PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Žilina
Žilina
Vs
64%
21%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Skalica
Skalica
Slovakia: Super Liga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Žilina win
64.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Skalica win
14.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ŽilinaŽilina

Avg scored 1.80
Avg conceded 1.70
Avg total 3.50
50-5avg 1.8avg 1.7avg total 3.531125101133201024410H·DUNA·ZEMA·PODH·SLOA·DUNH·ZEMA·SPAH·PODH·FK A·ZEM
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.372.061.381.791.36
vs Stronger (8)1.501.501.501.251.501.75
vs Similar (4)0.501.001.001.500.000.50
vs Weaker (18)2.441.392.501.402.381.38
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SkalicaSkalica

Avg scored 1.50
Avg conceded 1.00
Avg total 2.50
40-4avg 1.5avg 1.0avg total 2.521020041203103101121H·KOMA·FK A·RUŽH·AS A·KOMH·FK A·TATH·RUŽA·SPAH·RUŽ
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.431.331.000.801.87
vs Stronger (12)1.001.831.001.601.002.00
vs Similar (18)1.111.171.500.700.621.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.6%
Under 3.5
61.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
Žilina goals ↓
Skalica goals →
01234
05.2%3.3%2.0%0.7%0.2%
18.5%10.0%4.4%1.4%0.3%
210%9.9%4.8%1.5%0.4%
37.4%7.2%3.5%1.1%0.3%
44.0%3.9%1.9%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina goals (down), columns = Skalica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
Skalica
2.00
Dunajska Streda
2.00
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
1.50
Komárno
1.00
FK Košice
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
AS Trencin
1.00
Ružomberok
0.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.00
Žilina and Skalica are level in average points per game (both 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Košice
3.50
Slovan Bratislava
3.50
Žilina
2.50
AS Trencin
2.00
Skalica
1.50
Dunajska Streda
1.50
Komárno
1.00
Ružomberok
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
Podbrezová
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.00
Žilina is 1.00 goals better than Skalica in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Bratislava
0.00
Dunajska Streda
0.50
Komárno
1.00
Skalica
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
Ružomberok
1.50
Zemplín Michalovce
1.50
Podbrezová
1.50
Žilina
2.00
AS Trencin
2.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.00
FK Košice
3.50
Žilina is 1.00 goals worse than Skalica in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ŽilinaŽilina

For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

15083103669412265357176111091554118813H·ZEMA·DUNH·SLOA·ZEMH·DUNA·SLOH·SPAH·DUNA·FK A·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

501122323122222113111355324342H·ZEMA·DUNH·SLOA·ZEMA·SLOH·SPAH·DUNA·FK H·KOMA·SLO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 15.3 · Total 27.0

⚠️ Fouls

3601014132315141013917161810161312612151424362923263426251829H·ZEMA·DUNH·SLOA·ZEMH·DUNA·SLOH·SPAH·DUNA·FK A·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SkalicaSkalica

For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

170753428544131347558661271058417121312H·FK A·KOMA·FK H·KOMA·AS H·TATH·AS A·DUNH·ZEMA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

10025522114313331524121042746175H·FK A·KOMA·FK H·KOMA·AS H·TATH·AS A·DUNH·ZEMA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.8

⚠️ Fouls

360911132081014151913121918181261710131120331829323136182724H·FK A·KOMA·FK H·KOMA·AS H·TATH·AS A·DUNH·ZEMA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ŽilinaŽilina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)9.89.510.21.92.21.626.425.228.0
vs Stronger (10)7.27.37.01.71.81.628.826.731.0
vs Similar (4)12.011.013.00.51.00.027.526.029.0
vs Weaker (22)10.810.111.62.22.61.825.124.426.0
% over line55%55%56%25%28%22%85%82%89%
% under line45%45%44%75%72%78%15%18%11%
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SkalicaSkalica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)9.59.99.12.62.52.626.128.123.9
vs Stronger (15)9.911.48.02.53.12.026.328.423.8
vs Similar (19)9.28.410.02.62.13.225.927.824.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line53%60%44%41%41%41%68%80%56%
% under line47%40%56%59%59%59%32%20%44%
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.9
Slovan Bratislava
10.8
Ružomberok
10.3
Podbrezová
10.3
Zemplín Michalovce
10.1
FK Košice
10.0
Žilina
9.8
Komárno
9.6
Skalica
9.5
Dunajska Streda
9.3
Spartak Trnava
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.5
Podbrezová
4.9
Slovan Bratislava
4.8
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Skalica
4.6
AS Trencin
4.6
Komárno
4.4
Ružomberok
4.3
Zemplín Michalovce
4.2
Žilina
3.8
FK Košice
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
29.5
Komárno
27.7
Zemplín Michalovce
26.9
Žilina
26.4
Podbrezová
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Skalica
26.1
Ružomberok
25.4
Slovan Bratislava
25.1
AS Trencin
23.9
FK Košice
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.8%
Under 9.5
55.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.3%
Under 21.5
24.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.583.1%-------
Over 21.5 fouls75.3%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (29)
€44m
DS (35)
€26m
ŽIL (38)
€18m
AT (38)
€8m
POD (32)
€8m
ST (28)
€7m
FK (33)
€7m
RUŽ (33)
€7m
ZM (33)
€6m
SKA (31)
€4m
KOM (28)
€3m
Žilina's squad is €14m more valuable than Skalica's (€18m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (13)
€26m
DS (10)
€12m
ŽIL (15)
€5m
POD (13)
€3m
AT (17)
€3m
ST (10)
€3m
ZM (11)
€2m
FK (8)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
SKA (9)
€1m
Žilina's attack is €4m more valuable than Skalica's (€5m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DS (12)
€7m
SB (5)
€6m
ŽIL (4)
€4m
POD (7)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
FK (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
KOM (7)
€1m
SKA (7)
€1m
Žilina's midfield is €3m more valuable than Skalica's (€4m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (11)
€12m
ŽIL (19)
€9m
DS (13)
€7m
RUŽ (17)
€4m
AT (15)
€4m
FK (16)
€3m
POD (12)
€3m
ST (12)
€3m
SKA (15)
€2m
ZM (13)
€2m
KOM (11)
€1m
Žilina's defence is €7m more valuable than Skalica's (€9m vs €2m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Žilina vs Skalica · H/A from ŽIL
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25HŽIL Vs Skalica3-2
27/07/25ASkalica Vs ŽIL0-0

ŽilinaŽilina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26AZemplín Michalovce Vs ŽIL0-1
26/07/26HŽIL Vs FK Košice4-4
16/05/26HŽIL Vs Podbrezová0-2
10/05/26ASpartak Trnava Vs ŽIL1-0
05/05/26HŽIL Vs Zemplín Michalovce3-2
25/04/26ADunajska Streda Vs ŽIL3-1
18/04/26HŽIL Vs Slovan Bratislava0-1
11/04/26APodbrezová Vs ŽIL1-5
04/04/26AZemplín Michalovce Vs ŽIL2-1
21/03/26HŽIL Vs Dunajska Streda3-1

SkalicaSkalica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HSKA Vs Ružomberok2-1
25/07/26ASpartak Trnava Vs SKA1-1
16/05/26HSKA Vs Ružomberok1-0
09/05/26ATatran Prešov Vs SKA3-0
05/05/26HSKA Vs FK Košice3-1
25/04/26AKomárno Vs SKA0-2
19/04/26HSKA Vs AS Trencin4-1
11/04/26ARužomberok Vs SKA0-0
04/04/26AFK Košice Vs SKA2-0
22/03/26HSKA Vs Komárno2-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Žilina
Žilina
Slovakia: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.56
HomeWLWLD1.72
AwayLWLLW1.39
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%39%
AVG goals3.223.333.11
Over 2.5 %64%61%67%
Scored1.811.941.67
Conceded1.421.391.44
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Failed to Score25%22%28%
Skalica
Skalica
Slovakia: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.15
HomeWWWWW1.76
AwayLDWLD0.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%47%12%
AVG goals2.472.292.65
Over 2.5 %44%47%41%
Scored1.091.290.88
Conceded1.381.001.76
BTTS50%53%47%
Clean Sheet21%29%12%
Failed to Score38%29%47%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Slovan Bratislava2
100%
3.0
70+7
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
44
266123.50.0
-
2Dunajska Streda2
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
26
12771.50.5
-
3Žilina2
50%
2.0
54+1
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
5492.52.0
-
4Skalica2
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.0
-
5Podbrezová2
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.01.5
-
6FK Košice2
0%
1.0
77+0
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2233.53.5
-
7AS Trencin2
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.02.0
-
8Spartak Trnava1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.01.0
-
9Komárno1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
10Ružomberok2
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
1141.01.5
-
11Zemplín Michalovce2
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2220.01.5
-
12Dukla Banská Bystrica2
0%
0.0
06-6
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026-27 full table · Žilina and Skalica highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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