PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
Vs
56%
27%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KK
Kryvbas KR
Ukraine: Premier League
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zorya Luhansk win
56.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Kryvbas KR win
16.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 0.90
Avg total 2.30
30-3avg 1.4avg 0.9avg total 2.310131220211121002120H·EPIA·DYNH·SHAH·VERA·RUHH·META·OLEH·POLA·KARH·KOL
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.201.400.871.531.53
vs Stronger (7)0.431.570.671.000.252.00
vs Similar (11)1.551.271.331.171.801.40
vs Weaker (12)2.000.921.830.502.171.33
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KK
Kryvbas KR

Avg scored 2.10
Avg conceded 2.20
Avg total 4.30
60-6avg 2.1avg 2.2avg total 4.303213056331031231114H·LNZA·KUDH·RUHH·DYNA·SK H·KARA·VERH·SHAA·OLEH·KAR
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.602.001.621.501.57
vs Stronger (8)1.122.621.753.250.502.00
vs Similar (8)1.381.121.601.201.001.00
vs Weaker (14)2.361.292.431.002.291.57
Clean sheet %23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.2%
Under 2.5
58.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
Zorya Luhansk goals ↓
Kryvbas KR goals →
01234
011%6.1%2.7%0.7%0.1%
114%13%4.3%1.1%0.2%
212%9.1%3.4%0.9%0.2%
36.4%4.8%1.8%0.4%0.1%
42.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zorya Luhansk goals (down), columns = Kryvbas KR goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karpaty
3.00
Polessya
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Zorya Luhansk
3.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.00
Kryvbas KR
0.00
Chornomorets
0.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Zorya Luhansk is 3.00 points better than Kryvbas KR in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karpaty
4.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Polessya
2.00
Zorya Luhansk
2.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Chornomorets
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Zorya Luhansk is 1.00 goals better than Kryvbas KR in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.00
Karpaty
1.00
Polessya
1.00
Veres Rivne
1.00
Chornomorets
2.00
Kolos Kovalivka
2.00
Obolon'-Brovar
3.00
Kryvbas KR
4.00
Zorya Luhansk is 4.00 goals better than Kryvbas KR in terms of goals conceded per game (0.00 vs 4.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk

For 5.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

180267533212792113573772981261416318101411H·POLA·OLEH·VERA·DYNA·OBOA·KOLA·KRYA·KUDA·LNZH·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

6021242222112142113624222162H·POLA·OLEH·VERA·DYNA·OBOA·KOLA·KRYA·KUDA·LNZH·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

310681615879111213121414711101012151014311520252621212225H·POLA·OLEH·VERA·DYNA·OBOA·KOLA·KRYA·KUDA·LNZH·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KK
Kryvbas KR

For 4.9 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

19068111114528186151388496912191097181613A·VERA·SK H·DYNH·LNZH·EPIA·POLA·OBOH·ZORA·METH·KOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

5021412123212322322531535252A·VERA·SK H·DYNH·LNZH·EPIA·POLA·OBOH·ZORA·METH·KOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

290161016107951912155131797141514141026261624271826212924A·VERA·SK H·DYNH·LNZH·EPIA·POLA·OBOH·ZORA·METH·KOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (31)10.69.011.61.71.12.322.420.723.4
vs Stronger (8)11.210.012.02.82.23.219.217.020.7
vs Similar (11)10.611.010.51.40.32.624.025.023.8
vs Weaker (12)10.27.712.71.21.01.523.721.725.7
% over line62%50%70%19%6%33%50%50%50%
% under line38%50%30%81%94%67%50%50%50%
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KK
Kryvbas KR

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (33)11.713.69.62.01.92.022.922.123.8
vs Stronger (8)13.215.511.01.21.01.518.820.017.5
vs Similar (11)13.516.011.02.42.02.824.022.325.7
vs Weaker (14)9.310.87.32.12.41.724.323.026.0
% over line59%89%25%24%24%25%71%67%75%
% under line41%11%75%76%76%75%29%33%25%
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Livyi Bereh
13.0
Kryvbas KR
11.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11.3
Dynamo Kyiv
11.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.6
Veres Rivne
10.5
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.8
Kudrivka
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Polessya
9.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.0
Karpaty
8.7
Kolos Kovalivka
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Livyi Bereh
5.0
Karpaty
4.4
Kolos Kovalivka
4.2
Obolon'-Brovar
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.9
LNZ Cherkasy
3.8
Kudrivka
3.8
Dynamo Kyiv
3.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.6
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Veres Rivne
3.3
Zorya Luhansk
3.2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.1
Polessya
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.8
Kolos Kovalivka
26.5
Livyi Bereh
26.0
Kudrivka
25.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
24.1
Karpaty
23.6
Kryvbas KR
22.9
Veres Rivne
22.7
Zorya Luhansk
22.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.1
Dynamo Kyiv
21.0
LNZ Cherkasy
20.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.6
Polessya
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.8%
Under 9.5
59.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.2%
Under 21.5
50.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 3.579.3%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (35)
€224m
DK (30)
€85m
KAR (38)
€27m
LC (32)
€25m
M1K (32)
€23m
KK (34)
€16m
ZL (27)
€13m
VR (30)
€10m
KUD (33)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (15)
€147m
DK (12)
€31m
LC (14)
€13m
KAR (12)
€10m
M1K (13)
€9m
KK (14)
€6m
ZL (12)
€4m
VR (12)
€4m
KUD (12)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (5)
€24m
SD (4)
€19m
KAR (10)
€6m
LC (7)
€6m
M1K (6)
€5m
KK (7)
€4m
ZL (5)
€3m
VR (8)
€2m
KUD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€58m
DK (13)
€30m
KAR (16)
€11m
M1K (13)
€9m
LC (11)
€7m
ZL (10)
€7m
KK (13)
€6m
VR (10)
€4m
KUD (16)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR · H/A from ZL
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26AKryvbas KR Vs ZL3-1
18/08/25HZL Vs Kryvbas KR2-3

Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26HZL Vs Kolos Kovalivka2-0
23/05/26AKarpaty Vs ZL1-2
18/05/26HZL Vs Polessya0-0
12/05/26AOleksandria Vs ZL1-2
09/05/26HZL Vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1-1
04/05/26ARuh Lviv Vs ZL1-2
27/04/26HZL Vs Veres Rivne2-0
23/04/26HZL Vs Shakhtar Donetsk1-2
17/04/26ADynamo Kyiv Vs ZL3-1
12/04/26HZL Vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1-0

KK
Kryvbas KR

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HKK Vs Karpaty1-4
23/05/26AOleksandria Vs KK1-1
17/05/26HKK Vs Shakhtar Donetsk2-3
12/05/26AVeres Rivne Vs KK1-3
08/05/26HKK Vs Karpaty1-0
01/05/26ASK Poltava Vs KK3-3
26/04/26HKK Vs Dynamo Kyiv5-6
19/04/26HKK Vs Ruh Lviv3-0
12/04/26AKudrivka Vs KK1-2
05/04/26HKK Vs LNZ Cherkasy0-3

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.58
HomeLWDDW1.69
AwayDLWWW1.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.582.123.07
Over 2.5 %52%38%67%
Scored1.421.311.53
Conceded1.160.811.53
BTTS58%44%73%
Clean Sheet32%56%7%
Failed to Score23%19%27%
KK
Kryvbas KR
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.45
HomeWLWLL1.59
AwayLWDWD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%47%31%
AVG goals3.273.592.94
Over 2.5 %67%76%56%
Scored1.671.941.38
Conceded1.611.651.56
BTTS61%65%56%
Clean Sheet21%24%19%
Failed to Score27%12%44%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Karpaty1
100%
3.0
41+3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
106114.01.0
-
2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.0
-
3Zorya Luhansk1
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4372.00.0
-
4Polessya1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
5Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
23
9591.00.0
-
6Chornomorets1
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
7Veres Rivne1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4240.01.0
-
8Kolos Kovalivka1
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6460.02.0
-
9Kryvbas KR1
0%
0.0
14-3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.0
-
10Obolon'-Brovar1
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Ukraine: Premier League 2026-27 full table · Zorya Luhansk and Kryvbas KR highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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