This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Avg scored1.90
Avg conceded1.60
Avg total3.50
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.57
1.93
1.67
1.87
1.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.83
0.33
2.00
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (12)
1.83
1.83
2.29
1.86
1.20
1.80
vs Weaker (12)
2.67
1.17
2.40
1.20
2.86
1.14
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.14-0.2%
Under 1.5
18.4%
@ 5.11+0.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.38
10Bet
5.25
BetVictor
5.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.50-3.6%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 2.44+3.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.9%
@ 2.24-5.8%
Under 3.5
64.1%
@ 1.61+5.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.25
Under
Betfair
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Both teams to score
Yes
60.6%
@ 1.45-3.2%
No
39.4%
@ 2.55+3.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
No
Betfair
2.63
888Sport
2.63
William Hil
2.62
1xBet
2.58
BetVictor
2.55
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 7.09+5.6%
1-2
9.5%@ 7.86+3.9%
0-2
7.5%@ 11.13+3.5%
0-1
7.4%@ 9.96+3.0%
2-1
6.8%@ 10.17+2.5%
2-2
6.0%@ 10.31+1.7%
0-0
5.9%@ 15.55+3.1%
1-3
5.6%@ 12.32+2.0%
SJK goals ↓
HJK Helsinki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
7.4%
7.5%
4.4%
1.9%
1
5.0%
12%
9.5%
5.6%
2.5%
2
3.9%
6.8%
6.0%
3.5%
1.6%
3
1.6%
2.9%
2.5%
1.5%
0.7%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SJK goals (down), columns = HJK Helsinki goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
2.17
Inter Turku
1.89
AC Oulu
1.67
HJK Helsinki
1.65
Gnistan
1.56
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.39
Turku PS
1.39
Ilves
1.22
FF Jaro
0.83
SJK
0.82
Mariehamn
0.28
SJK is 0.82 points worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.83
HJK Helsinki
1.65
Ilves
1.61
Gnistan
1.50
Inter Turku
1.39
VPS
1.33
Turku PS
1.28
Lahti
1.22
AC Oulu
1.22
SJK
1.12
FF Jaro
0.94
Mariehamn
0.50
SJK is 0.53 goals worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.65).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.78
Lahti
0.89
KuPS
0.89
VPS
0.94
Turku PS
1.11
AC Oulu
1.17
HJK Helsinki
1.18
Gnistan
1.22
SJK
1.59
Ilves
1.72
FF Jaro
1.94
Mariehamn
2.17
SJK is 0.41 goals worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
SJK is 5.1 percentage points worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of average possession (50% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SJK
For 5.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 7.8 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HJK Helsinki
For 4.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.6 · Against 8.6 · Total 16.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SJK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.2
1.7
1.3
2.0
19.2
17.8
20.3
vs Stronger (16)
10.4
10.8
10.0
1.9
1.8
2.1
19.4
18.0
20.8
vs Similar (25)
10.4
9.8
10.8
1.6
1.2
2.1
20.1
18.5
21.2
vs Weaker (9)
9.0
9.0
9.0
1.2
1.0
1.5
16.0
14.0
17.0
% over line
52%
56%
50%
26%
16%
36%
38%
22%
50%
% under line
48%
44%
50%
74%
84%
64%
62%
78%
50%
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
8.6
11.9
1.2
1.2
1.2
16.9
15.3
18.8
vs Stronger (8)
6.7
2.5
15.0
0.5
0.5
0.5
10.3
9.0
13.0
vs Similar (22)
8.6
8.2
9.3
0.8
1.0
0.4
17.1
17.0
17.3
vs Weaker (20)
12.1
11.4
12.7
2.0
1.8
2.2
18.5
16.2
20.5
% over line
64%
50%
80%
12%
8%
17%
23%
17%
30%
% under line
36%
50%
20%
88%
92%
83%
77%
83%
70%
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.4
Inter Turku
10.7
Ilves
10.5
Mariehamn
10.5
SJK
10.2
HJK Helsinki
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
KuPS
9.5
VPS
8.8
Turku PS
8.4
Lahti
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
SJK
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
Lahti
3.8
Ilves
3.4
VPS
3.3
FF Jaro
3.3
Mariehamn
3.1
HJK Helsinki
2.8
KuPS
2.8
Inter Turku
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AC Oulu
22.7
Lahti
22.6
Gnistan
22.6
VPS
22.3
Turku PS
21.8
Mariehamn
20.3
Inter Turku
19.6
KuPS
19.4
SJK
19.2
Ilves
18.9
FF Jaro
18.4
HJK Helsinki
16.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.8%
@ 1.59+1.6%
Under 9.5
40.2%
@ 2.22-1.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Unibet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
39.4%
Under 3.5
60.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
22.1%
Under 21.5
77.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
81.6%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-0.2%
Under 21.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (26)
€6m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (22)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (21)
€2m
MAR (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
SJK's squad is €3m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€4m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
SJK and HJK Helsinki have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
ILV (4)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (2)
€0m
SJK and HJK Helsinki have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (11)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
SJK's defence is €2m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€2m vs €3m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
SJK vs HJK Helsinki · H/A from SJK
Date
H/A
Game
Score
04/04/26
A
HJK Helsinki Vs SJK
3-0
22/10/25
A
HJK Helsinki Vs SJK
3-4
13/09/25
H
SJK Vs HJK Helsinki
3-3
20/05/25
A
HJK Helsinki Vs SJK
4-2
11/04/25
H
SJK Vs HJK Helsinki
1-0
SJK
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/07/26
A
FF Jaro Vs SJK
2-1
18/07/26
H
SJK Vs KuPS
0-2
10/07/26
A
VPS Vs SJK
1-0
04/07/26
H
SJK Vs Turku PS
3-1
27/06/26
A
Ilves Vs SJK
2-2
23/06/26
A
Inter Turku Vs SJK
1-1
17/06/26
H
SJK Vs VPS
1-2
13/06/26
A
Lahti Vs SJK
2-3
30/05/26
A
Gnistan Vs SJK
3-2
23/05/26
H
SJK Vs AC Oulu
0-1
HJK Helsinki
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
26/07/26
H
HH Vs Turku PS
1-0
18/07/26
H
HH Vs VPS
2-1
11/07/26
A
Lahti Vs HH
2-0
27/06/26
H
HH Vs KuPS
0-4
23/06/26
A
Mariehamn Vs HH
0-4
17/06/26
H
HH Vs Inter Turku
3-3
13/06/26
A
FF Jaro Vs HH
2-5
30/05/26
H
HH Vs Mariehamn
1-0
22/05/26
A
VPS Vs HH
2-1
16/05/26
H
HH Vs Ilves
2-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
SJK
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DWLLL
1.40
Home
LLLWL
1.56
Away
WDDLL
1.24
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
38%
44%
32%
AVG goals
3.42
3.00
3.84
Over 2.5 %
70%
64%
76%
Scored
1.78
1.76
1.80
Conceded
1.64
1.24
2.04
BTTS
70%
68%
72%
Clean Sheet
12%
16%
8%
Failed to Score
20%
16%
24%
HJK Helsinki
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLLWW
1.64
Home
WDLWW
1.73
Away
LLWWL
1.54
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
46%
50%
42%
AVG goals
3.60
3.92
3.25
Over 2.5 %
70%
73%
67%
Scored
2.14
2.35
1.92
Conceded
1.46
1.58
1.33
BTTS
58%
65%
50%
Clean Sheet
28%
23%
33%
Failed to Score
20%
15%
25%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
KuPS
18
61%
2.2
33
16
+17
2.7
83%
44%
28%
8.1
33%
1.9
11%
19.9
44%
0
0
0
0
1.8
0.9
57%
2
Inter Turku
18
50%
1.9
25
14
+11
2.2
72%
33%
17%
10.7
67%
2.3
14%
19.7
57%
5
2
1
2
1.4
0.8
58%
3
AC Oulu
18
50%
1.7
22
21
+1
2.4
61%
39%
17%
9.5
38%
3.8
62%
22.6
50%
4
1
1
1
1.2
1.2
48%
4
HJK Helsinki
17
47%
1.6
28
20
+8
2.8
71%
53%
29%
7.0
14%
3.0
43%
18.4
43%
6
2
1
3
1.6
1.2
55%
5
Gnistan
18
44%
1.6
27
22
+5
2.7
78%
39%
22%
10.1
57%
3.6
50%
24.2
71%
3
1
1
1
1.5
1.2
44%
6
VPS
18
39%
1.5
24
17
+7
2.3
61%
39%
22%
7.1
30%
3.4
50%
21.8
70%
0
0
0
0
1.3
0.9
48%
7
Lahti
18
39%
1.4
22
16
+6
2.1
67%
28%
11%
8.3
50%
3.8
60%
22.6
80%
2
1
0
1
1.2
0.9
56%
8
Turku PS
18
39%
1.4
23
20
+3
2.4
67%
50%
22%
7.7
40%
3.9
60%
20.3
60%
0
0
0
0
1.3
1.1
50%
9
Ilves
18
33%
1.2
29
31
-2
3.3
78%
67%
56%
8.1
11%
3.0
56%
18.0
44%
4
1
1
2
1.6
1.7
49%
10
FF Jaro
18
17%
0.8
17
35
-18
2.9
83%
56%
28%
8.4
30%
3.1
40%
19.2
50%
2
1
1
1
0.9
1.9
47%
11
SJK
17
18%
0.8
19
27
-8
2.7
82%
53%
29%
9.0
57%
3.9
57%
20.4
57%
4
1
1
2
1.1
1.6
50%
12
Mariehamn
18
0%
0.3
9
39
-30
2.7
83%
50%
22%
10.5
70%
3.0
64%
21.3
64%
2
1
1
1
0.5
2.2
45%
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026-27 full table · SJK and HJK Helsinki highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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