PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 02/08/2026
Final 3-0
ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Vs
63%
23%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
O
Obolon'-Brovar
Ukraine: Premier League
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win✓ Hit
63.2%
Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.12
Edge
+20.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
2.21
Superbet
2.17
Dafabet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.08
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
3.25
Dafabet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.13
10Bet
3.10
Obolon'-Brovar win✗ Miss
13.5%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.35
Edge
-13.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Unibet
3.55
1xBet
3.46
Dafabet
3.45
Betano
3.40
Superbet
3.40

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Avg scored 1.20
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 2.40
30-3avg 1.2avg 1.2avg total 2.412100100113322321100A·KRYH·KUDA·ZORH·KARH·OLEA·VERA·OBOH·POLA·METH·SK
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.501.331.471.071.53
vs Stronger (14)1.002.001.712.000.292.00
vs Similar (6)1.171.330.671.331.671.33
vs Weaker (10)1.500.901.200.801.801.00
Clean sheet %33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

O
Obolon'-Brovar

Avg scored 1.10
Avg conceded 2.00
Avg total 3.10
40-4avg 1.1avg 2.0avg total 3.104330211131122132001A·KARH·ZORA·VERH·SK A·POLH·KUDH·EPIA·SHAA·KOLH·LNZ
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.690.871.730.861.64
vs Stronger (18)0.672.110.672.330.671.89
vs Similar (6)1.001.331.331.330.671.33
vs Weaker (5)1.400.601.000.332.001.00
Clean sheet %24% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.0%
@ 1.39+9.4%
Under 1.5
24.0%
@ 2.76-9.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.84
Superbet
2.80
Unibet
2.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 2.21+8.6%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 1.59-8.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
888Sport
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Betfair
1.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
@ 4.02+5.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
@ 1.20-5.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
BetVictor
4.40
888Sport
4.40
1xBet
4.17
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Under
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.1%
@ 1.92-0.9%
No
52.9%
@ 1.77+0.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
BetVictor
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
No
888Sport
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Unibet
1.78

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.4%@ 8.84+7.9%
1-0
12.0%@ 5.94+5.3%
1-1
11.1%@ 5.64+4.1%
2-1
9.7%@ 8.40+4.9%
3-0 ✓
7.9%@ 18.22+5.8%
0-0
7.8%@ 7.54+2.5%
3-1
6.2%@ 18.19+4.0%
0-1
4.3%@ 8.07-0.6%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals ↓
Obolon'-Brovar goals →
01234
07.8%4.3%2.0%0.5%0.1%
112%11%3.9%1.0%0.2%
212%9.7%3.8%1.0%0.2%
37.9%6.2%2.4%0.6%0.1%
43.8%3.0%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals (down), columns = Obolon'-Brovar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karpaty
3.00
Polessya
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Zorya Luhansk
3.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.00
Kryvbas KR
0.00
Chornomorets
0.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is 3.00 points better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 0.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karpaty
4.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Polessya
2.00
Zorya Luhansk
2.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Chornomorets
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is 3.00 goals better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 0.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.00
Karpaty
1.00
Polessya
1.00
Veres Rivne
1.00
Chornomorets
2.00
Kolos Kovalivka
2.00
Obolon'-Brovar
3.00
Kryvbas KR
4.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is 3.00 goals better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.00 vs 3.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1303958588253422636523312131310868976H·POLH·OLEH·KUDA·KRYH·RUHH·KOLH·LNZA·SHAA·SK H·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6013332323112224111335543262H·POLH·OLEH·KUDA·KRYH·RUHH·KOLH·LNZA·SHAA·SK H·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

3807782013121512201812136111181314161314282527382517192729H·POLH·OLEH·KUDA·KRYH·RUHH·KOLH·LNZA·SHAA·SK H·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

O
Obolon'-Brovar

For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1603344729742121667373568916612713108A·SHAA·POLH·SK H·ZORA·KARA·DYNH·KRYH·RUHH·META·LNZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6022315242132132324362615425A·SHAA·POLH·SK H·ZORA·KARA·DYNH·KRYH·RUHH·META·LNZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3601197151422131216151212917131791381620223625312426302224A·SHAA·POLH·SK H·ZORA·KARA·DYNH·KRYH·RUHH·META·LNZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (30)9.89.99.61.61.91.224.125.621.2
vs Stronger (14)9.89.410.21.81.91.720.220.619.8
vs Similar (6)9.09.0-0.81.70.031.031.0-
vs Weaker (10)10.211.37.01.72.21.229.530.327.0
% over line53%50%60%17%20%13%60%70%40%
% under line47%50%40%83%80%87%40%30%60%
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

O
Obolon'-Brovar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (30)9.410.28.42.32.71.826.827.625.9
vs Stronger (18)8.810.27.72.32.22.425.526.824.3
vs Similar (6)10.711.010.51.71.71.728.023.030.5
vs Weaker (6)10.010.0-2.75.30.030.330.3-
% over line47%56%38%37%47%27%88%89%88%
% under line53%44%62%63%53%73%12%11%12%
This opponent (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Livyi Bereh
13.0
Kryvbas KR
11.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11.3
Dynamo Kyiv
11.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.6
Veres Rivne
10.5
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.8
Kudrivka
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Polessya
9.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.0
Karpaty
8.7
Kolos Kovalivka
7.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Livyi Bereh
5.0
Karpaty
4.4
Kolos Kovalivka
4.2
Obolon'-Brovar
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.9
LNZ Cherkasy
3.8
Kudrivka
3.8
Dynamo Kyiv
3.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.6
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Veres Rivne
3.3
Zorya Luhansk
3.2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.1
Polessya
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.8
Kolos Kovalivka
26.5
Livyi Bereh
26.0
Kudrivka
25.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
24.1
Karpaty
23.6
Kryvbas KR
22.9
Veres Rivne
22.7
Zorya Luhansk
22.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.1
Dynamo Kyiv
21.0
LNZ Cherkasy
20.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.6
Polessya
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.8%
@ 1.94-4.9%
Under 9.5
57.2%
@ 1.77+4.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
1xBet
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.6%
Under 21.5
23.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 21.5 fouls76.6%-------
Over 1.576.0%1.39
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
+9.4%
Under 3.571.5%1.20
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
-5.5%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (35)
€224m
DK (30)
€85m
KAR (38)
€27m
LC (32)
€25m
M1K (32)
€23m
KK (34)
€16m
ZL (27)
€13m
VR (30)
€10m
KUD (33)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (15)
€147m
DK (12)
€31m
LC (14)
€13m
KAR (12)
€10m
M1K (13)
€9m
KK (14)
€6m
ZL (12)
€4m
VR (12)
€4m
KUD (12)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (5)
€24m
SD (4)
€19m
KAR (10)
€6m
LC (7)
€6m
M1K (6)
€5m
KK (7)
€4m
ZL (5)
€3m
VR (8)
€2m
KUD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€58m
DK (13)
€30m
KAR (16)
€11m
M1K (13)
€9m
LC (11)
€7m
ZL (10)
€7m
KK (13)
€6m
VR (10)
€4m
KUD (16)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Obolon'-Brovar · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26AObolon'-Brovar Vs ED2-2
07/11/25HED Vs Obolon'-Brovar1-2

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HED Vs SK Poltava0-0
16/05/26AMetalist 1925 Kharkiv Vs ED1-1
12/05/26HED Vs Polessya3-2
09/05/26AObolon'-Brovar Vs ED2-2
02/05/26AVeres Rivne Vs ED3-3
27/04/26HED Vs Oleksandria1-1
19/04/26HED Vs Karpaty0-0
12/04/26AZorya Luhansk Vs ED1-0
06/04/26HED Vs Kudrivka1-0
21/03/26AKryvbas KR Vs ED2-1

O
Obolon'-Brovar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26HOBO Vs LNZ Cherkasy0-1
17/05/26AKolos Kovalivka Vs OBO0-2
13/05/26AShakhtar Donetsk Vs OBO3-1
09/05/26HOBO Vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2-2
03/05/26HOBO Vs Kudrivka1-1
26/04/26APolessya Vs OBO3-1
17/04/26HOBO Vs SK Poltava1-1
11/04/26AVeres Rivne Vs OBO2-0
05/04/26HOBO Vs Zorya Luhansk3-3
22/03/26AKarpaty Vs OBO4-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDD1.07
HomeWDDWD1.07
AwayLLDDD1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%27%27%
AVG goals2.702.802.60
Over 2.5 %50%47%53%
Scored1.201.331.07
Conceded1.501.471.53
BTTS43%47%40%
Clean Sheet33%40%27%
Failed to Score37%33%40%
O
Obolon'-Brovar
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL0.97
HomeDDDDL0.93
AwayLLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%13%29%
AVG goals2.552.602.50
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Scored0.860.870.86
Conceded1.691.731.64
BTTS48%47%50%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Failed to Score41%40%43%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Karpaty1
100%
3.0
41+3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
106114.01.0
-
2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.0
-
3Zorya Luhansk1
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4372.00.0
-
4Polessya1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
5Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
23
9591.00.0
-
6Chornomorets1
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
7Veres Rivne1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4240.01.0
-
8Kolos Kovalivka1
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6460.02.0
-
9Kryvbas KR1
0%
0.0
14-3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.0
-
10Obolon'-Brovar1
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Ukraine: Premier League 2026-27 full table · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Obolon'-Brovar highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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