This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gnistan
Avg scored1.70
Avg conceded0.90
Avg total2.60
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.73
1.69
2.06
1.21
1.36
vs Stronger (17)
1.00
1.76
0.75
2.00
1.22
1.56
vs Similar (11)
1.82
1.82
2.43
2.14
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
1.00
4.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.8%
@ 1.16-8.3%
Under 1.5
29.2%
@ 4.40+8.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.16
Under
Unibet
4.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.4%
@ 1.56-15.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
@ 2.23+15.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.56
Under
Unibet
2.23
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.4%
@ 2.40-15.7%
Under 3.5
77.6%
@ 1.48+15.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.40
Under
Unibet
1.48
Both teams to score
Yes
50.4%
@ 1.49-11.1%
No
49.6%
@ 2.38+11.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Unibet
1.49
No
Unibet
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.80+6.0%
0-0
10.2%@ 10.50+5.6%
1-0
9.9%@ 8.00+3.8%
0-1
9.1%@ 9.00+3.7%
2-1
8.1%@ 6.75+1.0%
1-2
7.6%@ 8.00+1.5%
2-0
7.0%@ 8.50+1.3%
0-2
6.1%@ 11.00+1.7%
SJK goals ↓
Gnistan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.1%
6.1%
2.3%
0.7%
1
9.9%
14%
7.6%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.0%
8.1%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.9%
3.4%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SJK goals (down), columns = Gnistan goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
2.17
Inter Turku
1.89
AC Oulu
1.67
HJK Helsinki
1.65
Gnistan
1.56
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.39
Turku PS
1.39
Ilves
1.22
FF Jaro
0.83
SJK
0.82
Mariehamn
0.28
SJK is 0.73 points worse than Gnistan in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.56).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.83
HJK Helsinki
1.65
Ilves
1.61
Gnistan
1.50
Inter Turku
1.39
VPS
1.33
Turku PS
1.28
Lahti
1.22
AC Oulu
1.22
SJK
1.12
FF Jaro
0.94
Mariehamn
0.50
SJK is 0.38 goals worse than Gnistan in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.50).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.78
Lahti
0.89
KuPS
0.89
VPS
0.94
Turku PS
1.11
AC Oulu
1.17
HJK Helsinki
1.18
Gnistan
1.22
SJK
1.59
Ilves
1.72
FF Jaro
1.94
Mariehamn
2.17
SJK is 0.37 goals worse than Gnistan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.22).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
SJK is 5.6 percentage points better than Gnistan in terms of average possession (50% vs 44%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
SJK
For 5.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 7.8 · Total 20.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gnistan
For 3.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SJK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.2
1.7
1.3
2.0
19.2
17.8
20.3
vs Stronger (16)
10.4
10.8
10.0
1.9
1.8
2.1
19.4
18.0
20.8
vs Similar (25)
10.4
9.8
10.8
1.6
1.2
2.1
20.1
18.5
21.2
vs Weaker (9)
9.0
9.0
9.0
1.2
1.0
1.5
16.0
14.0
17.0
% over line
52%
56%
50%
26%
16%
36%
38%
22%
50%
% under line
48%
44%
50%
74%
84%
64%
62%
78%
50%
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gnistan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
10.6
12.3
2.1
2.1
2.2
22.6
21.1
24.2
vs Stronger (27)
12.2
11.1
13.3
1.8
1.5
2.1
21.2
18.0
25.0
vs Similar (19)
10.2
10.1
10.4
2.6
3.3
1.9
23.5
24.3
22.4
vs Weaker (4)
14.0
-
14.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
26.0
-
26.0
% over line
70%
64%
77%
30%
28%
32%
59%
50%
69%
% under line
30%
36%
23%
70%
72%
68%
41%
50%
31%
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.4
Inter Turku
10.7
Ilves
10.5
Mariehamn
10.5
SJK
10.2
HJK Helsinki
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
KuPS
9.5
VPS
8.8
Turku PS
8.4
Lahti
8.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
SJK
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
Lahti
3.8
Ilves
3.4
VPS
3.3
FF Jaro
3.3
Mariehamn
3.1
HJK Helsinki
2.8
KuPS
2.8
Inter Turku
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AC Oulu
22.7
Lahti
22.6
Gnistan
22.6
VPS
22.3
Turku PS
21.8
Mariehamn
20.3
Inter Turku
19.6
KuPS
19.4
SJK
19.2
Ilves
18.9
FF Jaro
18.4
HJK Helsinki
16.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.3%
@ 1.38-3.8%
Under 9.5
37.7%
@ 2.70+3.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.38
Under
Unibet
2.70
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.9%
Under 3.5
48.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.9%
Under 21.5
51.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
ðĨ 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
77.6%
1.48
Unibet
1.48
-
-
-
-
+15.7%
Over 1.5
70.8%
1.16
Unibet
1.16
-
-
-
-
-8.3%
ð° 6. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (26)
€6m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (22)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (21)
€2m
MAR (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
SJK and Gnistan have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
SJK and Gnistan have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
ILV (4)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (2)
€0m
SJK and Gnistan have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (11)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
SJK and Gnistan have a similar defence value (both €2m).
ðĪ 7. Games History
Head-to-head
SJK vs Gnistan · H/A from SJK
Date
H/A
Game
Score
30/05/26
A
Gnistan Vs SJK
3-2
09/11/25
H
SJK Vs Gnistan
3-0
19/10/25
A
Gnistan Vs SJK
3-4
20/07/25
H
SJK Vs Gnistan
3-1
16/05/25
A
Gnistan Vs SJK
2-2
SJK
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/07/26
A
FF Jaro Vs SJK
2-1
18/07/26
H
SJK Vs KuPS
0-2
10/07/26
A
VPS Vs SJK
1-0
04/07/26
H
SJK Vs Turku PS
3-1
27/06/26
A
Ilves Vs SJK
2-2
23/06/26
A
Inter Turku Vs SJK
1-1
17/06/26
H
SJK Vs VPS
1-2
13/06/26
A
Lahti Vs SJK
2-3
30/05/26
A
Gnistan Vs SJK
3-2
23/05/26
H
SJK Vs AC Oulu
0-1
Gnistan
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
H
GNI Vs KuPS
0-1
26/07/26
A
Inter Turku Vs GNI
1-2
18/07/26
A
AC Oulu Vs GNI
0-2
11/07/26
H
GNI Vs Mariehamn
4-2
04/07/26
A
Lahti Vs GNI
1-0
27/06/26
H
GNI Vs VPS
1-1
23/06/26
A
FF Jaro Vs GNI
1-1
17/06/26
H
GNI Vs Lahti
1-0
13/06/26
A
Mariehamn Vs GNI
0-3
30/05/26
H
GNI Vs SJK
3-2
ð 8. Overall Statistics
SJK
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DWLLL
1.40
Home
LLLWL
1.56
Away
WDDLL
1.24
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
38%
44%
32%
AVG goals
3.42
3.00
3.84
Over 2.5 %
70%
64%
76%
Scored
1.78
1.76
1.80
Conceded
1.64
1.24
2.04
BTTS
70%
68%
72%
Clean Sheet
12%
16%
8%
Failed to Score
20%
16%
24%
Gnistan
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWWWL
1.22
Home
WWDWL
1.28
Away
WDLWW
1.16
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
32%
36%
28%
AVG goals
3.22
3.44
3.00
Over 2.5 %
58%
64%
52%
Scored
1.48
1.60
1.36
Conceded
1.74
1.84
1.64
BTTS
58%
56%
60%
Clean Sheet
22%
24%
20%
Failed to Score
26%
24%
28%
ð 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value âŽm
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
KuPS
18
61%
2.2
33
16
+17
2.7
83%
44%
28%
8.1
33%
1.9
11%
19.9
44%
0
0
0
0
1.8
0.9
57%
2
Inter Turku
18
50%
1.9
25
14
+11
2.2
72%
33%
17%
10.7
67%
2.3
14%
19.7
57%
5
2
1
2
1.4
0.8
58%
3
AC Oulu
18
50%
1.7
22
21
+1
2.4
61%
39%
17%
9.5
38%
3.8
62%
22.6
50%
4
1
1
1
1.2
1.2
48%
4
HJK Helsinki
17
47%
1.6
28
20
+8
2.8
71%
53%
29%
7.0
14%
3.0
43%
18.4
43%
6
2
1
3
1.6
1.2
55%
5
Gnistan
18
44%
1.6
27
22
+5
2.7
78%
39%
22%
10.1
57%
3.6
50%
24.2
71%
3
1
1
1
1.5
1.2
44%
6
VPS
18
39%
1.5
24
17
+7
2.3
61%
39%
22%
7.1
30%
3.4
50%
21.8
70%
0
0
0
0
1.3
0.9
48%
7
Lahti
18
39%
1.4
22
16
+6
2.1
67%
28%
11%
8.3
50%
3.8
60%
22.6
80%
2
1
0
1
1.2
0.9
56%
8
Turku PS
18
39%
1.4
23
20
+3
2.4
67%
50%
22%
7.7
40%
3.9
60%
20.3
60%
0
0
0
0
1.3
1.1
50%
9
Ilves
18
33%
1.2
29
31
-2
3.3
78%
67%
56%
8.1
11%
3.0
56%
18.0
44%
4
1
1
2
1.6
1.7
49%
10
FF Jaro
18
17%
0.8
17
35
-18
2.9
83%
56%
28%
8.4
30%
3.1
40%
19.2
50%
2
1
1
1
0.9
1.9
47%
11
SJK
17
18%
0.8
19
27
-8
2.7
82%
53%
29%
9.0
57%
3.9
57%
20.4
57%
4
1
1
2
1.1
1.6
50%
12
Mariehamn
18
0%
0.3
9
39
-30
2.7
83%
50%
22%
10.5
70%
3.0
64%
21.3
64%
2
1
1
1
0.5
2.2
45%
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026-27 full table · SJK and Gnistan highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
PythiaFootballBETA
Pythia · model switchable per page
