This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Avg scored1.30
Avg conceded0.60
Avg total1.90
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.63
1.20
0.60
1.27
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.93
0.71
1.00
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (14)
1.86
0.29
1.71
0.14
2.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (32%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.8%
Under 1.5
58.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.5%
Under 2.5
83.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
5.3%
Under 3.5
94.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
26.2%
No
73.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
26.0%
1-0
17.5%
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
Polessya goals ↓
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
26%
15%
5.1%
1.1%
0.2%
1
18%
13%
3.8%
0.8%
0.1%
2
7.1%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
3
1.8%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Polessya goals (down), columns = Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karpaty
3.00
Polessya
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Zorya Luhansk
3.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.00
Kryvbas KR
0.00
Chornomorets
0.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Polessya and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are level in average points per game (both 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Karpaty
4.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Polessya
2.00
Zorya Luhansk
2.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Chornomorets
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Polessya is 1.00 goals better than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.00
Karpaty
1.00
Polessya
1.00
Veres Rivne
1.00
Chornomorets
2.00
Kolos Kovalivka
2.00
Obolon'-Brovar
3.00
Kryvbas KR
4.00
Polessya is 1.00 goals worse than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
P
Polessya
For 6.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 8.1 · Total 17.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
For 7.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
P
Polessya
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
9.2
8.9
9.5
1.9
1.8
2.1
19.0
18.4
19.5
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
7.0
7.0
7.0
1.8
2.5
1.0
15.8
17.0
14.5
vs Weaker (27)
9.7
9.3
10.1
2.1
1.8
2.5
19.7
18.7
20.7
% over line
27%
27%
27%
16%
11%
21%
23%
18%
27%
% under line
73%
73%
73%
84%
89%
79%
77%
82%
73%
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
11.3
12.7
10.3
2.0
1.8
2.2
22.1
22.4
21.9
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
-
7.0
3.5
0.0
7.0
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (14)
11.7
13.7
10.7
2.6
2.3
2.9
22.0
23.7
21.2
vs Weaker (15)
11.4
12.0
10.7
1.3
1.6
0.9
22.7
21.5
24.3
% over line
65%
86%
50%
23%
25%
20%
53%
57%
50%
% under line
35%
14%
50%
77%
75%
80%
47%
43%
50%
This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livyi Bereh
13.0
Kryvbas KR
11.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11.3
Dynamo Kyiv
11.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.6
Veres Rivne
10.5
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.8
Kudrivka
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Polessya
9.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.0
Karpaty
8.7
Kolos Kovalivka
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Livyi Bereh
5.0
Karpaty
4.4
Kolos Kovalivka
4.2
Obolon'-Brovar
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.9
LNZ Cherkasy
3.8
Kudrivka
3.8
Dynamo Kyiv
3.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.6
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Veres Rivne
3.3
Zorya Luhansk
3.2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.1
Polessya
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.8
Kolos Kovalivka
26.5
Livyi Bereh
26.0
Kudrivka
25.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
24.1
Karpaty
23.6
Kryvbas KR
22.9
Veres Rivne
22.7
Zorya Luhansk
22.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.1
Dynamo Kyiv
21.0
LNZ Cherkasy
20.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.6
Polessya
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.5%
Under 9.5
64.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
24.8%
Under 21.5
75.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS No
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (35)
€224m
DK (30)
€85m
KAR (38)
€27m
LC (32)
€25m
M1K (32)
€23m
KK (34)
€16m
ZL (27)
€13m
VR (30)
€10m
KUD (33)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (15)
€147m
DK (12)
€31m
LC (14)
€13m
KAR (12)
€10m
M1K (13)
€9m
KK (14)
€6m
ZL (12)
€4m
VR (12)
€4m
KUD (12)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (5)
€24m
SD (4)
€19m
KAR (10)
€6m
LC (7)
€6m
M1K (6)
€5m
KK (7)
€4m
ZL (5)
€3m
VR (8)
€2m
KUD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€58m
DK (13)
€30m
KAR (16)
€11m
M1K (13)
€9m
LC (11)
€7m
ZL (10)
€7m
KK (13)
€6m
VR (10)
€4m
KUD (16)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Polessya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · H/A from POL
Date
H/A
Game
Score
03/05/26
A
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Vs POL
0-1
03/11/25
H
POL Vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0-0
P
Polessya
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
Chornomorets Vs POL
1-2
24/05/26
H
POL Vs Ruh Lviv
2-0
18/05/26
A
Zorya Luhansk Vs POL
0-0
12/05/26
A
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Vs POL
3-2
08/05/26
H
POL Vs Oleksandria
2-1
03/05/26
A
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Vs POL
0-1
26/04/26
H
POL Vs Obolon'-Brovar
3-1
20/04/26
A
Shakhtar Donetsk Vs POL
1-0
10/04/26
A
SK Poltava Vs POL
0-4
05/04/26
H
POL Vs Veres Rivne
1-1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
H
M1K Vs Veres Rivne
1-0
24/05/26
A
Veres Rivne Vs M1K
0-1
16/05/26
H
M1K Vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1-1
12/05/26
H
M1K Vs Karpaty
2-2
09/05/26
A
Zorya Luhansk Vs M1K
1-1
03/05/26
H
M1K Vs Polessya
0-1
26/04/26
A
LNZ Cherkasy Vs M1K
1-1
18/04/26
H
M1K Vs Kudrivka
1-0
15/04/26
H
M1K Vs Veres Rivne
4-0
11/04/26
H
M1K Vs Dynamo Kyiv
1-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
P
Polessya
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLDWW
1.84
Home
WDWWW
1.72
Away
LWLDW
1.95
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
57%
50%
63%
AVG goals
2.62
2.28
2.95
Over 2.5 %
51%
44%
58%
Scored
1.73
1.44
2.00
Conceded
0.89
0.83
0.95
BTTS
38%
33%
42%
Clean Sheet
49%
50%
47%
Failed to Score
24%
33%
16%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DDDWW
1.74
Home
WLDDW
1.81
Away
LDDDW
1.67
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
45%
50%
40%
AVG goals
1.81
1.69
1.93
Over 2.5 %
23%
19%
27%
Scored
1.19
1.12
1.27
Conceded
0.61
0.56
0.67
BTTS
35%
25%
47%
Clean Sheet
52%
62%
40%
Failed to Score
29%
25%
33%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Karpaty
1
100%
3.0
4
1
+3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
10
6
11
4.0
1.0
-
2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
100%
3.0
3
0
+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
3.0
0.0
-
3
Zorya Luhansk
1
100%
3.0
2
0
+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4
3
7
2.0
0.0
-
4
Polessya
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
2.0
1.0
-
5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
100%
3.0
1
0
+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
23
9
5
9
1.0
0.0
-
6
Chornomorets
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
1.0
2.0
-
7
Veres Rivne
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4
2
4
0.0
1.0
-
8
Kolos Kovalivka
1
0%
0.0
0
2
-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6
4
6
0.0
2.0
-
9
Kryvbas KR
1
0%
0.0
1
4
-3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
1.0
4.0
-
10
Obolon'-Brovar
1
0%
0.0
0
3
-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
0.0
3.0
-
Ukraine: Premier League 2026-27 full table · Polessya and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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