This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mladost Lucani
Avg scored1.30
Avg conceded0.70
Avg total2.00
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.37
0.86
0.86
0.88
1.81
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
2.33
1.00
0.67
0.67
3.17
vs Similar (16)
0.81
1.19
0.57
1.29
1.00
1.11
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.20
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.30-4.0%
Under 1.5
33.4%
@ 3.12+4.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
Superbet
3.15
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.0%
@ 1.97-8.0%
Under 2.5
61.0%
@ 1.75+8.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betfair
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
10Bet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Betfair
1.75
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.0%
@ 3.30-8.7%
Under 3.5
81.0%
@ 1.27+8.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betfair
3.50
888Sport
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.45
Under
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
33.6%
@ 1.86-15.7%
No
66.4%
@ 1.81+15.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
888Sport
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
No
Betfair
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.5%@ 6.14+10.3%
2-0
16.1%@ 7.46+10.2%
0-0
11.5%@ 8.03+6.0%
1-1
10.2%@ 6.38+3.3%
3-0
9.3%@ 12.83+5.9%
2-1
8.1%@ 8.03+2.6%
3-1
4.7%@ 13.33+1.4%
0-1
4.4%@ 10.97+0.4%
Železničar Pančevo goals ↓
Mladost Lucani goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
4.4%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
1
17%
10%
2.3%
0.4%
0.0%
2
16%
8.1%
2.0%
0.3%
0.0%
3
9.3%
4.7%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
4
4.1%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Železničar Pančevo goals (down), columns = Mladost Lucani goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Železničar Pančevo
3.00
IMT Novi Beograd
3.00
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
FK Partizan
2.00
Cukaricki
2.00
Vojvodina
1.50
OFK Beograd
1.33
Novi Pazar
1.33
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Zemun
0.50
Radnicki NIS
0.00
Radnicki 1923
0.00
Macva
0.00
Železničar Pančevo is 2.00 points better than Mladost Lucani in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.00
Vojvodina
2.50
FK Partizan
2.50
IMT Novi Beograd
2.50
Železničar Pančevo
2.00
Cukaricki
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.33
Zemun
1.00
Novi Pazar
0.67
Mladost Lucani
0.50
Radnik Surdulica
0.50
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Macva
0.50
Radnicki 1923
0.00
Železničar Pančevo is 1.50 goals better than Mladost Lucani in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IMT Novi Beograd
0.00
Cukaricki
0.33
Mladost Lucani
0.50
Radnik Surdulica
0.50
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.50
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.33
Vojvodina
1.50
FK Partizan
1.50
OFK Beograd
1.67
Radnicki NIS
2.00
Radnicki 1923
2.00
Zemun
3.00
Macva
4.00
Železničar Pančevo is 0.50 goals worse than Mladost Lucani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Radnicki 1923
66%
FK Partizan
66%
FK Crvena Zvezda
63%
Radnicki NIS
62%
Radnik Surdulica
56%
IMT Novi Beograd
56%
OFK Beograd
53%
Novi Pazar
49%
Železničar Pančevo
45%
Vojvodina
44%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
35%
Macva
34%
Zemun
32%
Železničar Pančevo is 10.0 percentage points better than Mladost Lucani in terms of average possession (45% vs 35%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Železničar Pančevo
For 4.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mladost Lucani
For 3.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Železničar Pančevo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
8.8
10.1
7.5
4.5
3.9
5.2
26.7
26.8
26.7
vs Stronger (9)
9.7
13.0
7.0
3.6
3.2
3.8
25.1
24.5
25.6
vs Similar (5)
7.8
8.7
6.5
3.8
3.7
4.0
27.8
30.3
24.0
vs Weaker (25)
8.8
9.5
7.9
5.0
4.2
6.0
27.1
26.6
27.7
% over line
39%
55%
22%
64%
55%
74%
89%
95%
83%
% under line
61%
45%
78%
36%
45%
26%
11%
5%
17%
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mladost Lucani
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
9.1
9.3
8.9
3.8
3.3
4.2
24.7
25.6
24.0
vs Stronger (13)
9.7
10.8
8.7
3.5
3.8
3.3
22.5
24.7
20.7
vs Similar (20)
9.0
8.4
9.5
4.0
3.3
4.6
26.4
27.1
25.8
vs Weaker (6)
8.3
9.0
7.0
3.5
2.5
5.5
24.3
23.8
25.5
% over line
39%
39%
40%
62%
53%
70%
71%
67%
75%
% under line
61%
61%
60%
38%
47%
30%
29%
33%
25%
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
Vojvodina
9.2
Mladost Lucani
9.1
FK Partizan
9.0
Zemun
9.0
Cukaricki
8.9
Novi Pazar
8.8
Železničar Pančevo
8.8
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
OFK Beograd
8.8
Radnicki NIS
8.6
Radnicki 1923
8.5
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Macva
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
7.0
Radnik Surdulica
5.5
Radnicki 1923
5.4
Radnicki NIS
5.2
Cukaricki
4.9
Vojvodina
4.8
OFK Beograd
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Železničar Pančevo
4.7
IMT Novi Beograd
4.6
Zemun
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
Novi Pazar
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
Radnicki 1923
29.4
Cukaricki
28.7
OFK Beograd
28.7
IMT Novi Beograd
28.6
Radnicki NIS
27.8
Železničar Pančevo
26.7
Novi Pazar
26.2
FK Partizan
25.8
Vojvodina
25.7
Macva
25.0
Mladost Lucani
24.7
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Zemun
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.7%
@ 2.08+2.4%
Under 9.5
53.3%
@ 1.65-2.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
1xBet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Under
Superbet
1.71
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.59
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
81.0%
1.27
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+8.7%
Over 21.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (31)
€60m
OB (36)
€29m
ŽP (36)
€24m
VOJ (27)
€23m
CUK (37)
€20m
INB (44)
€19m
NP (34)
€18m
RS (38)
€15m
RN (34)
€14m
R1 (32)
€13m
ML (33)
€8m
Železničar Pančevo's squad is €17m more valuable than Mladost Lucani's (€24m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (12)
€26m
CUK (13)
€12m
OB (13)
€11m
ŽP (14)
€11m
VOJ (13)
€9m
RS (17)
€9m
INB (22)
€8m
NP (18)
€8m
R1 (12)
€7m
RN (17)
€7m
ML (13)
€5m
Železničar Pančevo's attack is €6m more valuable than Mladost Lucani's (€11m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (4)
€19m
OB (8)
€8m
ŽP (9)
€6m
INB (4)
€5m
VOJ (4)
€5m
NP (4)
€3m
CUK (7)
€3m
R1 (6)
€2m
RS (7)
€2m
RN (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
Železničar Pančevo's midfield is €5m more valuable than Mladost Lucani's (€6m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (15)
€15m
OB (15)
€10m
VOJ (10)
€9m
NP (12)
€7m
ŽP (13)
€7m
RN (12)
€6m
INB (18)
€6m
CUK (17)
€5m
RS (14)
€4m
R1 (14)
€4m
ML (14)
€2m
Železničar Pančevo's defence is €5m more valuable than Mladost Lucani's (€7m vs €2m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Železničar Pančevo vs Mladost Lucani · H/A from ŽP
Date
H/A
Game
Score
15/03/26
H
ŽP Vs Mladost Lucani
5-0
19/10/25
A
Mladost Lucani Vs ŽP
2-1
Železničar Pančevo
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/07/26
H
ŽP Vs Radnicki NIS
2-1
22/05/26
H
ŽP Vs Cukaricki
0-0
17/05/26
A
Novi Pazar Vs ŽP
2-2
09/05/26
H
ŽP Vs Radnik Surdulica
1-1
02/05/26
H
ŽP Vs OFK Beograd
2-0
26/04/26
A
Vojvodina Vs ŽP
0-0
22/04/26
H
ŽP Vs FK Crvena Zvezda
2-2
18/04/26
A
FK Partizan Vs ŽP
2-1
08/04/26
A
Javor Vs ŽP
1-2
04/04/26
H
ŽP Vs Novi Pazar
2-0
Mladost Lucani
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
26/07/26
H
ML Vs Novi Pazar
0-0
19/07/26
A
Radnik Surdulica Vs ML
1-1
24/05/26
H
ML Vs Napredak
1-0
16/05/26
A
Javor Vs ML
2-4
10/05/26
A
Radnicki NIS Vs ML
1-0
03/05/26
H
ML Vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2-1
27/04/26
A
TSC Backa Topola Vs ML
1-2
23/04/26
H
ML Vs Radnicki 1923
0-0
19/04/26
A
IMT Novi Beograd Vs ML
1-1
08/04/26
H
ML Vs Napredak
2-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Železničar Pančevo
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WDDDW
1.63
Home
DWDDW
2.05
Away
LWLDD
1.17
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
45%
60%
28%
AVG goals
2.37
2.00
2.78
Over 2.5 %
45%
30%
61%
Scored
1.37
1.40
1.33
Conceded
1.00
0.60
1.44
BTTS
45%
25%
67%
Clean Sheet
45%
65%
22%
Failed to Score
24%
20%
28%
Mladost Lucani
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWWDD
1.23
Home
WDWWD
1.53
Away
DWLWD
0.95
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
28%
37%
20%
AVG goals
2.23
1.84
2.60
Over 2.5 %
38%
32%
45%
Scored
0.87
0.89
0.85
Conceded
1.36
0.95
1.75
BTTS
49%
47%
50%
Clean Sheet
28%
42%
15%
Failed to Score
41%
37%
45%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
100%
3.0
8
1
+7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.5
0%
3.0
50%
17.5
0%
0
0
0
0
4.0
0.5
63%
2
IMT Novi Beograd
2
100%
3.0
5
0
+5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
50%
19
8
5
6
2.5
0.0
56%
3
Cukaricki
3
67%
2.0
5
1
+4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
8.7
67%
5.7
100%
26.0
67%
20
12
3
5
1.7
0.3
41%
4
FK Partizan
2
50%
2.0
5
3
+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
9.0
100%
28.0
100%
60
26
19
15
2.5
1.5
66%
5
OFK Beograd
3
33%
1.3
4
5
-1
3.0
67%
67%
67%
8.3
33%
5.3
67%
30.0
100%
29
11
8
10
1.3
1.7
53%
6
Novi Pazar
3
33%
1.3
2
4
-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
10.3
33%
4.3
67%
25.0
100%
18
8
3
7
0.7
1.3
49%
7
Vojvodina
2
50%
1.5
5
3
+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
7.5
0%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
23
9
5
9
2.5
1.5
44%
8
Železničar Pančevo
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
11
6
7
2.0
1.0
45%
9
Mladost Lucani
2
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
8.5
0%
3.0
0%
25.5
100%
8
5
1
2
0.5
0.5
35%
10
Radnik Surdulica
2
0%
1.0
1
1
+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
9.5
50%
5.0
50%
31.0
100%
15
9
2
4
0.5
0.5
56%
11
Zemun
2
0%
0.5
2
6
-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
4.5
50%
22.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.0
3.0
32%
12
Radnicki NIS
2
0%
0.0
1
4
-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.5
50%
14
7
1
6
0.5
2.0
62%
13
Radnicki 1923
2
0%
0.0
0
4
-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
12.5
100%
4.5
100%
25.5
100%
13
7
2
4
0.0
2.0
66%
14
Macva
2
0%
0.0
1
8
-7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
50%
25.0
50%
0
0
0
0
0.5
4.0
34%
Serbia: Super Liga 2026-27 full table · Železničar Pančevo and Mladost Lucani highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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