This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Avg scored1.10
Avg conceded1.70
Avg total2.80
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.67
1.07
1.33
1.20
2.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
2.10
0.33
1.50
0.75
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.45
1.45
1.56
1.22
1.36
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.1%
@ 1.21+7.3%
Under 1.5
16.9%
@ 3.81-7.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.62
1xBet
3.62
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.74+6.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.03-6.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Under
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.4%
@ 2.75+5.1%
Under 3.5
61.6%
@ 1.38-5.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.76
Unibet
2.70
Under
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
63.2%
@ 1.60+5.7%
No
36.8%
@ 2.16-5.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Unibet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
No
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
Unibet
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%@ 6.42+5.2%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.66+3.8%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.65+3.1%
2-0
6.6%@ 9.65+2.3%
1-0
6.5%@ 7.93+1.3%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.00+2.7%
0-0
5.4%@ 10.90+1.6%
3-1
5.3%@ 13.10+2.2%
Galway United goals ↓
Drogheda United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
5.0%
4.2%
2.0%
0.7%
1
6.5%
12%
7.4%
3.4%
1.2%
2
6.6%
9.2%
6.4%
3.0%
1.0%
3
3.8%
5.3%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.7%
2.3%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Galway United goals (down), columns = Drogheda United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
Bohemians
1.72
St Patrick's Athl.
1.69
Dundalk
1.42
Shelbourne
1.36
Galway United
1.17
Derry City
1.15
Drogheda United
1.04
Waterford
0.96
Sligo Rovers
0.85
Galway United is 0.13 points better than Drogheda United in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.04).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.60
St Patrick's Athl.
1.58
Dundalk
1.54
Shamrock Rovers
1.54
Shelbourne
1.40
Galway United
1.33
Waterford
1.31
Derry City
1.27
Drogheda United
1.19
Sligo Rovers
0.88
Galway United is 0.14 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shamrock Rovers
0.85
St Patrick's Athl.
0.85
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.23
Shelbourne
1.44
Dundalk
1.46
Galway United
1.62
Sligo Rovers
1.65
Drogheda United
1.65
Waterford
1.81
Galway United is 0.03 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.65).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
63%
Bohemians
57%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
55%
Shelbourne
52%
Dundalk
51%
Sligo Rovers
47%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Galway United is 0.5 percentage points worse than Drogheda United in terms of average possession (40% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Galway United
For 4.8 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
For 4.5 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 14.1 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Galway United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.8
10.1
4.4
4.6
4.2
22.9
23.6
22.2
vs Stronger (27)
10.1
11.6
9.1
4.1
4.3
4.0
22.5
23.6
21.7
vs Similar (23)
10.8
10.1
11.9
4.8
4.9
4.7
23.3
23.6
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
67%
54%
66%
76%
56%
62%
67%
58%
% under line
40%
33%
46%
34%
24%
44%
38%
33%
42%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.5
4.5
4.7
4.3
21.8
21.5
22.2
vs Stronger (17)
9.4
8.9
9.9
4.4
4.9
3.9
21.5
21.7
21.4
vs Similar (33)
10.7
10.6
10.8
4.5
4.6
4.5
22.0
21.4
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
42%
48%
64%
76%
52%
59%
54%
64%
% under line
55%
58%
52%
36%
24%
48%
41%
46%
36%
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.1
Dundalk
11.0
Waterford
10.9
Galway United
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
10.2
Drogheda United
10.2
Bohemians
9.9
Shelbourne
9.4
Derry City
9.3
Shamrock Rovers
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.3
Dundalk
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
St Patrick's Athl.
4.9
Bohemians
4.8
Shelbourne
4.8
Waterford
4.8
Galway United
4.7
Drogheda United
4.5
Sligo Rovers
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundalk
23.4
Derry City
23.2
Bohemians
23.0
St Patrick's Athl.
23.0
Galway United
22.8
Waterford
22.6
Shamrock Rovers
22.2
Drogheda United
21.7
Shelbourne
21.6
Sligo Rovers
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.2%
@ 1.64+7.4%
Under 9.5
36.8%
@ 2.07-7.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.64
Under
Unibet
2.07
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.4%
Under 3.5
36.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.6%
Under 21.5
37.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
83.1%
1.21
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-
+7.3%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (21)
€5m
DC (21)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Galway United and Drogheda United have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Galway United and Drogheda United have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Galway United and Drogheda United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
SPA (8)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Galway United and Drogheda United have a similar defence value (both €1m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Galway United vs Drogheda United · H/A from GU
Date
H/A
Game
Score
06/04/26
A
Drogheda United Vs GU
2-3
06/02/26
H
GU Vs Drogheda United
0-1
24/10/25
H
GU Vs Drogheda United
1-1
04/07/25
A
Drogheda United Vs GU
1-0
25/04/25
H
GU Vs Drogheda United
2-1
28/02/25
A
Drogheda United Vs GU
1-1
Galway United
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
25/07/26
H
GU Vs Waterford
0-0
11/07/26
H
GU Vs Sligo Rovers
3-2
03/07/26
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs GU
3-0
26/06/26
A
Shamrock Rovers Vs GU
3-1
19/06/26
H
GU Vs Derry City
2-1
12/06/26
H
GU Vs Dundalk
0-1
29/05/26
A
Shelbourne Vs GU
1-1
22/05/26
H
GU Vs Bohemians
2-4
16/05/26
A
Sligo Rovers Vs GU
1-4
08/05/26
H
GU Vs Shamrock Rovers
1-3
Drogheda United
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
H
DU Vs Shamrock Rovers
0-0
25/07/26
A
Sligo Rovers Vs DU
2-2
10/07/26
A
Dundalk Vs DU
1-2
03/07/26
H
DU Vs Bohemians
0-2
26/06/26
A
Derry City Vs DU
2-0
19/06/26
H
DU Vs Shelbourne
2-2
12/06/26
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs DU
2-0
29/05/26
H
DU Vs Waterford
3-3
22/05/26
H
DU Vs Dundalk
1-1
18/05/26
A
Waterford Vs DU
2-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Galway United
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLLWD
1.02
Home
LLWWD
1.44
Away
DWDLL
0.60
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
24%
40%
8%
AVG goals
2.54
2.88
2.20
Over 2.5 %
46%
60%
32%
Scored
1.10
1.44
0.76
Conceded
1.44
1.44
1.44
BTTS
60%
68%
52%
Clean Sheet
10%
16%
4%
Failed to Score
36%
24%
48%
Drogheda United
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLWDD
1.16
Home
DDDLD
1.44
Away
LLLWD
0.88
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
26%
36%
16%
AVG goals
2.50
2.20
2.80
Over 2.5 %
46%
36%
56%
Scored
1.06
1.08
1.04
Conceded
1.44
1.12
1.76
BTTS
56%
48%
64%
Clean Sheet
30%
44%
16%
Failed to Score
26%
24%
28%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Shamrock Rovers
26
58%
2.0
40
22
+18
2.4
69%
42%
23%
8.4
16%
4.8
75%
22.7
56%
7
3
2
2
1.5
0.8
63%
2
St Patrick's Athl.
26
46%
1.7
41
22
+19
2.4
73%
35%
31%
10.3
72%
4.7
71%
23.6
64%
5
2
1
2
1.6
0.8
55%
3
Bohemians
25
48%
1.7
40
27
+13
2.7
76%
56%
32%
9.9
54%
4.2
58%
23.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.6
1.1
57%
4
Dundalk
26
35%
1.4
40
38
+2
3.0
88%
58%
35%
11.0
72%
5.1
68%
23.4
72%
3
0
1
2
1.5
1.5
51%
5
Shelbourne
25
32%
1.4
35
36
-1
2.8
76%
64%
32%
9.6
50%
5.2
71%
20.9
54%
4
1
1
2
1.4
1.4
52%
6
Derry City
26
23%
1.2
33
32
+1
2.5
69%
50%
27%
10.2
60%
5.2
76%
23.4
64%
4
1
1
2
1.3
1.2
55%
7
Galway United
24
29%
1.2
32
39
-7
3.0
75%
54%
38%
10.7
61%
3.8
57%
23.0
65%
3
1
1
1
1.3
1.6
40%
8
Drogheda United
26
23%
1.0
31
43
-12
2.8
77%
54%
35%
10.5
52%
4.5
68%
22.6
68%
3
1
0
2
1.2
1.7
40%
9
Waterford
26
19%
1.0
34
47
-13
3.1
81%
46%
38%
11.5
60%
4.3
60%
23.0
64%
2
1
1
1
1.3
1.8
39%
10
Sligo Rovers
26
19%
0.8
23
43
-20
2.5
73%
50%
31%
10.7
56%
4.1
52%
19.1
28%
3
1
1
1
0.9
1.7
47%
Ireland: Premier Division 2026-27 full table · Galway United and Drogheda United highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.