This opponent (Dundalk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundalk
Avg scored1.30
Avg conceded1.20
Avg total2.50
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.54
1.46
1.69
1.23
1.38
1.69
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.20
1.00
1.50
1.33
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.47
1.53
1.57
1.29
1.38
1.75
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.50
2.25
1.00
1.50
2.50
Clean sheet %
19% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.5%
@ 1.21+2.8%
Under 1.5
20.5%
@ 3.98-2.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
10Bet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.13
1xBet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.71+0.4%
Under 2.5
44.7%
@ 2.08-0.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Bet365
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.9%
@ 2.72-1.1%
Under 3.5
67.1%
@ 1.40+1.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
Bet365
2.75
888Sport
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.70-0.2%
No
45.8%
@ 2.03+0.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Betano
1.70
888Sport
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
No
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
888Sport
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 7.04+5.1%
2-0
10.2%@ 8.12+4.7%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.54+4.1%
1-0
9.6%@ 7.41+3.6%
0-0
6.6%@ 11.56+2.7%
3-0
6.5%@ 11.92+2.8%
3-1
6.4%@ 11.72+2.6%
1-2
5.1%@ 13.44+1.8%
Shamrock Rovers goals ↓
Dundalk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
4.4%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
1
9.6%
11%
5.1%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
6.5%
6.4%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
4
3.1%
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shamrock Rovers goals (down), columns = Dundalk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
Bohemians
1.72
St Patrick's Athl.
1.69
Dundalk
1.42
Shelbourne
1.36
Galway United
1.17
Derry City
1.15
Drogheda United
1.04
Waterford
0.96
Sligo Rovers
0.85
Shamrock Rovers is 0.54 points better than Dundalk in terms of average points per game (1.96 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.60
St Patrick's Athl.
1.58
Dundalk
1.54
Shamrock Rovers
1.54
Shelbourne
1.40
Galway United
1.33
Waterford
1.31
Derry City
1.27
Drogheda United
1.19
Sligo Rovers
0.88
Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk are level in goals scored per game (both 1.54).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shamrock Rovers
0.85
St Patrick's Athl.
0.85
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.23
Shelbourne
1.44
Dundalk
1.46
Galway United
1.62
Sligo Rovers
1.65
Drogheda United
1.65
Waterford
1.81
Shamrock Rovers is 0.62 goals better than Dundalk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.46).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
63%
Bohemians
57%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
55%
Shelbourne
52%
Dundalk
51%
Sligo Rovers
47%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Shamrock Rovers is 11.5 percentage points better than Dundalk in terms of average possession (63% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Shamrock Rovers
For 4.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 10.2 · Total 19.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundalk
For 5.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shamrock Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.5
8.1
4.1
3.5
4.6
22.4
21.6
23.1
vs Stronger (3)
9.7
9.5
10.0
4.0
3.0
6.0
20.3
21.0
19.0
vs Similar (21)
9.0
10.0
8.1
3.8
3.5
4.1
25.3
25.4
25.2
vs Weaker (26)
7.7
7.4
7.9
4.3
3.6
4.9
20.8
19.5
22.1
% over line
26%
29%
23%
62%
46%
77%
58%
48%
68%
% under line
74%
71%
77%
38%
54%
23%
42%
52%
32%
This opponent (Dundalk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundalk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (26)
11.0
10.5
11.5
4.9
5.4
4.4
23.4
21.7
25.2
vs Stronger (5)
8.0
6.0
10.0
4.6
6.5
3.3
25.0
24.0
26.0
vs Similar (15)
10.9
11.3
10.6
5.5
6.0
5.0
23.1
20.3
25.6
vs Weaker (6)
13.0
11.2
16.5
3.7
3.8
3.5
22.8
23.0
22.5
% over line
72%
69%
75%
65%
62%
69%
72%
62%
83%
% under line
28%
31%
25%
35%
38%
31%
28%
38%
17%
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.1
Dundalk
11.0
Waterford
10.9
Galway United
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
10.2
Drogheda United
10.2
Bohemians
9.9
Shelbourne
9.4
Derry City
9.3
Shamrock Rovers
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.3
Dundalk
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
St Patrick's Athl.
4.9
Bohemians
4.8
Shelbourne
4.8
Waterford
4.8
Galway United
4.7
Drogheda United
4.5
Sligo Rovers
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundalk
23.4
Derry City
23.2
Bohemians
23.0
St Patrick's Athl.
23.0
Galway United
22.8
Waterford
22.6
Shamrock Rovers
22.2
Drogheda United
21.7
Shelbourne
21.6
Sligo Rovers
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.1%
@ 1.62-3.3%
Under 9.5
46.9%
@ 2.10+3.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.8%
Under 3.5
36.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.8%
Under 21.5
36.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
79.5%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+2.8%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (21)
€5m
DC (21)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Shamrock Rovers's squad is €4m more valuable than Dundalk's (€7m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Shamrock Rovers's attack is €3m more valuable than Dundalk's (€3m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Shamrock Rovers's midfield is €1m more valuable than Dundalk's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
SPA (8)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk have a similar defence value (both €2m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk · H/A from SR
Date
H/A
Game
Score
15/05/26
A
Dundalk Vs SR
1-0
23/02/26
H
SR Vs Dundalk
1-1
Shamrock Rovers
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
A
Drogheda United Vs SR
0-0
03/07/26
A
Sligo Rovers Vs SR
1-2
26/06/26
H
SR Vs Galway United
3-1
22/06/26
H
SR Vs Derry City
1-1
19/06/26
A
Waterford Vs SR
0-2
12/06/26
A
Shelbourne Vs SR
2-1
29/05/26
H
SR Vs St Patrick's Athl.
1-0
25/05/26
A
Bohemians Vs SR
1-2
22/05/26
H
SR Vs Sligo Rovers
1-2
15/05/26
A
Dundalk Vs SR
1-0
Dundalk
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
H
DUN Vs Sligo Rovers
1-1
24/07/26
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs DUN
1-1
10/07/26
H
DUN Vs Drogheda United
1-2
03/07/26
A
Shelbourne Vs DUN
2-1
26/06/26
H
DUN Vs Waterford
2-3
19/06/26
A
Bohemians Vs DUN
1-2
12/06/26
A
Galway United Vs DUN
0-1
29/05/26
H
DUN Vs Derry City
2-1
22/05/26
A
Drogheda United Vs DUN
1-1
15/05/26
H
DUN Vs Shamrock Rovers
1-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Shamrock Rovers
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WDWWD
1.68
Home
WLWDW
2.04
Away
WLWWD
1.35
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
48%
62%
35%
AVG goals
2.40
2.38
2.42
Over 2.5 %
48%
46%
50%
Scored
1.42
1.58
1.27
Conceded
0.98
0.79
1.15
BTTS
54%
50%
58%
Clean Sheet
34%
42%
27%
Failed to Score
22%
17%
27%
Dundalk
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLLDD
1.42
Home
WWLLD
1.62
Away
DWWLD
1.23
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
35%
46%
23%
AVG goals
3.00
2.92
3.08
Over 2.5 %
58%
62%
54%
Scored
1.54
1.69
1.38
Conceded
1.46
1.23
1.69
BTTS
73%
69%
77%
Clean Sheet
19%
31%
8%
Failed to Score
8%
0%
15%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Shamrock Rovers
26
58%
2.0
40
22
+18
2.4
69%
42%
23%
8.4
16%
4.8
75%
22.7
56%
7
3
2
2
1.5
0.8
63%
2
St Patrick's Athl.
26
46%
1.7
41
22
+19
2.4
73%
35%
31%
10.3
72%
4.7
71%
23.6
64%
5
2
1
2
1.6
0.8
55%
3
Bohemians
25
48%
1.7
40
27
+13
2.7
76%
56%
32%
9.9
54%
4.2
58%
23.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.6
1.1
57%
4
Dundalk
26
35%
1.4
40
38
+2
3.0
88%
58%
35%
11.0
72%
5.1
68%
23.4
72%
3
0
1
2
1.5
1.5
51%
5
Shelbourne
25
32%
1.4
35
36
-1
2.8
76%
64%
32%
9.6
50%
5.2
71%
20.9
54%
4
1
1
2
1.4
1.4
52%
6
Derry City
26
23%
1.2
33
32
+1
2.5
69%
50%
27%
10.2
60%
5.2
76%
23.4
64%
4
1
1
2
1.3
1.2
55%
7
Galway United
24
29%
1.2
32
39
-7
3.0
75%
54%
38%
10.7
61%
3.8
57%
23.0
65%
3
1
1
1
1.3
1.6
40%
8
Drogheda United
26
23%
1.0
31
43
-12
2.8
77%
54%
35%
10.5
52%
4.5
68%
22.6
68%
3
1
0
2
1.2
1.7
40%
9
Waterford
26
19%
1.0
34
47
-13
3.1
81%
46%
38%
11.5
60%
4.3
60%
23.0
64%
2
1
1
1
1.3
1.8
39%
10
Sligo Rovers
26
19%
0.8
23
43
-20
2.5
73%
50%
31%
10.7
56%
4.1
52%
19.1
28%
3
1
1
1
0.9
1.7
47%
Ireland: Premier Division 2026-27 full table · Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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