PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 10/08/2026
Karpaty
Karpaty
Vs
16%
36%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy
Ukraine: Premier League
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpaty win
15.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
36.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy win
48.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KarpatyKarpaty

Avg scored 1.50
Avg conceded 0.60
Avg total 2.10
40-4avg 1.5avg 0.6avg total 2.110200030000122201241A·DYNH·OLEA·EPIA·RUHH·LNZA·KRYA·METH·VERH·ZORA·KRY
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.001.431.141.500.88
vs Stronger (7)1.431.712.002.001.001.50
vs Similar (11)1.001.270.801.601.171.00
vs Weaker (12)1.920.331.670.332.170.33
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy

Avg scored 1.10
Avg conceded 0.60
Avg total 1.70
30-3avg 1.1avg 0.6avg total 1.721302201110000200110A·RUHA·KRYH·SHAA·KOLH·META·KARH·DYNH·SK A·KUDA·OBO
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.571.130.601.470.53
vs Stronger (2)3.001.502.002.004.001.00
vs Similar (6)1.000.670.671.331.330.00
vs Weaker (22)1.230.451.180.271.270.64
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Karpaty) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%15%23%31%22%031%127%213%35%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.0%
Under 1.5
53.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.4%
Under 2.5
79.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
7.2%
Under 3.5
92.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
26.4%
No
73.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
22.3%
0-1
21.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
5.8%
0-3
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
Karpaty goals ↓
LNZ Cherkasy goals →
01234
022%21%12%4.2%1.1%
19.3%12%5.8%2.1%0.5%
22.5%2.7%1.4%0.5%0.1%
30.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karpaty goals (down), columns = LNZ Cherkasy goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karpaty
3.00
Polessya
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Zorya Luhansk
3.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.00
Kryvbas KR
0.00
Chornomorets
0.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karpaty
4.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Polessya
2.00
Zorya Luhansk
2.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Chornomorets
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.00
Karpaty
1.00
Polessya
1.00
Veres Rivne
1.00
Chornomorets
2.00
Kolos Kovalivka
2.00
Obolon'-Brovar
3.00
Kryvbas KR
4.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⏱️ Possession

Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KarpatyKarpaty

For 4.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1205757352425642642927212128671086119A·META·RUHA·DYNH·OBOA·SK H·KOLA·SHAA·POLA·ZORA·VER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

90251263243114121137396451223A·META·RUHA·DYNH·OBOA·SK H·KOLA·SHAA·POLA·ZORA·VER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

310149914199151612111012781081015151123232831232215182526A·META·RUHA·DYNH·OBOA·SK H·KOLA·SHAA·POLA·ZORA·VER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy

For 4.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

1905273737451452461627710311195678A·KUDH·SK H·META·KOLH·SHAA·KRYA·RUHH·OLEH·POLA·EPI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

7012134215342213107215723A·KUDH·SK H·META·KOLH·SHAA·KRYA·RUHH·OLEH·POLA·EPI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 8.9 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

2901514111061013108719512121584711629211623152424231117A·KUDH·SK H·META·KOLH·SHAA·KRYA·RUHH·OLEH·POLA·EPI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KarpatyKarpaty

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (31)8.78.09.12.31.72.823.626.721.7
vs Stronger (8)8.28.58.03.62.25.020.724.019.0
vs Similar (11)9.68.311.51.72.01.525.827.024.0
vs Weaker (12)8.46.09.01.81.02.724.831.023.2
% over line31%17%40%29%27%31%69%83%60%
% under line69%83%60%71%73%69%31%17%40%
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (31)9.09.09.02.42.52.220.319.321.3
vs Stronger (2)11.011.011.03.02.04.016.015.017.0
vs Similar (6)8.38.58.01.00.71.315.013.518.0
vs Weaker (23)8.98.98.92.73.02.322.021.622.4
% over line42%50%33%29%27%31%42%40%44%
% under line58%50%67%71%73%69%58%60%56%
This opponent (Karpaty) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Livyi Bereh
13.0
Kryvbas KR
11.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11.3
Dynamo Kyiv
11.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.6
Veres Rivne
10.5
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.8
Kudrivka
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Polessya
9.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.0
Karpaty
8.7
Kolos Kovalivka
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Livyi Bereh
5.0
Karpaty
4.4
Kolos Kovalivka
4.2
Obolon'-Brovar
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.9
LNZ Cherkasy
3.8
Kudrivka
3.8
Dynamo Kyiv
3.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.6
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Veres Rivne
3.3
Zorya Luhansk
3.2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.1
Polessya
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.8
Kolos Kovalivka
26.5
Livyi Bereh
26.0
Kudrivka
25.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
24.1
Karpaty
23.6
Kryvbas KR
22.9
Veres Rivne
22.7
Zorya Luhansk
22.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.1
Dynamo Kyiv
21.0
LNZ Cherkasy
20.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.6
Polessya
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
32.0%
Under 9.5
68.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.1%
Under 21.5
26.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 3.592.8%-------
Under 2.579.6%-------
BTTS No73.6%-------
Over 21.5 fouls73.1%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (35)
€224m
DK (30)
€85m
KAR (38)
€27m
LC (32)
€25m
M1K (32)
€23m
KK (34)
€16m
ZL (27)
€13m
VR (30)
€10m
KUD (33)
€8m
Karpaty's squad is €1m more valuable than LNZ Cherkasy's (€27m vs €25m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (15)
€147m
DK (12)
€31m
LC (14)
€13m
KAR (12)
€10m
M1K (13)
€9m
KK (14)
€6m
ZL (12)
€4m
VR (12)
€4m
KUD (12)
€3m
Karpaty's attack is €2m less valuable than LNZ Cherkasy's (€10m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (5)
€24m
SD (4)
€19m
KAR (10)
€6m
LC (7)
€6m
M1K (6)
€5m
KK (7)
€4m
ZL (5)
€3m
VR (8)
€2m
KUD (5)
€1m
Karpaty and LNZ Cherkasy have a similar midfield value (both €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€58m
DK (13)
€30m
KAR (16)
€11m
M1K (13)
€9m
LC (11)
€7m
ZL (10)
€7m
KK (13)
€6m
VR (10)
€4m
KUD (16)
€4m
Karpaty's defence is €4m more valuable than LNZ Cherkasy's (€11m vs €7m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy · H/A from KAR
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HKAR Vs LNZ Cherkasy0-0
03/11/25ALNZ Cherkasy Vs KAR0-1

KarpatyKarpaty

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AKryvbas KR Vs KAR1-4
23/05/26HKAR Vs Zorya Luhansk1-2
17/05/26HKAR Vs Veres Rivne2-0
12/05/26AMetalist 1925 Kharkiv Vs KAR2-2
08/05/26AKryvbas KR Vs KAR1-0
02/05/26HKAR Vs LNZ Cherkasy0-0
25/04/26ARuh Lviv Vs KAR0-3
19/04/26AEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Vs KAR0-0
11/04/26HKAR Vs Oleksandria2-0
04/04/26ADynamo Kyiv Vs KAR0-1

LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26AObolon'-Brovar Vs LC0-1
18/05/26AKudrivka Vs LC1-0
13/05/26HLC Vs SK Poltava2-0
09/05/26HLC Vs Dynamo Kyiv0-0
02/05/26AKarpaty Vs LC0-0
26/04/26HLC Vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1-1
18/04/26AKolos Kovalivka Vs LC1-0
13/04/26HLC Vs Shakhtar Donetsk2-2
05/04/26AKryvbas KR Vs LC0-3
21/03/26ARuh Lviv Vs LC1-2

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Karpaty
Karpaty
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.42
HomeWWDWL1.20
AwayDWLDW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%27%44%
AVG goals2.452.532.38
Over 2.5 %42%40%44%
Scored1.421.331.50
Conceded1.031.200.88
BTTS39%47%31%
Clean Sheet45%40%50%
Failed to Score29%27%31%
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLW2.00
HomeWDDDW1.87
AwayWLDLW2.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%53%67%
AVG goals1.871.732.00
Over 2.5 %27%20%33%
Scored1.301.131.47
Conceded0.570.600.53
BTTS20%20%20%
Clean Sheet67%67%67%
Failed to Score27%27%27%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Karpaty1
100%
3.0
41+3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
106114.01.0
-
2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.0
-
3Zorya Luhansk1
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4372.00.0
-
4Polessya1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
5Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
23
9591.00.0
-
6Chornomorets1
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
7Veres Rivne1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4240.01.0
-
8Kolos Kovalivka1
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6460.02.0
-
9Kryvbas KR1
0%
0.0
14-3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.0
-
10Obolon'-Brovar1
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Ukraine: Premier League 2026-27 full table · Karpaty and LNZ Cherkasy highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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