-5
10/05/26
A
FC Botosani Vs PP
1-1
03/05/26
H
PP Vs Uta Arad
1-1
24/04/26
A
FCSB Vs PP
3-1
19/04/26
H
PP Vs AFC Hermannstadt
1-1
12/04/26
A
Unirea Slobozia Vs PP
1-2
06/04/26
H
PP Vs Csikszereda
2-0
Oţelul
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
H
OŢE Vs Dinamo Bucuresti
1-1
24/07/26
A
Uta Arad Vs OŢE
2-2
18/07/26
H
OŢE Vs CFR 1907 Cluj
2-1
18/05/26
A
Petrolul Ploiesti Vs OŢE
1-5
09/05/26
H
OŢE Vs Farul Constanta
3-2
02/05/26
H
OŢE Vs Metaloglobus
2-2
25/04/26
A
FC Botosani Vs OŢE
1-1
17/04/26
H
OŢE Vs Uta Arad
1-0
11/04/26
A
FCSB Vs OŢE
4-0
04/04/26
H
OŢE Vs AFC Hermannstadt
2-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Petrolul Ploiesti
Romania: Liga I
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLWLL
1.05
Home
WDDLW
1.20
Away
WLDLL
0.91
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
24%
30%
18%
AVG goals
2.02
2.05
2.00
Over 2.5 %
29%
30%
27%
Scored
0.81
0.85
0.77
Conceded
1.21
1.20
1.23
BTTS
45%
40%
50%
Clean Sheet
24%
30%
18%
Failed to Score
38%
40%
36%
Oţelul
Romania: Liga I
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWDD
1.43
Home
WDWWD
1.77
Away
LLDWD
1.05
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
38%
50%
25%
AVG goals
2.67
2.95
2.35
Over 2.5 %
52%
64%
40%
Scored
1.45
1.77
1.10
Conceded
1.21
1.18
1.25
BTTS
48%
59%
35%
Clean Sheet
31%
32%
30%
Failed to Score
31%
14%
50%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Universitatea Craiova
3
67%
2.0
9
5
+4
4.7
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
3.7
67%
21.0
33%
37
15
9
13
3.0
1.7
60%
2
FCSB
2
100%
3.0
4
0
+4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
11.5
100%
4.0
50%
26.0
100%
34
14
8
11
2.0
0.0
45%
3
Arges Pitesti
3
67%
2.0
2
2
+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
9.0
67%
7.0
67%
29.0
100%
0
0
0
0
0.7
0.7
47%
4
Oţelul
3
33%
1.7
5
4
+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
9.3
67%
3.0
33%
27.3
67%
10
4
2
4
1.7
1.3
45%
5
Dinamo Bucuresti
3
33%
1.3
6
3
+3
3.0
67%
33%
33%
8.3
0%
4.7
67%
23.7
67%
0
0
0
0
2.0
1.0
55%
6
Corvinul Hunedoara
3
33%
1.3
4
3
+1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
7.0
33%
4.0
50%
24.7
67%
0
0
0
0
1.3
1.0
47%
7
Rapid
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
9.0
100%
24.5
50%
25
10
4
10
1.0
0.5
54%
8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
3
33%
1.3
2
2
+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
9.0
33%
4.0
33%
21.3
33%
0
0
0
0
0.7
0.7
46%
9
FC Voluntari
3
33%
1.3
3
7
-4
3.3
67%
67%
67%
7.0
33%
3.0
50%
22.0
67%
0
0
0
0
1.0
2.3
39%
10
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
50%
1.5
6
2
+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
100%
1.5
0%
20.5
50%
40
18
5
17
3.0
1.0
62%
11
Farul Constanta
2
50%
1.5
3
2
+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
4.5
100%
20.0
0%
10
4
2
4
1.5
1.0
58%
12
Universitatea Cluj
2
50%
1.5
2
2
+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.0
0%
3.5
50%
20.0
0%
19
8
5
7
1.0
1.0
49%
13
Petrolul Ploiesti
3
33%
1.0
1
5
-4
2.0
33%
33%
33%
8.3
33%
7.0
67%
27.0
100%
12
4
4
5
0.3
1.7
44%
14
FC Botosani
2
0%
1.0
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
7.5
0%
12.0
100%
24.0
50%
12
6
2
4
1.5
1.5
54%
15
Uta Arad
3
0%
0.3
2
7
-5
3.0
67%
67%
67%
7.3
33%
4.3
100%
25.7
67%
12
4
3
5
0.7
2.3
52%
16
Csikszereda
3
0%
0.0
0
6
-6
2.0
67%
33%
0%
7.3
33%
6.0
100%
28.3
100%
9
3
3
4
0.0
2.0
48%
Romania: Liga I 2026-27 full table · Petrolul Ploiesti and Oţelul highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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