This opponent (VPS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
V
VPS
Avg scored1.60
Avg conceded1.10
Avg total2.70
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.69
1.06
0.79
1.29
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (10)
1.10
1.20
1.40
1.20
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (17)
1.41
1.06
2.00
1.00
0.75
1.12
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.3%
@ 1.21-8.3%
Under 1.5
32.7%
@ 3.75+8.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.21
Under
Unibet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.3%
@ 1.70-14.5%
Under 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.98+14.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.70
Under
Unibet
1.98
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.2%
@ 2.70-14.6%
Under 3.5
80.8%
@ 1.38+14.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
Under
Unibet
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
47.1%
@ 1.61-9.8%
No
52.9%
@ 2.12+9.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Unibet
1.61
No
Unibet
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.75+5.8%
0-0
11.8%@ 9.00+6.2%
1-0
10.9%@ 8.50+4.9%
0-1
10.0%@ 6.75+2.5%
2-1
7.8%@ 8.50+1.8%
1-2
7.2%@ 6.75-0.3%
2-0
7.2%@ 11.50+2.8%
0-2
6.2%@ 7.50-0.6%
FF Jaro goals ↓
VPS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.2%
7.8%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.8%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FF Jaro goals (down), columns = VPS goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
2.17
Inter Turku
1.89
AC Oulu
1.67
HJK Helsinki
1.65
Gnistan
1.56
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.39
Turku PS
1.39
Ilves
1.22
FF Jaro
0.83
SJK
0.82
Mariehamn
0.28
FF Jaro is 0.67 points worse than VPS in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.50).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.83
HJK Helsinki
1.65
Ilves
1.61
Gnistan
1.50
Inter Turku
1.39
VPS
1.33
Turku PS
1.28
Lahti
1.22
AC Oulu
1.22
SJK
1.12
FF Jaro
0.94
Mariehamn
0.50
FF Jaro is 0.39 goals worse than VPS in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.33).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.78
Lahti
0.89
KuPS
0.89
VPS
0.94
Turku PS
1.11
AC Oulu
1.17
HJK Helsinki
1.18
Gnistan
1.22
SJK
1.59
Ilves
1.72
FF Jaro
1.94
Mariehamn
2.17
FF Jaro is 1.00 goals worse than VPS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 0.94).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
FF Jaro is 1.3 percentage points worse than VPS in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
FF Jaro
For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 8.8 · Total 19.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
V
VPS
For 3.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FF Jaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
10.1
10.2
9.8
1.5
1.8
1.1
18.4
18.9
17.6
vs Stronger (27)
9.6
9.0
10.3
1.6
2.0
1.1
16.8
17.6
16.0
vs Similar (18)
10.9
12.0
8.0
1.3
1.5
1.1
21.3
20.8
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
50%
38%
18%
26%
9%
35%
33%
38%
% under line
55%
50%
62%
82%
74%
91%
65%
67%
62%
This opponent (VPS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
V
VPS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
8.8
8.6
9.0
1.3
1.5
1.2
22.3
21.5
23.2
vs Stronger (4)
7.3
8.5
5.0
3.8
6.5
1.0
24.3
23.0
27.0
vs Similar (16)
7.3
7.5
7.0
0.6
0.9
0.2
21.0
17.5
28.0
vs Weaker (25)
9.5
9.0
10.0
1.4
1.1
1.8
22.1
22.3
21.8
% over line
50%
50%
50%
18%
17%
18%
67%
60%
75%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
82%
83%
82%
33%
40%
25%
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.4
Inter Turku
10.7
Ilves
10.5
Mariehamn
10.5
SJK
10.2
HJK Helsinki
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
KuPS
9.5
VPS
8.8
Turku PS
8.4
Lahti
8.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
SJK
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
Lahti
3.8
Ilves
3.4
VPS
3.3
FF Jaro
3.3
Mariehamn
3.1
HJK Helsinki
2.8
KuPS
2.8
Inter Turku
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AC Oulu
22.7
Lahti
22.6
Gnistan
22.6
VPS
22.3
Turku PS
21.8
Mariehamn
20.3
Inter Turku
19.6
KuPS
19.4
SJK
19.2
Ilves
18.9
FF Jaro
18.4
HJK Helsinki
16.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
32.8%
@ 1.56-26.0%
Under 9.5
67.2%
@ 2.23+26.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.56
Under
Unibet
2.23
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
40.2%
Under 3.5
59.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
41.7%
Under 21.5
58.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
ðĨ 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
80.8%
1.38
Unibet
1.38
-
-
-
-
+14.6%
ð° 6. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (26)
€6m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (22)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (21)
€2m
MAR (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
ILV (4)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (11)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
ðĪ 7. Games History
Head-to-head
FF Jaro vs VPS · H/A from FJ
Date
H/A
Game
Score
10/04/26
A
VPS Vs FJ
0-0
18/10/25
A
VPS Vs FJ
1-3
25/07/25
H
FJ Vs VPS
2-2
17/05/25
A
VPS Vs FJ
0-0
FF Jaro
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
A
Lahti Vs FJ
2-0
24/07/26
H
FJ Vs SJK
2-1
19/07/26
H
FJ Vs Inter Turku
0-0
04/07/26
H
FJ Vs Ilves
2-1
27/06/26
A
Turku PS Vs FJ
3-2
23/06/26
H
FJ Vs Gnistan
1-1
17/06/26
A
Ilves Vs FJ
5-0
13/06/26
H
FJ Vs HJK Helsinki
2-5
31/05/26
A
AC Oulu Vs FJ
2-1
23/05/26
H
FJ Vs Mariehamn
3-0
V
VPS
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
H
VPS Vs Inter Turku
0-1
25/07/26
A
KuPS Vs VPS
3-1
18/07/26
A
HJK Helsinki Vs VPS
2-1
10/07/26
H
VPS Vs SJK
1-0
04/07/26
H
VPS Vs Mariehamn
4-0
27/06/26
A
Gnistan Vs VPS
1-1
23/06/26
H
VPS Vs AC Oulu
5-1
17/06/26
A
SJK Vs VPS
1-2
13/06/26
H
VPS Vs KuPS
1-1
30/05/26
A
Turku PS Vs VPS
1-0
ð 8. Overall Statistics
FF Jaro
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWDWL
1.09
Home
LDWDW
1.09
Away
LLLLL
1.09
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
29%
26%
32%
AVG goals
2.91
2.96
2.86
Over 2.5 %
62%
65%
59%
Scored
1.16
1.26
1.05
Conceded
1.76
1.70
1.82
BTTS
60%
70%
50%
Clean Sheet
16%
9%
23%
Failed to Score
31%
26%
36%
V
VPS
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWLLL
1.29
Home
DWWWL
1.61
Away
LWDLL
0.95
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
33%
43%
23%
AVG goals
2.67
2.57
2.77
Over 2.5 %
51%
43%
59%
Scored
1.36
1.43
1.27
Conceded
1.31
1.13
1.50
BTTS
62%
57%
68%
Clean Sheet
24%
30%
18%
Failed to Score
24%
26%
23%
ð 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value âŽm
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
KuPS
18
61%
2.2
33
16
+17
2.7
83%
44%
28%
8.1
33%
1.9
11%
19.9
44%
0
0
0
0
1.8
0.9
57%
2
Inter Turku
18
50%
1.9
25
14
+11
2.2
72%
33%
17%
10.7
67%
2.3
14%
19.7
57%
5
2
1
2
1.4
0.8
58%
3
AC Oulu
18
50%
1.7
22
21
+1
2.4
61%
39%
17%
9.5
38%
3.8
62%
22.6
50%
4
1
1
1
1.2
1.2
48%
4
HJK Helsinki
17
47%
1.6
28
20
+8
2.8
71%
53%
29%
7.0
14%
3.0
43%
18.4
43%
6
2
1
3
1.6
1.2
55%
5
Gnistan
18
44%
1.6
27
22
+5
2.7
78%
39%
22%
10.1
57%
3.6
50%
24.2
71%
3
1
1
1
1.5
1.2
44%
6
VPS
18
39%
1.5
24
17
+7
2.3
61%
39%
22%
7.1
30%
3.4
50%
21.8
70%
0
0
0
0
1.3
0.9
48%
7
Lahti
18
39%
1.4
22
16
+6
2.1
67%
28%
11%
8.3
50%
3.8
60%
22.6
80%
2
1
0
1
1.2
0.9
56%
8
Turku PS
18
39%
1.4
23
20
+3
2.4
67%
50%
22%
7.7
40%
3.9
60%
20.3
60%
0
0
0
0
1.3
1.1
50%
9
Ilves
18
33%
1.2
29
31
-2
3.3
78%
67%
56%
8.1
11%
3.0
56%
18.0
44%
4
1
1
2
1.6
1.7
49%
10
FF Jaro
18
17%
0.8
17
35
-18
2.9
83%
56%
28%
8.4
30%
3.1
40%
19.2
50%
2
1
1
1
0.9
1.9
47%
11
SJK
17
18%
0.8
19
27
-8
2.7
82%
53%
29%
9.0
57%
3.9
57%
20.4
57%
4
1
1
2
1.1
1.6
50%
12
Mariehamn
18
0%
0.3
9
39
-30
2.7
83%
50%
22%
10.5
70%
3.0
64%
21.3
64%
2
1
1
1
0.5
2.2
45%
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026-27 full table · FF Jaro and VPS highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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