PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Mladost Lucani
Mladost Lucani
Vs
27%
43%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cukaricki
Cukaricki
Serbia: Super Liga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Lucani win
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cukaricki win
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost LucaniMladost Lucani

Avg scored 1.30
Avg conceded 0.70
Avg total 2.00
40-4avg 1.3avg 0.7avg total 2.020110021210142101100H·NAPA·IMTH·RADA·TSCH·FK A·RADA·JAVH·NAPA·RADH·NOV
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.370.860.860.881.81
vs Stronger (9)0.782.331.000.670.673.17
vs Similar (16)0.811.190.571.291.001.11
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.250.251.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CukarickiCukaricki

Avg scored 1.00
Avg conceded 0.80
Avg total 1.80
30-3avg 1.0avg 0.8avg total 1.822002212010000012030H·RADA·OFKA·NOVH·FK A·VOJH·FK A·Å½ELH·IMTA·RADH·RAD
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.201.571.290.881.12
vs Stronger (11)1.001.451.831.830.001.00
vs Similar (17)1.241.061.380.881.111.22
vs Weaker (2)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%17%25%33%29%033%124%210%33%41%50%6+
The model estimates around 1.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (33%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.3%
Under 1.5
62.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.5%
Under 2.5
86.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
4.0%
Under 3.5
96.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
23.1%
No
76.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
29.3%
0-1
17.3%
1-0
16.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
Mladost Lucani goals ↓
Cukaricki goals →
01234
029%17%6.0%1.3%0.2%
116%12%3.7%0.8%0.1%
25.3%3.5%1.1%0.2%0.0%
31.1%0.7%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lucani goals (down), columns = Cukaricki goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Železničar Pančevo
3.00
IMT Novi Beograd
3.00
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
FK Partizan
2.00
Cukaricki
2.00
Vojvodina
1.50
OFK Beograd
1.33
Novi Pazar
1.33
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Zemun
0.50
Radnicki NIS
0.00
Radnicki 1923
0.00
Macva
0.00
Mladost Lucani is 1.00 points worse than Cukaricki in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.00
Vojvodina
2.50
FK Partizan
2.50
IMT Novi Beograd
2.50
Železničar Pančevo
2.00
Cukaricki
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.33
Zemun
1.00
Novi Pazar
0.67
Mladost Lucani
0.50
Radnik Surdulica
0.50
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Macva
0.50
Radnicki 1923
0.00
Mladost Lucani is 1.17 goals worse than Cukaricki in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.67).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
IMT Novi Beograd
0.00
Cukaricki
0.33
Mladost Lucani
0.50
Radnik Surdulica
0.50
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.50
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.33
Vojvodina
1.50
FK Partizan
1.50
OFK Beograd
1.67
Radnicki NIS
2.00
Radnicki 1923
2.00
Zemun
3.00
Macva
4.00
Mladost Lucani is 0.17 goals worse than Cukaricki in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.33).

ā±ļø Possession

Avg possession %
Radnicki 1923
66%
FK Partizan
66%
FK Crvena Zvezda
63%
Radnicki NIS
62%
Radnik Surdulica
56%
IMT Novi Beograd
56%
OFK Beograd
53%
Novi Pazar
49%
Železničar Pančevo
45%
Vojvodina
44%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
35%
Macva
34%
Zemun
32%
Mladost Lucani is 5.7 percentage points worse than Cukaricki in terms of average possession (35% vs 41%).

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Mladost LucaniMladost Lucani

For 3.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.0

šŸš© Corners

1203635444717331115443579881186129712H·NOVA·RADH·NAPA·JAVA·RADH·FK A·TSCH·RADA·IMTH·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

šŸŸØ Cards

80211222133115223511313344464824H·NOVA·RADA·JAVA·RADH·FK A·TSCH·RADA·IMTH·NAPA·RAD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.2

āš ļø Fouls

290121311159731312171011131617111215151025261616292129282725H·NOVA·RADH·NAPA·JAVA·RADH·FK A·TSCH·RADA·IMTH·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CukarickiCukaricki

For 3.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.7

šŸš© Corners

140195524410325115854256101061456613611H·RADA·RADH·IMTA·Å½ELH·FK A·VOJH·FK A·NOVA·OFKH·RAD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5

šŸŸØ Cards

803213351424223131235481644445H·RADA·RADH·IMTA·Å½ELH·FK A·VOJH·FK A·NOVA·OFKH·RAD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.9 · Total 27.9

āš ļø Fouls

3601212117181813916121814161212121516191724183622283228243136H·RADA·RADH·IMTA·Å½ELH·FK A·VOJH·FK A·NOVA·OFKH·RAD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Mladost LucaniMladost Lucani

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)9.19.38.93.73.34.024.725.624.0
vs Stronger (14)9.710.88.73.33.82.922.524.720.7
vs Similar (20)9.08.49.54.03.34.626.427.125.8
vs Weaker (6)8.39.07.03.52.55.524.323.825.5
% over line39%39%40%60%53%67%71%67%75%
% under line61%61%60%40%47%33%29%33%25%
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CukarickiCukaricki

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)8.98.88.94.85.04.528.730.127.2
vs Stronger (12)9.37.711.04.86.33.327.129.025.2
vs Similar (24)8.59.37.64.64.64.629.731.228.0
vs Weaker (4)9.59.59.55.54.07.028.027.029.0
% over line41%35%47%78%75%80%90%100%79%
% under line59%65%53%22%25%20%10%0%21%
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

šŸš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
Vojvodina
9.2
Mladost Lucani
9.1
FK Partizan
9.0
Zemun
9.0
Cukaricki
8.9
Novi Pazar
8.8
Železničar Pančevo
8.8
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
OFK Beograd
8.8
Radnicki NIS
8.6
Radnicki 1923
8.5
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Macva
8.0

šŸŸØ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Macva
7.0
Radnik Surdulica
5.5
Radnicki 1923
5.4
Radnicki NIS
5.2
Cukaricki
4.9
Vojvodina
4.8
OFK Beograd
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Železničar Pančevo
4.7
IMT Novi Beograd
4.6
Zemun
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
Novi Pazar
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6

āš ļø Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
Radnicki 1923
29.4
Cukaricki
28.7
OFK Beograd
28.7
IMT Novi Beograd
28.6
Radnicki NIS
27.8
Železničar Pančevo
26.7
Novi Pazar
26.2
FK Partizan
25.8
Vojvodina
25.7
Macva
25.0
Mladost Lucani
24.7
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Zemun
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.8%
Under 9.5
56.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.9%
Under 21.5
21.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

šŸ”„ 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 3.596.0%-------
Under 2.586.5%-------
Over 21.5 fouls78.9%-------
BTTS No76.9%-------

šŸ’° 6. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (31)
€60m
OB (36)
€29m
ŽP (36)
€24m
VOJ (27)
€23m
CUK (37)
€20m
INB (44)
€19m
NP (34)
€18m
RS (38)
€15m
RN (34)
€14m
R1 (32)
€13m
ML (33)
€8m
Mladost Lucani's squad is €12m less valuable than Cukaricki's (€8m vs €20m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (12)
€26m
CUK (13)
€12m
OB (13)
€11m
ŽP (14)
€11m
VOJ (13)
€9m
RS (17)
€9m
INB (22)
€8m
NP (18)
€8m
R1 (12)
€7m
RN (17)
€7m
ML (13)
€5m
Mladost Lucani's attack is €7m less valuable than Cukaricki's (€5m vs €12m).

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (4)
€19m
OB (8)
€8m
ŽP (9)
€6m
INB (4)
€5m
VOJ (4)
€5m
NP (4)
€3m
CUK (7)
€3m
R1 (6)
€2m
RS (7)
€2m
RN (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
Mladost Lucani's midfield is €2m less valuable than Cukaricki's (€1m vs €3m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (15)
€15m
OB (15)
€10m
VOJ (10)
€9m
NP (12)
€7m
ŽP (13)
€7m
RN (12)
€6m
INB (18)
€6m
CUK (17)
€5m
RS (14)
€4m
R1 (14)
€4m
ML (14)
€2m
Mladost Lucani's defence is €4m less valuable than Cukaricki's (€2m vs €5m).

šŸ¤ 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Mladost Lucani vs Cukaricki · H/A from ML
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ACukaricki Vs ML3-1
28/09/25HML Vs Cukaricki1-1

Mladost LucaniMladost Lucani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HML Vs Novi Pazar0-0
19/07/26ARadnik Surdulica Vs ML1-1
24/05/26HML Vs Napredak1-0
16/05/26AJavor Vs ML2-4
10/05/26ARadnicki NIS Vs ML1-0
03/05/26HML Vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV2-1
27/04/26ATSC Backa Topola Vs ML1-2
23/04/26HML Vs Radnicki 19230-0
19/04/26AIMT Novi Beograd Vs ML1-1
08/04/26HML Vs Napredak2-0

CukarickiCukaricki

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HCUK Vs Radnicki 19233-0
25/07/26ARadnicki NIS Vs CUK0-2
19/07/26HCUK Vs IMT Novi Beograd0-1
22/05/26AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs CUK0-0
17/05/26HCUK Vs FK Partizan0-0
08/05/26AVojvodina Vs CUK1-0
04/05/26HCUK Vs FK Crvena Zvezda1-2
26/04/26ANovi Pazar Vs CUK2-2
22/04/26AOFK Beograd Vs CUK0-0
18/04/26HCUK Vs Radnik Surdulica2-2

šŸ“Š 8. Overall Statistics

Mladost Lucani
Mladost Lucani
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.23
HomeWDWWD1.53
AwayDWLWD0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%37%20%
AVG goals2.231.842.60
Over 2.5 %38%32%45%
Scored0.870.890.85
Conceded1.360.951.75
BTTS49%47%50%
Clean Sheet28%42%15%
Failed to Score41%37%45%
Cukaricki
Cukaricki
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.27
HomeDLDLW1.55
AwayDDLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.582.852.30
Over 2.5 %48%55%40%
Scored1.301.601.00
Conceded1.271.251.30
BTTS62%70%55%
Clean Sheet22%25%20%
Failed to Score28%15%40%

šŸ† 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK Crvena Zvezda2
100%
3.0
81+7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.5
0%
3.0
50%
17.5
0%
0
0004.00.5
63%
2IMT Novi Beograd2
100%
3.0
50+5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
50%
19
8562.50.0
56%
3Cukaricki3
67%
2.0
51+4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
8.7
67%
5.7
100%
26.0
67%
20
12351.70.3
41%
4FK Partizan2
50%
2.0
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
9.0
100%
28.0
100%
60
2619152.51.5
66%
5OFK Beograd3
33%
1.3
45-1
3.0
67%
67%
67%
8.3
33%
5.3
67%
30.0
100%
29
118101.31.7
53%
6Novi Pazar3
33%
1.3
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
10.3
33%
4.3
67%
25.0
100%
18
8370.71.3
49%
7Vojvodina2
50%
1.5
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
7.5
0%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
23
9592.51.5
44%
8Železničar Pančevo1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
11672.01.0
45%
9Mladost Lucani2
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
8.5
0%
3.0
0%
25.5
100%
8
5120.50.5
35%
10Radnik Surdulica2
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
9.5
50%
5.0
50%
31.0
100%
15
9240.50.5
56%
11Zemun2
0%
0.5
26-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
4.5
50%
22.0
50%
0
0001.03.0
32%
12Radnicki NIS2
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.5
50%
14
7160.52.0
62%
13Radnicki 19232
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
12.5
100%
4.5
100%
25.5
100%
13
7240.02.0
66%
14Macva2
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
50%
25.0
50%
0
0000.54.0
34%
Serbia: Super Liga 2026-27 full table · Mladost Lucani and Cukaricki highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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