This opponent (Turku PS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TP
Turku PS
Avg scored1.30
Avg conceded1.20
Avg total2.50
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.45
1.10
1.91
0.82
0.89
1.44
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.53
1.06
2.11
0.78
0.88
1.38
Clean sheet %
35% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.7%
@ 1.17-7.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
@ 4.48+7.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Pinnacle
4.79
888Sport
4.75
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.0%
@ 1.57-14.4%
Under 2.5
55.0%
@ 2.30+14.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.39
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.7%
@ 2.40-14.8%
Under 3.5
76.3%
@ 1.50+14.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Betano
2.45
Unibet
2.45
888Sport
2.40
Marathonbet
2.32
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.53
888Sport
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Both teams to score
Yes
38.4%
@ 1.72-15.4%
No
61.6%
@ 2.00+15.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
888Sport
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
No
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
888Sport
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betano
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
15.1%@ 7.14+9.0%
1-0
15.0%@ 7.16+9.0%
1-1
10.2%@ 7.69+4.6%
3-0
9.5%@ 9.54+5.0%
0-0
9.3%@ 12.62+5.9%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.06+2.7%
3-1
5.5%@ 10.14+1.3%
4-0
4.5%@ 16.25+1.8%
KuPS goals ↓
Turku PS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
4.0%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
1
15%
10%
2.7%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
8.8%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
3
9.5%
5.5%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
4
4.5%
2.6%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KuPS goals (down), columns = Turku PS goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
2.17
Inter Turku
1.89
AC Oulu
1.67
HJK Helsinki
1.65
Gnistan
1.56
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.39
Turku PS
1.39
Ilves
1.22
FF Jaro
0.83
SJK
0.82
Mariehamn
0.28
KuPS is 0.78 points better than Turku PS in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.83
HJK Helsinki
1.65
Ilves
1.61
Gnistan
1.50
Inter Turku
1.39
VPS
1.33
Turku PS
1.28
Lahti
1.22
AC Oulu
1.22
SJK
1.12
FF Jaro
0.94
Mariehamn
0.50
KuPS is 0.56 goals better than Turku PS in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.78
Lahti
0.89
KuPS
0.89
VPS
0.94
Turku PS
1.11
AC Oulu
1.17
HJK Helsinki
1.18
Gnistan
1.22
SJK
1.59
Ilves
1.72
FF Jaro
1.94
Mariehamn
2.17
KuPS is 0.22 goals better than Turku PS in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
KuPS is 7.7 percentage points better than Turku PS in terms of average possession (57% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
K
KuPS
For 4.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.9 · Total 1.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
TP
Turku PS
For 4.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
K
KuPS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.9
10.0
1.7
1.6
1.8
19.4
19.8
19.1
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
11.0
9.0
2.0
1.0
3.0
18.0
15.0
21.0
vs Similar (5)
9.0
7.5
10.0
3.0
3.5
2.7
19.6
19.0
20.0
vs Weaker (43)
9.6
9.0
10.1
1.5
1.4
1.6
19.5
20.4
18.7
% over line
41%
31%
50%
20%
21%
19%
31%
38%
25%
% under line
59%
69%
50%
80%
79%
81%
69%
62%
75%
This opponent (Turku PS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TP
Turku PS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
8.4
9.8
7.6
2.4
1.8
3.0
21.8
25.2
19.9
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (17)
8.4
9.8
7.6
2.8
2.2
3.4
21.8
25.2
19.9
% over line
45%
50%
43%
35%
27%
44%
64%
75%
57%
% under line
55%
50%
57%
65%
73%
56%
36%
25%
43%
This opponent (KuPS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.4
Inter Turku
10.7
Ilves
10.5
Mariehamn
10.5
SJK
10.2
HJK Helsinki
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
KuPS
9.5
VPS
8.8
Turku PS
8.4
Lahti
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
SJK
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
Lahti
3.8
Ilves
3.4
VPS
3.3
FF Jaro
3.3
Mariehamn
3.1
HJK Helsinki
2.8
KuPS
2.8
Inter Turku
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AC Oulu
22.7
Lahti
22.6
Gnistan
22.6
VPS
22.3
Turku PS
21.8
Mariehamn
20.3
Inter Turku
19.6
KuPS
19.4
SJK
19.2
Ilves
18.9
FF Jaro
18.4
HJK Helsinki
16.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
25.5%
@ 1.49-36.0%
Under 9.5
74.5%
@ 2.38+36.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.49
Under
Unibet
2.38
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
29.0%
Under 21.5
71.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
76.3%
1.50
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.53
888Sport
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
+14.8%
Under 3.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 9.5 corners
74.5%
2.38
Unibet
2.38
-
-
-
-
+36.0%
Over 1.5
71.7%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
-7.7%
Under 21.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (26)
€6m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (22)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (21)
€2m
MAR (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
ILV (4)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (11)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
KuPS vs Turku PS · H/A from KUP
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/06/26
A
Turku PS Vs KUP
1-2
K
KuPS
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
A
Gnistan Vs KUP
0-1
25/07/26
H
KUP Vs VPS
3-1
18/07/26
A
SJK Vs KUP
0-2
27/06/26
A
HJK Helsinki Vs KUP
0-4
23/06/26
H
KUP Vs Ilves
4-3
17/06/26
A
Turku PS Vs KUP
1-2
13/06/26
A
VPS Vs KUP
1-1
30/05/26
H
KUP Vs Inter Turku
1-1
23/05/26
H
KUP Vs Lahti
2-1
20/05/26
H
KUP Vs FF Jaro
3-0
TP
Turku PS
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
H
TP Vs Mariehamn
3-0
26/07/26
A
HJK Helsinki Vs TP
1-0
20/07/26
H
TP Vs Ilves
1-3
11/07/26
H
TP Vs AC Oulu
3-0
04/07/26
A
SJK Vs TP
3-1
27/06/26
H
TP Vs FF Jaro
3-2
23/06/26
A
Lahti Vs TP
0-0
17/06/26
H
TP Vs KuPS
1-2
13/06/26
A
Ilves Vs TP
1-0
30/05/26
H
TP Vs VPS
1-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
K
KuPS
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWWW
1.92
Home
WWDWW
2.12
Away
DWWWW
1.73
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
54%
62%
46%
AVG goals
2.62
2.96
2.31
Over 2.5 %
44%
50%
38%
Scored
1.60
1.79
1.42
Conceded
1.02
1.17
0.88
BTTS
52%
62%
42%
Clean Sheet
34%
29%
38%
Failed to Score
22%
17%
27%
TP
Turku PS
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWLLW
1.55
Home
LWWLW
2.27
Away
LLDLL
0.67
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
45%
73%
11%
AVG goals
2.55
2.73
2.33
Over 2.5 %
55%
64%
44%
Scored
1.45
1.91
0.89
Conceded
1.10
0.82
1.44
BTTS
50%
45%
56%
Clean Sheet
35%
55%
11%
Failed to Score
20%
0%
44%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
KuPS
18
61%
2.2
33
16
+17
2.7
83%
44%
28%
8.1
33%
1.9
11%
19.9
44%
0
0
0
0
1.8
0.9
57%
2
Inter Turku
18
50%
1.9
25
14
+11
2.2
72%
33%
17%
10.7
67%
2.3
14%
19.7
57%
5
2
1
2
1.4
0.8
58%
3
AC Oulu
18
50%
1.7
22
21
+1
2.4
61%
39%
17%
9.5
38%
3.8
62%
22.6
50%
4
1
1
1
1.2
1.2
48%
4
HJK Helsinki
17
47%
1.6
28
20
+8
2.8
71%
53%
29%
7.0
14%
3.0
43%
18.4
43%
6
2
1
3
1.6
1.2
55%
5
Gnistan
18
44%
1.6
27
22
+5
2.7
78%
39%
22%
10.1
57%
3.6
50%
24.2
71%
3
1
1
1
1.5
1.2
44%
6
VPS
18
39%
1.5
24
17
+7
2.3
61%
39%
22%
7.1
30%
3.4
50%
21.8
70%
0
0
0
0
1.3
0.9
48%
7
Lahti
18
39%
1.4
22
16
+6
2.1
67%
28%
11%
8.3
50%
3.8
60%
22.6
80%
2
1
0
1
1.2
0.9
56%
8
Turku PS
18
39%
1.4
23
20
+3
2.4
67%
50%
22%
7.7
40%
3.9
60%
20.3
60%
0
0
0
0
1.3
1.1
50%
9
Ilves
18
33%
1.2
29
31
-2
3.3
78%
67%
56%
8.1
11%
3.0
56%
18.0
44%
4
1
1
2
1.6
1.7
49%
10
FF Jaro
18
17%
0.8
17
35
-18
2.9
83%
56%
28%
8.4
30%
3.1
40%
19.2
50%
2
1
1
1
0.9
1.9
47%
11
SJK
17
18%
0.8
19
27
-8
2.7
82%
53%
29%
9.0
57%
3.9
57%
20.4
57%
4
1
1
2
1.1
1.6
50%
12
Mariehamn
18
0%
0.3
9
39
-30
2.7
83%
50%
22%
10.5
70%
3.0
64%
21.3
64%
2
1
1
1
0.5
2.2
45%
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026-27 full table · KuPS and Turku PS highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
PythiaFootballBETA
Pythia · model switchable per page